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TSLAB trade ideas

TSLA trade of the weekThis idea is something new where I'm asking my HIGHLY EXPERIMENTAL dowsing work for a "best bang for your buck" trade at the beginning of the week. Last week was pretty good saying to short SPY on Wed., so I'm going to journal these and see if it can be consistent. If this aligns with YOUR work, great. The idea is TSLA has a spike up towards the upper gap around $326-28. My levels on TSLA often are overshot, but anyway. Then watch for it to head towards the lower gap in the $310-307 zone and possibly down to $302. My work is INCONSISTENT. There's more going into this than just looking at an indicator. This is energy, intention, intuition and God knows what else and it's more for myself than you. But, if you're interested, I'm happy to answer questions and share as I hope it inspires your own sense of what is possible beyond just the physical world.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by JenRz
2
TSLA Honey Ticking Bull Trap!TSLA has a beautiful big ars bear flag! While it should have broken down to trigger a short trade, it decided to Honey Tick people right into a Trap! It formed a perfect MEGAPHONE in wave 3 up that has now CRACKED! This is a much juicer short setup with the potential of collapsing from here and taking out the entire bear flag and MORE!! First, we need a lower low and then a lower high and off we GO BABY!!! Don't Get HONEY TICKED! As I always say, never EVER!! Invest in toxic people like Elona. They always blow themselves up in the end. It's in their nature! Click boost and follow, let's get to 5,000 followers. ;)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by RealMacro
62
$TSLA The Magnificent PennyWelcome to a comprehensive analysis of the little Penny Stock that could.. NASDAQ:TSLA is at it again, ripping shorts and trapping longs. Business as usual. NASDAQ:TSLA operates primarily from one chart being the Hourly. All signals giveth and all Signal taketh away from this chart. At present we are seeing a distinctive weakness creeping into the hourly chart which is presently in a distribution pattern making lower lows on it's consolidation. The trend is just starting to turn bearish and as you can see from our dynamic support and resistance levels, our first stop after already retesting resistance is a fill of the box at 316.14 Once this box is broken we can expect to fill the lower gap at 291.85 being a weekly support target. Finally if a run back to the 265.13 Monthly target would complete the Market Maker discount to grab stock and push it higher from here. All things being equal, NASDAQ:TSLA is a great short in the mid-term with both CCI and MA angle breaking to the downside.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Midgar-
2
A Bullish Long-Term Outlook Tesla continues to present a compelling case for long-term investors, underpinned by its innovation-led growth trajectory and emerging dominance in autonomous mobility. Technically, recent market structure reveals an imbalance within a quarterly bullish breaker, suggesting further price expansion. If macroeconomic conditions remain favorable, the next algorithmic target zones fall between $594 and $690, signaling potential upside. On the fundamental front, Tesla’s recent moves—particularly its rollout of the robotaxi network—have ignited fresh investor optimism. Analysts now estimate that autonomous driving could account for a substantial portion of Tesla’s future valuation, with some long-range forecasts placing the stock above $2,000 within the next several years. While short-term pressures such as softening EV demand and regulatory barriers persist, Tesla’s consistent execution on AI-driven mobility may unlock new valuation territory.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by PtSp86
TESLA LONG IDEAThe overall trend of TSLA is bullish. However, it has been retracing for a while. Currently, there's a confirmation showing that the stock is ready for a rally, targeting the previous high. Using Structural Range Concept (SRC), a subset of Smart Money Concept (SMC), price has shown an intention to resume bullish trend. There was a mitigation of a demand zone in the discount level which led to an internal bullish break of structure, confirming the intention to go up. A retracement into the demand zone is necessary to maximize return while minimizing risk. Entry is around $258.25 while the exit is around $210.72 and the final target is around $488.10. The risk reward ratio (RRR) is about 4.9 (that is, 4.9x of the risk). Confluences for the long idea: 1. The trend is bullish 2. Price is in discount level 3. Price has given internal break of structure with inducement after mitigating a valid demand zone. 4. Price is also respecting bullish trend line. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. Don't take the signal if you don't accept the risk. The outcome maybe different from the projection.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by KofTFx
Bullish Setup Suggests Rally Towards $350 Zone - T1 = $340.00 - T2 = $350.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $315.00 - S2 = $310.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla. **Key Insights:** Tesla continues to receive robust interest as macroeconomic conditions favor growth-oriented companies, particularly in the electric vehicle sector. The recent earnings showed signs of stabilization in gross margins, thanks to operational efficiency and cost reductions. Similarly, the company's megapack energy storage segment is gaining traction, which provides an ancillary growth avenue outside its core vehicle business. Technical indicators suggest strong momentum, with Tesla's Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching bullish levels while trading volume supports the ongoing price recovery. Furthermore, global EV adoption continues to rise, with increased government support for sustainable energy initiatives securing Tesla's place as a leading player. Supply chain constrictions, previously a concern, are relaxing, providing tailwinds for smoother production cycles. **Recent Performance:** Tesla's stock has gained over 8% in the past two weeks, recovering from its support levels around $305. The recent breakout above $320 signals renewed buying interest, accompanied by increased institutional participation. Short-term volatility has brought manageable dips, but overall momentum indicates bullish consolidation towards higher highs in its near-term trading range. **Expert Analysis:** Market strategists highlight Tesla’s ability to outperform its competitors due to vertical integration, advanced battery technologies, and scaling of operational efficiencies. Technical analysts note Tesla hovering near an ascending triangle formation with breakout potential above $330. Analysts also observe robust support around $310, which acts as a safety net for downside risks. Moving averages, especially the 50-day and 200-day lines, are converging as they indicate sustained bullish sentiment. **News Impact:** Recent news regarding expanded production facilities in Europe and positive developments in autonomous driving technology have fueled optimism among investors. Further bolstering sentiment is CEO Elon Musk’s strategic focus on prioritizing volumes over short-term profit metrics—a move widely seen as prudent given the current competitive landscape in EV markets. **Trading Recommendation:** Tesla is primed for upside momentum and presents an attractive long opportunity for traders targeting $340 and $350 next price zones. Its technical and fundamental outlook support the bullish case as macroeconomic tailwinds and company-specific factors align for higher valuations. Focus on maintaining risk discipline by exiting trades if stops at $315 or $310 are breached. For patient investors, Tesla is likely to remain a candidate for continued capital appreciation.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
$TSLA Long-Term View: From $2 to $300+—How Far Can Vision Go? 📈 13-Year Monthly Chart of NASDAQ:TSLA A $20,000 investment in Tesla back in 2012 wasn’t just a bet on a stock—it was a ticket to the future. By 2014, those gains could’ve paid for a Model S. By 2019, the same investment might’ve covered a Model Y and Model 3—one for you, one for your spouse. Now, with Tesla pushing the limits of AI and robotics, could that investment soon deliver a full FSD suite and even a pair of Optimus robots serving in your home? This chart tracks NASDAQ:TSLA ’s incredible rise—from just $2.19 in 2012 to $319.50 in June 2025. Sometimes, holding is innovation.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by YardCharts
What Is T-Distribution in Trading? What Is T-Distribution in Trading? In the financial markets, understanding T-distribution in probability is a valuable skill. This statistical concept, crucial for small sample sizes, offers insights into market trends and risks. By grasping T-distribution, traders gain a powerful tool for evaluating strategies, risks, and portfolios. Let's delve into what T-distribution is and how it's effectively used in the realm of trading. Understanding T-Distribution The T-distribution in probability distribution plays a crucial role in trading, especially in situations where sample sizes are small. William Sealy Gosset first introduced it under the pseudonym "Student". This distribution resembles the normal distribution with its bell-shaped curve but has thicker tails, meaning it predicts more outcomes in the extreme ends than a normal distribution would. A key element of T-distribution is the concept of 'degrees of freedom', which essentially refers to the number of values in a calculation that are free to vary. It's usually the sample size minus one. The degrees of freedom affect the shape of the T-distribution; with fewer degrees of freedom, the distribution has heavier tails. As the degrees of freedom increase, the distribution starts to resemble the normal distribution more closely. This is particularly significant in trading when dealing with small data sets, where the T-distribution provides a more accurate estimation of probability and risk than the normal distribution. T-Distribution vs Normal Distribution T-distribution and normal distribution are foundational in statistical analysis, yet they serve different purposes. While both exhibit a bell-shaped curve, the T-distribution has thicker tails, implying a higher probability of extreme values. This makes it more suitable for small sample sizes or when the standard deviation is unknown. In contrast, the normal distribution, with its thinner tails, is ideal for larger sample sets where the standard deviation is known. Traders often use T-distribution for more accurate analysis in small-scale or uncertain data scenarios, while normal distribution is preferred for larger, more stable datasets, where extreme outcomes are less likely. Application in Trading In trading, T-distribution is a valuable tool for analysing financial data. It is primarily used in constructing confidence intervals and conducting hypothesis testing, which are essential for making informed trading decisions. For instance, a trader might use T-distribution to test the effectiveness of a new trading strategy. Suppose a trader has developed a strategy using the technical analysis tools and wants to understand its potential effectiveness compared to the general market performance. They would collect a sample of returns from this strategy over a period, say, 30 days. Given the small sample size, using T-distribution is appropriate here. The trader would then calculate the mean return of this sample and use T-distribution to create a confidence interval. This interval would provide a range within which the true mean return of the strategy is likely to lie, with a certain level of confidence. If this confidence interval shows a higher mean return than the market average, the trader might conclude that the strategy is potentially effective. However, it's important to note that this is an estimation and not a guarantee of future performance. How to Plug Probability and Normal Distribution in Your T-Calculation To use a T-calculator for integrating probability and normal distribution, follow these steps: - Input Degrees of Freedom: For T-distribution, calculate the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one). - Convert Z-Score to T-Value: If using normal distribution data, convert the Z-score (standard deviation units from the mean in a normal distribution) to a T-value using the formula: T = Z * (sqrt(n)), where 'n' is the sample size. - Enter T-Value: Input this T-value into the calculator. - Calculate Probability: The calculator will then output the probability, providing a statistical basis for trading decisions based on the T-distribution. Limitations and Considerations of T-Distribution While T-distribution is a powerful tool in trading analysis, it's important to recognise its limitations and considerations: - Sample Size Sensitivity: T-distribution is most effective with small sample sizes. As the sample size increases, it converges to a normal distribution, reducing its distinct utility. - Assumption of Normality: T-distribution assumes that the underlying data is approximately normally distributed. This may not hold true for all financial data sets, especially those with significant skewness or kurtosis. - Degrees of Freedom Complications: Misestimating degrees of freedom can lead to inaccurate results. It's crucial to calculate this correctly based on the sample data. - Outlier Sensitivity: T-distribution can be overly sensitive to outliers in the data, which can skew results. Advanced Applications of T-Distribution in Trading T-distribution extends beyond basic trading applications, playing a role in advanced financial analyses: - Risk Modelling: Utilised in constructing sophisticated risk models, helping traders assess the probability of extreme losses. - Algorithmic Trading: Integral in developing complex algorithms. - Portfolio Optimisation: Assists in optimising portfolios by estimating returns and risks of various assets. - Market Research: Used in advanced market research methodologies to analyse small sample behavioural studies. The Bottom Line The T-distribution is a powerful tool, offering nuanced insights in scenarios involving small sample sizes or uncertain standard deviations. Its ability to accommodate real-world data's quirks makes it invaluable for various trading applications, from strategy testing to risk assessment. However, understanding its limitations and proper application is crucial for accurate analysis. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by FXOpen
1
TSLA Failing at Gamma Wall! Will $322 Hold or Collapse Into $315🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown: * Gamma Exposure Zones: * Major Resistance (Gamma Wall): $327.50 → current rejection zone * Second CALL Wall: $340 → unlikely unless gamma squeeze kicks in * Strongest CALL Zone: $350 (very unlikely without broader tech rally) * PUT Support Zones: * $322.50 → HVL + initial gamma flip * $315 = highest negative GEX / heavy PUT support * $310 = 3rd PUT wall — deep flush risk * Options Metrics: * IVR: 25.2 (moderate) * IVx avg: 70.5 * Calls Flow: 71.5% → bullish interest still high * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (tilted bullish but with risk below $322.50) * Interpretation: * TSLA is trading below the Gamma Wall at $327.5 and just cracked the HVL zone at $322.5 — this is a bearish transition point. * GEX model shows put acceleration below $322. If bulls don’t step in quickly, it could slide fast to $315 or even $310. 🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown: * Current Price: $325.00 * Structure: * Multiple CHoCHs and BOS levels near $330–$327 * Bearish wedge breakdown from consolidation just occurred * Breakdown candle volume surging = institutional selling confirmed * Entering demand zone (green box) near $324 → temporary bounce possible * Trendlines: * Broken wedge & horizontal support = confirms downside pressure * If $322.50 fails, next liquidity is $315 (GEX + prior BOS zone) ⚔️ Trade Setups: 🟥 Bearish Setup (High Probability): * Trigger: Continuation below $322.50 * Target 1: $315 (PUT support) * Target 2: $310 * Stop-loss: Above $327.50 (Gamma Wall) Price is transitioning below gamma support and into negative delta zone — watch for acceleration if $322.50 loses volume bid. 🟩 Bullish Scenario (Needs Reclaim): * Trigger: Reclaim of $328 * Target 1: $331.20 (minor resistance) * Target 2: $336–$340 (CALL wall / next GEX magnet) * Stop-loss: Below $324.50 Would need strong market reversal and SPY/QQQ support for this to play out. 💭 My Thoughts: * TSLA is transitioning into a bearish zone, especially with this CHoCH + GEX rejection from $327.5. * Volume spike shows sellers are stepping in — bounces are sell opportunities unless reclaimed fast. * Call buyers are still heavy (71.5%) — if this unwinds, downside could be even faster. * Great setup for PUT spread or directional PUTs on breakdown. 🔚 Conclusion: TSLA has rejected from the $327.5 Gamma Wall and now cracked a key support. With structure and options data aligned, a flush to $315 is on watch if $322.5 breaks cleanly. Bullish only above $328 with strength. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and execute trades based on your own strategy.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
1
SPY & MegaCap strengthSPY saw a very strong gap up, negating most of the selling from last week. despite rising tensions in the middle east - investors have shrugged off volatility and bought the initial dip. This may be proving that "war" is good for stocks. we observed a very close correlation between the indices and oil today. As oil reversed higher - markets saw a bit of weakness. As oil fell markets rallied. TSLA trying to break a 4 hour bullish pattern META new Smart Glasses release causing a surge. MSFT new all time high tap NVDA firm with ripping semiconductors GOOGL looking strong for continuation AMZN moving nicely off support AAPL lagging the mega's but positive
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Trading-Capital
$TSLA | Robotaxi Launch Incoming? - Plan Rock Solid w/ 3 TradesNASDAQ:TSLA Launch could be as soon as Sunday, June 22. However, Musk has emphasized safety as priority. There is the potential to undercut traditional taxi services at less than $0.20 per mile. Tesla’s government and military contracts are key growth drivers but further clash between Musk and President Trump could cause further volatility in price action. Long-term $271 is a critical price point. There are several ways to play Tesla: * Range between $270 and $350 * $330 to $400 into price discovery * Breakdown under $270 targeting $212 and $204
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PennyBois
Tesla🚗 Tesla (TSLA) – Long-Term Bullish Outlook 📈 Tesla is showing extreme bullish strength across higher timeframes, supported by strong fundamentals, innovation momentum, and institutional interest. The current price action suggests a solid long-term buying opportunity for patient investors and swing traders alike. 🔍 Technical Outlook: The stock has broken key resistance levels and is maintaining higher lows. Momentum indicators support continuation of the uptrend. Volume and sentiment remain favorable. 📅 Investment Horizon: Mid to Long Term (Up to 2 Years) 🎯 Target Levels: ➡️ 500 – First major resistance ➡️ 700 – Medium-term breakout target ➡️ 900 – Long-term bullish target based on macro and chart structure 📌 Strategy: Buy on dips or sustained breakouts. Suitable for long-term portfolios with a 1–2 year holding perspective. Risk management and scaling in recommended. 💬 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately. #TSLA #Tesla #Stocks #TradingView #Investing #Bullish #LongTerm #SwingTrade #GrowthStocks
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Al-Reshad
TSLA – Short Trade Setup!📉 🔍 Pattern: Rising wedge breakdown 📍 Entry: ~$329.09 (breakdown candle near resistance) 🎯 Target: $319.37 (first support), $314.54 (major support) 🛑 Stop-loss: $331.74 (above wedge and resistance zone) ✅ Why this setup? Price is rejecting from wedge top + supply zone Bearish structure with lower highs forming Clear breakdown below ascending trendline Good risk-reward targeting previous demand zones 🕒 Timeframe: 30-minute 📈 Bias: Short / Reversal from resistance
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ProfittoPath
TSLA : Technical Analysis Report - 30 June 2025Trend: The primary trend (big picture) is upward. Bullish momentum is weak. Short Term Trend : sideways / consolidation. Regardless of the larger trend, momentum within a sideways range is typically neutral or flat, reflecting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Pattern : Symmetrical Triangle Patte rn A symmetrical triangle is like a market catching its breath. It's a temporary pause in a trend. Once the price breaks out of the triangle, it usually continues in the same direction it was going before. Until that breakout, it's a neutral pattern. Key levels : R2 - 366 R1 - 356 S1 - 315 -The price is facing the support 215. S2 - 275 Tips for Trading Wait for a confirmed breakout (e.g., a daily candlestick close above/below the trendline) to avoid false signals ----------------------- Note : If you’re interested in receiving detailed technical analysis reports on your selected stocks, feel free to reach out to me. I can provide you with customized reports covering trends, key levels, momentum, patterns, and price projections to support your investment decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Abirstock
Long-Term Growth Potential in the Face of Short-Term ChallengesCurrent Price: $323.63 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $331.50 - T2 = $345.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $319.50 - S2 = $310.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to pinpoint high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated perspectives from experienced professionals build a more balanced outlook on Tesla, reducing emotional biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in the market. **Key Insights:** Tesla is currently navigating through a challenging phase characterized by competitive pressures in both China and Europe. Recent macroeconomic headwinds, including rising interest rates and shrinking global spending on electric vehicles, have fueled concerns about short-term sales performance. However, analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's innovation leadership, particularly in AI-driven robotics, battery technology, and autonomous mobility development. The recent technical charts reflect a narrowing wedge formation, and a breakout above $354.78 could confirm renewed bullish momentum, offering significant upside potential. **Recent Performance:** Over the past few weeks, Tesla has experienced tight price consolidation, underlying near-term indecision among market participants. While its stock price remains below short-term moving averages, signaling bearish pressure, longer-term sentiment is bolstered by overall optimism in the technology sector. Additionally, fluctuations in deliveries and revenue from various regions continue to impact day-to-day trading sentiment, with the stock showcasing higher volatility during earnings updates. **Expert Analysis:** Market analysts exhibit cautious optimism surrounding Tesla. Short-term concerns linger about declining sales growth in legacy markets such as Europe and the loss of its dominant position in China due to rising competition from local manufacturers like BYD. However, whether Tesla can monetize its cutting-edge developments in AI, robotics, and autonomous driving remains a focal point of its long-term strategy. Analysts agree that while these initiatives may redefine the EV market over the next 5-10 years, revenue realization is expected to be slow and could dampen speculative enthusiasm in the immediate term. **News Impact:** Tesla recently announced the launch of its robo-taxi initiative, beginning trials in Austin, Texas, a move that challenges traditional mobility norms. While this innovation enhances Tesla's narrative as a disruptor in the industry, regulatory obstacles and scalability issues pose immediate hurdles that could delay market adoption. On the downside, Tesla saw declining deliveries in Europe and China, casting shadows over its near-term growth prospects in these critical regions. Investors should keep a close eye on upcoming earnings reports for clearer guidance on production schedules and delivery forecasts. **Trading Recommendation:** Based on recent technical consolidation and consensus expert views, traders are recommended to take a long position on Tesla with price targets of $331.50 and $345.00. The stock exhibits signs of medium-term upside potential if momentum aligns with broader bullish trends in the S&P 500 and technology sectors. Implement disciplined risk management with stop levels set at $319.50 and $310.00 to protect against unfavorable moves. Investing in Tesla provides exposure to a high-risk innovation-driven narrative; traders should evaluate their appetite for risk carefully before entering this position.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
The Importance of Price HistoryAs you can see, even the first year of a stocks price history can influence trends forever TSLA is now at a key level on a historical trend, riding a longtime trendline while being sandwiched in a strong support/resistance area since 2021. Watching for big moves that signal the S & P 500's direction in the coming month, the next price move will be volatile If TSLA falls below $100 it's in big danger of falling down that grey imbalance zone on the monthly. The volatility of this stock is it's greatest asset and weakness. Personally, I wouldn't want to be trading this stock without a tight stop loss
NASDAQ:TSLA
by PoorMemory
1