Home Depot earnings 5/17Home Depot (HD) reported Q4 January 2022 earnings of $3.21 per share on revenue of $35.7 billion. The consensus earnings estimate was $3.20 per share on revenue of $34.8 billion. Revenue grew 10.7% on a year-over-year basis. The company said it expects fiscal 2023 earnings growth in the low single digits, or earnings of approximately $15.92 per share, with revenue slightly above $151.15 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $16.13 per share on revenue of $153.88 billion for the year ending January 31, 2023.
Great risk : reward long entry here, imo. Heading into April Spring weather, death cross completed, sitting at major support & 52 week low, earnings in 6 weeks.. Here's levels on the 1 day chart:
Q1 April 2022 Consensus:
EPS: $3.67
Revenue: $36.44 B
P/E: 19.8
Div/yld: 2.14
52 week high = $420
52 week low = $299
SMA200 =$350
SMA150 = $359
SMA100 = $367
SMA50 = $337
breakout = $342
R3 = $336
R2 = $330
R1 = $323
pivot = $317
S1 = $311
S2 = $304
S3 = $298
breakdown = $292
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
*options use 100x leverage you could lose everything*
There are many types of options trading strategies and positions, simple to sophisticated & hybrids. I group them into theta, delta or mix strategies and bull, bear or neutral positions. There's a buy side and sell side to every trade. If you check the open interest (OI), you can see how liquid it is. Check how wide the bid vs ask spread is.
Theta:
iron condor
iron fly
covered call
cash secured put
calendar spread
collar
Delta:
call
put
straddle
strangle
debit spread
credit spread
Bull:
call
put credit spread
call debit spread
cash secured put
Bear:
put
call credit spread
put debit spread
covered call
Neutral:
straddle
strangle
iron condor
iron fly
collar (often used for downside insurance)
calendar spread (short or long time)
Options important variables:
Strike = share price
itm, atm, otm = strike position
Expiry = Date of expiration
Value = H, L & Mark
Liquidity = bid vs ask spread
Direction = put or call
OI = open interest
V = volume
CP = chance of profit
IV = implied volatility
Delta = price
Theta = time
Vega = volatility
Gamma = momentum
*3x lucky 7s of trading*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
Balance sheet
7 Common mistakes:
+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
Beware of analyst's motives
Emotions & Opinions
FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd
Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation
7 Important tools:
Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
Accurate indicators & settings
Wide screen monitor/s
Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
Big, organized desk
Reading books, playing chess
Sorted watch-list
Checkout my indicators:
Fibonacci VIP - volume
Fibonacci MA7 - price
pi RSI - trend momentum
TTC - trend channel
AlertiT - notification
tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator
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HDCL trade ideas
Does HD have the strength to move higher? Swing Put EntryI am not sure if HD can muster up the strength to move up towards 320 or the daily 20sma, which would be a great place to buy swing puts. I see this 30min consolidation and stochastic is bearish. I do not like the daily stochastic here to enter swing puts but RSI is bearish and there is a clear path from 300 to 280 if weakness continues.
I see a low risk trade here, and maybe also a day trade, as I will exit swing puts if I do not like price action or 30min close over 306.30-307.
@Burning-Theta Recently posted more detailed thoughts on this stock here:
Triple Bottom/Pull Back FishingHome Depot fell from appears to have formed a head and shoulders top and has fallen quite a bit.
Triple bottom noted and prices are very close at the 3 bottoms.
If I were to enter this I would place a stop below lowest bottom/298.40. Bottoms are hard to call though especially with the market in a downtrend as of late.
The top has fallen to the 100% mark but can fall to a greater fib level. You can measure from the head to the neckline and project it down to find the 100% mark. Tops can fall less or more than this.
LOW and HD trade very close together. When one moves, the other seems to go with it.
The long and short term moving averages look bad right now.
No recommendation
HOME DEPOT LONGHonestly Home Depot is at a pretty stable support level( at 300) that it hasn't broken over the last year... That's not to say that it wont break under. I think That HD will go back up to the 330-340 range within in the next couple of weeks.
MACD is in a downtrend momentum but that can all change the market had some pull back the last couple of days after a crazy rally.
I think buy early May we should see some positive MACD. Which I think will take Home depot back to the 400 a share range.
RSI has it oversold and its been like that for the last 2 months. Hopefully with the market stabling and things coming to a close in Ukraine we will see home depot go on a little bull run.
HD Breaking Down Below Ascending Channel; Continues DowntrendHD has been in a downtrend for the whole year, to date. Starting last month, price began to consolidate a bit in an ascending channel but now may fail to hold its support. Low RSI readings and MACD indications of a impending depreciation in price are also strong indicators of the channel's breakdown and a continuation of the downtrend. Two huge red candles in the past 3 days (a doji amidst them) go to show that there is enough bearish momentum to break and hold below support. This is a great opportunity to enter a short position; place stops at $321 and take profits at $297 (a level of strong support).
Bullish Swing Trade on Home Depot (HD)The market is looking very bullish going in to this week. I see a setup on HD that has an 80% chance to be profitable based on Trademiner 5.0. the technical analysis sees bullish divergence on the weekly and daily charts. The latest earnings report was positive on eps and revenue. And finally, the DJIA for the past 30 year has had positive gains from March to April.
So entry is ~341.00 stoploss = 285.00 and /TP1 = 406.00 and /TP2 = 465.00 /Time stopout is May 2 2022.
Home Depot ready for a renovation. HDGoals 335, 344, 357. Invalidation at 298 .
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in green with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe