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Microsoft Soars to Record High Following Strong Earnings ReportMicrosoft Stock (MSFT) Soars to Record High Following Strong Earnings Report As the chart illustrates, Microsoft (MSFT) shares surged sharply after the close of the regular trading session – an immediate market reaction to the company’s strong quarterly results. According to available data, MSFT's post-market price jumped to $555 per share, exceeding its previous all-time high by more than 8%. Why Did MSFT Share Price Rise? The quarterly report provided several reasons for optimism, including: → Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $3.65, beating analysts’ expectations of $3.37 by over 8%. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, totalling $76.4 billion versus the projected $73.9 billion. → Microsoft’s cloud revenue rose by 27% to $46.7 billion, while Azure’s annualised revenue exceeded $75 billion, driven by growing demand for AI-related services. In response to these results, Barclays analysts quickly raised their price target for Microsoft shares from $550 to $625. Technical Analysis of MSFT Chart It is worth noting that the previous quarterly report was also strong, resulting in the formation of a large bullish gap on 1 May, followed by a sustained upward trend (highlighted by the purple trendline S). Importantly, the gap in the $395–425 range remains unfilled. Yesterday’s report is also likely to result in a large bullish gap at the market open today, though this time, the market context could lead to a different scenario. The key factor here is the long-term ascending channel (shown in blue), which reflects MSFT’s price movements throughout 2024–2025. After the previous strong report, the share price moved from the median to the upper boundary of the channel without setting a new record high. However, following the most recent report, the price has surged deep into overbought territory, potentially setting a multi-month high on the RSI and achieving a significant breakout to a new record. As a result, once the initial excitement around the earnings subsides – and the desire of investors to close long positions intensifies – MSFT could undergo a correction from the upper boundary of the channel. In this scenario, the following support levels could come into play: → The psychological level of $550 in the short term; → The S trendline, as a possible support during a deeper correction. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by FXOpen
MSFT – A correction brewing? zero day CRWD-like scenario?In July 2025, a critical vulnerability in Microsoft SharePoint (CVE-2025-53770) was exploited by threat actors globally. Although the issue was first reported during the Pwn2Own Berlin competition back in May, Microsoft delayed the patch — allowing attackers a significant head start. Over 400 servers and dozens of organizations were breached, including U.S. and European government entities. 💬 On July 18, Reddit users began discussing the flaw’s severity, comparing it to past vulnerabilities like Log4j. Interestingly, this coincided with the first significant technical deviation from the bullish trend — marking a potential beginning of downside momentum. 🔍 In the chart above: Strong bullish run until the Zero-Day disclosure Clear gap beneath current price action TARGET 1 reflects a natural technical retracement toward EMA 50–100 and the mid-term trendline TARGET 2 is conditional – it only applies if a massive event occurs, similar to what we saw with CRWD ⚠️ Key distinction: CrowdStrike: A software update bug caused a global Windows crash — no cyberattack, but massive operational impact Microsoft: A real, actively exploited security vulnerability — with long-tail risk for data leaks, ransomware, and regulatory backlash 🎯 Conclusion: If the SharePoint exploit escalates in visibility or consequences, and Microsoft fails to contain the damage — we could see extended downside pressure. TARGET 2 remains valid only under a high-severity scenario, like CRWD’s global meltdown.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by oTokyou
MSFT - Should you Buy All Time Highs?Hello everyone, I’m TheCafeTrader. Next up in our breakdown of the MAG 7 is Microsoft (MSFT) — this post focuses on a long-term swing trade setup. For short-term analysis, head to my profile and check out the latest posts. ⸻ 💡 The Setup: MSFT continues to ride a strong wave thanks to AI growth, especially with Copilot and its projected impact on revenue. Several analysts have price targets ranging from $550 to $600, which still leaves 10–20% upside from current levels. As of this writing, MSFT closed at $511.70, about 9% above its previous all-time high — and it got there in just five weeks. Momentum is strong, and there’s no clear sign of slowing down. ⸻ 📈 Is Now a Good Time to Buy? Let’s look at two possible strategies: ⸻ Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) vs. Lump-Sum Investing If you’re unfamiliar with DCA: it’s a strategy where you buy in gradually over time. Say you have $5,000 set aside for MSFT — you might invest $1,000 now and continue adding monthly. This is a smart approach in choppy or uncertain markets, but MSFT is not showing weakness right now. Historically, when strong stocks are in clear bull trends, lump-sum investing outperforms DCA. So if you’re confident in MSFT’s long-term potential — and want exposure to the current momentum — a full position now could make sense. If you’re looking for a better price or want to scale in patiently, keep an eye on these key zones. ⸻ 🧭 Areas of Interest on the Chart: 1. Yellow Box (Target Zone): → $550–$600 is the broader analyst price target range. 2. First Demand Line (~$500): Recent signs of active buyer interest. If bulls remain in control, this could act as a springboard. 3. Reinforced Buyer Zone (~$472–$474): This area has been tested and defended before. It’s a strong pullback entry if momentum stalls. 4. Second Demand Line (~$449): A previous base of institutional accumulation. Price may revisit here in a broader market dip. 5. Deep Buyer Zone (~$344–$365): A rare but powerful level where big money entered aggressively. It’s unlikely we revisit this zone — but if we do, it could be a great buy. ⸻ 🧠 Strategy Summary: • Aggressive buyers may consider entering around $500, where recent demand appeared. • More patient traders might wait for MSFT to pull back into the $449–$474 range, where institutional interest has been high. • The $344–$365 zone is a long shot — but would be a massive value area if touched. ⸻ That’s it for the long-term outlook on MSFT. For more short-term trades and entries, check out my other posts — especially as we continue tracking the MAG 7. @thecafetrader
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by thecafetrader
1
Indicator Decoded: RSI Mega Zones: Signals from the EdgeMost traders are familiar with the textbook RSI levels—70 indicating overbought and 30 indicating oversold. But markets, especially in strong momentum phases, do not always obey these boundaries. That is where the concept of Mega Overbought and Mega Oversold zones becomes vital. These are not fixed thresholds, but adaptive zones often beyond 80 and below 20, where the RSI reflects extreme strength or weakness. Rather than acting as reversal points, these levels often signal trend continuation. A reading above 80 is typically seen during powerful uptrends or post-breakout rallies. It indicates not just buying, but unhesitating, aggressive demand, especially after key resistance zones have been cleared. Such RSI levels have often not been seen in several months—if not more than a year—making their appearance especially significant. Rather than a signal of exhaustion, this may be the start of a major trend, suggesting that the broader structure of the stock or index has shifted decisively. Traders who misinterpret this as a reversal signal often find themselves fighting momentum. Instead, price tends to grind higher, sometimes pausing briefly before further gains. This is why the chapter suggests using Mega Overbought zones as confirmation of bullish control, not a trigger for counter-trades. The inverse applies to the Mega Oversold zone—RSI falling below 20. This is usually not a buy-the-dip moment, especially if the broader trend and chart structure are bearish. Such readings typically accompany panic-driven breakdowns, where sellers dominate without any counterforce. These extreme values are often rare and may not have appeared for months or even over a year, marking a moment where the market’s character may be undergoing a structural change. As with Mega Overbought, context is critical. If RSI hits such depths after prolonged distribution or a topping pattern, it does not indicate value—it confirms that the tide has turned, and a strong downtrend may be setting in. Both Mega zones are best used in conjunction with structure—trendlines, volume shifts, anchored VWAP zones, or price patterns. The RSI alone is not enough. But when it aligns with other technical signals, a Mega Overbought or Oversold status becomes a momentum amplifier, not a contrarian prompt. In fact, your RSI chapter rightly warns that entering against such zones can be fatal unless clear divergences, climax patterns, or volume exhaustion are also present. Think of these extremes not as ceilings or floors, but as accelerators when backed by structure. A word of caution: These signals are rare and often widely spaced. The real challenge lies in managing risk–reward, as strong momentum and shallow pullbacks can make it difficult to find entries with favourable R:R ratios. Chart: Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) – Daily Chart with 20-DMA and RSI (as on July 25, 2025) Microsoft continues its strong upward trajectory, with price action staying well above the rising 20-day simple moving average. The recent surge in RSI into the mega overbought zone marks a significant shift in momentum, as the indicator revisits such elevated levels after nearly a year—an occurrence that often coincides with extended bullish phases.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by Gautam_Mazumdar
MSFT Earnings Play (2025-07-31) — STRONG BULLISH SETUP **🚨 MSFT Earnings Play (2025-07-31) — STRONG BULLISH SETUP 🚨** **Microsoft \ NASDAQ:MSFT Pre-Earnings Trade Idea — 545C (Aug 1)** --- ### 🧠 **Earnings Thesis (🔥 80% Conviction)** MSFT is set to report **BMO July 31**, and all signs point *bullish*: 📈 **Revenue Growth**: +13.3% YoY, driven by **AI + Cloud** momentum 💰 **Margins**: Profit 35.8%, Op 45.7%, Gross 69.1% — textbook pricing power 📊 **Guidance**: 100% beat history, avg. +5.8% surprise 📌 **Analyst Consensus**: 💪 Strong Buy | Target: \$549.90 📊 **Sector Tailwinds**: Tech favored in current macro with Fed on hold ➡️ **Score: 9/10 Fundamentals | Bullish Momentum Across the Board** --- ### 🔍 **Options Flow & Technicals** 🔥 **Implied Move**: \~6.3% by Aug 1 📉 **IV Rank**: 0.75 (Room to expand post-earnings) 💸 **Call Flow**: Strong OI in 540–550 zone, gamma buildup may fuel squeeze 📊 **RSI**: 70.14 → Bullish, close to overbought 📈 **Support**: \$505 | **Resistance**: \$518.29 ➡️ **Score: 8/10 Options | 8/10 Technicals** --- ### 🧨 Trade Setup: 545 CALL (Aug 1 Exp) 🎯 **Entry Price**: \$0.90 📅 **Expiry**: 2025-08-01 📈 **Profit Target**: \$1.80 (⚡️+100%) 🛑 **Stop Loss**: \$0.45 📐 **Size**: 2 contracts (2% portfolio risk) 💡 **Timing**: Enter **EOD July 30 (Pre-earnings)** ⚠️ **IV Crush Alert** → Exit within 2 hours *post-earnings* --- ### ✅ RISK PLAN * Position: Max 2–3% of portfolio * IV crush & gap protection: Tight stop and quick post-earnings exit * Exit Plan: \$1.80 or Stop \$0.45, OR close manually after earnings move --- 📊 **Trade JSON Snapshot** ```json { "ticker": "MSFT", "direction": "CALL", "strike": 545, "entry": 0.90, "target": 1.80, "stop": 0.45, "expiry": "2025-08-01", "entry_time": "EOD Jul 30", "earnings_date": "2025-07-31 BMO", "confidence": "80%", "expected_move": "6.3%", "iv_rank": "0.75" } ``` --- 🧠 **Summary** MSFT is poised for a **clean earnings beat** with bullish fundamentals, strong options flow, and upside momentum. This is a **high-conviction, short-dated trade** with defined risk. 🎯 **Watchlist it. Size smart. Exit fast.**
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by quantsignals
MSFT Post-Earnings Surge. 8/1MSFT Post-Earnings Surge — Consolidation Before Another Leg Up or First Sign of Exhaustion? 🔍 GEX & Options Flow Insight (1st Image Analysis) Microsoft exploded higher after earnings, reaching the mid-$530s before pulling back slightly. It now sits between strong gamma support and a major Call Wall cluster, indicating a consolidation phase that could lead to either a continuation move or a deeper retracement. * Call Walls & Resistance: * 📍 $537.60 → Current price zone, right under minor gamma resistance * 📍 $540.00 → 2nd Call Wall (95.45% GEX7) * 🧱 $545–$562 → GEX8/extension zone for a bullish breakout target * Put Support Zones: * 🛡️ $530–$525 → Gamma pivot area; losing this would weaken bullish positioning * 📉 $510.00–$505.00 → Strong HVL + PUT wall support * 🚨 $490 → Second PUT wall = major breakdown trigger * Volatility Insight: * IVR 5.4, IVx Avg 22.7 → Low IV = cheaper premium for spreads * Call flow 1.3% = Low aggressive bullish positioning * GEX sentiment: 🟢🟡🟢 = Still supportive for consolidation with bullish lean ✅ Option Trading Suggestion: Bias: Bullish consolidation, but near-term capped under $540 unless volume expansion
Strategy: Debit call spread for limited risk * Entry Idea: Buy 540C / Sell 550C for Aug 2 or Aug 9 expiry * Invalidation: Daily close under $525 * Target: $545 short-term, $562 on breakout Why this works: MSFT is supported by gamma positioning above $525 and could make a clean push toward $545+ if earnings momentum continues. Spreads help protect from IV crush after earnings. 🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) (2nd Image Analysis) Market Structure & SMC: * ✅ Clear BOS (Break of Structure) on earnings gap * 🟢 Price is consolidating within the post-gap range * ⚠️ Potential CHoCH forming if price fails $525, which would indicate weakness Trendline Dynamics: * Holding above short-term uptrend support line * Still in a steep post-gap bullish channel SMC Zones: * 🟩 Demand / OB Zone: $530–$525 → High-probability bounce area * 🟥 Supply Zone (Purple Box): $538–$545 → Overhead resistance from post-gap highs 🔄 Price Action & Key Levels * Support: * ✅ $530–$525 → First defensive zone * ✅ $517–$513 → Secondary support * 🚨 $510–$505 → Hard gamma floor * Resistance: * 🚩 $540 → 2nd Call Wall resistance * 🚀 $545–$562 → Extension zone if breakout occurs 🧭 Scalping / Intraday Trade Setup 🟩 Bullish Setup: * Entry: $530–$532 dip reclaim * Target 1: $540 * Target 2: $545–$550 extension * Stop: Close under $525 🟥 Bearish Pullback Setup: * Entry: Rejection at $540 * Target 1: $530 * Target 2: $525 * Stop: Breakout above $540 with volume 🔁 Summary Thoughts * MSFT has post-earnings momentum but is consolidating just below a Call Wall cluster. * Holding $525–$530 keeps the bullish case alive toward $545+. * Options are cheap enough for defined-risk bullish spreads, but caution if $525 breaks. * Expect range-bound chop until a decisive breakout over $540 or a breakdown under $525. 🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
Microsoft’s Big Moves This Quarter | From Activision to AI AgentMicrosoft’s Revenue Surge: The Power of AI, Gaming, and Strategic Investments Microsoft has released its Q1 FY25 earnings for the quarter ending in September The stock saw a 6% drop, indicating the results fell short of investors' high hopes. Trading at over 30 times projected earnings for next year, expectations for Microsoft were significant. CEO Satya Nadella stated “Our AI business is set to exceed an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion next quarter, making it the fastest business in our history to reach this milestone.” This means that AI will soon account for about 4% of Microsoft's total revenue in under three years a remarkable feat for a global giant. If you need a quick summary, here are three main points: 1. ☁️ Azure’s growth is slowing. As Microsoft’s key player in the AI competition, Azure grew 34%, down slightly from 35% in the prior quarter (after adjustments). This comes as Google Cloud raised the bar, with its growth accelerating from 29% to 35% during the same period. 2. 🤖 AI growth is limited by hardware supply, as capacity struggles to meet demand. Data center expansion is a long-term process, and Microsoft is investing heavily in infrastructure, aiming for a growth boost by 2025. 3. 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 Consumer-focused products like Gaming and Devices are underperforming. Although not essential to Microsoft's core business, their poor performance has impacted overall results. Here’s a breakdown of the insights from the quarter. Overview of today’s insights: - New segmentation. - Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 overview. - Key earnings call highlights. - Future areas to monitor. 1. New Segmentation Revised Business Segments In August, Microsoft announced a reorganization of its business segments, effective this quarter. The purpose? To better align financial reporting with the current business structure and strategic management. Summary of the main changes - Microsoft 365 Commercial revenue consolidation: All M365 commercial revenue, including mobility and security services, now falls under the Productivity and Business Processes segment. -Copilot Pro revenue shift: Revenue from the Copilot Pro tool was moved from Productivity and Business Processes to the More Personal Computing segment under Search and news advertising. -Nuance Enterprise reallocation: Revenue from Nuance, previously part of Intelligent Cloud, is now included in Productivity and Business Processes. -Windows and Devices reporting combination: Microsoft now reports Windows and Devices revenue together. Impact of These Changes: Core Segments Overview: In summary: - The Productivity and Business Processes segment has grown significantly. - The Intelligent Cloud segment has decreased due to the reallocation of Nuance and other revenue. Products and Services Overview: - M365 Commercial now includes Nuance, shifted from the Server products category, along with integrated mobility and security services. - Windows & Devices have been merged into a single, slower-growth category. Additional Insights: - Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, is reported within 'Server products and cloud services.' Although its growth rate is shared by management, exact revenue figures remain undisclosed. Azure’s past growth figures have been adjusted for consistency, with the last quarter’s constant currency growth recast from 30% to 35%, setting a higher benchmark. Tracking these metrics is challenging due to limited revenue disclosure, but this recast indicates Azure's raised growth expectations. 2. Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 Performance Financial Summary: -Revenue: Up 16% year-over-year, reaching $65.6 billion (exceeding estimates by $1 billion). Post-Activision Blizzard acquisition in October 2023, the growth was 13% excluding the merger. New Product and Services Segmentation Results - Server products & cloud services: $22.2 billion (+23% Y/Y). - M365 Commercial: $20.4 billion (+13% Y/Y). - Gaming: $5.6 billion (+43% Y/Y), influenced by Activision. - Windows & Devices: $4.3 billion (flat Y/Y). - LinkedIn: $4.3 billion (+10% Y/Y). - Search & news advertising: $3.2 billion (+7% Y/Y). - Enterprise & partner services: $1.9 billion (flat Y/Y). - Dynamics: $1.8 billion (+14% Y/Y). - M365 Consumer products: $1.7 billion (+5% Y/Y). Core Business Segments Breakdown: - Productivity and Business Processes: Increased 12% Y/Y to $28.3 billion, supported by M365 Commercial, especially Copilot adoption. - Intelligent Cloud: Grew 20% Y/Y to $24.1 billion, with Azure AI driving growth. - More Personal Computing: Grew 17% Y/Y to $13.2 billion, including a 15-point boost from Activision. Devices fell, but search and ad performance improved under new segmentation. Key Observations: - Microsoft Cloud revenue climbed 22% Y/Y to $39 billion, making up 59% of total revenue (+3 percentage points Y/Y). - Azure continues to drive cloud services and server products' growth. - Xbox growth has surged due to the Activision acquisition since Q2 FY24, expected to stabilize by Q2 FY25. - Windows OEM and devices combined, showing a 2% decline in Q1 FY25. - Office rebranded to Microsoft 365; updated naming will be used starting next quarter. - Margins: Gross margin at 69% (down 2pp Y/Y, 1pp Q/Q); operating margin at 47% (down 1pp Y/Y, up 4pp Q/Q). - EPS: Increased 10% to $3.30, beating by $0.19. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: - Operating cash flow: $34 billion (52% margin, down 2pp Y/Y). - Cash**: $78 billion; Long-term debt**: $43 billion. Q2 FY25 Outlook: - Productivity and Business Processes: Anticipated 10%-11% Y/Y growth, steady due to M365, Copilot inclusion, and expected LinkedIn growth of ~10%. Dynamics set to grow mid-to-high teens. - Intelligent Cloud: Projected 18%-20% Y/Y growth, slightly slowing, with Azure growth expected between 28%-29%. - More Personal Computing: Forecasted ~$14 billion revenue, declines in Windows, Devices, and Gaming anticipated, with some offset from Copilot Pro. Main Takeaways: - Azure's growth slowed to 34% Y/Y in constant currency, with AI services contributing 12pp, up from 11pp last quarter. This marks a dip from the recast 35% prior and included an accounting boost. - Capacity limitations in AI persist; more infrastructure investments are planned, with reacceleration expected in H2 FY25. - Commercial performance obligations grew 21% to $259 billion, up from 20% in Q4. - Margins were pressured by AI infrastructure investments; Activision reduced the operating margin by 2 points. - Capital expenditures increased by 50% to $15 billion, half dedicated to infrastructure, with further Capex growth expected. - Shareholder returns included $9.0 billion through buybacks and dividends, matching Q4 repurchases. Earnings Call Highlights: Azure AI saw a doubling of usage over six months, positioning it as a foundation for services like Cosmos DB and SQL DB. Microsoft Fabric adoption grew 14% sequentially, signaling rapid uptake. AI Expansion: GitHub Copilot enterprise use surged 55% Q/Q, with AI-powered capabilities used by nearly 600,000 organizations, a 4x increase Y/Y. M365 Copilot has achieved a 70% adoption rate among Fortune 500 companies and continues to grow rapidly. LinkedIn saw accelerated growth in markets like India and Brazil and a 6x quarterly increase in video views, aligning with broader social media trends. Search and Gaming: Bing’s revenue growth surpassed the market, while Game Pass hit a new revenue record, propelled by Black Ops 6 Capital Expenditures: CFO Amy Hood highlighted that half of cloud and AI investments are for long-term infrastructure, positioning the company for sustained growth. 4. Future Outlook Energy Needs: Microsoft, facing higher power demands, plans to revive a reactor at Three Mile Island with Constellation Energy by 2028 to power its AI data centers sustainably. Autonomous AI Agents: Coming in November, these agents will perform tasks with minimal human input, enhancing efficiency. Copilot Studio will allow businesses to customize these agents, with 10 pre-built options to start. Industry Impact: Salesforce has launched Agentforce, signaling increased competition. CEO Mark Benioff recently compared Microsoft’s Copilot to the nostalgic Clippy, stoking rivalry. For further analysis stay tuned
NASDAQ:MSFT
by moonypto
Does Everyone Remember Why The Bubble Popped in Y2K?I heard on Bloomberg Television this morning that they didn't have any recollection of a good reason for the stock market bubble of 1995-2000 to pop. I was stunned that a portfolio manager of such standing had the guts to say that he didn't understand why the market topped in 2000. This is how history gets re-written by people who didn't pay attention and didn't learn from the past, so how can we trust anything that we read, see, hear today? People don't remember. Why don't people remember? I think that is the fodder for someone to write a book, which isn't the point of this publication today. What I think "market history" means to us is that there is a fair and unbiased reporting of history and what TradingView does by keeping people's published charts online and not deleting bad forecasts is very refreshing. When TradingView started, I knew immediately that this model was the way to go. It was easy for people to "delete a Tweet" about their "buy recommendation" that didn't pan out. It was easy for people to "lie by omission" by removing the bad forecasts and keeping the ones that worked. I can add a couple of other points about the Y2K top: One of them was the SEC chairman Arthur Levitt starting the idea of a rule in December 1999 for "Fair Disclosure". This eliminated anyone getting any special information ahead of the crowd and assured a 'level playing field.' There was another Government Regulation to limit the speed of dial up internet access to 53K from the stated 56K speed. This was in 2000. The chart published is the close of March 31, 2000 when the Gov't announced their ANTI-TRUST CASE AGAINST MICROSOFT with the stock at $53.13. On Monday, NASDAQ:MSFT opened at $47.22 closed at $45.44, -7.69 that day and proceeded to drop to $20.13 over the ensuing bear market. $53.13 to $20.13 is a massive $33 point drop.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by timwest
Don't Short MSFT. 2 long scenarios. Hi, I’m The Cafe Trader. Today we’re diving into the heart of this very bullish run on MSFT. One of the key lessons I’ve learned: Never get in the way of a strong bull trend — especially just after a breakout. ⸻ 🔍 Price Action Overview: MSFT has been respecting a strong trendline since its initial gap-up. This has created multiple breakout trade opportunities — and we’ve just spotted another one. I’ve also outlined a secondary setup worth watching. We recently completed a 3-bar break. Combine that with rising volume, and this suggests a potential move to $522.23. ⏳ I’m expecting a brief consolidation (2–3 trading days) before the next leg up. ⸻ 🟢 Trade Setup: • Entry: $511.70 • Risk Level: Trade remains valid until a daily close below $500 • Reward: TP at $522.23 • Risk-to-Reward: 1:1 at entry; improves with any dip before breakout ⸻ 💡 Optional Trade: Swing Trading Options Options are about two things: price and timing. Right now, timing looks great — but option pricing is a bit high. The key is to go from out-of-the-money to in-the-money, and to give yourself at least 5 days on your contracts. Here are some strike prices I’m watching (assumes expiration 7/25 or later): • $515 Call — Entry: $2.00 or less → TP: $6.00+ • $517.5 Call — Entry: $1.30 or less → TP: $3.90+ • $520 Call — Entry: $0.70 or less → TP: $2.10+ These levels give you a strong RR if you can catch the right pullback. ⸻ 🔁 Secondary Trade Idea: Bounce at $500 The $500 level is both a psychological number and a reinforced demand zone. While it overlaps with the stop on our main setup, this trade assumes MSFT pushes higher first, then retraces to $500 for a fresh leg up. This area will likely play a key role in future price action. If we see a pullback into this zone with contextual selling pressure, it could offer a clean high-probability bounce. Take profit levels would depend on how price behaves as it sells into this level — but keep this area marked. ⸻ Thanks for reading — be sure to check out my other MAG 7 analysis. @thecafetrader
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by thecafetrader
Microsoft (MSFT)–Watching for Pullback Entry After $4T MilestoneMicrosoft Corp. NASDAQ:MSFT has become the second company after Nvidia to cross the $4 trillion market cap, powered by strong AI and cloud demand. Azure revenue grew 34% to $75B in 2024, with a $30B AI infrastructure investment fueling future growth. Q4 EPS came in at $3.65 on $76.4B revenue, showing strong fundamentals. We are looking for a pullback to key support for a long entry: Trade Plan: Entry Zone: $515 – $518 Take Profit: $536, $555 Stop Loss: $502 #Microsoft #MSFT #Stocks #Trading #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #AI #Cloud #BigTech #NASDAQ
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Richtv_official
MSFT EARNINGSMicrosoft (MSFT) is consolidating near the upper edge of its ascending channel, with strong institutional defense between 490–500. The 510–520 range shows absorption and may trigger a directional breakout. A close above 515 could ignite momentum toward 530. Upside target: 530 Downside target: 490 (support) then 480 #MSFT #globaltrade #investment #investing #stockmarket #wealth #realestate #markets #economy #finance #money #forex #trading #price #business #currency #blockchain #crypto #cryptocurrency #airdrop #btc #ethereum #ico #altcoin #cryptonews #Bitcoin #ipo
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by alexpv73
Microsoft hits record highs days before earnings dayMicrosoft Corporation (symbol ‘MSFT’) share price reached a new all-time high on July 17 at $511.70 while on July 18 it even reached $514.64 intraday. The company’s earnings report for the fiscal quarter ending June 2025 is expected to be released on Wednesday, July 30th, after market close. The consensus EPS is $3.35 against $2.95 of the same quarter last year. Microsoft is still holding its higher market cap compared to its main competitor, Apple, with $3.75 trillion against $3.02 trillion. Recently, Microsoft’s web-based platform “SharePoint” was hijacked, with Microsoft quickly reacting with patches to resolve the issue. As of today, there was no significant effect on the share price, but as the story unfolds, we might see some market reaction. Technical analysis shows that the price has found sufficient support on the lower band of the Bollinger bands in early April and has since entered a rather aggressive bullish rally until the day of this report being written. As a result of the bullish rally, the Stochastic oscillator has been pushed to extreme overbought levels and has recently corrected to neutral levels, hinting that the price could move in either direction in the near short term. On the other hand, the moving averages are still validating an overall bullish trend in the market while the Bollinger bands are quite contracted, showing that volatility has dried up, and it might take some time to witness any significant moves.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Microsoft Sees Declining Trading Volume Despite All Time HighsSince December of 2021, MSFT traded within a Rising Wedge structure that has gradually resulted in lower and lower highs in volume, at the same time IV on the Options Chain has begun to price down the strikes above $515 while Shorter Term Downside IV has begun to price up all the way out to $240.00. If this trend continues we will likely see the $515 area act as strong resistance as liquid interest above it begins to dry out. This could be the beginning of a move to break down the wedge and trade down to the lower strikes first targeting the $365 price level and resolving around $240 near the 200 Period SMA.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by RizeSenpai
MICROSOFT Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 071525Trading idea - Hit the top > 507/423.60% Chart time frame:D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:E A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by fibonacci6180
MSFT Setting Up for a Breakdown or Bounce - July 16MSFT Setting Up for a Breakdown or Bounce – Key Option Levels in Play 💥 🔹 Options GEX Analysis (Tanuki GEX View): * Gamma Resistance (Call Wall):
→ $510 is the highest GEX level, acting as a ceiling.
→ $507.5 is the 3rd Call Wall and minor resistance. * PUT Walls and Gamma Support:
→ $502.5 = HVL (High Volume Level)
→ $500 = key strike with heavy Put interest
→ $497.5 and $492.5 = deeper support levels * GEX Bias:
→ IVR = 23, IVx avg = 24.2
→ 0.4% Put Skew → Neutral bias with slight downside lean
→ If MSFT trades below $502.5, dealers may start to hedge short, increasing downside gamma pressure. 🟩 Option Trade Idea: * Bearish Put Debit Spread:
Buy $505p / Sell $495p for next week
Entry near $503, looking for breakdown to $497. * Neutral Fade:
Sell Call spread near $507.5–510 if price stays below $504 by open. 🔹 1-Hour Chart Trading Setup (Price Action): * Structure:
MSFT printed a CHoCH after failing to break the $507 supply zone (order block).
Price lost trendline support and is testing $502 area again. * Smart Money Concepts: * BOS occurred into 506s before reversal * CHoCH confirmed at $502 * Current price is consolidating just above $502. Break below signals weakness. * Support Zones: * 502.5 → 500 → 497.5 * Demand at 493–488 * Resistance Zones: * 504.5 → 506.5 → 510 * Overhead OB rejection seen on last attempt 🟦 Intraday Trade Setup: Bearish Breakdown Setup: * Entry: Below $502 * Target: $497.5 → $493 * Stop-loss: $504.50 Reclaim & Squeeze Setup: * Entry: If holds above $504.5 * Target: $507.5 → $510 * Stop-loss: $502 🧠 My Thoughts:
The failed breakout and CHoCH hint that MSFT may drift down unless it reclaims $504. With options GEX neutral-to-bearish and IV low, a fade toward 497.5–493 could be in play. However, if buyers step in at HVL $502.5 and flip the trendline, we may see a gamma squeeze attempt to $507–510. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade with a plan and proper risk management.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
MSFT at Gamma Wall Crossroads–Will 506 Break This Time? July 14🧠 GEX and Options Sentiment (TanukiTrade GEX) * GEX Zone Summary: * 📈 Call Wall 1 (503.5–506.7) → major Gamma Resistance. * 🧱 Gamma Wall (506.77) = Highest positive NETGEX — key sell zone for market makers. * 🟢 GEX Flow: Moderate call dominance (1.95%) — not yet extreme bullish. * 🟣 IVR 22.8 (low), IVX avg 25.2 – implied vol remains subdued. * Options Suggestion: * ⚠️ A move above 506.8 could trigger dealer hedging and gamma squeeze. * Trade Idea (Bullish): * Buy 510C or 515C (Jul 19/Jul 26 expiry) on breakout above 507 with volume. * Stop: <503. Target: 512/516. * 🚨 If rejection at Gamma Wall (506.8), fade the move: * Trade Idea (Bearish): * Buy 500P or 495P on rejection or candle close below 503. * Target: 497.8 / 494. Stop: 506.5. 📉 1H Technical Trading Plan (Smart Money Concepts) * Structure: * Price made CHoCH → BOS toward 506 zone, now consolidating below resistance. * Minor rejection seen from inside the purple supply box at 506. * If bulls hold 501–503 zone, could be prepping a second push. * Key Levels: * Support: 501.48 / 497.78 / 494.11 * Resistance: 504.46 / 506.77 * Bias: * 🟢 Bullish above 504.50, expecting breakout toward 510–512. * 🔴 Bearish below 501.5, likely drop toward 497.8–495. * Intraday Trading Setup: * Scalp Long: Entry 504.5–505. Breakout candle confirmation. * TP: 507. SL: 503.8 * Scalp Short: Entry <501.3 * TP: 498, SL: 503 * Swing Trade Scenario: * Enter swing calls above 507. Hold for 515+ next week. * Enter puts only if breakdown below 497.8 with CHoCH back down. 🎯 Final Thoughts: MSFT is trading tightly below a significant GEX Call Wall, which often leads to a volatile breakout or strong rejection. If bulls push through 507+, we could see a sharp gamma squeeze into 510–515. However, if this fails, price may fade back toward 495–490 zone quickly. Patience at resistance is key. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
Microsoft from 2000 to 2017 - Ranging Moments - 13/07/2025A lot of patience is required by Investors. Stakeholders' Trust and good faith are required in company products & services. Also Board of Directors and Company Management play a big role in growing the company. An amazing point I can notice, During this period, Steve Ballmer was from 2000 to 2014. The CEO plays a crucial role in determining the company's hard pocket returns for investors or the highest risk for investors. After Stever Ballmer left his position, Microsoft did 10X in stock price. From approx $50 to $500 within the period of 8 years only. So What made Microsoft in ranging price points for that period? Innovation? Bad Choices of Acquisition? If you have any good points to connect, comment down on this post? Happy trading.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by VishalBudhrani
MSFT Charging Toward Resistance for July 10MSFT Charging Toward Resistance — What the Gamma Map Reveals for This Week’s Trading 🔍 GEX Analysis – Options Sentiment Outlook MSFT’s current positioning reveals a relatively neutral options sentiment with slight bullish bias: * GEX at $507.12 marks the highest positive gamma exposure and major resistance. It's also aligned with the 3rd CALL Wall and the Gamma Wall, making this level a magnet and a potential stall zone. * Beneath price, multiple PUT walls form strong support between $487 and $490, with the final PUT Support down at $485. * The HVL (High Volume Level) sits at $492.55, which now serves as an intraday support pivot. * IVR is low at 21.6 and IVx avg is 22.2, showing little fear or demand for expensive protection, suggesting a stable grind rather than explosive moves. 📌 Options Strategy Suggestion: * Bullish Setup: Use $500–$510 Call Spread (July 12 expiry) targeting the gamma wall at $507+. Entry is favorable as long as MSFT holds above $498. * Neutral Setup: Consider Iron Condor between $490–$510 if price consolidates below $507. 📉 1H Technical Chart Insights * MSFT recently confirmed a BOS (Break of Structure) after rejecting from the previous supply zone, now attempting to build a bullish continuation flag. * A new demand zone has formed around $498–$500, which aligns with the GEX 2nd CALL Wall and short-term trendline support. * Price is consolidating under the purple supply box, and a clean break over $503.50 could trigger a momentum run toward $507.12. * Structure still holds a bullish bias as long as MSFT remains above the $496–$498 confluence zone, supported by prior CHoCH, trendline, and OB zones. 🧭 Trading Outlook * Bullish Scenario: Break and hold above $503.50 could trigger a fast move toward $507–$510. Ideal entry: $502.50–$503. Stop-loss: Below $498. Target: $507. * Bearish Rejection: If MSFT rejects at $503.50 and breaks below $498, it may revisit the demand zone at $492. Ideal PUT entry: break below $496. Target: $490. Conclusion:
MSFT is sitting just under heavy gamma resistance with demand stacked below. Traders can prepare for a breakout continuation toward $507+ or a fade from resistance into $498–$492 support zone. Use options spreads or short-term directional plays based on the breakout or rejection setup. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and confirm your setups before entering trades.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights