AMZN trade ideas
Amazon Wave Analysis – 7 February 2025
- Amazon reversed from the resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 226.60
Amazon recently reversed down with the downward gap from the resistance area between the pivotal resistance level 240.00 (which has stopped the previous waves iii and i), the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from August and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance area started the active short-term correction ii.
Given the strength of the resistance area near the resistance level 240.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Amazon can be expected to fall to the next support level 226.60.
AMZN: Sell ideaSell idea on AMZN as you can see on the chart because we have the breakout with force the support line by a big red candle follow by a large red volume.
AMAZON -- Results of Buying before the SplitSharing some insights of when I bought Amazon before the split, It was a great decision as it has given my portfolio a great boost. It has been very bullish trending higher, and February started off on a good note so far. Ideally I would love to see it take the Previous months highs and keep pumping.
I would not be surprised if it reached MIL:1K per stock again. BUT NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, and I also have no real data to support this theory yet. It is just my biased beliefs.
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AMZN Amazon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMZN before the previos earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMZN Amazon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 240usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-7,
for a premium of approximately $6.40.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Speculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks Some stocks areSpeculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks
Some stocks aren't just overvalued—they're in full speculative bubble mode. Fundamentals? Irrelevant. When euphoria takes over, rationality disappears.
Here’s my list of bubble stocks that scream unsustainable pricing:
SBUX, T, PLTR, BMY, PYPL, NFLX, GS, ISRG, ARM, C, SHOP, BSX, SPOT, UBS, IBKR, RELX, CEG, CRWD, MSTR, MMM, DASH, COF...
And let’s not forget the obvious: TSLA, META, AMZN, AVGO, GOOGL, JPM, MA, V, WMT.
Honestly, the entire banking sector, brokers, and tech are in bubble territory.
What the hell is going on with this market? Why are algos just buying, buying, buying, squeezing all the shorts?! Unbelievable.
The dump will be insannnnnnnne!!! 🚨
AMZN is looking for an uptrendAMZN hits the target of double top. After reaching the target area, it will form a V-shaped bottom, and if it is maintained, it will form two double bottoms, which makes the stock set for an upward trend.
AMZN potential SHORTRSI has lost upward momentum
MACD has begin a path to crossing, the same for RSI.
FIB is showing resistance at 0.786 ($231.61)
Downward momentum to 0.618, if price falls below 0.786 FIB level and holds.
This is not financial advice.
AMZN Technical Analysis for Trading and GEX Option. Jan . 28Technical Analysis (TA):
* Trend: AMZN has shown a strong recovery from its prior dip, breaking above the downward resistance line. The recent upward momentum has pushed the price closer to the key resistance zone of $236.40.
* MACD: Positive crossover indicates potential upward momentum continuation, but histogram strength shows signs of plateauing.
* Stoch RSI: Overbought at 96.94, suggesting the potential for a pullback or consolidation in the near term.
Key Levels:
* Resistance:
* $236.40: Recent swing high and breakout level to monitor.
* $240.00: Psychological and potential gamma resistance area.
* Support:
* $227.50: First support level near consolidation prior to breakout.
* $222.50: Stronger support aligning with prior accumulation.
* $192.50: HVL and key put support zone.
GEX Analysis:
* Gamma Levels:
* Highest Positive NETGEX: $236. This level is acting as a strong resistance zone.
* Gamma Walls:
* 2nd CALL Wall: $240.
* 2nd PUT Wall: $222.50, highlighting strong put protection below.
* Highest PUT Support: $192.50.
* Options Sentiment:
* Implied Volatility (IVR): 62.8 (high, signaling caution for option buyers).
* Call-to-Put Ratio: Skewed bullish with Calls at 16.6% dominance.
Scenarios:
1. Bullish:
* Entry: Above $237 (confirmed breakout).
* Target: $240-$245.
* Stop-Loss: Below $233 to protect against false breakouts.
2. Bearish:
* Entry: Below $227.
* Target: $222.50-$220.
* Stop-Loss: Above $230.
Action Plan:
Monitor the $236.40 breakout or rejection closely. The IV levels suggest attractive premium selling opportunities, especially with resistance-heavy zones.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence before trading.
AMAZON going for a DIP on the 4HCrystal ball has spoken, AMZN is due for a small DIP.
Trend Analysis:
• The price is trading in an overall uptrend, respecting the 50 EMA (yellow) and 20 EMA (gold), indicating strong bullish momentum.
• Recent price action has formed higher highs and higher lows, maintaining bullish structure.
JP StochDemark Indicator Insights:
• The indicator is approaching overbought levels, currently crossing above the 80 threshold, which signals potential exhaustion in the short term.
• Bearish divergence is forming as price makes new highs while the indicator fails to confirm.
• Previous occurrences of such setups led to short-term pullbacks before continuation.
Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate resistance at $236-$238, aligning with recent highs.
• Short-term support at $ 225 , where moving averages align.
• Strong demand zone around $210-$215, coinciding with prior consolidation.
Trade Signal & Probability:
Bullish Bias : Continuation likely if price sustains above $ 230 with momentum confirmation.
Bearish Pullback : A corrective dip to the $225 zone is probable if momentum weakens.
Target Levels : Upside targets at $240 (psychological resistance) and $250 if momentum persists.
Risk Levels : Watch for breakdown below $225, which could trigger further downside to $215.
Conclusion :
Momentum remains bullish but overbought signals suggest caution.
Monitor for a healthy retracement before continuation. A break above $238 could confirm further bullish momentum.
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$AMZN - pre earnings break outAMZN - Stock continues to move higher after breaking out of the channel. Stock still strong on charts as long as $235 holds. watching for $240 AND $250 next levels of resistance. if fails to hold we can see a retest of $230 and $225. Stock is strong on indicators with earnings end of the month. possible pre earnings run
Elliott Wave View: Amazon (AMZN) Impulsive Rally in ProgressShort Term Elliott Wave View in Amazon (AMZN) suggests rally to 233 on 12.16..2024 ended wave ((3)). The stock then pullback in wave ((4)) which unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave (W) ended at 218.35 and wave (X) bounce ended at 230. Wave (Y) lower ended at 215.57 which completed wave ((4)) as the 30 minutes chart below shows.
The stock has resumed higher in wave ((5)). It has managed to break above wave ((3)) at 233 and made all-time high. This confirms the next leg higher has started and opens up short term bullish sequence. Up from wave ((4)), wave (i) ended at 221.82 and wave (ii) ended at 216.2. Wave (iii) higher ended at 223.44 and wave (iv) ended at 220.75. Final leg wave (v) ended at 225.31 which completed wave ((i))
The stock then corrected in wave ((ii)) at 220.01. The stock has resumed higher and soon should complete wave ((iii)). It will then pullback in wave ((iv)) before turning higher again in wave ((v)) to end wave 1. Near term, as far as pivot at 215.57 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
Interesting Simetry in $AMZNStarting from the 5th of August 2024 every time NASDAQ:AMZN reaches an important Fibonacci level retraces around 7%, then moves higher.
Once it reached 0.618, the Fibonacci level corrected by 6.86% in 5 days and then moved higher.
We have another wave up followed by another correction this time 7.62% in 9 days.
And again another wave up followed by a correction of 7.51% in 10 days to Fibonacci level 1
Once it reached 1.618 Fib level retraced to 1.382 Fib level Correcting 7.24% in 18 days this time.
Bullish continuation? NASDAQ:AMZN is looking at a continuation of uptrend after a strong bullish break out of the flag formation. Breakout was relatively healthy as there isn't any parabolic break. We expect prices to continue its strong momentum and break above the key resistance at 233.70.
Long-term MACD remain strong and healthy. Stochastic Oscillator though confirmed the overbought signal earlier on, but selling pressure remain weak based on price action and the %K and % D line may performed a positive crossover soon. 23-period ROC is back above the zero line and confirming the rising momentum. Volume is relatively healthy.
AMZN Approaching Key Levels! Critical Moves Ahead - Jan 22Technical Analysis for Trading
* Trend Overview: AMZN continues its bullish trend, supported by a rising trendline. The price is consolidating near $231.40, testing immediate resistance. Momentum shows strength, but overbought conditions may trigger a short-term pullback.
* Key Levels:
* Resistance: $231.40 (current level) and $235.00 are critical zones for a breakout.
* Support: $228.75 and $225.94 are key levels to watch in case of a retracement.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish, but momentum is tapering off, signaling potential consolidation.
* Stoch RSI: Overbought, which may lead to short-term profit-taking.
* Volume: Consistent buying interest supports the upward move. Any breakout must be confirmed by higher volume.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights for Options Trading
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Positive GEX: $235.00 is the strongest resistance level, where the highest call wall resides.
* Negative GEX: $220.00 and $217.50 are critical put support zones.
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: At 52.4, options premiums are moderately high, offering opportunities for credit strategies.
* Call/Put Skew: Calls dominate at 23.6%, reflecting a bullish market sentiment.
* Actionable Gamma Zones:
* Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $231.40 could lead to rapid testing of $235.00 due to gamma-driven buying pressure.
* Bearish Scenario: A pullback below $228.75 might activate put support at $225.94.
Trade Scenarios
1. Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Break and hold above $231.40.
* Target: $235.00 and $237.50.
* Stop-Loss: Below $230.00.
2. Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Break below $228.75.
* Target: $225.94 and $220.00.
* Stop-Loss: Above $230.00.
Important Note
The market may experience volatility around key levels. Reassess price action during pre-market or intraday activity and adjust your strategy accordingly.
If you have questions or need analysis for another stock, feel free to reach out!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly.
AMZN Trade IdeaAmazon is playing well with this resistance zone. I have a short and long entry set based on Fibonacci levels.
Long trade idea:
Entry: Above Supply zone
Target: A 1.618 Fibonacci level drawn in the past.
Short trade idea:
Entry: Below Supply zone
Target: 1.618 Fibonacci
Whither I enter the trade or not depends on price action.
KEY:
-White Horizonal Lines: Previous resistance levels.
-Green Horizontal Lines: 1.618 fib level (previous days).
-Green boxes: Supply and demand
Amazon (AMZN) Continuation Breakout in FocusChart Analysis:
Amazon's price action showcases a breakout from a consolidation channel (green shaded area), confirming the resumption of its broader uptrend.
1️⃣ Rising Trendline Support (Blue):
The price continues to respect the ascending trendline originating from September 2024 lows.
This trendline acts as a dynamic support zone, reinforcing the bullish structure.
2️⃣ Consolidation Channel Breakout:
After a brief consolidation in a descending channel, the price has broken out to the upside, signaling bullish continuation.
A decisive daily close above the channel confirms renewed buying interest.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at $217.48, rising and providing strong dynamic support.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at $192.35, further underpinning the long-term bullish trend.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 60.32, signaling strong upward momentum but still below overbought levels.
MACD: Positive crossover continues to support the bullish momentum.
What to Watch:
Sustained trading above the breakout level to confirm the continuation of the rally.
Potential resistance near $240-$250, the next significant zone to watch.
Pullbacks to the 50-day SMA or the ascending trendline could provide buying opportunities for trend followers.
Amazon's breakout from consolidation and its adherence to the ascending trendline suggest the stock is poised for further gains, supported by strong momentum and rising moving averages.
-MW
Nancy Pelosi bought Amazon Calls! 📈 Bullish Opportunity: Amazon (AMZN)
1️⃣ Bullish Flag Pattern with Premarket Breakout:
Amazon has formed a classic bullish flag pattern, which is a reliable continuation signal in an uptrend. The price has already broken out of the flag channel in the premarket session, signaling strong bullish momentum and potential for significant upside.
2️⃣ Amazon’s Cloud Leadership is Poised to Strengthen:
AWS (Amazon Web Services) continues to lead the cloud infrastructure market, controlling 33% of the market—more than Azure and Google Cloud combined, according to Canalys.
CEO Andy Jassy noted four consecutive quarters of reaccelerating AWS growth, with an annualized revenue run rate of $110 billion.
3️⃣ AI Advancements Reasserting Dominance:
While Microsoft is seen as the leader in the AI revolution, Amazon is catching up fast. Over the past 18 months, AWS released nearly twice as many machine learning and generative AI features as competitors combined.
These advancements are expected to make Amazon a leader in AI throughout 2025, further enhancing its cloud and technology business.
4️⃣ E-commerce Profitability Soaring:
CEO Andy Jassy’s focus on cost-cutting and logistics efficiency is delivering results:
Operating income in Amazon’s North American e-commerce segment grew by 87% in the first nine months of 2024.
Automation advancements, like robotics in fulfillment centers, have reduced processing times and improved cost efficiency by 25% during peak times.
These measures are driving higher profitability in its flagship e-commerce business, helping Amazon increase margins and drive long-term growth.
5️⃣ Undervalued and Strong Growth Potential:
Simply Wall Street estimates Amazon is trading at 40.5% below fair value, offering an attractive entry point for investors.
6️⃣ Smart Money Confidence:
Nancy Pelosi recently purchased Amazon calls 3 days ago!
7️⃣ Analyst Ratings:
Consensus: Strong Buy from top analysts.
Average Price Target: $245 (near-term expectations).
High Price Target: $280 (bullish scenario).
🎯 Strategy:
Enter now : $225.94 - $228.50
First Target : $240 (First resistance after breakout).
Second Target : $260 (Measured move from the flagpole).
Third Target : $280 (High-end analyst expectations).
Stop Loss: Based on the risk management.
Amazon bull flagNASDAQ:AMZN has a bull flag on the weekly and daily charts
Positives:
* Great chart
* Holiday spending should help with ER
* Above all MAs
* Mag 7 has lagged quite a bit and any rotation into them might give a boost
* Trump effect, Bezos sitting in the front row :)
Negatives:
* No real AI products to generate meaningful recurring revenue
* Huge AI spend
* Severences due to attrition as a result of 5 days in office policy
AMAZON - Next day delivery of GAINS!NASDAQ:AMZN 📦
🔹Green H5 Indicator
🔹9ema Bullish Cross
🔹Bull Flag
🔹Bullish Wr%
🔹Volume Shelf Launch
🎯$233🎯$243 before March! ⏲️
Not financial advice
Mo money Mo money AMZN to the moon ? AMZN: Bull Flag on Daily Chart
Amazon (AMZN) is forming a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, indicating potential for further upward movement. This pattern typically suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend after a period of consolidation.
Key observations:
Bull Flag Structure: After a strong upward surge, AMZN has entered a consolidation phase, creating a flag-like formation with parallel downward-sloping lines.
Volume Dynamics: The initial breakout was accompanied by high volume, while the consolidation phase has seen diminishing volume, a classic characteristic of a bull flag.
Support and Resistance Levels: The resistance level is observed around , with support at , defining the flag boundaries.
Moving Averages: AMZN is holding above the , which may provide additional support and align with the bullish outlook.
Potential Breakout: A breakout above the upper boundary of the flag could propel AMZN toward , based on the flagpole's length projection.
Watch for a breakout with increasing volume to confirm the bullish continuation. Keep an eye on broader market trends and any news that may influence AMZN's price action.
AMZN Long then Short: Towards EarningsFrom my Elliott Wave counts, I believe that Amazon still have some room to go but it will be the last wave up given that wave 4 turns out to be a triangle too.
Take note that while I am bearish overall for the entire market, I think that via financial engineering, US equity markets might still be able to hold up for a while. And this time, Amazon may be the stock that will cushion the index.
I've placed the possible short entries on this chart and they are both Fibonacci Extension levels. And I expect that they will play the usual: earnings that exceeds expectations, price gapped up, started selling down.
Take note that this will be labelled short because the essence of this idea to short at the turning point even though in the short-term, it is a long first then short.
