wfc-weekly 26 ema pointing upwards. long trades recommended.
-long 15 consolidation zone with a breakout.
Entry given by a confirmative pullback into the zone with a strong bull candle or a bullish pattern formation.
0.63 spread on my provider.
Stop below the pullback low.
Profit Targets on following reference points.
The position here is indicative.
WFC.B trade ideas
Wells Fargo Faces Profit Dip Amid Net Interest Income DeclineWells Fargo ( NYSE:WFC ), a key player in the banking sector, recently reported a slight dip in first-quarter profit, raising concerns about the bank's performance and its strategies moving forward.
Despite a slight increase in revenue compared to the previous year, the bank witnessed a 7% decline in first-quarter profit. This decline was primarily attributed to a notable 8% drop in net interest income, a critical metric for assessing lending profitability.
Chief Executive Officer Charlie Scharf highlighted the bank's ongoing investments across various business segments, which contributed to higher revenue. However, these gains were overshadowed by the impact of high-interest rates on funding costs and a shift in customer preferences towards higher-yielding products. Additionally, lower loan balances further exacerbated the decline in net interest income.
Non-interest income, on the other hand, saw a promising 17% rise in the first quarter, driven by factors such as higher investment banking fees and increased trading revenue. This surge in non-interest income partially offset the decline in net interest income, showcasing the bank's diversified revenue streams.
Wells Fargo's ( NYSE:WFC ) adherence to its projection of a 7%-9% decline in net interest income for the year reflects a cautious outlook amidst evolving market dynamics. Regulatory developments, including the recent closure of a 2016 consent order, underscore the bank's commitment to enhancing its risk management practices and rebuilding customer trust.
Despite these challenges, Wells Fargo's ( NYSE:WFC ) shares have demonstrated resilience, gaining over 40% in the past 12 months. However, the bank remains vigilant in addressing ongoing risks and challenges while capitalizing on emerging opportunities in the banking landscape.
As Wells Fargo ( NYSE:WFC ) navigates through a dynamic financial landscape, investors and stakeholders closely monitor its strategic initiatives and performance metrics, anticipating the bank's ability to adapt and thrive in an evolving market environment.
Technical Outlook
Wells Fargo ( NYSE:WFC ) stock is trading slightly above the 200-day Moving Average (MA) with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 50.56 indicating equilibrium between buyers and sellers. The 4-month price chart indicates a "Doji" candle stick pattern meaning no clear cut as to where the stock is heading too.
day trade wfc looking at a down move for wfc as it brakes key support and testing key trendline earnings report today
SHOR WELLS FARGO IDEA BACK TO 48 TP KEY FACTORSThe stock price of Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) can be influenced by several key factors:
Interest Rates: Wells Fargo is a big beneficiary of rising interest rates. When the Federal Reserve raises its benchmark overnight lending rate, it positively impacts banks. Wells Fargo’s margins widen as yields on interest-earning assets (such as loans) reprice higher with the federal funds rate, while the yields on interest-bearing liabilities (like deposits) remain relatively stable. The recent hawkish stance by the Fed, with expectations of multiple rate hikes, further supports Wells Fargo’s profitability.
Earnings Estimates: Analysts’ revisions to earnings estimates play a crucial role. When earnings estimates for a company go up, its stock’s fair value tends to increase as well. Wells Fargo’s expected earnings per share for the current quarter and fiscal year are important indicators. Although the consensus estimates have changed slightly, they still impact investor sentiment.
Efficiency Initiatives: Wells Fargo is conducting a multi-year efficiency initiative to cut annual expenses and streamline operations. If successful, this could positively affect the bank’s profitability and stock price.
Asset Cap Removal: The asset cap imposed on Wells Fargo since 2018 (due to the phony-accounts scandal) restricts the bank from growing its balance sheet. Investors hope that the removal of this cap will enhance the stock’s valuation and overall performance.
Wells Fargo & Company, dailyWells Fargo & Company (symbol ‘WFC’) share price rose by around 16% in the first quarter of the year. The company is expected to report its earnings for the fiscal quarter ending March 2024 on Friday 12th of April before the market opens. The consensus EPS for the quarter is $1.09 compared to the result for the same quarter last year of $1.23.
The bank had an impressive year in terms of net income with the latest data as of 31/12/2023 showing a 9.84% increase year over year. On the other hand, the current ratio of the company stands at just shy of 90% indicating that there is no ability of short-term liabilities repayment with the current assets at hand. On a positive note the dividend yield is at 2.33% which is within the range of average yields of major banks in the USA.
From the technical analysis perspective, the price lost some steam in recent sessions and entered a trading range between $56 -$58 area which is still valid to the day of this report being written. The Bollinger bands have contracted validating the lower volatility in the market while the Stochastic oscillator is not recording any overbought or oversold levels hinting that the price can move in either direction in the near short term. The faster moving averages are trading above the slower 100-day moving average further validating the overall bullish momentum.
WFC Bearish Expanding TriangleDaily chart is forming an expanding triangle, i consider it bearish as it broke 5-12 EMA clouds on daily.
Putting Fib to the chart high from previous support to see levels. We can soon test the EMA 50 level at 54.20 and 38.2% levels at 54$
wfc short. I dont think this is gonna end well.it looks like this is over extended. we might see a big drop
WELLS FARGO - LIKE really, how far can this stock go?Personally, I think a lot of banks are going to get hit really hard.
WFC is on an edge and it doesn't look good.
Here's the chart
price targets and trends are marked.
If this thing pumps to some of these rejection zones, I'd look to enter short.
Who knows, we might already have hit top.
The drop from current price to the targets low is around 40% and 60% or so from the high.
WFC - Short IdeaHopping on WFC short to 45 area target zone. In my analysis I see the probabilities of some bank stocks taking a dip to find support in lower areas. WFC is one of them.
Best of luck
Wells Fargo Has Pulled BackFinancials like Wells Fargo outperformed in late 2023 as bond yields fell. Now, after a pullback, some dip buyers may see a potential opportunity.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the rally after inflation was lower than expected on November 14. WFC broke short-term resistance at $42.37 (its mid-October peak) and extended up to $50.77. It’s now retraced half that move.
Second, the current lows are near the peaks from mid-July. Can old resistance become new support?
Third, stochastics are nearing an oversold condition.
Finally, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in mid-December. That may suggest the bank’s long-term trend is getting more bullish.
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Wells Fargo's 2023 Triumphs and the 2024 Cautionary Tale
Wells Fargo ( NYSE:WFC ), a stalwart in the American financial landscape, recently reported a robust performance in the fourth quarter of 2023. Despite facing challenges, the bank demonstrated resilience, with a 9% year-over-year increase in net income, reaching $3.45 billion, and an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.86, surpassing analysts' expectations. However, caution looms on the horizon as Wells Fargo projects a potential 7% to 9% decline in net interest income for 2024, sparking conversations about the bank's strategic outlook.
Fourth Quarter Triumphs:
Wells Fargo's fourth-quarter achievements were notable, with a 2% rise in revenue to $20.48 billion, slightly exceeding analyst predictions. The bank managed a 5% drop in net interest income, aligning with their guidance, attributed to reduced deposit and loan balances, partially offset by higher interest rates. Notably, noninterest income saw a remarkable 17% increase, showcasing the diversification of revenue streams. Meanwhile, noninterest expenses decreased by 2%, demonstrating the bank's commitment to operational efficiency.
Fiscal Year 2023 Performance:
The fiscal year 2023 proved to be a banner year for Wells Fargo, with a 16.5% year-over-year growth in net interest income, surpassing their guidance of 16% higher than the previous year. The net interest income for 2023 totaled $52.4 billion, outperforming the prior year's $45.0 billion. Looking ahead, Wells Fargo anticipates a slight decline in average loans, coupled with modest growth in commercial and credit card loans for the upcoming year, suggesting a carefully calibrated approach to balance risk and reward.
Stock Performance Analysis:
NYSE:WFC 's stock performance reflects the intricate dance between triumphs and challenges. Total revenue for the past year stood at $77.83 billion, reflecting an 8.89% decrease compared to the previous year. The third quarter witnessed a decline of 11.21% in total revenue since the previous quarter, highlighting a dynamic market landscape. Net income for the past year declined by 38.82%, signaling hurdles faced by the bank, but a 16.79% increase in the third quarter to $5.77 billion suggests signs of recovery. The EPS for the past year decreased by 36.4%, yet the third quarter saw an 18.38% increase to $1.48.
Strategic Caution for 2024:
The cautionary outlook for 2024 stems from Wells Fargo's projected 7% to 9% decline in net interest income. This projection raises questions about the bank's response to evolving market conditions, potential shifts in interest rates, and their strategy to navigate the challenges. Investors and analysts will keenly observe Wells Fargo's strategic decisions in the coming year, assessing their ability to adapt to market dynamics while sustaining growth.
Conclusion:
Wells Fargo's ( NYSE:WFC ) journey through the highs and lows of 2023 paints a nuanced picture of a financial giant navigating turbulent waters. The fourth quarter triumphs showcase the bank's resilience and adaptability, while the cautionary outlook for 2024 underscores the challenges ahead. As the bank steers through 2024, the eyes of the financial world remain firmly fixed on Wells Fargo ( NYSE:WFC ), a symbol of endurance and strategic acumen.
$WFC support and resistanceKISS here with resistance being breached for a fbo return. Expecting move down to $41 area. Stop above last swing high.
Wells Fargo's Earnings Report and the Path Forward
Wells Fargo, one of the largest banks in the United States, recently faced a dip in its stock prices following the release of its fourth-quarter earnings report. Investors were particularly concerned about the higher provision for credit losses, which stood at $1.28 billion, up from $957 million in the same period last year. We will delve into the key factors that influenced Wells Fargo's performance, analyze its financial metrics, and explore the strategic moves the bank is making to steer through the challenging waters.
1. Provision for Credit Losses: A Closer Look
The noticeable increase in Wells Fargo's provision for credit losses has undoubtedly raised eyebrows among investors. What led to this surge? The report points to higher allowances for credit losses on credit cards and commercial real estate loans. Unpacking these specific areas could provide valuable insights into the bank's risk management practices and exposure in these markets.
2. Earnings in Line, Revenue Beats Expectations
Despite the concern over credit losses, Wells Fargo managed to post earnings of 86 cents per share, aligning with Wall Street estimates. The revenue figure of $20.49 billion surpassed expectations, showing the bank's ability to generate income amid challenging conditions. Examining the diverse revenue streams contributing to this success will help investors understand the resilience of Wells Fargo's business model.
3. Net Interest Income and the Rate Hike Impact
The net interest income of $12.77 billion narrowly edged past Wall Street predictions. This achievement can be attributed to the Federal Reserve's series of interest rate hikes since 2022. A deeper exploration of how Wells Fargo strategically positioned itself to capitalize on these rate hikes and the impact on its interest-earning assets, such as loans and mortgages, will shed light on the bank's financial acumen.
4. CEO's Confidence and Forward-Looking Statements
Wells Fargo's Chief Executive, Charlie Scharf, expressed confidence in the bank's performance moving forward. Analyzing Scharf's statements and the actions outlined in response to the current challenges will provide investors with a clearer understanding of the bank's strategic initiatives. How does Wells Fargo plan to mitigate risks, enhance returns, and navigate the intricacies of an evolving economic landscape?
5. Market Reaction and Future Outlook
The 1.7% drop in Wells Fargo's stock in premarket trading suggests a cautious market sentiment. As we assess the broader market dynamics, including macroeconomic trends and industry-specific factors, we can better gauge the potential impact on Wells Fargo's future performance. Are there external factors contributing to the market's response, and how might they shape the bank's trajectory in the coming months?
Conclusion:
Wells Fargo's recent earnings report reflects a complex interplay of factors influencing the banking giant's performance. While challenges, particularly in credit losses, have caught the attention of investors, the bank's ability to meet earnings expectations and exceed revenue forecasts demonstrates resilience. As Wells Fargo navigates through uncertain economic waters, the strategic decisions made by its leadership will be crucial in determining its future trajectory.
WFC - Basic Technical AnalysisOn the monthly chart for WFC, the upper trend line has been respected multiple times(including Jan and Feb 2022) so far. Look at the red trendline(Marked 12/18/2023 Monthly Trendline) and the Fib 61.8 rejection(perfect to the cent) in December 2023. Look at the orange colored trendline(12/18/2023 Monthly Trendline) that has been respected since Dec 2020.
On a weekly basis, rejected the Marked 12/18/2023 Monthly Trendline, Fib 61.8 rejection, upper Bollinger band, strong support at 47.04, double top. However, there is divergence between RSI and price action, where, RSI is going up, while price is heading down. VIX is also very low. Dollar down.
Earnings on 1/12/2024.
WFC Week of Jan 8Another request.
This one looks pretty bullish, HA candles and setup signal a continuation to the upside.
Look for a hold of the bullish condition and a move to the high targets on this one here.
Banking sector is pretty strong right now.
Be weary though, if next week turns out to be bearish in the banking area, we have a confirmed bearish reversal / top on HA:
We have formulated the ascending wicks. Next week, closing below the ascending wicks will signal a confirmed top (well as confirmed as Technical analysis can be haha). It will need to push a bit higher than these wicks to invalidate the topping setup.
But in terms of short term patterns, there should be some, at least short term, continuation to the upside.
WFC : Booked a profit of 11.26% on the invested capitalTechnically the price is in a range which may act as an inflection point where the sellers may come in. So decided to book profit and take some chips off the table. Will look for a re-entry opportunity, if price falls back to the low of the channel line.
$WFC going north?It has been consolidating between 40 and 48 for many months now. This weekly chart has it coming up again on its 48 price point and if it can bypass it then it will go much higher.
WFC 1hr support trends with 50SMAWFC
1hr support trendlines with 50SMA
Uptrend confirmed by latest trendline support
WFC Wells Fargo & Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on WFC:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WFC Wells Fargo & Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 42.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-3-15,
for a premium of approximately $1.87.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Earnings Journal█ SIMPLISTIC ANALYSIS </
Current Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Wave: buy wave to the mean.
Next Swing: negative swing to support.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
█ EARNINGS AT A GLANCE </
Release Date: 10/13 BMO
Earnings Anticipations: positive surprise for EPS & Revenues.
Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-5, #3
EPS & Revenue 2-Year Trend: the trend in EPS is neutral, the trend in Revenues is neutral.
█ SYNOPSIS </
"I expect the market will buy the surprise if the earnings report hits the Wall Street consensus, or sell the surprise if the earnings report misses the Wall Street consensus."
█ RESEARCH DEPTH: </
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
WFC - SHORT TERM DECLINEWells Fargo is planning to lay off over 500 employees in Richland County, South Carolina, by June 30, 2024. The layoffs have already started, with the highest number of job cuts in the state listed at their location on 101 Greystone Blvd. These layoffs are part of a consolidation process affecting behind-the-scenes employees, with bank tellers and customer service representatives unaffected. This move reflects a broader trend in the banking industry, where institutions are downsizing to adapt to changing market dynamics and technology advancements.
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WFC LongI am long to Wells Fargo there is huge potential that this stock will bounce up in my opinion
