AMZNCL trade ideas
AMZN LongBought AMZN Calls due to retracement I called out in January of this year. Bought
250C LEAPS with min 15 months expiration.
1. Key weekly S/R level reached {$190}
2. Weekly uptrend established in 2022
3. Golden ratio Fib level
4. 5m time frame illustrating inverted head and shoulders candle pattern.
5. 5m time frame entry based on local down trendline break.
*Not trade advice. Information is for entertainment only*
Consider a Long Position on AMZN Amid Market Volatility
-Key Insights: With the current market trend showing increased volatility
highlighted by broad index declines, investors should consider focusing on
Amazon's support levels for strategic entry points. Despite not having a
specific current market price available, the historic support levels at $190,
$180, $170, and $150 provide critical zones to watch. These levels suggest
possible stabilization points where buying interest might converge, potentially
offering compelling entry opportunities should the price approach within these
ranges.
-Price Targets: For the upcoming week, consider a long position with realistic
targets and stops:
- Target 1 (T1): $195
- Target 2 (T2): $205
- Stop Level 1 (S1): $175
- Stop Level 2 (S2): $165
-Recent Performance: In light of recent 2% drops across major indices and tech
sectors, including tech-heavy stocks like Tesla, Amazon is likely facing similar
pressures. This environment of heightened volatility has contributed
significantly to cautious investor sentiment around Amazon and its big tech
peers.
-Expert Analysis: Expert consensus advises a defensive approach, emphasizing
monitoring key support levels and considering historical trading patterns in
anticipation of market corrections or rebounds. This strategic perspective helps
position investors to take advantage of any downturns for potential longer-term
gains.
-News Impact: Though no specific current news events affecting Amazon were
identified, it is crucial for investors to stay informed about general market
conditions and the impact of broader tech performance. Understanding these
dynamics will assist investors in navigating through current uncertainty,
enabling a more informed trading strategy.
By aligning trading actions with these insights and ensuring a keen eye on both
broader market signals and Amazon's key support levels, investors can
effectively position themselves to potentially capitalize on AMZN's pricing
movements in the week ahead.
Amazon (AMZN) is Entering a High-Probability Reversal Zone!
1. Market Structure & Price Action (1H Chart)
* Trend: AMZN is currently in a short-term bearish trend after rejecting from the $207 supply zone.
* CHoCH (Change of Character): The recent CHoCH around ~$198 confirms bearish control.
* Price Range: Current price is consolidating in the $191–193 zone, a potential SMC Reversal Block.
* Support Zone: $189–190 (FVG + previous demand and lowest Bid/Ask zone).
* Resistance: $198.76 (prior CHoCH zone), then $202.5–207.5.
2. Indicators
* MACD: Histogram flipping bullish with MACD line above the signal line — signaling early momentum.
* Stoch RSI: Moving up from oversold, crossing bullish — momentum is building.
3. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Highlights
* Reversal Zone (marked): Price has entered a key bullish mitigation zone where demand previously absorbed supply.
* Internal Trendline Break: If price breaks above $195, it could trigger a BOS (Break of Structure) and change direction.
* Liquidity Grab: Previous lows at ~$189 may have been swept to trap shorts.
4. Options Flow & GEX Insights
* GEX Levels:
* Highest Positive GEX/Call Resistance: $207.04
* Major GEX Walls: $202.5, $205
* Strong PUT Wall: $185 (Highest negative NETGEX / Support)
* IV & Positioning:
* IVR: 56.6
* IVx Avg: 46
* Put%: 2.1% — 🟢 Very low put hedging pressure, bullish
* GEX Color: 🔴🔴🔴 (Bearish zone but near bottom range)
5. Trade Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Setup
* Entry: $192.5–193 (retest of reversal zone)
* Target 1: $198.76 (gap fill + CHoCH)
* Target 2: $202.5–205 (mid gamma wall)
* Stop Loss: Below $189
🔴 Bearish Setup
* Entry: If rejection below $195 with weak volume
* Target 1: $189.3
* Target 2: $185 (GEX PUT support)
* Stop Loss: Close above $198.76
6. Sentiment & Bias
* Bias: Cautiously Bullish
* Price is near exhaustion zone with momentum starting to flip.
* Watch closely for confirmation above $195 for long setups.
* Failure to hold $189 may break structure downward.
Conclusion
AMZN is sitting in a key inflection zone where Smart Money may step in. Momentum and indicators are turning up, but macro resistance at $198–202 must be cleared. Use tight risk management and let confirmation guide your trade.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Resistance or Rebound?
Amazon's chart is hanging around $192. Think of this zone as a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. It's acted as support before, but can it hold again? If it fails, look out below! On the upside, cracking through the $216 resistance could signal a breakout. Will Amazon finally break free, or is it destined for more sideways action? What's your game plan? Are you accumulating near support or waiting for a clear breakout?
AMZN Testing Key Support After Rally – Gamma Zone Ahead! 🚀 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Overview
Current Price Zone: ~$200.20
* AMZN made a Break of Structure (BOS) near $206 before rejecting from a key supply zone.
* Currently retracing into a rising channel support line and near previous CHoCH retest zone.
* The price is still inside a bullish structure — watching for reversal confirmation near $198–195.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish, but histogram flattening — suggests weakening momentum to the downside.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and starting to curl up — possible bounce setup.
🔐 Key Levels
Support:
* 195 → HVL + psychological round level + trendline support.
* 190 → Strong PUT support zone via GEX.
* 189.38 → Recent swing low – must hold for bulls to remain in control.
Resistance:
* 206–208 → Supply zone + previous BOS level.
* 210 → Gamma wall (Highest positive NetGEX)
* 220 → 3rd CALL Wall (far extension)
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade GEX Zones)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟡🟢 — Moderately Bullish
* IVR: 33.6
* IVx avg: 35.4 → Options are fairly priced, no volatility extremes
* CALL$%: 2.4% (weak call flow but dealers not aggressively hedging short)
* Key Gamma Wall: 210
* PUT Support: 190
* HVL Cluster: 195 (May expiry, pivotal)
📌 GEX suggests gamma compression between 195–206, with breakout potential above or breakdown if 190 fails.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce from 195 or Trendline
* If AMZN holds the rising channel and HVL zone around 195, reversal likely toward 206.
* Entry: Above 200 reclaim with volume
* Target 1: 204
* Target 2: 206
* Target 3: 210 (Gamma wall)
* Stop-Loss: Below 194.50
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $205 Calls
* OR Debit Call Spread: Buy $200 / Sell $210 Calls
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 195
* Break below channel support and HVL may trigger a flush to 190.
* Entry: Break of 194
* Target 1: 190
* Target 2: 185
* Stop-Loss: Above 197
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $190 Puts
* OR Bear Put Spread: Buy $195 / Sell $185
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Neutral → Leaning bullish if 195 holds.
* Gamma and SMC zones align for a bounce setup.
* If price fails to hold trendline near 195, bearish momentum may escalate toward 190 PUT Wall.
🎯 Key Watch: Reaction near $195 is everything today.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk.
BIGGEST RALLY POTENTIALAmazon (AMZN) is showing signs of potential bullish continuation on the 4-hour timeframe, but confirmation is key before entering a trade. Here’s a structured breakdown of the setup:
Technical Analysis
1. Key Resistance at $200.50
• The price is currently consolidating just below this key level.
• A clear breakout with strong volume would confirm bullish momentum.
• If the breakout is successful, the next upside targets are $213 and $230.
2. Market Structure:
• Higher lows indicate increasing buyer interest.
• If AMZN maintains support above $190, it strengthens the bullish case.
3. Indicators & Confirmation:
• RSI: Trending upwards, but still below overbought levels, suggesting room for further upside.
Fundamental & Sentiment Factors
• Tech Sector Strength: The broader tech market (NASDAQ 100) remains strong, supporting large-cap tech stocks.
• Institutional Accumulation: Increased buying volume from institutions would further validate the breakout.
• Macroeconomic Catalysts: Any positive data regarding interest rates, consumer spending, or e-commerce growth could fuel additional upside.
Trading Plan
✅ Entry: Wait for a break and retest of $200 before going long.
📉 Stop-Loss: Below $189 (to protect against false breakouts).
🎯 Targets: $213-230 (short-term levels).
📊 Risk Management: Position sizing should align with overall risk tolerance.
Patience is key. A confirmed breakout above $200.59 could provide a solid buying opportunity, but failure to hold above this level may lead to further consolidation.
Amazon Wave Analysis – 24 March 2025
- Amazon reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 210.00
Amazon recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 190.00 (former resistance from October), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August.
The upward reversal from this support zone started the minor correction 4 of the active intermediate impulse wave (C) from February.
Given the strength of the support level 190.00, Amazon can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 210.00, former support from February.
AMZN breaks bear trendAmazon stock has gapped higher along with several other tech firms as investors rushed back into riskier assets following reports that Trump's upcoming tariffs will be more targeted than initially thought.
AMZN broke its bearish trend line after finding good support lats week at $190 key support level. If the gap now gets filled, then dip buyers might emerge near Friday's closing levels of around $195-$196. This area is now going to be significant.
Anyway, the short-term bias has flipped back to being bullish in light of today's breakout. As long as the stock now remains above the trend line, any short-term dips could be bought.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
AMZN Testing Breakout Zone – Will Bulls Hold the Momentum?Technical Analysis & Options Outlook
📌 Current Price: $196.05
📌 Trend: Bullish Momentum with Key Resistance Ahead
📌 Timeframe: 1-Hour
Price Action & Market Structure
1. Bullish Reversal Confirmed – AMZN rebounded from the $190 PUT Wall, forming a higher low.
2. Breakout Attempt in Progress – Price is testing the trendline resistance, a key breakout zone.
3. Retest Possible – If rejected at $198–$200, AMZN may pull back to $195–$192 before continuing higher.
4. MACD & Stoch RSI – Both indicate strong bullish momentum, but Stoch RSI is nearing overbought territory, signaling possible short-term consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch
📍 Immediate Resistance:
🔹 $198 – Trendline Breakout Level
🔹 $200 – Major CALL Resistance (70.86%)
🔹 $202.50 – Strong CALL Wall & Potential Profit-Taking Zone
📍 Immediate Support:
🔻 $195 – Breakout Retest Zone
🔻 $190 – Highest Negative NETGEX / PUT Support
🔻 $185 – Deeper Liquidity Zone for Buyers
Options Flow & GEX Sentiment
* IVR: 40.7 (Moderate Volatility)
* IVx: 36.1 (-2.26%) (Declining Volatility)
* GEX (Gamma Exposure): Bullish Sentiment Improving
* CALL Walls: $200 & $202.50 (Upside targets)
* PUT Walls: $190 & $185 (Major support zones)
📌 Options Insight:
* Above $198, expect a gamma-driven move toward $200–$202.50 if momentum sustains.
* Below $195, risk increases for a test of $190, which has been a strong demand zone.
My Thoughts & Trade Recommendation
🚀 Bullish Case: If AMZN holds above $195, expect continuation to $200–$202.50.
⚠️ Bearish Case: If AMZN fails at $198, expect a retest of $190–$185 before another move higher.
Trade Idea (For Educational Purposes)
📌 Bullish Play:
🔹 Entry: Break and hold above $198
🔹 Target: $200–$202.50
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $195
📌 Bearish Play (Hedge Idea):
🔻 Entry: Rejection at $198
🔻 Target: $190 PUT Wall
🔻 Stop Loss: Above $200
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Final Thoughts
AMZN is in a critical breakout zone at $198. A strong move above this level could trigger a rally toward $200–$202.50, while failure to break could lead to a pullback toward $190 before attempting another move up. Watch price action carefully and wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
Amazon Back to 2021 Highs – A 1/6 Risk-Reward SetupYes, Amazon doesn’t look great here—but let’s put it in perspective.
Imagine holding the stock from this exact price in 2021, watching it trade 20% higher in February 2025—would you sell here?
For now, I’m watching $189—if it can’t break below, the risk reward is even better.
📌 Stop: 5 points from here
🎯 Target: $230
Let’s see if the 189 level holds. 🚀
AMAZON at Key Support Level – Rebound Towards $230?NASDAQ:AMZN is currently in a corrective phase after rejecting from the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The price has now reached a key support level within the channel, which aligns with a significant demand zone.
The confluence of the support level and the channel's lower boundary increases the probability of a bullish reaction at this point. If buyers step in, the price could rebound and target the $230.00 resistance level, which represents a logical area within the current market structure.
However, if this support zone fails to hold, a deeper retracement toward lower levels within the channel could occur, invalidating the bullish bias.
This setup reflects the potential for a recovery after the recent decline, supported by historical price action and the channel's structure. If you have additional insights or thoughts, feel free to share them!