Intel japanese knife catch (They got rid of fruit in the office)They also are firing 15,000 employees to save costs but who actually cares about that, no fruit means real sacrifices are being made.
From my perspective, it hit a 12M level that initiated the trend into all time highs, even with Black Monday it hasn't gone below what I consider the stop, so I'm throwing a chip into the re-bounce bandwagon.
INTCCL trade ideas
Intel as a Contrarian Investment: A Closer Look
Intel as a Contrarian Investment: A Closer Look
Intel as a Contrarian Investment: A Closer Look
Intel has been a subject of much debate among investors. While it was once a dominant force in the chip industry, it has faced significant challenges in recent years, losing market share to competitors like AMD and Nvidia. However, this very downturn has made it an intriguing proposition for contrarian investors.
Why Intel Might Be a Contrarian Investment
Undervalued Asset: Due to its challenges, Intel's stock price has declined, potentially making it undervalued compared to its intrinsic worth and future potential. Contrarian investors often seek out such undervalued assets.
Turnaround Potential: Intel has recognized its shortcomings and is investing heavily in research and development to regain its technological edge. Successful execution of its turnaround strategy could lead to substantial stock price appreciation.
Dividend Yield: Intel has a history of paying dividends, which can be attractive to investors seeking income. While the dividend yield might not be exceptionally high, it can provide a cushion during market downturns.
Market Share Rebound: While it's a challenging task, Intel still holds a significant market share in certain segments. A potential rebound in these segments could positively impact its financial performance.
Diversification: Adding Intel to a diversified portfolio can help reduce overall risk. If other tech stocks falter, Intel's potential turnaround could offset those losses.
Cautions and Considerations
Execution Risk: Intel's turnaround plan is ambitious and faces significant hurdles. Failure to execute could lead to further stock price decline.
Competitive Landscape: The chip industry is highly competitive, and Intel will need to continue investing heavily to stay relevant.
Economic Conditions: The overall economic environment can impact demand for chips, affecting Intel's business.
Intel could keep falling, but opportunity is opening upIntel is definitely in trouble for this year in 2024.
But dont get it wrong, America wants a domestic chip maker and will support this company with more grants and debt. Nvidia and AMD dont make their own chips, the design them and TSM makes them. With geopolitics hot, USA needs a home team foundry/chip factory.
Over the next 5 years, analysts believe the earning power could rise to over 4 dollars per share.
In a good growing economy, after this incoming recession, a rosy multiple could put intel into a high price target especially if continued growth of AI and also if PC demand returns.
A 30 to 60 multiple would put intel in the 100 to 300 range in the future.
However, there is risk for next year and a half, if we go into full recession.
I am going long shares as we drop and will look to sell puts to accumulate over 2 years.
INTC 10/25/2023INTC
Daily Chart Analysis
INTC has faced significant challenges for investors. It remained in a sideways market from November 2017 to May 2022, lasting almost four years. In May 2022, its 'sideways' market became a 'Distribution' stage as the price broke down, entering a downtrend.
The downtrend was sharp between May 2022 and October 2022, resulting in a 42% drop in price. By November 2022, the price found a bottom and started a rally. The primary trend remains downward, but there is a change in the secondary trend.
In the first half of 2023, there was a pullback, and a secondary trend formed an upward price channel. However, attempts to break through the resistance at 36.75 in June, late July, and September 2023 failed. By October 2023, the price broke below the upward channel's support, indicating that the secondary 'upward' trend may be over, and the price could continue in the direction of the primary trend, which is downwards.
The lengthy distribution stage and ongoing resistance levels suggest significant seller pressure. The primary trend remains intact, and it appears poised to continue.
Entering trade short:
Entry: 32.83
Stoploss: 37.48, -14.16%
Target: 25.20, +23.24%, 1.64 RR ratio
Intel Shares Plummet 28% Amid Disappointing Q2 EarningsIntel Corporation ( NASDAQ:INTC ) witnessed a staggering 28% drop in its stock price on Friday, sending shockwaves through the semiconductor industry and contributing to a broader tech sector decline. The company's disappointing second-quarter earnings report, coupled with a significant workforce reduction plan, has raised serious concerns about its future prospects.
A Stark Earnings Miss and Workforce Reduction
Intel's Q2 earnings report fell significantly short of expectations, sparking a steep decline in its stock price. The company reported a substantial earnings miss and revealed plans to lay off more than 15% of its employees as part of a $10 billion cost-reduction strategy. This announcement marks one of the most severe stock declines for Intel in recent history, reminiscent of the tech bust of 2000.
The semiconductor giant's revenue and profit figures for the June quarter were notably below analyst estimates, exacerbating investor anxiety. The company's decision to implement significant layoffs underscores the challenging landscape it faces as it struggles to compete with rivals who are capitalizing on the AI boom.
Global Semiconductor Stocks Take a Hit
Intel's dismal performance had a ripple effect across the global semiconductor industry. Major Asian and European chipmakers saw their stock prices tumble in response. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) and Samsung, two of the world's leading semiconductor companies, experienced notable declines of 4.6% and over 4%, respectively. SK Hynix, a key supplier to Nvidia, closed more than 10% lower, highlighting the widespread impact of Intel's struggles.
In Europe, semiconductor firms such as ASML, ASMI, STMicroelectronics, and Infineon also faced significant losses. ASML, which provides essential tools for chip manufacturing, saw its shares drop by over 8%, while ASMI fell by 9%. The negative sentiment surrounding Intel's results further fueled the global sell-off in tech stocks.
Broader Market Impact
The repercussions of Intel's disappointing earnings were felt across the broader market. The Nasdaq 100 index, heavily weighted with tech stocks, was particularly affected, dragging down overall market performance. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF, which tracks major names in the semiconductor sector, closed roughly 6.5% lower on Thursday.
Adding to the market's woes, U.S. stock futures saw significant declines on Friday. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 317 points (0.8%), S&P 500 futures decreased by 1.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell by 1.8%. The anticipation of a critical July payrolls report further contributed to the cautious market sentiment.
A Mixed Picture for the Semiconductor Sector
Intel's struggles come amid a mixed performance across the semiconductor sector. While companies like Nvidia and AMD continue to thrive due to the AI boom, others like Qualcomm and Arm are yet to see similar benefits reflected in their financial results. This divergence underscores the varied impacts of AI investments within the industry.
Nvidia, in particular, faces additional scrutiny as the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) investigates potential antitrust violations related to its dominance in the AI chip market. Despite these challenges, Nvidia maintains that it competes based on decades of investment and innovation, and is prepared to cooperate with regulators.
Intel's Strategic Vision and Challenges
Despite the grim immediate outlook, Intel's CEO Pat Gelsinger remains committed to the company's long-term strategy. Gelsinger reiterated Intel's ambitious "5 nodes in 4 years" plan, aimed at advancing its foundry business and catching up with TSMC. This initiative includes the critical 18A process node, which is expected to power some of Intel's most important products in the coming years.
Technical Outlook
Intel stock ( NASDAQ:INTC ) has dropped 29% and currently has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 16.66, indicating it is oversold, with potential for further decline to an RSI of 10 due to a significant downward gap on the daily price chart. You can exploit these gaps through various strategies, such as buying after-hours following positive fundamental reports to anticipate a gap up, or entering positions at the start of price movements.
Conclusion
Intel's latest earnings report has cast a shadow over the semiconductor industry, triggering a substantial sell-off and raising questions about the company's future. While Intel's long-term strategy shows promise, the immediate challenges and market reaction underscore the difficulties it faces in navigating the competitive landscape. As the tech sector grapples with these developments, all eyes will be on Intel's next moves and their potential impact on the broader market.
Incoming 60% correction for Intel CorporationOn the above monthly chart price action has rallied 100% since March 2023. The rally follows the break of market structure in April 2022.
The recent 100% rally has printed a rising wedge. This is a bearish chart pattern. Price action prints a bearish engulfing candle at broken market structure.
Market structure resistance is also previous support that saw price action enjoy a 15 year uptrend. This is presented on the 3-month chart below.
Once a price action wedge breakout is confirmed a 60% correction to just under $20 shall print.
Is it possible price action continues to rise? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
3-month chart
$INTC: If there was a time to buy, it is nowYou heard it here first, Intel has finally bottomed long term and it's about to rip from here...A beneficiary of the recent trend of deglobalization/reshoring, and the inflation reduction act, $INTC had been battered and bruised for ages since it peaked back in early 2020, underperforming basically everything since then. Valuation has reached extremely low levels and people were questioning the sanity of the CEO buying shares and making religious remarks about the fate of the company (pretty much praying for the company to do well recently). Very hated name, and it finally looks like the pain is over. Everyone who was holding it for years has capitulated, and the stock ran out of sellers down here. Any slight positive news and buy pressure will make it lift tremendously, specially as people on the sidelines jump in.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
INTEL BUY
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As previously discussed in one of the earlier analyses on the stock, the time has finally come to buy into this stock. I made my entry today (using 3% of my capital). For now, I've only set the SL level. I will evaluate how the situation evolves to decide whether to maintain a lower TP or extend it to more interesting prices.
Kind regards.
BOUNCE INCOMING!!This looks like a great area to anticipate a bounce.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Intel filling upward gaps, 50% + potentialIntel is objectively making very low prices. Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.
Intel is planning on releasing new GPUs in mid 2024, smart move in these crypto & ai filled times. From what we know, the new GPUs should be able to compete with NVDIA and AMD, giving Intel the space to expand more into this booming sector.
www.tomshardware.com
Intel - Retest, reversal and rejection!NASDAQ:INTC has been establishing a slight bullish trend over the past couple of years.
A clear trend is the basis of every profitable trade, right? Yes and no. You should primarily focus on trading trends and entering positions during such phases. But Intel is a textbook example of a range bound stock; still there are trading opportunities everywhere. Currently Intel is retesting support and is starting to reverse towards the upside. But please: Manage your risk properly.
Levels to watch: $30, $45
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
INTEL : 25 YEARS of consolidationHello there,
Intel a old company with an consolidation of 25 years, since the ubble of Internet values.
Intel don't have take the way of AI for the moment like NVIDIA. BUT don't forget it's a big company with many resources.
Intel have the supercomputeur AURORA and new AI Chips.
The MA (3 months 111) Is a big support for the company.
Reteste of the dowtrend.
it's a good buy here.
If the Top is break : 420 target.
INTEL: WAITING A RETEST FOR A BUY TRADE WITH EXCELLENT R/R RATIOINTEL has long been behaving like the little sister of the big tech companies that have benefited from the sharp rise in prices in recent months. Finally this is the right time: the price has created a new accumulation phase (lasting 47 trading days), and then forcefully breaks upwards to close the gap down created in the 34.12 area.
Now the price could:
Scenario A): retest the 31.75 and then continue the bullish run (In my opinion the most plausible scenario).
Scenario B): continue its upward trend inexorably, but for this the older tech sisters, or in any case the Nasdaq 100 as a whole, will have to become accomplices.
Scenario C): Return to the accumulation area and stay there for a while longer (unlikely scenario).
I recommend being patient and not getting caught up in FOMO. A limit order at 32 guarantees you a very interesting entry price, and an excellent risk-return ratio, with an estimated target of 43. However, in my opinion, this stock is also very interesting from an investment .