Tsla (TSLA) Stock Forcast Implementing Elliot Wave & Gann
Elliott Wave Analysis
The long-term price action of Tesla (TSLA) aligns with a classic five-wave Elliott Wave structure:
1. Wave (1):
The initial bullish wave demonstrated significant market enthusiasm, marking the start of the long-term uptrend. This wave set the foundation for the subsequent wave formations.
2. Wave (2):
A corrective phase that followed the initial impulse, retracing within the expected Fibonacci levels. The correction was sharp and completed within a reasonable time, preparing the groundwork for Wave (3).
3. Wave (3):
This wave is the strongest and longest in this Elliott Wave count, reflecting high investor confidence and robust market participation. The wave extended significantly, making it the defining feature of the long-term trend.
4. Wave (4):
The ongoing corrective wave shows signs of forming a complex correction, consolidating gains from Wave (3). The support levels at $488.94 and $345.42 are critical for defining the end of Wave (4). This correction is expected to last until Q3/Q4 2025.
5. Wave (5):
The final impulsive wave is projected to target $1,060, driven by renewed bullish momentum. This wave aligns with Fibonacci extensions and previous wave structures, indicating a potential peak in late 2027 to early 2028.
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**Gann Square and Cycle Analysis**
To validate the Elliott Wave predictions, Gann Square of 9 and Gann cycles were used:
1. Wave 4 Completion Timing:
According to Gann's 90-day correction cycle, Wave 4 is expected to take approximately 180-270 days from its initiation. This aligns with a completion timeframe of September-November 2025, confirming the Elliott Wave projection.
2. Wave 5 Timing and Price Target:
The 360-degree price cycle from the pivot low of Wave 2 indicates that $1,060 is a strong resistance level and a potential final peak for Wave 5. Using Gann's 1-year cycle of growth, Wave 5 is expected to last 1.5 to 2 years, leading to a target date between Q3 2027 and Q1 2028.
3. Gann Angle Validation:
The 2x1 Gann angle intersects with the projected Wave 4 support levels at $488.94, reinforcing this as a key correction zone. The 1x1 Gann angle confirms $1,060 as a likely peak for Wave 5, aligning perfectly with the Elliott Wave target.
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**Key Predictions and Timeline**
1. Wave 4 Completion: Q3/Q4 2025, near the support zone of **$488.94** or $345.42.
2. Wave 5 Target ($1,060): Late 2027 to early 2028, driven by renewed market enthusiasm and a full cycle completion.
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Conclusion
The combination of Elliott Wave Theory and Gann Analysis provides a strong, validated framework for Tesla's long-term price projection. The confluence of these methods suggests a clear corrective phase in the near term, followed by a significant bullish rally to a new all-time high of $1,060. This analysis highlights the importance of aligning technical tools for accurate forecasting and offers a roadmap for traders and investors to anticipate Tesla's price movement over the next few years.
Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal opinions and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
