AMZN butterfly & $192.The stock trend of Amazon (AMZN) in 2024 showed significant upward movement, with the price reaching a peak of $230 and a low of $145 during the year, driven by strong market performance and investor confidence.
However, In 2025 based on technical analysis, the formation of a Butterfly harmonic pattern suggests a highly probable correction toward the $190 level .
This pattern, often appearing after an extended bullish trend, indicates a potential reversal. Given the current market dynamics, the likelihood of such a drop is considerable.
Investors should closely monitor key support levels and prepare for possible downside risks while making informed decisions.
SEYED.
AMZN trade ideas
AMAZON Is it worth buying now?Amazon (AMZN) broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) last week for the first time since the week of August 05 2024 and opened this week below it. As you can see, the stock has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and today's candle is as close to a technical Higher Low (bottom) as it can get.
The previous Higher Low was in fact that Aug 05 2024 candle, which despite breaking below the 1W MA50, managed to post a strong intra-week recovery and close above the it. Technically that was the 'Max pain' situation on every 1W bottom candle in those 2 years.
Every Bullish Leg that followed was around +65.24%, so that gives us an end-of-year technical Target of $300.
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AMAZON at important support. Positive days coming?AMZN looking at good support. We can see positive days if it works.
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and other stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting? Check my other analysis too.
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
What stocks are you looking to trade this week ?NASDAQ:AMZN – Key Zone to Watch! 👀
NASDAQ:AMZN is in a solid zone right now for potential moves.
✅ Strong support level holding steady
✅ Possible upside as the market reacts to news
✅ Ideal for swing traders looking to capitalize
What stocks are you looking to trade this week ?
Amazon (AMZN) Approaching Key Reversal Levels – What's Next?Technical Analysis (TA)
Trend: AMZN has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance: $202.26 – This is a key level where price could face rejection.
Support Zones: $190 - $195 – A breakdown below this area could lead to further downside.
Indicators:
MACD: Showing signs of bullish divergence, indicating a potential short-term reversal.
Stochastic RSI: Overbought conditions – price could see some consolidation before the next move.
Possible Scenarios:
If AMZN breaks and holds above $202.26, a move toward $209.90 and higher is possible.
If rejection occurs at this level, watch for a pullback to $195 - $190 for a retest.
GEX & Options Flow Analysis
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Highlights:
Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $220 – A strong gamma wall, indicating resistance.
Put Support Levels: $190 - $195 – Dealers may have to buy to hedge if price drops here.
Implied Volatility & Options Sentiment:
IV Rank (IVR): 61.1 – Elevated volatility suggests increased uncertainty.
Options Sentiment: Puts = 5.3% – Low put positioning, indicating bullish bias.
Thoughts & Suggestions
A break above $202.26 could lead to a strong upside move, but watch for rejection signs.
If price consolidates above $195, it could signal accumulation before a breakout.
Watch volume and options activity for confirmation before taking trades.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
AMAZON Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysys 030825 Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 192/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Amazon - Catch The Parabolic Rally Now!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) will start the parabolic rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, we finally saw the expected all time high breakout on Amazon. Following the overall governing rising channel pattern, I simply do expect the acceleration of the current rally, the creation of a parabolic rally, but maybe we will see a bullish retest first.
Levels to watch: $180, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMAZON: Oversold on 1D. Massive buy opportunity.Amazon is oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.320, MACD = -7.090, ADX = 63.698) and this is best displayed on the 1W timeframe where the price hit this week its 1W MA50 for the first time in 7 months. The decline since the January top is technically the bearish wave of Amazon's 2 year Channel Up. The previous HL was priced on the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the one before on the 0.382. We are now just over the 0.5 Fib again, while the 1W RSI is about to hit its LL trendline. All those form massive support levels for the stock, which translate into the best buy opportunity since the early August 2024 bottom. We are expecting a similar +59.62 bullish wave to begin. The trade is long, TP = 300.
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Amazon Daily Update : 200 MA Support ZoneAmazon (AMZN) is currently testing the 200-day moving average (MA), a critical long-term support level, with signs of a potential bounce. The RSI is at 30.78, indicating oversold conditions that could suggest an imminent reversal, while the price is also touching the lower Bollinger Band, signaling statistical extremes and potential support. Additionally, a “W” bottom pattern appears to be forming, which could confirm bullish momentum if the price breaks above the $213 resistance level.
Bullish for Amazon. AMZNSupposing end off Wave A of correction, quite a deep one retracing half the previous bullish impulse. RSX momentum is divergent, heading toward OBOS line, divergent Bollinger Band derivative indicator. A strong change in texture of candlesticks is noted.
Signals on both VZO with offset and Ehlers Stochastic RSI have already thrown off signals a few candles ago.
Fibonacci points picked to coalesce with data already available for possible constellations/clusters, i.e. 0.5 Fibonacci coincides with MIDAS curve.
AMZN Technical Analysis – Reversal in Progress?Market Structure & Key Levels
* Current Price: $208.11
* Support: $200, $197.43
* Resistance: $215, $220, $225
Amazon (AMZN) has shown a recovery from the $197.43 demand zone, breaking multiple Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) to the upside. This signals a potential trend shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Reversal Zone Analysis
AMZN recently bounced off the highest negative NETGEX / PUT support and is approaching a critical reversal zone between $205 - $215. If price sustains above $205, the next leg higher could push toward $215 and beyond.
Options & GEX Analysis
* IVR: 44.7
* IVx Avg: 37.6
* GEX: Green (Bullish Bias)
* Put Walls: $200, $195, $190
* Call Walls: $215, $220, $225
The options flow suggests bullish momentum with strong call positioning above $215, aligning with resistance levels.
Trading Plan & Strategy
Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
* Entry: Above $205 with strong volume confirmation
* Target: $215, then $220
* Stop-Loss: Below $200
Bearish Scenario (Less Likely)
* Entry: If price rejects $210 - $215 resistance
* Target: $200
* Stop-Loss: Above $215
Options Trade Idea
* Bull Call Spread: Buy $205 Calls, Sell $220 Calls (April Expiry)
* Credit Put Spread: Sell $200 Puts, Buy $190 Puts
Final Thoughts
AMZN is showing early signs of a reversal, but confirmation is needed above $205. A break above $215 could trigger a further push toward $220 - $225, while rejection at resistance could lead to a retest of $200 - $197.43.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Amazon Stock Trapped in a Bearish ChannelOver the past two weeks, Amazon's stock has declined by more than 13% , forming a new bearish channel. Selling pressure has intensified as concerns about potential tariffs begin to affect investor confidence in Amazon's multinational operations. The possible onset of a new trade war could seriously impact some of Amazon’s business model, which relies on importing products from other countries into the United States. This could eventually reduce demand and continue to reinforce the bearish bias in stock movements.
Bearish Channel
Since late February, shortly after the earnings report, Amazon's stock has entered a clear short-term bearish channel, reaching a low of $197 per share. Currently, a minor bullish correction is emerging, approaching the upper boundary of the bearish channel. However, as long as bullish momentum fails to break this upper level, it is likely that the channel will remain the dominant formation, maintaining downward pressure on the stock.
ADX Indicator
The ADX line continues to rise above the neutral level of 20, reaching levels not seen since December 2024. This reflects the momentum of current price movements and the increase in volatility affecting the stock. If the ADX line remains elevated, volatility could either support or challenge the current trend, depending on market dynamics.
MACD Indicator
Lower lows in price movements and higher lows in the MACD histogram have formed a divergence between the indicator and price movements. This imbalance of forces could signal the continuation of short-term bullish corrections.
Key Levels:
$230: Major resistance. This level corresponds to the highest price zone recorded in December 2024. If the stock returns to this level, it could reactivate a previously forgotten uptrend.
$216: Current key resistance. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the bearish channel and the 100-period simple moving average. Sustained buying pressure above this level could put the bearish channel at risk.
$197: Near-term support. This level corresponds to November 2024 lows. If the stock breaks below this support, it could lead to new lows on the chart, reinforcing the ongoing downtrend.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Bull/Bear case of AMZNKey Resistance Levels: $221, $215
Key Support Levels: $188, $184
Bull Case
The stock has been on a consistent upward trajectory since late 2022, forming higher highs and higher lows.The trend remains intact unless it breaks major support levels.
If AMZN holds above $215, it could retest the $221+ resistance zone and push toward new highs.May target $230+ if momentum continues.
The 38.2% Fib retracement (~$195) held as strong support.If AMZN stays above $212–$215, we could see a higher breakout.
Bear Case
AMZN has retraced from recent highs (~$243), showing some weakness.A failure to reclaim $215 could trigger further downside.
If AMZN breaks below $188–$184, it could trigger a larger correction to $168(Fib 0.786).
Heavy volume in the $125-$135 range suggests strong historical buying interest, but it’s far below.
Final Verdict
Bullish Bias Above $215: If AMZN holds above this level, expect a push to $221–$230. Above $231 we can expect $254.
Bearish Below $188: A drop below $188 could lead to further selling down to $165–$160.
Best Trading Approach
Agressive Bulls :- Buy dips near $202.51 with stop loss of $199
Conservative Bulls:- $188–$184 with stop-loss below $180.
Bears: Wait for a breakdown below $184 before shorting.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Amazon Bullish
Current Market Position
The speaker is analyzing Amazon's stock performance, noting that since August 2024, Amazon has been in an upward channel pattern. While the price action hasn't been consistently dominant on the upside, the support line of this channel has been particularly reliable.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
- **Critical support level**: $216.57
- **Recent resistance**: $219.62 (approximately $220)
- **Lower support level**: $204.79
## Recent Price Action
Amazon's stock recently experienced the following movements:
- Rallied after touching the $216.57 support level
- Later broke below this support
- Reached around $233 before falling back to $216.57
- Created a higher high on a second attempt upward
- Eventually broke below both the $216.57 level and the supporting trend line that had been in place since August
- Found buyers around $204.79
- Rebounded to pierce through $216.57 again, reaching approximately $220
- Fell back to the $216.57 level
- Importantly, has now created a higher low, which the speaker considers significant
## Bullish Outlook
The speaker believes Amazon stock currently has a bullish sentiment. For this bullish trend to continue, three key conditions need to be met:
1. Breaking above $216.57
2. Breaking above $219.62
3. Breaking through the downtrend on the technical indicators
If these conditions are met, the speaker anticipates upward momentum with a double bottom formation, potentially moving beyond the $220-237 range.
## Bearish Alternative
If the stock fails to break through these levels and instead hits the back end of the supporting channel trend line (shown as a black line in their analysis), the speaker believes a significant downward movement could occur.
## Conclusion
The speaker sees a good opportunity to enter a trade now to potentially capture upward momentum, especially if the stock moves past the identified resistance levels. They believe momentum will be strong if the stock can clear these hurdles.
AMZN at a Major Turning Point! Key Reversal or Breakdown?📊 Technical Analysis (TA) for AMZN
* Current Price Action: AMZN is attempting to recover from a downtrend, showing signs of a reversal after hitting the reversal zone near $204-$206. The price has broken out of a falling wedge, signaling a potential short-term upside.
* Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance 1: $212.50 (Volume Profile POC) – A breakout could confirm bullish momentum.
* Resistance 2: $220 (2nd Call Wall) – Price may slow down or reject here.
* Major Resistance: $225-$230 – A strong resistance area and gamma wall.
* Support 1: $210 – If AMZN pulls back, this is the first key level to hold.
* Support 2: $205 (Put Support) – A breakdown below this would signal further downside risk.
* Critical Breakdown Level: $200 – Losing this level could trigger a larger sell-off.
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover, indicating early momentum shift.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought near 99, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
🔎 Options Flow & GEX Analysis
* GEX (Gamma Exposure) Key Levels:
* 88.08% Call Resistance at $220 → Breaking above could fuel upside momentum.
* 71.12% 3rd Call Wall at $230 → A strong gamma resistance area.
* Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance at $225 → Dealers could hedge against further upside.
* Put Wall Support at $205 → A strong support area from options positioning.
* 3rd Put Wall at $200 → Breaking this level could accelerate downside volatility.
📌 IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 41.7 → Moderate implied volatility, options are reasonably priced.
* IVx Avg: 41.4 → Steady, indicating a stable options environment.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 3.3% → Very low bullish bias in options flow.
📈 Trade Scenarios & Strategy
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $212.50 with strong volume.
* Target: $220, then $225.
* Stop Loss: Below $210.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection & Breakdown):
* Entry: Below $210.
* Target: $205 or $200.
* Stop Loss: Above $212.50.
🔥 Final Thoughts & Suggestion
* AMZN is testing a key reversal zone. A breakout above $212.50 could push it toward $220+.
* If it fails to hold $210, expect a retest of $205-$200, which is a major support zone.
* Volume and options flow will be key – if gamma levels start unwinding, expect volatility to spike!
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
2 years Up For over two years, Amazon's price has been moving within the green channel, with the only exception being in August 2024 when a panic selling affected all markets after the poor US employment data.
At the moment, it is likely that after touching the bottom of the channel at $204, it will rise to $250 in the coming weeks
In case the price drops below $204, this idea is void