TSLA LONG ~ All the technicals are there!TSLA will still hit $2600 ~ Says Cathie Wood
Will it? Let's take a look ~
ELON is pissing people off and investors are worried, Tarrif FUD, brand deterioration.
All of this doesn't matter
Why?
Pull up TSLA YoY earnings since 2013 and you will see that their revenue growth is outrageous, this past year is really the very first time TSLA flat lined, but holding at 25B revenue.
From a technical analysis since 2013 on the LOG chart, you can see TSLA has done a 10x rally twice, and has held strong support through it's bear cycles. The next it due by 2027.
TSLA has been uptrend for over a year, and broke it's ATH 6 months ago.
Voluming is rising in the longterm
and literally the conservatives love him,
If you think competitors are nipping at their heels think again. The infrastracture that Elon has built with his mega factories, and their positioning in the market is so insane other's don't even come close.
On the short term,
The FUD will wash away,
TSLA is finding support at the bottom of the channel,
shorterm volume is waning on the sell offs,
Shorts will get squeezed by end of June,
and Up and UP TSLA will continue.
BTFD!
TSLAB trade ideas
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Jump Approximately 22% in a Single DayTesla (TSLA) Shares Jump Approximately 22% in a Single Day
Tesla was among the standout performers in the stock market rally that followed President Trump’s decision to delay, by 90 days, the implementation of new international trade tariffs — with the notable exception of China. According to the charts, Tesla (TSLA) shares surged by approximately 22%.
Why Did TSLA Shares Soar?
Some insight comes from Cathie Wood, CEO of asset management firm ARK Invest.
In an interview with Barron’s on Wednesday, she noted the following:
→ Tesla plans to launch a new, more affordable vehicle this quarter, likely priced at around $30,000 — roughly half the cost of the base Model Y.
→ The upcoming release of Tesla’s robotaxi service could also lower the need for large upfront vehicle purchases, offering consumers a more economical alternative.
→ Tesla sources more components from North America than most other US carmakers, meaning it is less exposed to tariff-related costs.
And there’s another reason TSLA may have jumped — one that can be found in the chart.
Technical Analysis of TSLA
Take note: the March and April lows (marked with arrows) are both around the $220 level. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) posted a significantly lower low in April compared to March. This suggests that, in early April, TSLA was outperforming the broader market. Why?
One possible explanation is that there has been — and perhaps still is — a strong accumulation interest in TSLA. Buyers may have been quietly scooping up available shares amid recession fears. When yesterday’s news suddenly shifted market sentiment, the “spring” uncoiled, catapulting TSLA’s share price upward.
However, the overall downtrend remains intact. If bullish momentum continues, the price may encounter resistance around the psychologically significant $300 level — which coincides with the upper boundary of the downward channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA movement 09-04-2025Teslas old support and resistances have flipped. To wait to see if either new trend line is broken and a new trend establishes is imperative. But with the market beeing so bearish the new support will probably be the one to break and a continuation of the bearish trend will most likely continue. however the lower the price moves the better the profit margins will be when trend eventually reverses.
NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA 4H Analysis: Technical Outlook1. Price Structure and Trend:
TSLA has been in a clear downtrend since January 2025, dropping from ~$475 to a key support at ~$258. The price is currently consolidating at this level, hinting at a potential pause or reversal.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
• Support: $258 (current level, with multiple bounces).
• Resistance: $300 (next significant zone, based on prior consolidation).
3. Volatility and Squeeze Indicators:
The "Volatility Squeeze" indicator (on the right) shows red and blue bars. Recent red bars signal a squeeze (low volatility), often preceding sharp moves. The shift to blue bars suggests volatility may be increasing.
4. Action Signals:
• "X" markers (blue and orange) highlight potential entry/exit points. Recent orange "X" marks at the $258 support could indicate a buying opportunity if the price confirms a bounce.
• If support breaks, the next level to watch is ~$225 (previous lows).
5. Conclusion:
TSLA is at a critical juncture. A bounce from $258 could target $300, but a breakdown might lead to $225. Keep an eye on volume and volatility for confirmation. What's your take?
Here is the link to the indicator
TESLA | Monthly Analysis After NASDAQ:TSLA hitting its ATH target, 87% - 90% retracement is next target
start of 2027 = will be a buying signal for tesla unless there's some issues involving with Elon Musk, then tesla could experience under performance
Long term investors - prepare for down side inside buying channel
Quantum's TSLA Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. EV and AI optimism persists, but tariff risks and high valuation concern traders. Chatter split—bulls eye robotaxi, bears see pullback.
Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $250, with $240 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $245-$250 buys to $260 if $245 holds. Bearish below $245 risks $240.
Influential News:
Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $TSLA.
Earnings: Q1 due late April; no update today.
Chatter: Debates tariff impact vs. AI/EV growth.
Mergers and Acquisitions: None; focus on internal projects.
Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:TSLA ; stock swung (April 3-9).
Indicators:
Weekly:
RSI: ~50 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~45 (neutral).
MFI: ~40 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness.
Daily:
RSI: ~48 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~50 (neutral).
MFI: ~45 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback.
Hourly:
RSI: ~45 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~55 (neutral).
MFI: ~50 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish).
Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing.
Price Context: $252.31, 1M: +1%, 1Y: +38%. Range $240-$270, testing $250 support.
Options Positioning (May 2025):
Volume:
Calls: $260 (15,000, 60% ask), $270 (12,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets.
Puts: $240 (10,000, 70% bid), $245 (8,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $245.
Open Interest:
Calls: $260 (40,000, +7,000), $270 (30,000, +5,000). Bullish interest.
Puts: $240 (25,000, flat), $245 (28,000, +4,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0.
IV Skew:
Calls: $260 (40%), $270 (42%, up 3%). $270 IV rise shows upside hope.
Puts: $240 (35%, down 2%), $245 (36%). Falling $240 IV supports floor.
Probability: 60% $240-$270, 20% <$240.
Karsan’s Interpretation:
Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $250.
Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $250.
GEX: +50,000. Stabilizes range.
DEX: +7M shares, neutral.
Karsan view: GEX holds $240-$270; tariff news key.
ICT/SMT Analysis:
Weekly: Neutral, $240 support, $270 resistance. No $TSLA/ NYSE:NIO divergence.
Daily: Bullish at $250 FVG, targets $260. Bearish < $245.
1-Hour: Bullish >$250, $260 target. MSS at $245.
10-Minute: OTE ($249-$251, $250) for buys, NY AM.
Trade Idea:
Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $245-$250 to $260. Options show $260 calls. Fed cuts aid.
Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $240-$270 range.
Bearish: 15%. Below $240 possible with tariffs. $240 put volume grows.
Why Support and Resistance are Made to Be Broken ?Hello fellow traders! Hope you're navigating the markets smoothly. As we go through the daily dance of price action, one thing becomes clear support and resistance are just moments, not walls. They're temporary. Momentum and trend strength? Now that’s where the real story lies.
This publication dives into how these so-called key levels break and more importantly, how to position yourself smartly when they do. Stay flexible, trade with confidence, and let the market lead. Let’s get into it.
Why Support and Resistance Levels Break
Support and resistance are some of the most talked-about tools in technical analysis. But here's the truth they’re not meant to last forever.
No matter how strong a level may appear on your chart, it eventually gets tested, challenged, and often broken. Why? Because the market is dynamic. The real edge for a trader lies not in hoping a level holds, but in reading when it’s about to fail and being ready for it.
No Resistance in a Bull, No Support in a Bear
Ever seen a strong bull market pause just because of a resistance line? It doesn’t. Price keeps pushing higher as buyers keep stepping in. Same goes for a strong bear market support levels collapse as fear takes over and selling snowballs.
Instead of clinging to lines on a chart, think bigger: Where is the momentum? What’s the trend saying? That’s where your trading decisions should come from.
Support and Resistance: Not Fixed, Always Shifting
Yes, these levels matter but only as zones, not exact prices. They’re areas where price has reacted in the past, where traders might expect something to happen again. But they’re not magic numbers.
When traders treat these levels as absolute, they fall into traps false confidence, poor entries, tighter than-needed stop losses. Always remember: market sentiment, liquidity, and institutional activity are constantly changing. So should your interpretation of the chart.
The Temporary Nature of These Levels
Markets move on supply and demand. A level that acted as resistance last week could easily become support next week. Or break completely.
Take the classic example support turning into resistance. When support breaks, former buyers might now be sellers, trying to get out on a bounce. That flip happens because behavior and sentiment have shifted. And as traders, that’s the real pattern we need to track not just price levels, but the psychology behind them.
“Strong” Support? It’s Mostly an Illusion
We all love the idea of a strong level something we can lean on. But large players? They don’t think like that.
Institutions don’t place massive orders at a single price point. They spread across a zone building positions slowly without moving the market too much. What looks like a strong level to us might just be an accumulation or distribution range for them. Always think beyond what’s visible on the surface.
How to Spot Breakouts Before They Hit
Here’s what separates seasoned traders from the rest the ability to spot potential breakouts before they explode.
🔹 Volume Confirmation: If a resistance level is tested repeatedly on rising volume, that’s a big clue buyers are serious.
🔹 Structure Shifts: Higher highs in an uptrend or lower lows in a downtrend signal that the old levels are being challenged.
🔹 Liquidity Traps: Watch out for fakeouts. These are designed to trap impatient traders just before the real move.
🔹 News & Events: Never ignore macro triggers. Earnings, economic data, or geopolitical surprises can fuel breakouts that crush technical levels.
🔹 Break & Retest: A solid strategy — wait for the level to break, then get in on the retest.
🔹 Momentum Tools: Indicators like RSI, MACD, or even EMAs can offer extra confidence that a move has legs.
3 Practical Trading Setups
1. Breakout Trading
Mark key levels on daily or weekly charts.
Watch for volume and momentum confirmation.
Enter after a clear breakout or retest.
Stop-loss: Just below resistance (for longs) or above support (for shorts).
2. Range Trading
If price is stuck between support and resistance, trade the range.
Look for price rejection (wicks, pin bars, etc.).
Use RSI or Stochastics to time entries.
3. Trend Following
Identify the dominant trend using moving averages or price structure.
Avoid going against the trend unless reversal signs are very clear.
Let profits run use trailing stops instead of fixed targets.
Mind Over Market: Psychology of S&R
One of the biggest traps in trading? Overtrusting support and resistance.
We get emotionally attached. We want the support to hold or the resistance to reject. And that bias clouds our judgment. How many times have you seen price break a level — and you freeze because it “wasn’t supposed to”?
To break free of that:
✅ Trade with a plan.
✅ Set your risk before the trade, not after.
✅ Don’t treat any level as sacred.
✅ Stay open to what the market is telling you not what you want it to say.
Final Thoughts
Support and resistance are great tools but they’re just one part of the puzzle. The real power lies in reading price action, watching volume, and understanding market sentiment. Don’t ask, “Will this level hold?” Ask instead, “What happens if it breaks?”
That shift in thinking? It can make all the difference.
Stay sharp, stay adaptive, and keep evolving with the market.
Wishing you green trades and growing accounts!
Best Regards- Amit Rajan.
$TSLA $160-180? I think..."Technical bounce on NASDAQ:TSLA at 160-180? – Possible long???"
📉 Nasty drop on TSLA, broke below the $250 level.
🎯 Potential short setup now, with a target around $160-180.
That’s where I’ll start buying—if we get a daily or weekly reversal candle, with a stop just below support.
👉 Follow me for more updates on stocks and futures.
HOLY MOLY! ARE WE IN A RECESSION? $TSLA $120 BEAR FLAG PATTERNA bear flag trading pattern is a technical analysis formation that features a downward-sloping flagpole, followed by a consolidation phase forming a parallel channel. This pattern suggests a potential sharp decline or continuation of the downward trend
I also notice a head and shoulders pattern, as well as an inverse cup and handle.
Everything points to $120.
Sell/Short NASDAQ:TSLA right now with fact check:
+brand reputation risk, high competition, loss of EV market leadership, cyber truck/ product recalls, declining sales with lower margin, stock volatility concern, insider selling, investors buy it based on expected future earnings rather than its current profitability.
+ potential stagflation, tariff war, slow economic growth, inflation, rising public debt, geopolitical tensions, ai bubble, and more
TESLA: A Good Trade for Bulls AND BearsTesla has an Elon problem aka a SENTIMENT problem
I am a 100% Technical Trader
I am an avid believer in Elliott Wave Theory and Socionomics
From those perspectives its clear to me that Tesla is in trouble...long term
Tesla went from essentially a meme like stock to a media and Institutional darling
The meteoric rise in the stock was largely because of belief in Elon..the person
Yes his companies have done some pretty amazing things..but if we are honest there are tons of failed promises in their past and now we are seeing competitors start to really make ground
This is showing up in vehicle pricing and units delivered..both trending down
The problem Tesla stock truly has though is that soooooo much of the company sentiment is tied into a belief in Elon- the person..versus the fundamentals of the company and their actual products (cmon we all know LIDAR is better smh)
As his popularity wains... so will Tesla
So with that said the charts are setup to provide opportunities for BOTH BULLS and BEARS over the next few years.
The chart show really clean places to take and hedge positions... but long term BULLS need to be keely aware of the "Trouble" line because if and when it breaks Tesla will be in serious trouble
Tesla Stock Drops 9%+ After Q1 Deliveries Drop to Three-Year LowTesla (Nasdaq: NASDAQ:TSLA ) is trading at $242.52 as of 1:04 PM EDT on April 4th, down 9.26%. The stock fell $24.76 after reporting weak Q1 2025 results. This came two days after Tesla closed its worst quarter since 2022, shedding 36% in market value. The company delivered 336,681 vehicles in Q1, missing analysts’ expectations of 360,000 to 377,590. This marked a 13% drop compared to Q1 2024, when it delivered 386,810 units. Production also fell to 362,615 vehicles from 433,371 in the prior year.
Tesla produced 345,454 units of its Model 3 and Model Y. Deliveries for those models stood at 323,800. Other models, including the Cybertruck, accounted for 12,881 deliveries. The quarter saw partial factory shutdowns to upgrade lines for a redesigned Model Y.
CEO Elon Musk said this model could again be the world’s best-selling car in 2025. But now the question is, will it?
Looking at it, Tesla faces several challenges, including increased EV competition and reputational damage tied to Musk’s political involvement. Of late, the CEO’s position in Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has drawn backlash.
Protests, boycotts and vandalism against Tesla facilities and vehicles spread across the U.S and Europe. In Germany, Tesla’s EV market share dropped from 16% to 4%. Across 15 European countries, market share fell to 9.3% from 17.9%.
China also posed challenges. Tesla sold 78,828 EVs in March, an 11.5% year-on-year decline as domestic competitors like BYD increased their market presence. In Canada, Tesla claimed 8,653 EV sales during a January weekend to qualify for subsidies. The transportation ministry froze the payments and launched a probe into the claim.
Technical Analysis: Price Approaches Key Support Zone
Tesla’s price has declined sharply since hitting an all-time high of $488 in late December 2024. Since January, the stock has been in a downtrend, respecting a descending trendline. In early February, it broke a key support level at $290 and retested the level in late March before continuing downward.
Currently, the stock is approaching support at $190, a critical level for short-term price action. If it holds, the stock could attempt to break the descending trendline and move toward the $290 resistance.
If Tesla's bearish bias persists and breaks below $190, the next support sits at $140. This aligns with the head of a previously completed head-and-shoulder pattern. Breaking this level could trigger further losses.
The next few weeks will determine if it rebounds or slides deeper, with earnings report expected on Apr 22nd, 2025.
Honestly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !!Tesla's price can drop below $200 and then have a good increase.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
TSLA in the coming monthsBased on my analysis using three-month candlestick charts, TSLA is not in a bear market yet. It may test the 202 level and possibly even dip to the 168 area. However, as long as it holds above that range, the outlook remains positive.
The market may be choppy in the coming months, which could present some solid trading opportunities.
Good luck to us all!
TSLA 45M chart - BULL flag Coiling for Breakout!www.tradingview.com
🚀 TSLA 45m – Bull Flag Coiling for Breakout
NASDAQ:TSLA TSLA ripped from $214 → $276 📈 and is now forming a bull flag just under resistance at $276.87.
🔹 Strong volume on the pole, cooling off during flag 🧊
🔹 RSI ~74 — strong, but not overheated 💪
🔹 MACD crossover 🔄 + momentum building 📊
🔹 Above all key EMAs (20/50/100/200) 🟢
🔹 OBV trending up — smart money is loading 💼📦
⚠️ Breakout above $277 = launch toward $293–$300, with extended target of $310–$330 if trend continues.
❌ Invalidation below $263.
📌 Watching for a breakout + retest entry 🔁
Let it cook. 🔥
TSLA Breakdown Looks Weak! Bearish Momentum Builds Under Key ZonTSLA just broke down from a key structure with rejection under $243 and failed to reclaim it. Price is now stuck in a bearish SMC range and sitting inside a demand zone that’s showing signs of weakening. Here’s how it’s setting up:
📉 Market Structure & SMC
Price is clearly trending inside a downward channel with consecutive break-of-structure (BOS) moves. The most recent bearish BOS confirms continuation, and there has been no clean change-of-character (CHoCH) to suggest bulls are regaining control. Supply remains untouched above $243, while price has now tested the $214–$221 zone multiple times.
📊 Indicators – MACD & Stoch RSI
MACD histogram is fading and showing no momentum crossover. Stochastic RSI is deeply oversold but not turning up yet — this could signal either a pause or a weak bounce before continuation down.
📉 TrendInfo Summary (1H)
The TrendInfo panel is heavily tilted bearish:
Momentum (MACD, RSI, DMI) is all red
Volume remains average but favoring red candles
Fear & Greed sentiment reads at Fear (-14.42)
Final recommendation: Sell (90%)
This confluence supports the bearish thesis unless bulls step in aggressively at $214.
🧠 Options GEX Insight
On the options side, we’re seeing a major wall of negative gamma around the $215–$220 zone — and the highest negative NETGEX / put support sits at $214.25, right where price is hovering.
If this level breaks, gamma flows could accelerate downside volatility toward $200–$210, with no real put wall protection below until $190.
On the flip side, the upside is heavily capped at $237.5 with HVL at that level. The nearest significant resistance lies at $260–$262, aligning with major call walls and the 62% GEX call resistance zone.
IVR is extremely elevated at 137.8, with IVx at 140.2, showing strong option demand and volatility pricing. However, most of the flow is put-heavy (1.6%), suggesting institutions are not betting on a recovery just yet.
🎯 Trade Thoughts & Scenarios
If price bounces here, we may see a short-term move to $230–$237.5 (gap fill or HVL reversion). However, unless TSLA reclaims $243, the broader structure remains bearish and rallies are likely to be sold.
If $214 breaks, that opens downside to $210 and even $200 fast — especially with this kind of GEX structure.
Swing traders can consider shorting failed bounces with tight risk above $230. Intraday scalpers can hunt rejections at $225–$230 zone.
Final Thoughts:
TrendInfo, order flow, and SMC structure are all leaning bearish. TSLA needs a strong shift in sentiment or macro support (like QQQ/SPY bottoming) to reverse this trend. Until then, bears are in control.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
TSLA Needs More Clear Signs for a Trend Shift
Tesla's price action in 2024 has shown signs of weakness, casting doubt on the strength of its long-term upward trend. After a sharp decline from its peak, the stock is now at a critical juncture where key levels and momentum are in play. Here’s an in-depth look:
Potential Bounce at Key Support: Tesla is currently heading toward the 180/140 support zone, which could act as a pivotal point for a potential rebound. If the stock manages to hold above these levels, it could set the stage for a recovery move toward the 300 resistance zone. The importance of this support level cannot be overstated, as a failure to hold could lead to further downside.
Weak Momentum: Despite attempts at upward movement, Tesla's long-term bullish trend has significantly weakened due to a lack of momentum in 2024. The stock is struggling to build on past gains, and this lack of follow-through is a warning sign for those expecting continued growth. Momentum is a critical factor in maintaining an uptrend, and without it, the path of least resistance may be down.
Breaking Below Key Levels: A significant development is the breakdown below the 300 level, a key psychological and technical level for Tesla. This breach signals a shift in market sentiment, and until the price can reclaim this level, the bearish pressure is likely to persist. Reversals from such levels often require strong confirmation, which has not yet materialized for Tesla.
Trading Below Moving Averages: Tesla is now trading below both its 200-day and 20-day moving averages, further confirming the weakness in the trend. These moving averages act as important indicators of market sentiment and trend direction. Being below these averages suggests that momentum is against the stock, and the risk of further declines remains high unless a significant reversal occurs.
50% Decline from Peak: Since reaching its peak at 488.54, Tesla has seen a 50% decline, and there are no clear signs of a reversal in the short term. This prolonged decline suggests that the bearish trend is still in control, and the stock must show stronger signs of recovery before a sustainable upward move can be expected.
Key Takeaway: Tesla’s current technical setup does not signal a clear shift to the upside. If the price continues to fall, the 180/140 support zone could become a crucial turning point for a potential trend reversal. However, the overall trend remains weak, and recent upward swings have lacked the strength needed to confirm a shift. In the short term, more evidence is needed before calling for a sustained move higher.
Tesla Taps the Golden Zone – Is the Launch Sequence Engaged?Tesla (TSLA) has shown textbook precision by respecting the golden zone after a significant sweep of previous highs. Rather than violating the last HTF low—which would’ve hinted at deeper downside—price instead retraced cleanly into the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) range and reacted with strong bullish intent.
This move indicates a healthy retracement rather than weakness, suggesting a continuation to the upside. Confirmation of this potential bullish leg would be a sustained close above the 272–300 level, which aligns with previous buyside liquidity zones and Fibonacci confluence.
Key Observations:
- Golden Zone respected: Price bounced cleanly between the 62–79% fib levels.
- HTF low protected: No violation of higher timeframe bullish structure.
- Volume spike supports the reversal move.
Targets:
- Short-term: 300.61
- Mid-term: 416.67
- Long-term swing: 861.17 (over 255% potential gain)
Conclusion:
Tesla looks set for lift-off 🚀. The reaction at the golden zone and the preservation of structure give high confluence for a potential explosive move higher. Wait for confirmation via price continuation and structure integrity.
As always — DYOR (Do Your Own Research).