How long can the oil price rise? How long can the oil price rise?
It’d be quite possible to see an extended uptrend with Brent retesting $97 later this year if sentiment in markets remains generally positive and fears of recession don’t clearly return. Oil can often trend for quite a long time compared to other popular CFDs, so if this is indeed a new main uptrend it might continue into the fourth quarter.
However, sentiment will almost certainly change to some degree when significant activity returns to markets in September. Negatives for crude fundamentally include weaker economic data from China in recent months combined with Russia’s avoidance of sanctions by exporting through Saudi Arabia, though the latter specifically and OPEC+ generally seem to be determined to keep prices high.
Equally, January’s high around $88.40 might be an important resistance which could resist testing. The main goal as a trader of oil during seasonally low volume is usually to avoid entries at extremes while trying to use support, moving averages and others to determine when a retracement becomes short-term downtrend.
