Netflix Scalping + Forecast (2-19)🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Strong bullish momentum, but facing short-term resistance.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $1,062.50 (Supertrend level), $1,080.
Support: $1,029.00, $1,007.00 (EMA 200).
Indicators:
MACD: Weakening bullish momentum—potential for a short-term pullback.
RSI: 56.11, showing slight overbought conditions but still in neutral territory.
Supertrend: Bullish, but the trend is flattening.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping
Buy near: $1,040.00, targeting $1,060.00.
Sell near: $1,062.50, targeting $1,030.00.
Stop-loss: Below $1,028.00.
🩸 2. EMA Pullback Scalping
Buy near: $1,029.00 (Supertrend support), targeting $1,050.00.
Sell near: $1,062.50, targeting $1,035.00.
Stop-loss: Below $1,020.00.
🩸 3. Breakout Scalping
If $1,062.50 breaks, enter long toward $1,080.
If $1,029.00 fails, short toward $1,000.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If price holds above $1,029.00, expect continuation toward $1,080+.
If it fails, a retracement to $1,000 is likely.
The trend remains bullish, but consolidation is expected.
🔥 News & Market Context:
NFLX continues its uptrend, but momentum is slowing.
No major catalysts—price action is technical.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalping within the $1,029–$1,062 range is ideal.
🩸 Mid-term: Wait for a breakout confirmation.
🩸 Ideal Play: Trade within the range while watching for breakout potential.
👑 Final Verdict:
A strong trend does not mean a free ride—resistance is the test of conviction. Trade with precision or watch from the sidelines.
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Statement:
"Markets reward those who act with certainty. Hesitation is the graveyard of opportunity."
NFLX trade ideas
Earnings Season: How to Trade Post-Earnings Drift
Earnings season is in full swing, and while many traders focus on the immediate reaction to a company’s results, consider longer-term trends following earnings announcements that may deliver returns long after the earnings release— Post-Earnings Drift (PED) .
PED is based on a simple yet effective concept: stocks that react positively to strong earnings tend to continue drifting higher, while stocks that react negatively to weak earnings tend to continue drifting lower. This drift can persist for weeks or even months, making it one of the most efficient ways to trade earnings season.
Let’s break down how to identify these potential opportunities, which may have a positive risk-reward profile, and manage positions effectively.
Step 1: Fundamentals – The Catalyst for the Drift
Post-earnings drift is strongest when there’s a clear fundamental catalyst behind the move. Not every earnings beat leads to sustained upside, and not every earnings miss results in prolonged weakness. What matters is whether the report genuinely shifts market expectations.
Key factors to look for:
· Stronger-than-expected revenue and profit growth – The market rewards companies that deliver above expectations.
· Forward guidance upgrades – If management raises expectations, it signals confidence in future growth.
· Margin expansion and improving financial health – Investors want to see profitability improving alongside revenue growth.
· Shifts in business strategy – Companies that announce major structural improvements, such as cost-cutting initiatives or new revenue streams, often see extended moves.
The key is that the earnings report must provide a reason for continued buying or selling pressure. If the reaction is based on short-term noise rather than a fundamental shift, the drift is less reliable.
Step 2: Market Reaction – Confirmation of the Catalyst
Once you’ve identified a strong fundamental catalyst, the next step is looking at the market’s reaction. Not every stock gaps after earnings, but the reaction should provide evidence that the earnings release is driving demand.
Signs of a strong bullish reaction:
· Above-average volume – Institutions don’t place all their trades in one day. High volume suggests big money is stepping in.
· A decisive move higher – A stock that closes strong after earnings has a better chance of continuing higher.
· Follow-through buying in the days after earnings – If the stock remains bid up after the initial reaction, it suggests real demand rather than a temporary spike.
Signs of a strong bearish reaction:
· Heavy selling on high volume – Institutions unloading shares is a warning sign.
· Failure to bounce after the initial drop – Weak stocks tend to stay weak, especially if buyers don’t step in.
· Breaking key support levels – A stock that falls below major technical levels often sees continued selling.
Step 3: Trade Entry & Risk Management
Once you’ve identified a stock with a strong earnings catalyst and a clear market reaction, the next step is executing the trade.
Entry Strategy
For bullish trades: Enter on the first meaningful pullback after the initial earnings reaction. Look for a retest of intraday support or a consolidation period before the next leg higher.
For bearish trades: Enter on a weak bounce that fails to recover key levels, or on a breakdown below the post-earnings low.
Setting Stops Using ATR
The Average True Range (ATR) is a useful tool for setting stops, as it accounts for volatility. A common method is placing a stop 1.5x to 2x ATR below your entry for long trades (above for shorts). This ensures your stop is wide enough to avoid getting shaken out by normal price swings.
Managing the Trade with the 21-EMA
The 21-day Exponential Moving Average (21-EMA) is an excellent trailing stop for PED trades.
· As long as the stock stays above the 21-EMA, the drift remains intact.
· A close below the 21-EMA is a signal to exit the position.
This method allows traders to ride the trend while avoiding premature exits.
Real-World Example: Netflix’s Post-Earnings Drift
Let’s look at how this played out with Netflix (NFLX) after its Q3 2024 earnings report.
On October 17, 2024, Netflix reported:
· Earnings of $5.40 per share, beating estimates of $5.12.
· Revenue of $9.825 billion, slightly above expectations.
· A strong subscriber growth report, with 5.1 million new additions—exceeding forecasts by over 1 million.
· Ad-supported subscriptions surging past 50% of new sign-ups in available countries.
· Price hikes announced for Spain and Italy, signaling confidence in pricing power.
The stock reacted positively, gapping up nearly 5% on above-average volume.
Over the next two months, Netflix continued drifting more than 20% higher, confirming the post-earnings drift effect. The trend remained intact until the stock eventually closed below its 21-EMA, marking the end of the move.
Netflix then repeated the pattern in January 2025, beating earnings again and gapping higher on strong subscriber growth and revenue. Since then, the stock has drifted more than 10% higher and remains above its 21-EMA.
Netflix (NFLX Daily Candle Chart
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Netflix 2-17 (scalping + forecast) 🔥 Market Overview (Netflix - NFLX)
Trend: Strong bullish trend with continued higher highs and higher lows.
Key Levels:
Support: $1036 (Supertrend support)
Resistance: $1064+ (Recent high)
Indicators:
EMA 9: $1045 – Price is above short-term EMA, confirming bullish momentum.
EMA 200: $931 – Long-term bullish structure remains intact.
Supertrend: Still indicating a buy signal.
MACD: Bullish momentum remains strong with a wide gap between MACD and signal line.
RSI: 76.19 – Overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term pullback.
🔥 Scalping Strategy
🩸 Momentum Scalping (Preferred Strategy)
Buy near: $1045, targeting $1064+.
Sell near: $1064-$1070, targeting a quick retrace to $1045.
Stop-loss: Below $1035 (break of Supertrend support).
🩸 Breakout Scalping (If $1064 Resistance Breaks)
Buy above: $1064, targeting $1080.
Stop-loss: Below $1055 to limit downside risk.
🩸 Range Scalping (If Pullback Occurs)
Buy around: $1036-$1040, targeting $1055.
Sell near: $1055-$1060, targeting a drop back to $1040.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bullish continuation likely as long as price stays above $1036.
RSI overbought condition suggests possible short-term retracement before further upside.
If $1064+ holds, next targets: $1080-$1100.
If rejected from resistance, expect a dip to $1036-$1040 for re-entry.
🔥 News & Market Context
No visible major negative catalysts; strong technical momentum.
General market sentiment remains bullish for tech stocks.
Options data and volume spikes suggest institutional buying.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp buy at $1045 with a target of $1064-$1070.
🩸 Mid-term: Hold long positions above $1036, targeting $1080-$1100.
🩸 Ideal Play: Buy the dip to $1036-$1040, take profit near $1065+.
👑 Final Verdict:
Netflix remains in strong bullish momentum, but short-term pullbacks are expected due to RSI overbought levels. Look for dip buys and breakout confirmation above $1064 before expecting further rally to $1080+.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote:
"A strong trend rewards patience. The weak exit early—winners ride momentum." 👑
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for Netflix Market Overview:
Trend: Netflix is in a strong uptrend, making new highs with bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Resistance: ~$1,075 - $1,100
Support: ~$1,045 - $1,050 (weak), ~$1,020 - $1,000 (stronger)
Indicators:
MACD: Bullish momentum remains strong but shows early signs of slowing.
EMA: Price is well above 9 EMA & 200 EMA, confirming bullish dominance.
RSI: Overbought (76+), signaling possible consolidation or a short-term pullback.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play)
Why? NFLX is at new highs, making a pullback before continuation likely.
How?
Buy near $1,045 - $1,050, targeting $1,070 - $1,075.
Sell near $1,075 - $1,100, as profit-taking might trigger a pullback.
Stop-loss below $1,040, to protect against deeper corrections.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Volatility Kicks In)
Trigger: A breakout above $1,100 or breakdown below $1,045.
Execution:
If NFLX breaks $1,100, scalp long targeting $1,125 - $1,130.
If NFLX drops below $1,045, scalp short to $1,020 - $1,000.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping
Why? NFLX is holding well above 9 EMA, making dips to EMA good long entries.
Execution:
Buy pullbacks to 9 EMA ($1,050 - $1,055) if price shows strength.
Short rejection of $1,075 resistance with confirmation.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bias: Bullish → Cautious
Why?
Strong uptrend intact, but RSI is overbought—pullback likely.
If NFLX consolidates above $1,045, expect a push to $1,100+.
Failure to hold $1,045 could trigger a retrace toward $1,020 - $1,000.
Bulls need a clean breakout above $1,100 for further upside.
🔥 News & Market Context:
Tech stocks leading, NFLX benefiting from sector momentum.
No major bearish news, but overbought levels suggest a cooldown soon.
Volume remains strong, meaning dips could be bought quickly.
🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out?
🩸 Short-term: Scalping long on dips is valid, but avoid chasing new highs.
🩸 Mid-term: Bullish unless NFLX loses $1,045 support.
🩸 Ideal Play: Buy dips at $1,045, scalp resistance at $1,075, and watch for a breakout.
👑 Final Verdict:
NFLX remains strong, but overbought. Holding $1,045 → $1,100 next. Losing $1,045 → $1,020. 🔥
NFLX Heating Up! Is This the Next Big Move?🔥Technical Analysis (TA)
* Trend: NFLX has been in a strong uptrend, breaking past resistance zones and forming higher highs.
* Price Action: The price is currently testing an ascending trendline, moving within an expanding wedge, signaling increasing volatility.
* Support Levels:
* 1st Support: $1,033
* 2nd Support: $998
* Resistance Levels:
* 1st Resistance: $1,045
* 2nd Resistance: $1,050
* Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover, showing momentum, but needs confirmation.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought zone (~72), indicating possible consolidation or retracement.
GEX Options & Market Sentiment
* Gamma Exposure (GEX): High positive call resistance at $1,045 and $1,050, suggesting these could act as key levels where price action may slow.
* Put Support: Heavy options positioning at $997.5, indicating a strong support zone.
* Options Flow:
* Calls Dominant at 23.3%, suggesting bullish sentiment but not extreme.
* IV Rank: 12.1, meaning options are relatively cheap for long strategies.
🔥 Trade Setups to Watch
📈 Bullish Scenario:
* Breakout above $1,045 → Target $1,050+
* Entry: $1,040+
* Stop-loss: $1,030
📉 Bearish Scenario:
* Rejection at $1,045 → Drop to $1,000 support
* Entry: Below $1,030
* Stop-loss: $1,050
Final Thoughts
NFLX is showing strong bullish momentum, but it is near a key resistance area. If it breaks out, we could see a test of $1,050-$1,060. However, a rejection might send it back to $1,000 levels before another attempt higher.
📊 Key Takeaway: If bulls maintain control above $1,040, watch for a continuation toward $1,050+. But if rejection occurs, expect a pullback toward $1,000.
🔔 Follow for More Daily Hot Stock Alerts! 🚀
📢 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade wisely!
Triangle Alert: Netflix Ready To Explode ?📢 Greetings, Fellow Traders!
Wishing you all profitable trades, sharp insights, and unwavering discipline in your trading journey! May your setups be strong, your risk management be solid, and your patience be rewarded.
Markets may be unpredictable, but with the right strategy, mindset, and perseverance, success is always within reach. Stay focused, keep learning, and support each other—because in trading, knowledge and community make all the difference!
Happy Trading & Green Days Ahead! 🚀📈
Netflix (NFLX) | Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup | 4H Timeframe-:
Netflix (NFLX) has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, signaling an impending breakout. This formation suggests that the stock is in a phase of indecision, where buyers and sellers are battling for control. A breakout in either direction could lead to a strong move, making this an important setup to watch.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
If NFLX breaks above the upper trendline of the symmetrical triangle with strong volume and confirmation, it could trigger a bullish rally. In this case, my first target would be the rising resistance line, which has historically acted as a key barrier for price movement. A successful breakout could indicate continued upward momentum, potentially leading to higher levels.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
On the downside, if the price fails to hold the horizontal support level and breaks below the lower trendline of the triangle, it could lead to further downside pressure. In this case, I would anticipate a move toward the previously identified target zone, where buyers might step in to provide support.
📊 Trading Plan:
Breakout Confirmation: I will wait for a strong close above or below the triangle or horizontal support zone with increasing volume to confirm the breakout direction before entering a trade.
Risk Management: Stop-loss placement will be crucial to manage risk effectively. For a long position, I would place a stop-loss just below the breakout point, and for a short position, I would place it above the breakdown level.
Price Action Monitoring: I will closely watch how the price reacts around the breakout level and key resistance/support zones. A retest of the breakout level with strong buying/selling pressure could provide additional confirmation.
This setup presents a high-probability trade opportunity, but patience is key. Will Netflix break out to the upside and continue its bullish trend, or will it break down and test lower levels?
Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Best regards-: Amit
NFLX Swing Trade IdeaI am looking at this Short trade idea given that indices remain bearish. I like how NFLX is setup on the H4 and Weekly TF. Anticipating price to gravitate lower towards weekly fvg giving that short trade idea. Obvious factors that can influence the trade idea is the high impact news and sentiment of the indices.
Netflix - We Know What Will Happen Next!Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) will retest the trendline next:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
About six years ago, Netflix started the creating of a reverse triangle pattern, perfectly trading between the two trendlines. We already witnessed such a behaviour back in 2012 and following this previous bullish cycle, it is super likely that Netflix will head even higher.
Levels to watch: $1.200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NFLX - LONG Like the theme , took a long , later in its move after GLB , my goal is to chase stuff at the GLB but it's acting well and they are taking my money through subscription costs , a year ago I paid 9.99 and somehow now I'm 24$ . Annoying , yes , but we for the most part just pay away . And thus goes the theme
2nd big gap since GLB and has had quite a few in stage 2 , mostly unfilled, could be a bit extended here and " too high " but I think its a good bet still . And growth still good .
I like it .
Extended from GLB ,
Lots of history of successful gaps that remain unfilled ....
Trading above successful open GLB
1/2 gaps prior to GLB
2/2 gaps after
clean price action for most part ...
NFLX - Fundamentals and simply a great company to invest in!Hi guys, next we would be looking into NFLX , which has had a tremendeous year already! It is up 480.28$ YTD as of today 26th December , which accumulates to 103.99% upside of their stock value. Currently they have shown fantastic financial data throughought Q1,Q2,Q3 not only that they showed a good growth towards their subscribers, and last but not least they just started their NFL Program which launched recently which definitely would boost their revenue.
Additionally they signed a very important contract that goes as follows :
Contract:
Deal with Fifa, soccer’s global governing body, covers the 2027 and 2031 editions of the Women’s World Cup
Agreement covers Puerto Rico and includes both English and Spanish-language broadcasts
Netflix will produce an exclusive documentary series in the lead-up to both tournaments
Streaming platform’s coverage will also feature studio shows
So the stars are alligning for this company and I am deffinetely looking for the break through to the levels above 1,000$ per share.
Entry: on market open - 935$
Target: 1,150$
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
NFLX: AnalysisOn NFLX we are in an upward trend with the breakout of the Vwap indicator. This trend could continue if we have a strong break of the resistance line.
Furthermore, in the event of a reversal of the trend we would have the breakout of the vwap as well as the support line by the sellers....
Netflix - end of the road after +600% at 1000$ ?We all remember the massive sell-off of NFLX in 2022, it crashed from 700$ to 166$.
Everyone who bought at the time has gained 600% profit as price reached 1000$ after the last earnings.
The question is now could and should you ask for more ?
From an Elliott Wave perspective 5 waves up could be completed and NDX is at least consolidating, maybe even setting up a move to the downside.
I'd take my profits in NFLX and walk away.
Netflix potential bullish opportunityAs I am writing this, Netflix is sitting at 978.15$.
From my analysis I predict a possible move to 1,080-1,100. This depends on two things.
1. Can we stay above 925-950? This range is the most recent high we have broken. If we drop below this the next target is 880$ which is around where we broke out from.
2. Do we have enough steam to break out above the 1,000$ range. Right now the volume is dwindling, which could be a build up of shorts in either direction. I imagine a lot of retail has entered into this after the breakout and have super tight stops. This could fuel us if we break up higher than 995 or sink us if we drop below 925.
The 1 hour moving average has not shown any divergence which tells me that this trend is still continuing.
We will see what happens as the time goes on.
Netflix Surges Following Stellar Earnings: Time to Buy or Wait.?Video streaming powerhouse Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) recently delivered outstanding fourth-quarter results, significantly bolstered by robust subscriber growth. This surge in subscribers is a clear indication of Netflix's ability to navigate and thrive in the increasingly competitive streaming landscape, where numerous platforms vie for viewer attention. In response to the impressive earnings report, Netflix's stock experienced a notable increase of approximately 10%, propelling it to a new all-time high and reflecting strong investor confidence.
Currently, the stock is displaying a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, a technical indicator often associated with periods of consolidation before a breakout. Given market dynamics, a retest of previous resistance levels is anticipated, which could lead to a decline in price as it fills the gap. Consequently, this presents a potential buying opportunity, with the ideal entry point estimated at around $940. This strategic level may offer investors a favorable position to capitalize on future price movements.
NFLX: Breakout Confirmed – $1,000 Incoming?🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $950, targeting $920. A breakdown could signal a correction.
🩸 Long: Above $980, targeting $1,020. A breakout would confirm bullish strength.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $980 — Key breakout level for a push toward four-digit territory.
🩸 Support: $920 — A retracement here could provide another buying opportunity.
Netflix remains strong after a significant breakout, riding EMA 9 as support. MACD is bullish but nearing overbought levels—momentum must hold.
👑 "The strongest thrive in the storm—hesitation is your enemy."
NFLX Netflix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven’t entered NFLX in the buy zone:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NFLX Netflix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 850usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-24,
for a premium of approximately $41.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.