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AMD trade ideas

AMD Earnings About To PrintTechnical Analysis NASDAQ:AMD RSI: 🟡 Near overbought but showing strength MACD: 🟢 Bullish crossover in progress Support: $96.84 → $93.64 → $90.00 Resistance: $100.75 → $101.72 → $103.96 Key Level to Watch: $100.75 (immediate resistance) 💰 Earnings Play 🎯 Trade Signal: BUY ✅ Justification Recent uptrend confirmed by bullish MACD crossover with price action above key short-term MAs. Strong momentum heading into earnings with positive sentiment from analysts. ⚠️ Risk Management Stop Loss: $93.64 (-5.2%) Expected Range: $93.64 to $103.96 Best AI Generated Signals. Stay Alpha
NASDAQ:AMD
by AlphaSignals_ai
2
Amd Break Above $104 Long To The MoonI Know A lot of people Dont Like AMD lol But it Might Just Be there< Ready To Breakout!!! Earnings And If Spy Holds and runs This Forcast Is Very Well in The Books for it 📈 AlphaPulse Multi-Timeframe Forecast: NASDAQ:AMD 📍 Current Price: $100.59 🔍 Active Patterns: True S/R Zone, Channel Upside Breakout, Overbought Channel Position 🔀 Recent Crosses: Bullish 8/21 EMA Cross 🌐 Market Structure: • Primary Trend: Mixed/Slightly Bearish • Trading Bias: Bullish (49.2% confidence) • Ideal Timeframe: weekly (Strength: 8) 🎯 Bullish Price Targets: • Conservative: $113.15 (+12.48%) • Primary Target: $125.70 (+24.97%) • Aggressive: $138.26 (+37.45%) • Expected Duration: 2-4 weeks 📊 Technical Position: • Weekly: Consolidation • Daily: Bearish Consolidation • Intraday: Range Bound 🔑 Key Levels: • Strong Support: $98.80 • Strong Resistance: $101.72 • Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:0.6 📈 Current Market Action: • Weekly: Strong Downward Movement (-19.3%) • Daily: Strong Upward Movement (+20.3%) • 5min: Strong Upward Movement (+20.3%) ⚠️ Signal strength: 49.2% - 1 historical patterns analyzed Safe Trades As Always
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by JoeWtrades
2
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): Trend Reversal + AI Compute DemandOverview Summary Advanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD is testing a structurally critical support zone following a prolonged correction from all-time highs. While short-term price action reflects macro uncertainty, long-term positioning across AI, data centers, and gaming chips sets AMD up for an asymmetric risk/reward play—especially as we head into a new semiconductor investment super-cycle. Key Drivers of the Thesis Fundamentals & Financial Positioning Revenue: $22.7B (TTM), down YoY due to cyclical headwinds in PC and gaming sectors. Gross Margin: Healthy at 47%, reflecting resilience in high-margin data center and embedded segments. Cash & Liquidity: $5.8B in cash with manageable debt, giving AMD dry powder to continue R\&D and M\&A without over-leveraging. Valuation: P/E 39, slightly elevated, but forward P/E compresses into the 20s on 2025 estimates as AI revenue kicks in. Guidance: Focused on high-growth verticals—AI, HPC (high-performance computing), and adaptive SoCs. Industry & Competitive Landscape Tailwinds: Global AI boom, sovereign chip independence (U.S. Chips Act), hyper-scaled demand. Competition: NVIDIA dominates GPU/AI inference, but AMD’s MI300X (AI accelerator) has gained traction with Microsoft and Meta. Moat: Advanced chip architecture (Zen 5 roadmap), Xilinx acquisition, and new FPGA/AI product launches. Risk: Intel rebounds, and Arm-based chip innovation is catching up. However, AMD remains competitively priced and positioned between Intel (volume) and NVIDIA (premium AI). Trade Setup (If Support Holds) Entry Zone: $90.00–$100.00 Target 1: $150.00 Target 2: $220.00 Invalidation: Weekly Close Below $80.00 Technical Analysis (Refer to Chart) Long-Term Channel: AMD is currently bouncing from the lower trend-line of a multi-year ascending channel. Demand Zones: Strong confluence around $80–$94 (historical support + psychological + FVG fill zone). Volume Profile: Heavy accumulation volume around $90–100—likely smart money positioning. Forecast Path: If this zone holds, AMD could revisit prior highs ($150), with $180–200 as a mid-term target and long-term possibility towards $250+ with broader tech rally continuation. Market Sentiment & Macro Factors U.S. Interest Rates: Peak rate environment could signal risk-on appetite ahead, benefitting tech. AI Capital Flows: Institutional investors are rotating into semiconductor enablers of AI infrastructure—AMD is a clear beneficiary. Global Supply Chain Stability: Any future China–Taiwan tensions could raise AMD’s premium due to U.S.-based diversification. Risks & Challenges to Monitor AI revenue upside may already be partially priced in short term. Fierce pricing pressure from NVIDIA, Intel’s foundry expansion, and custom silicon from Apple/Google. Continued weakness in PC market segment may drag performance despite data center tailwinds. Technical invalidation below $80 would suggest structure weakness or macro risk-off phase. Final Take AMD offers a fundamentally sound, technically discounted, and thematically aligned play for investors looking to gain exposure to AI, HPC, and the broader semiconductor growth thesis. With structurally significant support aligning with longer-term mega trends, this is a forward-thinking asymmetric setup with intelligent risk controls and multi-year upside potential.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by GreenZoneCapital
AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-06AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-06) Summary of Each Model’s Key Points Grok/xAI Report Technicals (5-min & daily): Bullish momentum (price above EMAs, positive MACD, RSI not yet overbought) Sentiment: VIX moderate, upcoming earnings adds uncertainty, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $100 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $3.80 Profit Target: +25%; Stop-Loss: −50% Confidence: 65% Claude/Anthropic Report Technicals: Intraday slightly bearish, daily bullish Sentiment: Earnings risk, mixed signals, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (90% confidence) DeepSeek Report Technicals: Short-term bullish but near resistance, daily MACD bullish Sentiment: Elevated IV, earnings event risk, max pain at $98 Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear (55% confidence) Trade: No trade Llama/Meta Report Technicals: Moderately bullish across timeframes (price above key EMAs, positive MACD) Sentiment: Earnings caution, max pain at $98 may cap downside, premium high Directional Bias: Moderately bullish Trade: Buy $109 call expiring 2025-05-09 at $1.00 Confidence: 70% Gemini/Google Report Technicals: Strong daily bullish, 5-min approaching resistance Sentiment: Muted post-earnings move, max pain at $98, high IV Directional Bias: Neutral/unclear Trade: No trade (confidence <60%) Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement Mixed signals between intraday and daily timeframes Elevated implied volatility around earnings Max pain at $98 may exert gravitational pull High open interest in both deep OTM puts ($90) and calls ($105–$110) Majority of models favor waiting until after earnings or see no clear edge Disagreement Grok and Llama see a moderately bullish setup and recommend buying calls ($100 and $109 strikes) Claude, DeepSeek, and Gemini advise no trade because of earnings event risk, mixed technicals, and expensive premiums Conclusion Overall Market Direction Consensus: Neutral/Unclear Recommended Trade: None – conflicting signals, earnings overhang, and rich weekly premiums make a high-confidence single-leg trade unlikely before post-earnings clarity. Entry Timing: N/A (no trade) Confidence Level: 90% in the decision to sit out this week’s expiration Key Risks and Considerations: Earnings announcement can cause large gap moves Weekly options premiums remain elevated, requiring outsized moves to break even Max pain at $98 may pressure price if post-earnings reaction is muted or negative TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": null, "direction": null, "strike": null, "expiry": null, "confidence": null, "profit_target": null, "stop_loss": null, "size": null, "entry_price": null, "entry_timing": null, "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-06 15:09:34 UTC-04:00" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by quantsignals
AMD’s New Bullish Cycle is Shaping UpWhat Price Action Says About #AMD AMD’s recent price action shows a shift in how the market is viewing the stock. After falling sharply since March 2024, it found a bottom at $74.48. The strong rebound above the key $93 support confirms that the worst may be behind. A +30% recovery from the lows suggests the stock has started to reverse direction. But the move higher still faces a key test. The $105 level remains strong resistance and will need to be cleared to open up more upside. If the stock can break above it—or keep building solid support in the $88–$93 range—it could mark the start of a new bullish cycle. In simple terms, the bottom is likely in. Now the focus is on whether AMD can build enough strength to start trending higher again. Watching how it behaves around $93 and $105 will give clues about the next big move.
NASDAQ:AMD
by Quantific-Solutions
AMD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:AMD AMD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16) Below is a synthesis of all the reports and our analysis: ───────────────────────────── COMPREHENSIVE SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS ───────────────────────────── • Grok/xAI Report  – Technical indicators show AMD trading below its short‐term moving average and near the lower Bollinger Band.  – Negative MACD histogram and bearish news (export restrictions, potential $800M charge) support a downward bias.  – Recommends a bearish options trade using a near–ATM put – the $89 put at a premium around $1.78 (a higher premium but with a clear bearish thesis). • Llama/Meta and DeepSeek Reports  – Confirm the bearish bias: price action below key moving averages, negative MACD and extreme moves below support.  – Note that the option chain (and high open interest on lower strikes) points to a greater probability for further decline.  – Both suggest a trade on put options that have a lower premium than the Grok suggestion (with DeepSeek favoring the $85 put at roughly $0.62) for improved risk/reward. • Gemini/Google Report  – Emphasizes the strong negative catalyst from news and a rapid breakdown below support levels (with current price near $89).  – Technical indicators and volatility (VIX above 30) signal that the underlying is likely to fall further.  – Offers several put strike ideas and finds that the $84 put (premium ca. $0.49) fits the ideal price range; however, liquidity and open interest are better for the $85 strike. ───────────────────────────── AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT ───────────────────────────── Agreements:  – All models (except for the one reporting an error) agree that the market sentiment is bearish.  – The negative news catalyst (export controls and potential charges) and the technical breakdown clearly drive the consensus.  – There is broad recognition that options data (with high OI on puts and max pain around $95) is supportive of a downside move. Disagreements:  – The primary difference is in the strike selection. Grok favors a put close to the current price (the $89 put) despite its higher premium, while Gemini, Llama/Meta, and DeepSeek lean toward lower strikes ($84–$85) that offer a lower premium (falling in or near our ideal range) and better liquidity for a weekly trade. ───────────────────────────── CLEAR CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE ───────────────────────────── Overall Market Direction Consensus:  – The overall view is bearish. All models (apart from the one error) indicate that AMD is under significant downside pressure fueled by both technical breakdown and negative news sentiment. Recommended Trade:  • Trade Type: BUY single‐leg, naked PUT (weekly option only)  • Chosen Strike: $85   – Rationale: The $85 put (ask at $0.64) offers good liquidity (high open interest of 10,218 contracts) and although its premium is slightly above the preferred $0.30–$0.60 range, its risk/reward profile is attractive given the bearish momentum.  • Expiration: April 17, 2025 (weekly options)  • Entry Timing: At market open  • Proposed Parameters:   – Entry Premium: Approximately $0.64   – Profit Target: Around $1.00 (this represents an attractive move if the bearish trend continues)   – Stop Loss: Approximately $0.45 to limit risk if price recovers unexpectedly  • Confidence Level: ~70%  • Key Risks and Considerations:   – Short‐term volatility may create intraday bounces despite the overall bearish trend.   – An oversold reaction or a temporary return toward the max pain level ($95) could adversely affect the trade.   – As this is a news–driven and highly volatile environment, trade size must be limited relative to account size. ───────────────────────────── TRADE_DETAILS ───────────────────────────── The final trade parameters in JSON format are shown below. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "AMD", "direction": " put", "strike": 85.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.00, "stop_loss": 0.45, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.64, "entry_timing": "open" }
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by quantsignals
3rd time trying to make some of my LOSS AMDSpotted an inside bar accompanied by high volume—promising setup. Hopefully, the recent tariff chaos doesn’t derail this trade. Based on the current technicals, it looks like there's a solid probability of success. Let’s see how it plays out. (Not financial advice) Why AMD Might Be a Good Buy: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) continues to strengthen its position in the semiconductor industry, especially in high-performance computing, gaming, and AI. With growing demand for AI-driven infrastructure and chips, AMD’s recent product releases and partnerships put it in a competitive position against giants like NVIDIA and Intel. Their strong balance sheet, innovation pipeline, and increasing adoption of EPYC processors in data centers make it a stock worth watching. For traders and investors looking for exposure to the tech and AI boom, AMD could offer both growth potential and strategic value in a diversified portfolio.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by youngphero
1
AMD Wave Analysis – 10 April 2025 - AMD reversed from resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 80.00 AMD today recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 95.40 (former support from the start of March, as can be seen below) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downer impulse wave from iii from last month. The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the earlier short term correction ii. Given the strong daily downtrend, AMD can be expected to fall to the next round support level 80.00, which stopped the earlier impulse wave (iii).
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by FxProGlobal