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Brent Retreats Below 200MA Ahead of Key ReportsWith OPEC's Oil Market Report set for release on Tuesday and the International Energy Agency's Oil Market Report on Wednesday, volatility looms over crude prices this week. Let's delve into the technical landscape of Brent Crude, the international oil benchmark, as we approach these pivotal reports. Brent Technical Outlook: Retracement Channel in Focus After reaching six-month highs in early April, Brent crude has eased off in recent weeks. Driving factors behind this pullback include the increasing likelihood of higher-for-longer US interest rates, and a subtle easing of tensions in the Middle East The price action during this retreat has formed an orderly retracement channel for Brent crude, marked by a sequence of lower swing highs and lower swing lows on the daily candle chart. This retracement has pushed prices below the 200-day simple moving average, which has maintained a sideways trajectory since September 2023, coinciding with the formation of a long-term wedge pattern in the market. Brent bears are now eyeing a potential retest of the wedge pattern's lower boundary. However, Brent crude currently finds support at two levels - the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the December-April rally and the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the December lows. Brent bulls are hopeful that these combined support levels might serve as a foundation for a price recovery. Brent Crude Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Pre-Event Trade Plan The impending oil market reports could trigger significant trade opportunities. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the descending retracement channel, followed by a close above, could pave the way for a retest of April's highs. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the anchored VWAP might increase the likelihood of revisiting the lower boundary of the long-term wedge pattern. Risk Management: Traders can utilise Brent Crude's Average True Range (ATR), currently standing at $1.63, to gauge daily price volatility. This information should guide decisions regarding stop placement and price targets. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 80.84% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENT
by Capitalcom
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 10.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP. Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) --------------------------------------- Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1. Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
TVC:UKOIL
by Forex_Hoby
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 9.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP. Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) --------------------------------------- Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1. Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
TVC:UKOIL
by Forex_Hoby
Zigzag pattern bullish scenarioEsteemed analysts and traders, I hope this correspondence finds you in good health and high spirits, prepared to tackle the upcoming week with renewed energy. I extend my best wishes for your continued success in all your business endeavors. It is worth noting that success in trading is largely dependent on the consistent definition and adherence to one's own rules. As a supporter of the Elliott Wave Principle, I consider this methodology an invaluable tool for market analysis. After three years of personal experience, I have developed my approach by combining this principle with meticulous consideration of different market scenarios. I strive to avoid market surprises by maintaining a range of market prospects, which enables me to recognize the market structure forming with 100% accuracy. I am pleased to share my analysis with you, with the caveat that I do not provide buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is entirely impartial, and if my analysis meets your standards, it may serve as a guide to making an informed decision. For your reference and comparison, I have attached my previous analysis of the same market. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled for ease of comprehension. Nonetheless, familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory would facilitate an understanding of the analytical idea. My study of the Elliott Wave Principle took nearly three years, during which my understanding and experience with this invaluable tool have grown. My progress thus far is a testament to the legacy of Ralph Nelson Eliot, whose genius has provided the foundation for my achievements. May he rest in peace. I express my gratitude for your continued support and kindness, and welcome your comments and critiques. May my analysis be a valuable asset to your business journey, and I remain sincerely yours, Mr. Nobody
FX:UKOILSPOTLong
by mehdi47abbasi79
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 8.05.2024During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP. Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) --------------------------------------- Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1. Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
TVC:UKOIL
by Forex_Hoby
BRENT. Levels for intraday trading 6.05.2024 During the day you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.Relevant to use as a location for installing TP. Levels are valid throughout the day, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on current data and publish a new post. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) --------------------------------------- Levels are drawn before the European session, based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as zones of interest for intraday trading. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level. If there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. TV does not allow publishing timeframes smaller than M15.Reactions to levels and the search for entry points are more convenient to look at M5-M1. Don’t forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!!
TVC:UKOIL
by Forex_Hoby
OIL MAY 2024 WEEK 2 OUTLOOK - Daily - this is tricky. oil has fallen considerably since it's considerable run up which started in Feb. this seems like a healthy pullback though. as long as it holds above **82.98**, we can perhaps look to go long next week. NOT THIS WEEK Origin - Bearish, in need of pullback. range to look out for is **83.18 - 85.47**. we'll be looking for price to reject this level as it moves up. but we have key zones above and below so we need one side clear in order to get involved. not going to participate in oil this week.
TVC:UKOIL
by Osiris992
SL #63970/90cbS261h1 160cbS261h4 Bigger doesn't means always better. Time still playing the crucial timing here expecially in any big movement. Result could be differ from time to time. When and where playing the big role. I could just end it within my trading hours, but wasting 3 more hours just to get stopped just wasting 6 hours of my time. Recover with much more smaller structure in h1 and validation build up on tokyo next day. Selling is still the best option but im still backtesting for continuation system.
FXOPEN:XBRUSDLong
by Art-of-Cutloss
Brent stopped out and Drawdown increasingIn this live trading session video,we look at the BRTUSD trade that got recently stopped out for a small loss on the 100k traders challenge account. We also look closely at the drawdown and why this is happening according to the strategy characteristics on both 50% OE and 20% OE strategy. Finally, we explore on what we should do about this by looking at 3 different options. The concepts and ideas in this video can be cross transferred onto any strategy.
ACTIVTRADES:BRENT
by masterthemarkets2010
Brent Crude Oil: A Closer Look at Bearish SignalsThe BCO/USD chart reveals a bearish divergence ; despite higher price highs, the CCI shows lower highs, signaling a potential reversal. Additionally, the CCI's presence in an overbought zone suggests the pair might be peaking. April's monthly pivot at 85.66, like March's, remains untouched —a notable point for traders. This untouched pivot, combined with our technical indicators, hints at a possible retracement to 85.66. In essence, the bearish divergence and overbought CCI, alongside unmet pivot points, suggest a downturn could be imminent. Traders might consider preparing for a move towards April's pivot, keeping an eye on evolving market dynamics.
OANDA:BCOUSDShort
by TradingClue
CRUDE OIL Bullish Heist Plan to BuyDear Oil Robbers/Traders, This is our master plan to Heist Bullish side of OIL Barrels based on Thief Trading style Analysis. My dear Robbers U can enter at the any point above my entered area, Our target is Dangerous Red Zone its Strong Resistance Zone. My dear Robbers please book some partial money it will manage our risk. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Loot and escape near the target 🎯 support our robbery plan we can make money take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Thief_Trader
1
CRUDE OIL Bullish Side Robbery Plan to make moneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders, This is our master plan to Heist Bullish side of Crude oil Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan i have mentioned with target in the chart focus on Long entry, Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous area market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend change /Strong Pullback happens at the level Bear Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of Powerful dynamic resistance level, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next target. support our robbery plan we can make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
OANDA:BCOUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
1
TrendingTopic: Brent on the riseToday, the Brent crude oil price has experienced a turbulent opening upwards, turning around from $86.72 to reach its current price at $87.54. The truth is that the triple bounce in the middle zone of the channel represents that the oil price has come to stay at least in this price area, after the high correction it has suffered since Friday April 12 and 19 where it could not pierce its upward price zone. It seems that in spite of everything West Texas is following in the same wake. Partly it is due to the results of oil and gas extractive companies that have had poor quarterly results, partly it is also due to crude inventories being slightly lower as the gasoline report was at 600,000 barrels versus 778,000 barrels for the five year average. Last week, refineries increased their inventory by 1.6 million barrels, 7% below the five-year average for this time of year. This is a clear sign that the United States has become a more reliable supplier of this commodity to Europe, especially since Europe no longer relies on Russia for its orders. There are clear doubts in the market that Biden and his restriction policies, especially on liquid gas, could leave them in a precarious state. In other words, the lack of diversification in an environment of geopolitical risk may be the determining factors that especially affect the Brent barrel and LNG with a view to the coming winters. This downward adjustment may create problems in Europe. While demand remains on pause, the region currently in spring has flagged at the Amsterdam conferences its concerns among the main players in this sector, especially if we have a cold winter on this side of the Atlantic, which may generate that the futures of such commodities are reflected upwards, since contracts for next winter may be more expensive than today, ahead of time. All this comes in the wake of the conflicts in the Strait of Hormuz, the new Russian northern lane for Chinese cargo transports, and the new Venezuelan-US enmity that seems to be an addition to all the ills orchestrated by President Biden in that part of South America. Merey crude oil was sold in China for $14 a barrel, at ICE Brent on purpose compared to $11 a barrel prior to the establishment of sanctions between the USA and Venezuela, and at $8 a barrel at the beginning of the year. In other words, China continues to buy more from Venezuela than Europe did through Washington, and in the end the Mexican and Russian reports are also presenting themselves as an additional reason to be bullish on these products. If we go back to the chart, both Brent and Crude are showing a clear upward trend, its trading bell is marking a possible return to $89.34 dollars although on the other hand its RSI started in oversold 38.22% is currently in the middle zone at 44.73, so it has a long stretch to fulfill the forecast of being bullish again. What is clear is that the candlestick pattern shows a clear upward trend. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:BRENTLong
by ActivTrades
BRENT CRUDE OIL POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITY (SWING TRADE)Hey everyone! What's going on! Hope you guys are having an amazing week so far. Just wanted to get on here and post analysis for a potential setup I see on Brent Oil here on the daily timeframe. So let's dive in! OK so what made me actually see this as potential was first off on the weekly chart. Price had pushed down from the $96 dollar range falling to the low $70's in price; BUT price had failed to come reach the previous weekly lows...actually forming a higher low in price. Showing buyer power at a "worse" price for oil so to speak. So for me this displays to me that oil has an upside target to still be reach and based on the daily timeframe being in a strong demand driven, bullish trend. I see opportunity. You can see on my chart a nice, clear demand (buyer) zone on this daily data chart. Something I really also like about this is the technical confluence it is giving me with the 200 EMA aligning within this demand zone as well as a 61.8% fib retracement (discount) level for price. With these alignments and my technical alignments with price I see a higher likelihood of prices rising even potentially to next weekly supply zone of the $97 range again taking previous highs and also fulfilling the -27% Fibonacci extension confluence that also aligns with this level. OK so that is what I see here on Brent Crude Oil so let's keep an eye on the seller momentum and the buyer from this level! Cheers!
OANDA:BCOUSDLong
by JosePips