Netflix Skyrockets After Q1 Revenue Surge: What’s Next?📺 NASDAQ:NFLX has recently exhibited a strong bullish trend, supported by both technical breakout structure and positive fundamental developments. After an extended rally from the March lows, the stock managed to break above a key resistance zone between $1,080 and $1,100, it has now been decisively cleared. With this breakout, the structure confirms bullish momentum, and the expectation is for a retest of this newly formed support area before resuming the uptrend.
The price is currently around $1,133, and a pullback into the $1,060–$1,080 zone would present a high-probability buy opportunity. This aligns with classic price action behavior: after a breakout, markets often retrace to test former resistance, now turned support. If we see it retest, it would validate the technical setup for a continuation move toward the projected target of $1,220.
🌟From a fundamental perspective, the recent Q1 earnings report (released on April 17, 2025) added strong fuel to the upside momentum. Netflix reported $10.54 billion in revenue for the quarter, exceeding Wall Street’s expectations and representing a 13% year-over-year growth. Net income also impressed, coming in at $2.9 billion. Perhaps more telling than the earnings themselves was Netflix’s decision to stop reporting quarterly subscriber numbers. This shift in focus toward profitability and revenue per user signals confidence in their monetization model and emphasizes a transition to a more mature phase of growth. Management’s tone on the earnings call adds to all this, citing growing traction in its ad-supported tier and plans to expand into live sports and podcast-style content.
💰Technically, the overall structure remains bullish. The breakout is clean, and volume is supportive. The area above $1,140 has low volume resistance, which means price can move relatively easily toward the next psychological barrier at $1,220. Any deeper pullback that breaches below $1,020 would invalidate the short-term bullish bias, as it would signal a failure to hold above former resistance and could mean the start of a deeper correction toward the trendline support from last October.
🚀 In conclusion, the current market behavior suggests Netflix is in the process of forming a bullish continuation, supported by a clean breakout above prior resistance, robust financial performance, and an optimistic revenue outlook.
Price is likely to retest the breakout zone, offering a potential long setup anticipating a move higher if momentum remains strong. The technical picture is backed by future growth plans, making Netflix a stock to watch closely in the coming weeks for confirmation of the pullback and continuation.
NFLX trade ideas
Nflx.. It's almost timeAscending broadening wedge pattern showing here..
Monthly RSI is over 80 which means NFLX stands a higher chance of tagging 700 before 1300..
Daily RSI and Money Flow is absurd
Weekly candle is outside Bollingerband
It's just red flag after red flag for this stock
I don't think this clears 1150 and I think the next stop is 900 before a dead cat bounce
Monthly chart
Bulls see a break out above yellow trendline but I see a fake out..
Price is extended way above monthly bbands and like I said before, the monthly RSI is approaching 90, that is not a combination for a sustainable breakout...
I think a 50% discount is coming for this stock in the next year
Netflix - The bulls just never stop!Netflix - NASDAQ:NFLX - is insanely bullish now:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
The entire stock market basically collapsed during April. Meanwhile, Netflix is creating new all time highs with a +20% parabolic bullish candle. Looking at the chart, this strength is very likely to continue even more until Netflix will (again) retest the upper resistance trendline.
Levels to watch: $1.400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
NFLX Institutional Momentum Anchored in Multi-Decade ChannelNetflix (NFLX) has maintained a structurally intact long-term bullish momentum, consistently trading within a well-defined ascending channel dating back to the early 2000s. Price action has respected dynamic support and resistance levels within the channel, establishing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows that validate the primary uptrend.
Following a breakout from a major resistance zone around 2023, the stock exhibited accelerated bullish momentum, aligning with internal demand structures and confirming institutional accumulation. Price is currently advancing toward the upper boundary of the long-term channel, with the projected target around 4,935, coinciding with channel confluence and historical extension levels.
As long as the price action maintains structural integrity above the key anchored support near 1,154, the prevailing trend remains decisively bullish. A clean break and close above the upper bound of the channel may trigger an extended rally, while any rejection at this level would likely result in a cyclical mean reversion toward mid-channel equilibrium.
Understanding the Recent Rise and Preparing for a Potential Dip.In our previous analysis, we highlighted the initial stock decline of Netflix driven by concerns surrounding potential tariffs and anticipated a deeper correction.
However, investor greed ("The Greed Butterfly") took flight, pushing the stock upwards.
While this surge might seem positive, it's important to understand the market dynamics at play. This rapid ascent, fueled by speculative buying and the fear of missing out (FOMO), is likely unsustainable. Like a butterfly that has exhausted its energy, the stock needs a significant period of consolidation and rest.
This suggests that a deeper correction than initially anticipated is still possible. The "Greed Butterfly" needs to land and allow fundamentals to catch up.
SEYED.
Netflix Wave Analysis – 29 April 2025
- Netflix broke key resistance level 1063.40
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1150.00
Netflix recently broke the key resistance level 1063.40 (former multi-month high from February, which stopped the B-wave of the previous ABC correction (B)).
The price just broke the resistance trendline of the weekly up channel from October – which should accelerate the active impulse waves 3 and (5).
Given the clear daily uptrend, Netflix can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 1150.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
NETFLIX The 3rd Major Bull Wave has begun.Netflix (NFLX) is about to complete its 3rd straight green 1W candle since the April 07 2025 Low. That was not just any Low but a technical Higher Low at the bottom of the 3-year Channel Up.
At the same time, it almost touched the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was lasted tested (and held) on October 16 2023. The bottom was also formed on a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence similar to the April 2022 major market bottom.
Those two Lows macro bottoms initiated similar rallies of +196% and +210% respectively. As a result, we expect Netflix to reach at least $2200 around this time next year.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NFLX: Potential Double TopNFLX may be double Topping at this point after breaking slightly past it to previous high. The significant run up does not seem to be tied to the companies earnings report, which was a few days ago but it is possible that this is a delayed reaction to what were decent earnings. That said, there’s likely going to be a retrace after this strong of a move. It’s a high risk short but no risk no reward.
NETFLIX: Good results and BULLISH technical outlook!!If there is any NASDAQ company that is weathering the strong downturn, one of them is NETFLIX. Last Thursday, it presented BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED results for both Q1 2025 and the guidance for the next quarter.
As anticipated by the Company, this quarter is the first in which it does not publish subscriber data. It only states that growth has been "slightly" higher than estimated. This leads to focusing attention on revenue and margin growth, which show a truly positive evolution.
The EBIT margin is expanding (to 31.7% vs. 28.1% in Q1 2024) thanks to price increases in various geographies and the good performance of advertising plans. All of this, in turn, favors the acceleration of free cash flow generation (+26% y/y, up to $2,789M).
For the full year, it reaffirms guidance and maintains its estimate of reaching revenues of $43.5B/$44.5B (+12%/+14% y/y) with an EBIT margin of 29% (vs. 28% previously). In short, good figures that lead us to reiterate our positive view on the stock.
--> And its technical aspect?
If we observe the chart, its trend is clearly BULLISH, and after a price pullback, finding support on its dynamic support and RESPECTING IT!!, it has regained BULLISH STRENGTH, which, supported by the presented results, EVERYTHING POINTS TO NEW HIGHS.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions when the price exceeds 1000.
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 1060 zone (+5%)
--> Stop Loss at 947 (-5%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5%) (coinciding with the 947 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (1060).
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CLARIFICATIONS OF THE SET UP
*** How to know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue to gain value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
--> Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price makes a downward movement of -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on the gains, therefore, the risk becomes lower and lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable trends in the price can be exploited, maximizing profits.
$NFLX - Earnings Top of the Implied move Hit
TA +options never ceases to amaze me.
This was the implied move for Netflix on Friday
And check out the after-hours price action.
It hit the top of the implied move and pulled back a little.
Top of the implied move was 1022 - after hours high? 1024.
So beautiful!!
CLEAR BUYLet’s break down the chart for Netflix (NFLX) on this 4-hour timeframe and analyze the setup for trading in the coming week, starting April 21, 2025. The chart provides a mix of technical indicators, price action, and annotations that can guide our trading strategy. However, please note that trading involves risk, and this analysis is for educational purposes only—you should always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance.
Chart Analysis
1. Price Levels and Trend
• Current Price: NFLX is trading at $1,007 as of April 20, 2025, up 11 points (+1.19%) on the 4-hour chart.
• Recent Highs and Lows: The chart shows a high of $1,067 and a low of $813 within the displayed timeframe (early 2025). The price has been volatile, with a sharp drop followed by a recovery.
• Moving Averages: The chart appears to use moving averages (likely the 20-period and 50-period, based on typical TradingView setups). The price is currently interacting with these averages, suggesting a potential consolidation or breakout zone.
2. Key Levels and Annotations
• Resistance (Break/Retest): There’s a resistance zone around $1,007–$1,067, marked as “Break” and “Retest.” The price recently broke through this level and is now retesting it, which could act as support if the retest holds.
• Support: A key support zone is around $938–$948, labeled “Fortune AI.” This level was tested multiple times and held as support during the recovery.
• Lower Support: Another support level exists around $850, marked as a “Break” zone where the price previously found a bottom.
3. Trade Signals
• Short Signal: A “SHORT” signal is marked around $962, which aligns with the recent pullback from the $1,067 high. This suggests a bearish move was anticipated, but the price has since moved higher.
• Long Signal: A “LONG” signal is marked around $850, which was the bottom of the sharp drop. This signal paid off as the price rallied to $1,007.
• Current Bias: The chart shows a “Bull” bias on the 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily timeframes, indicating a broader uptrend despite the recent volatility.
4. Indicators
• RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is overbought (“Ove”), which suggests that NFLX might be due for a pullback or consolidation. Overbought conditions often precede a correction, but in strong trends, prices can remain overbought for extended periods.
• MACD: The MACD is showing a “Down” signal, indicating bearish momentum in the short term. This could mean a potential pullback before the next leg up.
• ADX (Average Directional Index): The ADX trend is “Down,” suggesting that the trend strength is weakening, which aligns with the idea of consolidation or a pullback.
• Aroon: The Aroon indicator shows a “Down” trend, further supporting a potential short-term bearish move or consolidation.
• Volatility: Volatility is marked as “Green C,” which might indicate increasing volatility, potentially leading to larger price swings.
• Red Candles: The presence of “Red Can” (red candles) suggests bearish price action in the recent candles, which aligns with the MACD and Aroon signals.
5. Timeframe Context
• The chart is on a 4-hour timeframe, and the session volatility is marked as “Green,” meaning the current session is active with potential for movement.
• The broader trend (daily timeframe) is bullish, which suggests that any pullbacks might be buying opportunities within the larger uptrend.
Trading Strategy for the Coming Week
Given the analysis, here are two potential setups for trading NFLX this week:
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (Buy on Pullback)
• Rationale: The broader trend is bullish (1-hour, 4-hour, daily), and the price is retesting a key breakout level around $1,007. If this level holds as support, it could be a good opportunity for a long position.
• Entry: Look for a pullback to the $1,007–$1,000 range. Confirm the entry with a bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., a hammer or engulfing pattern) or a bounce off the moving averages.
• Target: The next resistance is around $1,067 (recent high). If momentum continues, NFLX could push toward $1,100, a psychological level.
• Stop Loss: Place a stop below the $1,000 support, around $995, to account for minor wicks. If the price breaks below $1,000, the bullish setup is invalidated.
• Risk/Reward: Targeting $1,067 from $1,007 gives a 60-point gain, with a 12-point risk, yielding a risk/reward ratio of about 5:1.
Scenario 2: Bearish Pullback (Short Opportunity)
• Rationale: The RSI is overbought, and the MACD, Aroon, and ADX suggest short-term bearish momentum. The price may pull back to test lower support levels before resuming the uptrend.
• Entry: Enter a short position if the price fails to hold $1,007 and breaks below with a bearish confirmation (e.g., a strong red candle or break of the moving averages).
• Target: The first target is the $948–$938 support zone (“Fortune AI”). If momentum continues, the price could drop to $850.
• Stop Loss: Place a stop above $1,020 to account for a potential retest of higher levels. This keeps the risk tight.
• Risk/Reward: Targeting $948 from $1,007 gives a 59-point gain, with a 13-point risk, yielding a risk/reward ratio of about 4.5:1.
Key Levels to Watch
• Upside: $1,067 (resistance), $1,100 (psychological level).
• Downside: $1,000 (immediate support), $948–$938 (key support), $850 (lower support).
Risk Management
• Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1–2% of your account on any single trade. For example, if your account is $10,000, your maximum risk per trade should be $100–$200.
• Volatility: The chart indicates increasing volatility (“Green C”). Be prepared for larger price swings and adjust your position size accordingly.
• News Catalysts: Netflix’s stock can be influenced by earnings, subscriber growth, or market sentiment. Since I don’t have access to recent news, you might want to check for upcoming events (e.g., earnings reports) that could impact the stock.
Final Thoughts
The bullish trend on multiple timeframes suggests that buying on dips might be the higher-probability trade, but the overbought RSI and bearish short-term indicators (MACD, Aroon) indicate a potential pullback first. I recommend watching the $1,007 level closely on Monday, April 21, 2025. If it holds as support, a long position could be favorable. If it breaks, consider a short toward $948–$938.
If you’d like me to search for recent news or analyst updates on Netflix to refine this strategy, let me know! Trading is inherently uncertain, so always trade with a plan and manage your risk carefully.
NFLX Bearish Setup!This is a simple setup that almost anyone can read—a Head & Shoulders at the top signaling a reversal pattern.
Contrary to popular belief H&S are continuation patterns if they are not at a top.
The only other time H&S are reversal patterns is if the chart has multiple H&S everywhere.
Time for bulls to take their money and RUN!!! The fun ride is over for a while. Time to go home. ((
CAUTION!
Click BOOST, follow subscribe. Let me help you navigate these crazy markets. ))
Netflix (NFLX) Hits New Highs Post-Tariff WarNetflix (NFLX) has surged to a new all-time high, overcoming market jitters sparked by President Trump’s tariff announcements. The stock hit a low of $821.10 on April 7, 2025, during tariff-related volatility but has since rallied in a five-wave impulse pattern, as outlined by Elliott Wave theory—a method used to forecast price trends.
From the April 7 low, Wave (1) peaked at $922.42, followed by a pullback in Wave (2) to $848.53. Netflix then entered Wave (3), which is still unfolding. Within Wave (3), the first sub-wave, Wave 1, reached $951.43, and a corrective Wave 2 ended at $894. Wave 3 of (3) is now in progress, showing a smaller impulsive structure. Within this Wave 3, the first smaller sub-wave, Wave ((i)), hit $992.94, and the pullback in Wave ((ii)) concluded at $949.16.
Wave ((iii)) of 3 is nearing completion, after which a brief dip in Wave ((iv)) should occur. Afterwards, Netflix should rise again in Wave ((v)) to finish Wave 3 of (3). As long as the $848.53 support holds, pullbacks should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, paving the way for further upside. Expect additional highs as the bullish trend continues.
Trading Analysis for Netflix**Current Price:** $1096.87
**Direction:** **LONG**
**LONG Targets:**
- **T1 = $1150.00**
- **T2 = $1200.00**
**Stop Levels:**
- **S1 = $1070.00**
- **S2 = $1050.00**
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**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Netflix.
**Key Insights:**
Netflix has consistently demonstrated resilience in the streaming sector, maintaining dominance despite fierce competition from rivals such as Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, and emerging platforms. Subscriber growth trends following expansions into new global markets remain pivotal in driving long-term revenue, while strategic investments in original content bolster Netflix's brand strength. Additionally, innovations in ad-supported subscription models may unlock untapped revenue streams, augmenting the company's profitability.
The macroeconomic backdrop, characterized by rising interest rates, inflationary pressures, and potential consumer sentiment shifts, has not deterred Netflix's progress. Instead, the company is proving its adaptability by exploring various monetization strategies and maintaining a healthy level of cash flow, allowing Netflix to weather broader market volatility effectively.
**Recent Performance:**
Netflix shares have experienced a strong rally in recent weeks, highlighting renewed investor confidence. From a medium-term standpoint, the stock notably bounced off critical support levels near the $1,000 mark, confirming positive momentum. This upward trajectory reflects favorable market sentiment, driven by robust earnings reports and strong subscriber retention metrics. While occasional consolidation phases emerged, the overall trend leaned bullish as Netflix delivers a mix of growth and strategic foresight.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical indicators, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), suggest bullish momentum for Netflix. RSI readings hover within comfortable ranges, indicating an upward trajectory without being overbought. The stock is trading above key moving averages, reinforcing positive sentiment. Experts also highlight Netflix's pricing power and ability to retain subscribers amid price hikes, which underscore long-term growth prospects.
Fundamentally, Netflix's revenue diversification strategies, coupled with promising shifts in content economics, provide a solid case for maintaining upward momentum. Analysts anticipate sustained global subscriber growth, particularly in emerging markets, where demand for digital streaming continues to grow.
**News Impact:**
Recent announcements regarding Netflix's advances in franchising popular hits, alongside its increasing push into gaming, further strengthen the company's portfolio diversification. Earnings reports have consistently showcased revenue growth, driven by both increased average revenue per user (ARPU) and sustained subscriber retention. Moreover, the company’s enhanced focus on efficiency and scalable operations has positioned Netflix as a leader not just in content delivery but also in maintaining profitability despite sector-wide economic pressures.
Notably, recent partnerships and potential licensing deals with Hollywood studios underscore Netflix’s commitment to staying ahead in the content game, potentially catalyzing further stock appreciation. Meanwhile, cautiously positive macroeconomic developments contribute additional support for Netflix's outlook.
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**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the overall bullish sentiment, strong technical performance, robust subscriber growth, and favorable news catalysts, traders could consider a **LONG** position. Netflix remains a dominant force in the streaming landscape, with solid fundamentals and improving technical indicators. Careful positioning with stops below $1050.00 ensures risk management, while targets towards $1150.00 and $1200.00 capitalize on near-term upside potential. This setup suggests an opportunity to benefit from continued Netflix growth while safeguarding against unforeseen volatility.
NFLX - Last man standing NASDAQ:NFLX has been one of the only, if not the only, big tech names holding relatively well during this bear market but even the best names can't go forever against the trend.
We seem to have reached the breaking point for this one as a double top short setup is currently unfolding.
I'd like to see a drop below $977 to increase my conviction and look to add to my short position.
Stops are clear at $1003 and/or $1018 depending on your position sizing and risk appetite.
I'm willing to keep this position open for at least a few days if it starts to go lower aggressively from here.
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On a more general note, as I said on my previous post, we're still in a bear market and nothing points towards a change of trend for now. With Gold still being the only real safe haven
So, don't try to be a hero and go against the trend with any long positions! Especially not on borrowed money (leverage) !!!
It's difficult and very risky to try and catch bottoms and for now especially it's not happening if all the talking heads on CNBC and co. are calling it.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD continues to be the only safe haven, and contrary to again the talking heads, it seems to me that it can still go higher, thus stocks will continue even lower !
Netflix (NFLX) with Trendfollowing BreakOut after EarningsNetflix is in an intact upward trend and experienced a clear trend push towards an all-time high after the latest earnings. The previous correction appears to be over: Higher highs and a clear trend reversal out of the correction were already evident in after-hours trading.
The downward trend channel has been exited and the last correction highs have been overcome - a strong technical signal.
If this development is confirmed in regular trading, a return to the all-time high can be expected. Consolidation or minor setbacks are conceivable before the overall trend continues to new highs.