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NVDA trade ideas

NVDA Slams into Key Gamma Wall After Tariff Shock. Cont. down?NVDA Slams into Key Gamma Wall After Tariff Shock – Breakdown or Bounce? 🧠 Macro Backdrop: Today’s broad market sell-off was triggered by news of Trump proposing tariffs, sparking risk-off sentiment, especially in tech and semiconductors like NVDA. The fear of supply chain inflation and global trade disruption hit momentum stocks hard. This news matters because: * NVDA is a major global chip exporter. * Tariffs = higher costs + weaker margins = bearish for NVDA fundamentals. * Institutions are rapidly de-risking, confirmed by volume + options flow. 📊 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) Structure: * NVDA broke back below the 108 support — now acting as resistance. * Price is currently sitting around 104.13, probing the gamma support band and near a key demand level at 104–105. * This level coincides with PUT Support and HVL zone, meaning dealers might defend here, if they aren’t forced to hedge further. Trend: * Short-term: Bearish. * Price rejected from the 114–115 CALL wall cluster (Gamma Ceiling). * Forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming distribution + breakdown structure. 🔥 GEX + Options Flow Analysis Dealer Positioning: * GEX: 🔴🔴 — strong negative gamma zone, meaning dealers short gamma and are selling into weakness. * As price drops, dealers sell more → amplifying downside moves. * Current GEX Setup: * Highest positive NETGEX/Call Resistance at 114–115 → unlikely to reclaim this without catalyst. * Put Support near 104.6, aligning with today’s bounce attempt. Options Data: * IVR: 23 → relatively low. * IVx avg: 54.5 vs current IVx = 23 → volatility is still compressed despite crash. * CALLS only 6.5% → very bearish skew. * Put Wall at: * 104.6 (support) — holding for now. * 100 — if 104 breaks, this is the next magnet. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🐻 Bearish Continuation: * Trigger: Breakdown below 104 support zone. * Target: 100 psychological + PUT Wall (high confluence). * Stop: Close above 108. * Notes: Watch for macro headlines to further accelerate this breakdown. 🐂 Relief Bounce Setup: * Trigger: Strong bounce and reclaim of 108 with volume. * Target: 110 → 112 retest (low probability unless sentiment shifts). * Invalidation: New low below 104 with momentum. 📌 Commentary: This chart perfectly reflects a dealer-driven gamma crash fueled by a macro catalyst. NVDA was already in a downtrend, and today’s tariff news created the conditions for: * Breaking demand structure. * Triggering delta hedging from dealers. * Pushing price into low-liquidity zones near PUT walls. The bounce off 104 may be short-lived unless macro fear eases. ⚠️ Final Take: * Bias: Bearish below 108. * If 104 breaks, look for a flush to 100. * Volume confirms institutional exit, and options data shows dealers are selling rips, not buying dips. 📉 Trade Idea: Buy PUTS (1–2 weeks out) if price rejects 108 retest.
Strike: 102P or 100P
Stop: SPOT above 109
Target: $100–$101 zone This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
1
$NVDA | A Double Bottom in the Making? We’re spotting the early structure of a double bottom pattern forming on NASDAQ:NVDA — a classic bullish reversal signal. After a steep decline, price action is showing signs of stabilization, testing support twice, and trying to recover from the lows. But there’s a catch... 📌 No confirmation yet. The neckline still needs to be broken with strong momentum to validate this formation and trigger potential upside. ⚠️ Today’s tariff-related news could be the catalyst. A strong reaction may either confirm the breakout or invalidate the pattern entirely. What to watch: Break above the neckline with volume = potential entry ✅ Failure + breakdown = more pain to come ❌ This is a key technical level. Stay sharp and let price action lead the way.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SmartSignalss
NVIDIA The chance to buy for $230 is NOWNVIDIA is forming a Double Bottom on a 1day RSI bullish divergence, same kind it did on the October 31st 2023 low. The prevailing pattern is a Channel Up and the double bottom could technically kick start the new bullish wave. The last one almost reached the 5.0 Fibonacci extension before pulling back under the 1day MA50. Best opportunity to buy in 2025. Target just under the 5.0 Fib at $230. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TheCryptagon
3
Nvidia Wave Analysis – 31 March 2025 - Nvidia reversed from key support level 105.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 115.00 Nvidia today reversed from the support area located between the key support level 105.00 (which has been reversing the price from last September) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction ii from the start of March. Given the strength of the support level 3.60 and the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, Nvidia can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 115.00.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FxProGlobal
1
NVDA earnings bullish I do dowsing with a pendulum & it's a good test to try it for earnings since there are big moves. It's kind of hit or miss, but really interesting & everyone follows NVDA still, so let's see what energy it has! I get nervous when there's bullish energy & the stock moves as I'm doing my reading, but this is pretty bullish info I have. Watch for a move up maybe 12%, which takes it to around $145. I also got the number 47, so that's a possibility also. I did have a little bearishness in saying to sell rallies. I'd be watching the date 3/3 for a possible retracement back down if it does, in fact, go up. It pretty bullish short term though. I have positive energy in indexes too, so I thought it may be in part because NVDA could influence things, so we'll see.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by JenRz
NVDA support idea $108.90I do dowsing with a pendulum to get answers on what to expect in the market and stocks. I checked on NVDA today, and along with indexes soon (tomorrow) making a somewhat lasting (or longer term) low, I have a level for at least a bounce. Tomorrow could be a big down day for stocks and indexes as I have timing for a low, but we have yet to reach targets. The $108 area has come before in NVDA, so I feel it really should be a spot to watch. The more refined level is $108.90, so it will be fun to see what happens here; and of course, I could be completely wrong & it does something else!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by JenRz
$NVDA and NVDA Dominance Fib retracement levelsNASDAQ:NVDA is now already in bear market territory and the next question when this slide in the stock price will stop. Today in our Daily dose of Chart we are looking into NVDA Feb retracement levels in the upward sloping channels and the NVDA Dominance in NASDAQ. If we plot the upward sloping Fib retracement channel joining the top candles weekly chart within the upward sloping channel and then plot the Fib levels to the lowest levels of 2023 and 2024 then we see that the current price is at the 3.618 Fib level which is at 104 $. The next level is 4.236 and that level lies at approx. 95 USD. So if the sell of continues then the next price target is 95 USD. In this blog space we have floated the idea of NVDA Dominance ($NVDA.D) which is just the ratio of NASDAQ:NVDA vs NASDAQ QQQ. The dark green line in the chart signifies the NVDA Dominance and it is currently well of its highs. If we simply plot the Fib retracement on the Dominance Line, then we see the next support is @618 which will give us a price of 99 $ on the NASDAQ:NVDA stock. So that means technical speaking we have great support and price memory between 95 $ - 99 $. Verdict : Accumulate NASDAQ:NVDA here and go extra-long @ 95-99 $
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RabishankarBiswal
NVDA at a Decision Point – Breakout or Breakdown?🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) * Market Structure & SMC:
NVDA has consistently respected a downward sloping parallel channel. We see multiple CHoCHs (Change of Character) and a recent Break of Structure (BOS), confirming a bearish trend continuation. Price failed to reclaim the mid-supply zone and is hugging the bottom channel support. * Supply/Resistance Zones: * Immediate Resistance: $110.69 (top of current rejection zone) * Mid Resistance: $114.47 * Strong Resistance: $122.25 (major supply zone) * Support Levels: * Immediate Support: $108.64 * Next Critical Support: $104.77 (marked as highest negative GEX / Put Wall support) * Indicators: * MACD: Momentum remains bearish with flat histogram bars. No bullish crossover yet. * Stoch RSI: Oversold but not curling up yet – no strong reversal signal here. * Volume: Slight uptick on recent sell-off, but not panic volume. 📊 Options Flow / GEX Sentiment (Right Chart) * GEX Analysis: * Negative GEX Cluster between $109–105, showing Put Dominance. * HVL Zone (High Volume Liquidity) near $112, suggesting a magnet zone if bulls recover. * Strong Call Wall at $118 and $122 — tough resistance ahead. * Max Put Support Zone at $104.77 – could act as a bounce point or trap. * Options Oscillator: * IVR: 24.5 – relatively low implied volatility rank. * IVx avg: 60.1 – moderate implied volatility. * CALLS only 5.4% – heavily skewed bearish sentiment. * Red GEX Bars – dominant Put positions hint at hedge-heavy downside pressure. 🧠 Trade Setups Scalp/Short-Term Setup * Bearish Bias unless NVDA reclaims $110.69 with volume. * 📉 Short Entry: Below $108.50
🎯 Target: $105.00 → $104.77
❌ Stop: $111.00 Reversal Play (Speculative) * Watch for bullish divergence or sharp reclaim of $112. * 📈 Long Entry: Above $112 (HVL reclaim)
🎯 Target: $114.50 → $118
❌ Stop: $108 🧨 Options Strategy Idea Bearish Vertical Spread (Short-Term) * Buy 110 Put / Sell 105 Put * Expiration: 1-2 weeks * Net debit: lower cost with defined risk * Thesis: NVDA fades toward $105 support Long Call Idea (Only if $112 flips with strength): * Buy 115 Call – 2 weeks out * Needs confirmation of reversal or gamma squeeze 🧭 Bias Summary * ✅ Directional Bias: Bearish until $112 is reclaimed * 📉 Price is within a bear channel, respecting structure * 🔴 Options sentiment confirms downside pressure * 🛑 Do not long blindly at support – wait for signs of strength ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVDA 2 The????NASDAQ:NVDA Outlook - -GEX and -DEX but +OI This week. NASDAQ:NVDA ’s price action will likely hinge on broader market sentiment rather than company-specific releases, given no major NVIDIA events are slated. Weekly -- 2nd consecutive down week with increasing volume Daily -- Downtrend to next HVL under 106 possible Hourly -- Consolidating at support zone 10m -- Consolidating Bias -Monitoring U.S. trade policy updates and technical levels for short-term direction. Volatility remains high, so caution is warranted. Pivot - 109.65 Upside Targets: * 111.47--112.91--113.66--115.01 Downside Targets: * 109.62--108.45--105.05--104.34
NASDAQ:NVDA
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
NVDA Trade Setup: Catch the Next Wave Before It BreaksAfter a healthy pullback, NVDA is setting the stage for what could be a powerful rebound—and savvy traders know this is when opportunity knocks. We’ve identified three key entry points where the risk-reward setup becomes especially attractive: 🔹 104 – A potential bounce zone where early buyers might step in. 🔹 95 – A deeper level with stronger support, ideal for scaling in. 🔹 80 – A high-conviction level where long-term bulls may load up for the ride. On the upside, here are three profit targets worth watching: ✅ 120 – First take-profit zone, a logical exit as momentum begins to return. ✅ 135 – Mid-level resistance where partial profits can lock in gains. ✅ 145+ – A stretch target for those riding the full recovery wave. This strategy allows for smart layering of entries and profits, giving flexibility whether the bounce is quick or more gradual. Always stay alert to price action confirmation and use stops that align with your risk tolerance. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading in financial markets involves risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Robert_V12
Positioning for Market Repricing: A PE-Based Strategy Involving Both Nvidia and Apple currently have price-to-earnings (PE) ratios near 30, while other technology companies, such as Tesla and Analog Devices, are trading with significantly higher PE ratios of over 125 and 60, respectively. Given the economic headwinds we are facing, I believe stocks with higher PE ratios may experience more pronounced declines compared to those with lower ratios. At present, I intend to initiate a long position in Nvidia at its current price around $110, with plans to take profits by shorting the stock at approximately $118, targeting a price of $115. Additionally, once Nvidia reaches my profit target of $118, I will look to short both Tesla and Analog Devices at that price range. This strategy is based on the expectation that the broader market may place additional pressure on high-PE stocks in the near term.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Golfistry
NVDA Silicon Slippage: The Bearish Case for NVDA in 5 ContractsNVDA Bearish Options Thesis — “AI’s Reality Check” A $500 Bet Against Hype, Headwinds, and a Tired Rally Underlying: NVIDIA (NVDA) Current Price: $109.67 Strategy: Buy 5x $90 PUTs expiring May 2, 2025 @ $1.00 Total Cost (Risk): $500 Breakeven: $89.00 Max Value at Expiry: $45,000 (if NVDA → $0) Target Zone: $85–$95 Risk/Reward Profile: Asymmetric 1:9+ 🧠 Thesis Summary: Why NVDA Could Drop NVIDIA, the undisputed champion of the AI GPU race, now finds itself under increasing pressure from macro forces, competition, and sentiment. This trade capitalizes on a short-term reversal thesis into earnings season and macro repricing. 🚨 Key Catalysts for Downside: 🧬 1. AI Hype Fatigue The market is cooling on generative AI names after 12+ months of hype. Investor sentiment is shifting toward monetization over narrative — which hits NVDA’s high-multiple story. 💥 2. DeepSeek & Chinese Competition The emergence of DeepSeek (a competitive LLM) raises the risk of a hardware shift in the East. China accelerating self-sufficiency in chips = reduced NVDA demand. 📉 3. Macro Headwinds & Tariffs Renewed trade war tensions threaten advanced chip exports. Tariffs and tighter regulations = real demand compression for NVDA’s top-line growth. 📊 4. Technical Breakdown Confirmed Weekly close below Fib 0.382 ($109.44) — now resistance. RSI at 41.44 — weak and trending down. Below VWAP ($113.65), signaling momentum shift. "NVIDIA isn't breaking down because it's bad — it's breaking down because the market is waking up." 💰 Trade Breakdown: 5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00 (May 2, 2025) Metric Value Contracts 5 Cost per Contract $100 Total Premium $500 Breakeven $89.00 Max Gain $45,000 Max Loss $500 (premium only) 📊 P&L Scenarios (5 Contracts) NVDA Price Drop % Intrinsic Value Total Payout Net Profit ROI (%) $100 -8.8% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $95 -13.4% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $90 -17.9% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $85 -22.5% $5.00 $2,500 $2,000 400% $82.70 -24.6% $7.30 $3,650 $3,150 630% $80 -27.1% $10.00 $5,000 $4,500 900% 🧮 Technical Levels to Watch Level Price Notes VWAP $113.65 Rejected 0.382 Fib $109.44 Just breached 0.5 Fib $96.07 Strong support 0.618 Fib $82.70 Bearish target RSI 41.44 Weak momentum ✅ Summary Factor Insight Total Spent $500 (5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00) Breakeven $89.00 Risk Fully capped at $500 Potential Return Up to $4,500 (900%) if NVDA → $80 Catalyst Market re-rating AI, earnings unknowns, regulatory clouds Trade Horizon 33 days — high velocity post-breakdown possible
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TheHouseofTrade