TSLA trade ideas
Why Tesla Stock Could FallHi traders this is why tesla could fall in the coming days.
- Musk’s political alignment with Trump may alienate environmentally conscious buyers and complicate international expansion, especially in markets like the EU where Chinese competitors face high tariffs.
- Tesla's 2024 annual deliveries fell for the first time in its history (1.79 million EVs, down 1.1% from 2023), missing Wall Street expectations and raising doubts about its ability to achieve Musk’s 20–30% growth target for 2025.
- Tesla has repeatedly slashed prices in China to maintain market share, but this strategy is eroding profit margins
- Tesla’s P/E ratio of 200 far exceeds peers like Apple or Microsoft
- Tesla’s growth narrative hinges on Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxis, but regulatory approval delays and technical challenges persist, these initiatives are unlikely to generate significant revenue before 2026
I am looking for shorts around 409.74, Targeting 291.89 with stop loss at 468.74
TSLA: Don't fight itWe're officially in correction territory of upward channel.
Long term investors rejoice.
TSLA support & resistant areas for today Feb 25, 2025NASDAQ:TSLA So these are the support and resistant points for TSLA. Bounce off on these areas can initiate long or short positions.
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TSLA-BUY strategy 6 hourly chartIt is always a roller coaster one-way kind of a stock. We have seen $ 485 and now back $ 290. so, much about those reputable analysts :)
Let's get back to the drawing board. The share is oversold, and it's an understatement saying that. The main reasons are fundamental, and Elon his attitude does not help the stock, but the facts remain, he is an innovator, and yes sales declining, and I feel the right level for the stock is somewhere around $ 350. I think.
Strategy BUY @ $ 280-300 and take profit near $ 345 for now is what I feel makes sense right now.
TSLA Testing Key Support! Is a Rebound Coming or More Downside?Technical Analysis for February 27, 2025:
1. Current Price Action:
* TSLA has been in a sharp downtrend, currently hovering near $286 after breaking critical support levels.
* The price is consolidating at a high-volume node (POC: $290), suggesting a possible reaction.
* A falling wedge pattern is forming, which could signal a potential reversal if TSLA breaks out.
2. Key Levels to Watch:
* Support: $280, $249.89 (Major long-term support).
* Resistance: $290-$297 (POC - Major volume area), $315 (Gap fill and key resistance).
* Upside Targets: $315, $346.95, $367.30 (Potential breakout zones).
3. Indicators Analysis:
* MACD: Deep in the negative, but a possible crossover could hint at reversal momentum.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, indicating the potential for a bounce.
* Volume Profile: Heavy resistance at $290-$297; breaking this level could push TSLA toward $315+.
GEX & Option Strategy for Tomorrow and the Week:
1. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights:
* Call Walls: $315, $350, $367 → Resistance areas; gamma squeeze potential above $315.
* Put Walls: $280, $249.89 → Key downside risk zones.
2. IV & Sentiment:
* IVR: 67.8 (elevated)
* IVx Avg: 74.2 (moderate) → Still favoring option sellers.
* Call Positioning: 30.1% bullish sentiment.
* GEX Sentiment: Strong negative bias; put-heavy positioning favors a controlled downside move unless $290 is reclaimed.
3. Trading Suggestions:
* Bullish Setup: If TSLA reclaims $290-$297, consider long positions targeting $315-$350, with a stop at $285.
* Bearish Setup: If TSLA fails at $290, short opportunities with targets at $280-$249, stop at $300.
* Options Play: Selling put spreads at $280 support or call spreads near $350 resistance.
📌 My Thoughts & Suggestion:
* TSLA is at a make-or-break zone at $286-$290; holding here could set up for a strong bounce.
* If downside momentum continues, $280 and $250 are key support zones.
* Wait for confirmation before jumping in aggressively, as IV remains elevated.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🚀
Do or die for TeslaLooking at the monthly chart there are confluence of price support and rejection in this area. IMO 280 closing monthly price is the make or break, hold this and bullish structure intact, but break this, it will flip bearish side.
Quick 4-Min Tesla Analysis: Deeper Pullback or Ready for LiftoffJust wrapped up a quick Tesla analysis (under 4 min)! Right now, we could see a dip to the $289 zone before pushing higher, or a deeper move down to $250 before driving up toward $475.
Where do you think Tesla is headed next? Let me know your thoughts!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Tesla monthly supportPrice just landed on the monthly support and psychological level of $300. I don't think is going to break down. I just bough TSLL. SL triggers if a weekly candle closes below the support level.
YOLLO TESLA TO $400'S ISH.... After weeks and weeks and weeks trying to find a button it looks like a Tesla found the bottom today. Take a look it looks promising. It looks like we could rebound to the low 400s at least and that is a good distance from here. Tesla remains a great company with increasing revenue from everywhere. You cannot sort it forever eventually reverse. I think Tesla has reached an extreme again.
TSLA at a Critical Level! Reversal or More Pain Ahead? Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Tesla (TSLA) has been in a sharp downtrend, breaking key support levels and forming a descending channel on the 1-hour chart. The stock is now testing a crucial demand zone around $300, which aligns with a major PUT wall and strong buyer interest.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: TSLA is currently in a falling wedge pattern, often a sign of potential reversal.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $320 (previous breakdown level).
* Key Support: $300 (PUT Wall and highest negative NETGEX).
* Breakout Target: $340 if TSLA regains momentum.
* MACD Indicator: Bearish but showing early signs of a possible crossover.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator reveals heavy PUT positioning near $300, making it a high-stakes level. A break below could trigger a gamma-driven sell-off, while holding above could fuel a short-covering rally.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 62, with IVx avg at 71.7%, indicating high volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 31.3% of options flow, meaning some traders are betting on a bounce.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $300 → Breaking below could see more downside toward $290-$280.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $340 → Breaking above this level would confirm a reversal.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Play (If $300 Holds)
* Entry: Above $306 with strong volume.
* Target 1: $320
* Target 2: $340 (CALL Wall breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $297
📌 Bearish Breakdown Play (If $300 Fails)
* Entry: Below $297 with volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $290
* Target 2: $280 (Potential next support).
* Stop-loss: Above $310
Final Thoughts
TSLA is at a make-or-break level, with $300 acting as the battleground. If buyers step in, we could see a relief rally toward $320-$340. However, if selling pressure continues, a break below $300 could lead to a further slide toward $280. High volatility means traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
📢 Risk Management: Adjust stop-loss levels and position size accordingly. This setup has high risk but also high reward potential.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
TSLA: Buy ideaOn TSLA we would have a high probability of having an uptrend after a bounce off the support line as you can see on the chart.
Tesla - The Failed All Time High Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) will reject the all time high first:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Tesla was actually not able to create a sustainable all time high breakout and if a stock doesn't move up, it will come down. However Tesla still remains absolutely bullish and is now starting to create a textbook break and retest which will eventually still lead to new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $400, $280
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla AnalysisNext target for Tesla. I have analyzed it using Gann , wave, trend. Mantain 6-7$ stop loss.
TSLA - Predictable as always. Just look for the controlled liq!We've done this countless times on this stock. I didn't touch this while we were shooting up post elections because of the "meme" factor behind Elon and all that. But once basic market dynamics came back into play, we've had at least 2 golden opportunities to play this name and they proved very successful. So going forward we're looking for a similar play!
Happy Trading :)
TSLA Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26📌 Key Observations from the Charts
1. Market Structure & Price Action:
* TSLA had a major breakdown from 348-350, falling to 337.20 and consolidating.
* Support Levels:
* 337.20 (current price zone, high liquidity).
* 330.00 (negative NETGEX & next major put wall support).
* 320.09 (third put wall, high-risk breakdown level).
* Resistance Levels:
* 348.01 (prior breakdown level, first resistance).
* 356.76 (Value Area High & rejection level).
* If TSLA loses 330, expect sharp downside acceleration toward 320.
2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels:
* Point of Control (POC): 337.35 → High liquidity, potential reaction zone.
* Value Area High (VAH): 348.01 → Key resistance.
* Value Area Low (VAL): 334.42 → Must hold to avoid more downside.
3. Indicators Review:
* MACD: Bearish, with downside momentum still increasing.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold but not rebounding yet—no bullish reversal confirmation.
🛠️ Options GEX Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* 380-400 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls preventing upside.
* 450 → Extreme call wall unlikely to be tested unless strong bullish momentum returns.
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 330 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support.
* 320 → Critical third Put Wall—if lost, it could trigger a larger breakdown.
* Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx):
* IVR 37.1 | IVx Avg 70 → Higher volatility than previous stocks, meaning wider swings expected.
* Call Positioning 50.5% → Some bullish bets, but still overshadowed by put-heavy positioning.
📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup)
🔹 Entry: Short below 334 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 330.00 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 320.00 (Put Wall Break).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 342 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Buy PUTS 335/320 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms.
* Debit Put Spread (Bearish 335P/320P for risk control).
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 342-348, targeting 356+.
🔹 Target 1: 348.01 (first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 356.76 (major resistance zone).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 335 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Sell 320/315 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play.
🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Main Bias: Bearish, unless 342+ is reclaimed.
* Gamma Risks: Below 330, strong gamma exposure can push TSLA lower quickly.
* Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TSLA Short idea posted paid, if you followed you got paidThe TSLA short idea was posted before the target was met. The idea was posted last week based on why the trade was taken and what we can anticipate to see. And we can see that the final target has been met.
2/24/25 - $tsla - High on watchlist to own...2/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA
High on watchlist to own...
- fundamentally, there's a lot of "if this" priced into the stock, there's no denying it
- even round up '26 FCF from 8 bn (current expectation) to 10 bn and you're at a 1% yield. but also acknowledge... here it is again... "if, then" it's also growing at 100% yoy, and likely dirty cheap too
- seeing that grok 3 deployment, the DOGE work, rockets, video game, edgelord X... let's get this straight, Elon is
1/ not someone to bet against
2/ continues to deliver surprises across the board
3/ is at and defining the intersection of AI, robots, energy and US-first policy
- so while we can look at multiples all day, i think NASDAQ:TSLA remains a bet on what Elon can deliver in a 10Y context with a high discount rate.
- if robotaxi, optimus... solar roofs (y'all know my view on solar as % of generation) all come together nicely, there's little doubt in my mind that he's right, NASDAQ:TSLA is probably the largest publicly traded company, and make up a number, $10 tn+.
- so if we reduce the probability wave into a duality, "success" and "fail" and nothing in between (for simplicity, albeit an imperfect representation of reality).
- if success is $10 tn in 10 years
- and fail is a bagel ($0) in 10 years
- and we use a LT investment discount rate of 10% ("low enough" to capture the market's current view of stocks at 3-4% for megacap, moat/ validated names but low, but "high enough" to also factor in failure, waiting period etc. etc.)... that $10 tn in today's terms would be 10/(1.1^10) = 3.9 tn. so...
3.9 tn * 10% + 0 tn * 90% = 3.9 tn.
market might be saying... how about it's a 20-25% chance of success and nothing in between. or the market could be saying 10% chance of this success but also many scenarios in between that also give us 1 tn, 2 tn etc. of value. and as a result, the "real" valuation today perhaps does sit closer to that $1tn valuation.
the conclusion, for me, is that technicals matter more for a name like NASDAQ:TSLA in the short-term (like they do CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) than in the long-term as these fundamental factors are delivered (or not) and cash is generated (or not).
the gap fills in the low $200 do catch my eye. those are pretty large gaps. ESPECIALLY the post-election gap, which was more of an "elon benefits from being close to trump" and not necessarily (*necessarily* - though i see it both ways) a speed-up of these above mentioned fundamental factors.
I'd be eyeing the mid $200s to get involved again if/when.
i do think the stock is a LT buy at today's levels. but i just don't like the R/R given the drawdown potential (based on above logic) compared to other opportunities in my book today, namely NASDAQ:NXT , CRYPTOCAP:BTC , NYSE:UBER , $tsm.
but i'll be watching carefully and i'm willing to jump in higher if i need to. that's cool too. just not yet.
V
TSLA is targeting 295 & 330 & 430Hello Traders,
I'm sharing a long position on TSLA, and I'll explain my reasoning below.
Entry Price: 223
Stop-Loss: 172
1st Target: 295
2nd Target: 380
Reason 1: The price has rebounded from the lower deviation of the uptrend channel (grey), not the lower deviation of the downtrend channel (blue). It is now targeting the upper deviation resistance line of the uptrend channel (grey) at 295.
Reason 2: A cup & handle pattern is progressing and will likely be confirmed if the price closes a weekly bar above 253 and the target will be around 330,380 and maybe 430 as shown below
NASDAQ:TSLA
TESLA: Long Trading Opportunity
TESLA
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long TESLA
Entry - 337.50
Sl - 313.33
Tp - 380.92
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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TSLATesla is in a correction phase, the price has a chance to test the support zone 246-218. If the price can stay above 218, it is expected that the price will have a chance to rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Tesla (TSLA) Update - DCA activatedTesla has been under heavy selling pressure following a disappointing quarterly sales report. Last week, the price broke below the key ascending support at $270–$280, signaling further downside risk.
🔻 Next Support Levels to Watch:
📉 $250, followed by $225
At the start of 2025, we emphasized that every dip is an opportunity to accumulate—this remains true. With Trump likely backing Tesla and Elon Musk during his presidential run, long-term support for the company remains strong.
💡 Strategy: Utilize DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) to build positions unless a major event (e.g., Elon Musk stepping away) forces a reassessment.
