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TSLACL trade ideas

TESLA: A Good Trade for Bulls AND BearsTesla has an Elon problem aka a SENTIMENT problem I am a 100% Technical Trader I am an avid believer in Elliott Wave Theory and Socionomics From those perspectives its clear to me that Tesla is in trouble...long term Tesla went from essentially a meme like stock to a media and Institutional darling The meteoric rise in the stock was largely because of belief in Elon..the person Yes his companies have done some pretty amazing things..but if we are honest there are tons of failed promises in their past and now we are seeing competitors start to really make ground This is showing up in vehicle pricing and units delivered..both trending down The problem Tesla stock truly has though is that soooooo much of the company sentiment is tied into a belief in Elon- the person..versus the fundamentals of the company and their actual products (cmon we all know LIDAR is better smh) As his popularity wains... so will Tesla So with that said the charts are setup to provide opportunities for BOTH BULLS and BEARS over the next few years. The chart show really clean places to take and hedge positions... but long term BULLS need to be keely aware of the "Trouble" line because if and when it breaks Tesla will be in serious trouble
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Heartbeat_Trading
Tesla Stock Drops 9%+ After Q1 Deliveries Drop to Three-Year LowTesla (Nasdaq: NASDAQ:TSLA ) is trading at $242.52 as of 1:04 PM EDT on April 4th, down 9.26%. The stock fell $24.76 after reporting weak Q1 2025 results. This came two days after Tesla closed its worst quarter since 2022, shedding 36% in market value. The company delivered 336,681 vehicles in Q1, missing analysts’ expectations of 360,000 to 377,590. This marked a 13% drop compared to Q1 2024, when it delivered 386,810 units. Production also fell to 362,615 vehicles from 433,371 in the prior year. Tesla produced 345,454 units of its Model 3 and Model Y. Deliveries for those models stood at 323,800. Other models, including the Cybertruck, accounted for 12,881 deliveries. The quarter saw partial factory shutdowns to upgrade lines for a redesigned Model Y. CEO Elon Musk said this model could again be the world’s best-selling car in 2025. But now the question is, will it? Looking at it, Tesla faces several challenges, including increased EV competition and reputational damage tied to Musk’s political involvement. Of late, the CEO’s position in Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has drawn backlash. Protests, boycotts and vandalism against Tesla facilities and vehicles spread across the U.S and Europe. In Germany, Tesla’s EV market share dropped from 16% to 4%. Across 15 European countries, market share fell to 9.3% from 17.9%. China also posed challenges. Tesla sold 78,828 EVs in March, an 11.5% year-on-year decline as domestic competitors like BYD increased their market presence. In Canada, Tesla claimed 8,653 EV sales during a January weekend to qualify for subsidies. The transportation ministry froze the payments and launched a probe into the claim. Technical Analysis: Price Approaches Key Support Zone Tesla’s price has declined sharply since hitting an all-time high of $488 in late December 2024. Since January, the stock has been in a downtrend, respecting a descending trendline. In early February, it broke a key support level at $290 and retested the level in late March before continuing downward. Currently, the stock is approaching support at $190, a critical level for short-term price action. If it holds, the stock could attempt to break the descending trendline and move toward the $290 resistance. If Tesla's bearish bias persists and breaks below $190, the next support sits at $140. This aligns with the head of a previously completed head-and-shoulder pattern. Breaking this level could trigger further losses. The next few weeks will determine if it rebounds or slides deeper, with earnings report expected on Apr 22nd, 2025.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by DEXWireNews
TSLA what's wrong? no supercharger in sight? 2 things i need to say Technicals - TSLA has a Elliot wave in motion, so far it respected the sequence, 1H - divergence (But no resistance in sight) - caution if if settles below 270 , then we might see 221 or even lower? Fundamentals I'm not even going to mention the popularity loss of TSLA since Elon meddled into politics, but the recent Auto tariffs President Trump imposed? - well... TLSA makes cars, needs auto parts, ... you get the point Remember to take the risks into consideration and always do your own analysis before taking a decision !! I'm still new to sharing ideas on the community - don't start throwing rocks now :D -Not financial Advice !
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Chrispy3000
Tesla Stock Continues to Trade Within a Bearish ChannelThe monthly movements of Tesla's stock continue to reflect persistent downward pressure, with a decline of just over 10% since the beginning of March, showing steady selling interest. The bearish sentiment has remained in place as growing discontent over Elon Musk's political positioning has damaged the brand's image, while concerns over a potential trade war have raised fears that Tesla’s international sales may be negatively affected. Bearish Channel: Currently, the most important formation on the chart is a strong bearish channel that has remained intact since the final days of December 2024. So far, recent bullish attempts have failed to break out of this structure, reinforcing the broader bearish bias in the long-term outlook. MACD Indicator: The latest movements in the MACD histogram have started to show a notable decline, indicating that momentum in the moving average trend may be fading in the short term. This is likely due to the price reaching the upper boundary of the bearish channel, where resistance remains strong. ADX Indicator: The ADX line is currently trending downward, hovering just above the neutral 20 level. As this pattern continues, it reflects a lack of strength in recent price movements, pointing to growing indecision, which in turn reinforces the current resistance zone where the price is consolidating. Key Levels to Watch: $290: A significant resistance zone, aligning with the top of the bearish channel and the 200-period moving average. Sustained buying above this level could threaten the current bearish structure and signal the start of stronger bullish pressure. $220: A key support level, representing the recent lows in the stock. A clean break below this zone could confirm a stronger bearish trend, opening the door for more aggressive selling in the sessions ahead. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FOREXcom
TESLA Stock and the Elliott Wave Theory We are in the Wave B of Flat that started in late April 2024, and from the rules of Elliott Wave, B must have 3 waves(two impulses and one corrective). The first impulse is marked in Green as Wave A. Wave B(Green) is the correction that comes inbetween the two impulses and is a Zigzag. Our last impulse unravels in a 5-Wave move and is marked in Blue.Wave 2 of this 5-wave move was a Zigzag and we should expect a Flat for the 4th Wave. This Wave 4 begins with a deep 3 Wave move that retests around the 161.8 mar. Therefore Wave A(Red) is complete and we should expect a strong 3 Wave move to complete B of the Flat.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by machariavictor017
9
Here's Why I'm Bullish on TSLA: Smart Money is Buying...Here's Why I'm Bullish on NASDAQ:TSLA Multi-Timeframe Analysis Using Larry Williams' Methods After a significant downtrend, NASDAQ:TSLA is presenting multiple bullish signals based on Larry Williams' methodology. The weekly and daily timeframes are aligning for a potential reversal opportunity with clearly defined risk parameters. Weekly Timeframe Analysis The weekly chart reveals several key bullish indicators: - The COT Proxy Index shows commercials are buying at significantly higher levels compared to 6 months ago, 1 year ago, and 3 years ago. - Seasonality patterns have reached a turning point, now indicating the beginning of an uptrend phase - The WillVal indicator shows NASDAQ:TSLA is currently undervalued at multiple securities (DXY, QCCH, ZBLU all showing "Under") - ADX reading above 60 (currently at 62.42) signals the existing downtrend is likely exhausting and nearing completion Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily chart, we're seeing initial confirmation signals but still waiting for the optimal entry setup: - The general market has created a Rally Day, and we're now watching for a Follow Through Day to confirm the new uptrend - Price structure requires further confirmation through a change of character before entry - The ProGo indicator has already turned positive, providing an early bullish signal - Williams %R is showing oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce - We need the Large Traders index to turn its slope upward for additional confirmation Entry Strategy I'm looking for one of these entry triggers: - Primary : First pullback after change of character , using Williams %R for precise timing - Alternative : Entry on first pullback after price moves above the WillTrend line - Aggressive option : Entry if price breaks above the $245 resistance level Profit Targets & Risk Management Targets: - First target: $327 (1.27 Fibonacci level) - Second target: $390 (Larry Williams Target Shooter -> 2.00 Fibonacci level ) Risk Management: - Initial stop loss: $228 or 120% of ATR(3) from entry point - Once in profit, trailing stop based on price closes at WillTrend levels The confluence of indicators across timeframes suggests a significant reversal potential in NASDAQ:TSLA , but waiting for daily chart confirmation will provide a higher probability setup with clearly defined risk parameters. DISCLAIMER This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. The ideas and strategies presented should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation. This content is not financial advice and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or to engage in any specific investment strategy. All investment carries risk, including the possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment. Past performance of securities, including the patterns, signals, and indicators discussed, is not indicative of future results. The author does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information presented. Each investor should conduct their own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions. Trading Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock involves significant risks that may not be appropriate for all investors. You should only invest funds that you can afford to lose.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradeVizion
Tesla Financials: Q1 2025The market is currently staging a short-term rally - essentially a speculative mean reversion bounce as a reaction to -55% crash from all-time high. This move appears driven largely by retail traders seizing what it perceives as a rare opportunity to accumulate an oversold "large-caps". While retail participation and opportunistic capital are supporting the current bounce, this alone is insufficient to sustain a full recovery. As the price approaches higher levels, particularly near key supply zones, it will likely encounter significant resistance, resulting in reversal. Let's not forget the fact that figures in Tesla’s Q4 '24 financial report initiated bearish sentiment among institutional investors which resulted in market crash. Similarly, the upcoming Q1 earnings report presents a clear downside risk, as the significant events throughout this quarter will inevitably be reflected in the financial figures! Anticipated impact of significant developments on Tesla’s Q1 2025 Financial Statements 🛑 Revenue Decline • U.S. Market Weakness: Lower-than-anticipated vehicle sales in the U.S. directly reduce automotive revenue. • Severe European Slump: A significant 76% sales decline in Germany and weakness elsewhere in Europe will notably reduce international revenues. • Chinese Market Challenges: A substantial 49% sales drop in China will negatively affect one of Tesla’s crucial growth markets. • Cybertruck Weakness and Recalls: Reduced demand and multiple recalls of Cybertruck models further erode revenue growth. • Resale Value Decline and Trade-Ins: Increased vehicle trade-ins indicate lower demand, causing inventory buildup, discounting pressures, and further sales reductions. 🛑 Gross Margin Erosion • Price Reductions and Sales Incentives: Competitive pressures and lower demand likely forced Tesla to reduce vehicle prices and offer incentives, compressing gross margins. • Increased Competition from BYD: BYD’s advanced battery technology (providing 400 km of range in just 5 minutes of charging) pressures Tesla to increase R&D spending or cut prices further, negatively affecting margins. • Production Challenges (Supply Chain and Battery Issues): Ongoing global supply chain disruptions and difficulties scaling battery production significantly increase manufacturing costs, further squeezing gross margins. 🛑 Increased Operating Expenses • Recall Costs and Legal Expenses: Vehicle recalls, along with lawsuits related to product issues such as phantom braking, will significantly increase warranty provisions, legal fees, and related operating expenses. • Protests and Vandalism Costs: Public backlash and vandalism necessitate additional expenditures on security, facility repairs, and public relations initiatives. • Employee Turnover Costs: Departures of key personnel result in increased recruiting, training, onboarding, and severance expenses. 🛑 Net Income and EPS Impact • Analyst Earnings Downgrades: Already-reduced EPS projections by major analysts suggest Tesla will likely report earnings below expectations, reflecting revenue shortfalls and elevated expenses. • $1.4 Billion Financial Discrepancy: If confirmed or unresolved, this discrepancy could lead to substantial asset impairments, restatements, or write-downs, negatively impacting net income and earnings per share (EPS). 🛑 Cash Flow and Liquidity Pressures • Lower Operating Cash Flows: Reduced revenue coupled with rising operating costs (including recalls, lawsuits, security, and PR spending) severely diminish cash generated from business operations. • Increased Capital Expenditures: Additional CapEx is likely required to address battery production bottlenecks and delays in autonomous driving technology development, resulting in elevated investing cash outflows. • Investor Divestment and Stock Volatility: Negative investor sentiment could lead to costly equity financing conditions if Tesla needs to raise capital, adversely affecting financing cash flows and liquidity. 🛑 Balance Sheet Risks • Rising Inventory Levels: Weak sales combined with continued vehicle production may lead to increased inventory levels, reducing cash and potentially requiring markdowns or provisions. • Debt and Liquidity Challenges: Deteriorating credit metrics or covenant breaches could make refinancing existing debt more expensive or complicated, negatively impacting Tesla’s financial stability.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
6
Go Long on TSLA: Targeting a Bullish Rebound Next Week - Key Insights: Tesla's stock is presently experiencing heightened volatility, influenced by delivery figures, significant corporate updates, and economic conditions. The anticipation around Tesla's delivery report and advancements in AI and autonomous vehicles suggests possible bullish movements if current trends hold. - Price Targets: Next week’s price target ranges for a long position are set between $274 (T1) and $282 (T2). Stop levels are strategically placed below current market sentiment impacts, with S1 at $252 and S2 at $250 to manage downside risks. - Recent Performance: Tesla's recent market activity reflects significant fluctuations tied to delivery data and broader tech sector challenges. The stock's price has hovered around key resistance and support levels, indicating potential readiness for an upward movement should positive catalysts emerge. - Expert Analysis: Influential figures like Cathie Wood maintain a positive outlook on Tesla, driven by the company's AI advancements and potential in the autonomous vehicle sector. Analysts have pointed out that Tesla's exposure to international tariffs is relatively moderate compared to its competitors, possibly positioning it advantageously within the automotive market. - News Impact: Key upcoming reports, particularly Tesla's delivery announcement on April 2nd, could dramatically affect stock perception and investor sentiment. Advancements in AI, particularly the potential launch of Robo taxis, are seen as game-changers for Tesla's market valuation. Meanwhile, operational and regulatory challenges remain, including the uncertain impact of geopolitical moves such as tariff implementations.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
TESLA: Key Days! NASDAQ Bottoms and TESLA Breaking Out!!Everyone is thinking about today, about how difficult it is to know whether a stock will rise or fall since Trump came to power!!! :-). On April 2nd, many things will become clear after the official publication of the tariffs, but it's true that with a person like Trump in power, ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN in the future!! As with any investment, you have to analyze all the variables that could affect its performance. Today we'll analyze TESLA!! , one of the hardest hit in the American market, mainly due to TRUMP!!! , FOR BEING TRUMP'S FRIEND!! :-). --> What does TESLA have AGAINST IT? 1) TARIFFS: If Trump punishes countries around the world with tariffs, they (mainly China) will fight back!! , and the one that WILL BE PUNISHED THE MOST will be TESLA for Elon Musk being in power alongside Trump. 2) CHINESE ELECTRIC CARS: The competition is clear! There are Chinese vehicle companies that will compete strongly with Tesla, mainly due to price, although from my point of view, Tesla will win because Tesla is a brand of reliability, while Chinese companies are not. 3) NASDAQ: If the US enters a recession or decline, all technology will fall sharply, and with it, obviously, Tesla. --> But what STRENGTHS does it have? 1) ELON MUSK IN POWER IN THE USA: We all know Elon Musk! And once in power, he will take full advantage of it to strengthen his companies in the coming months/years. 2) TESLA: New Tesla models and the world's most efficient batteries, in addition to the release of its first line of MOBILE PHONES, which we're all sure will be IMPRESSIVE!! 3) 40% YEAR-ROUND DROP: The sharp decline accumulated through 2025 makes this a company with GREAT appreciation potential, and at the slightest bit of good news, it will rise sharply. With these PROS and CONS, we now have the variables outside of mathematics that could affect the value. Now it's time for TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, and for that, I've published two charts: the one above for TESLA on a H1 timeframe and the one below for the NASDAQ on a H4 timeframe. Why the one for the NASDAQ? Because you always have to analyze the direction of the INDEX, since a global drop in technology would drag down the company even if the technicals were favorable. ---> How do you view the NASDAQ? The Nasdaq is clearly bearish in a key support zone for its future. It must not lose its current zone, and in the event of an upward rebound, it will form a bottom and signal a bullish (bullish) signal for the index in the coming weeks/months, causing all technology to rise sharply. --> How is Tesla doing? Tesla's outlook is better than the NASDAQ's, as it is entering a zone with intentions of breaking out higher! If Tesla surpasses 293, it will end the bearish phase it has been in since the beginning of the year and begin a bullish recovery phase. Therefore, if the NASDAQ bottoms out! When Tesla surpasses 293, we will go long without hesitation! -------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 293. POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 325 zone (+11%) --> Stop Loss at 242 (-17%). POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop position. --> Initial trailing stop loss at (-17%) (coinciding with the 242 level of position 1). --> We modify the trailing stop loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (293). ------------------------------------------- SETUP EXPLANATIONS *** How do I know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest €2,000 in the stock, we divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening one position of €2,000, we'll open two positions of €1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but it automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a specified distance. This specified distance is the trailing Stop Loss. --> Example: If the trailing Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% during increases. Therefore, the risk decreases until the position enters a profit. This way, you can take advantage of very strong and stable price trends, maximizing profits.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by jmesado
TSLA - A false start? UPDATE : Tesla is unfortunately not starting on the right foot. The price action since the low is NOT impulsive to use an Elliot Wave term. So this is very unlikely to be the low. I will be selling my $265 calls near $255 price levels. And then patiently wait to see if we drift down for the true wave 5 down to $187. Additionally, the Murrey Frame 1/8ths line is also down there, as well a the Red dashed P line from the last break out. So..... if this take is wrong, and we manage to leave the channel gate move above $260 I will update. Until then its prayers to offload these longs profitably, and reset lower. Comments always welcome. And remember, trading is hard work, Sometimes we fish for a long time to catch the tastiest fish in the sea. Bona Fortuna!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Urbanmove
TSLA still bearish like I said. Why you should sue the board.This chart uses an unpublished modified turtle trader indicator / strategy combined with the unpublished TVMV framework using MFT candle sticks (published as separate indicator) and Bollinger bands. The max monthly position size is determined by seasonal probabilities, while the individual trade position sizes are determined by the turtle style volatility sizing based off the former's capital. Nothing has changed about TSLA. It has a work from home CEO who is who disconnected from reality and accountability that the stock will not recover. No amount of government contracts can over come the damage this man has done to the brand. Sales and deliveries are down in every market and the car owners are afraid to drive their cars. This recent pump had no basis. It lacked both fundamental value and technical value. TSLA will break below 222 and may go as far as 109 by EOY if the board of directors does not fulfill their fiduciary obligations to share holder to remove Musk permanently . Shareholders should seriously consider filing a class action law suit against the board of directors in collaboration with NY .
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by livingdracula
What Is Tesla’s Fundamental and Technical Analysis Showing?EV maker Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA is perhaps the most controversial stock in U.S financial markets right now. Sales appear to be slowing, while CEO Elon Musk's position as a Trump administration adviser has led political opponents to attack Tesla vehicles, dealerships and even some vehicle owners. TSLA popped 11.9% on Monday (March 24), but has generally been sinking for months. What does technical and fundamental analysis say might happen next? Let's dig in and see what we find: Tesla’s Fundamental Analysis TSLA rose almost 95% in the roughly seven weeks between Donald Trump’s November election victory and the stock’s $488.54 all-time intraday high on Dec. 18. After all, Musk’s close ties to Trump seemed to point to good times ahead for the company. However, the stock’s price has been in decline ever since then, while vandalism of Tesla vehicles by Trump opponents has made owning or one a slightly risky affair. As of this writing, TSLA was down 32.2% year to date and 44% from the stock's Dec. 18 peak. Beyond politics, a lot of this had to do with the reality that demand for electric vehicles might have hit something of a saturation point, at least for now. There’s also been a tremendous increase in competition in recent years for electric-vehicle purchases or leases. Volkswagen OTC:VWAGY has ramped up its EV efforts, while China is absolutely full of homegrown competitors like BYD OTC:BYDDF , Nio NYSE:NIO and XPeng NYSE:XPEV . All in, Tesla’s vehicle sales have slackened not just in America, but also in Europe and China. But to be fair, Ford NYSE:F , General Motors NYSE:GM and Rivian NASDAQ:RIVN have all hit slowdowns in EV sales as well. Still, add it all up and Wall Street is looking TSLA to report Q1 results in May that include $0.47 of adjusted earnings per share on $22.9 billion of revenue. That would represent 4.4% larger earnings and about 7.5% higher revenues when compared to last year’s Q1, where Tesla reported $0.45 of adjusted EPS on $21.3 billion in revenues. However, all 13 sell-side Tesla analysts that I can find have revised their quarterly estimates lower since current quarter began. On the bright side, the automaker’s operating and free cash flows have remained strong for the past three quarters. The firm ended 2024 with some $36.6 billion in cash against a $13.6 billion total debt load. That’s what many would consider a strong balance sheet that could sustain Tesla’s operations for a time if need be. Tesla’s Technical Analysis A look at Tesla’s one-year chart shows that while the stock has been falling since December, it still managed to make a stand technically in recent days: The purple line at right in the above chart shows that TSLA found support twice in March very close to $212.30. That’s the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the stock’s entire April 2024 to December 2024 run. That purple line also shows indicates that Tesla has formed a small “double bottom” pattern of what could be a bullish reversal at the Fibonacci support level, and that the stock has since tried to rally from there. TSLA was also able to recently take back its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” denoted by the green line above). However, the stock appears to have hit resistance at the 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked above with a red line). That makes the 200-day SMA the stock's likely new pivot point. A retaking of the 200-day SMA would allow for increased target prices. Conversely, a retest and loss of Tesla’s 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level could permit a further decline. Meanwhile, Tesla’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line in the above chart’s top) has mostly improved recently and now stands in neutral territory. Similarly, the stock’s daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator -- or “MACD,” denoted by the black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart’s bottom -- is in a less-awful place than it was earlier this year. The histogram of Tesla’s 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” denoted by the blue bars at the chart’s bottom) is now above zero. That’s historically a short-term bullish sign. Similarly, the stock’s 12-day EMA (the black line at the bottom) is now above its 26-day EMA (the gold line). That’s typically somewhat positive, but both of those lines are still below zero -- which is historically a negative signal. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in TSLA at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. 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NASDAQ:TSLA
by moomoo
1
TSLA at a Decision Point! Will This Support Break or Bounce?⚡Market Structure & Price Action: TSLA has shown a breakdown from its recent consolidation following a Break of Structure (BOS) and two Change of Character (CHoCH) signals. Price is now compressing downward in a falling wedge toward a key support zone around $260, suggesting a potential reversal or continuation setup. * Bearish order block from the $290–$300 zone remains unchallenged. * Current price action is hovering right at a support level with small-bodied candles, indicating indecision. GEX & Options Flow Insights: * IVR: 37.8 * IVx avg: 22.6 * Put Positioning: 71% (very defensive positioning by institutions) * GEX: 🔴🔴🔴 (Strong bearish gamma exposure) 🧨 Highest negative GEX zone and Put support are stacking around $554–$550, acting as a gamma magnet and potential short-term floor if selling pressure accelerates. Key Levels to Watch: * Support Zones: * $260.01 (current bid zone) * $249.89 * $230 (lower wedge support) * Resistance Zones: * $275 (gap fill resistance) * $291.83 (strong supply + BOS origin) * $304.50 (major swing resistance) Indicator Insights: * MACD: Bullish crossover forming but lacking strong momentum * Stoch RSI: Oversold territory, curling upward, hinting a potential short-term bounce * Volume: Increasing on red candles, showing heavy sell pressure dominance recently Scenarios: 🔼 Bullish Play: * Entry: Above $264.50 * Target 1: $275 * Target 2: $291 * Stop-loss: Below $255
Confirmation needed via bullish CHoCH and break above descending wedge. 🔽 Bearish Play: * Entry: Below $258 breakdown of wedge * Target 1: $249 * Target 2: $230 * Stop-loss: Above $267
Watch for continuation if macro weakness persists and options flow remains bearish. GEX Outlook Summary: TSLA is entering a low-liquidity pocket with strong bearish gamma exposure. High IVR and heavy put concentration suggest institutional hedging, increasing the chance of a further breakdown unless buyers show up at key reversal zones. Conclusion: TSLA is at a make-or-break zone. If bulls can reclaim $265+, we may see a relief bounce. However, bearish options pressure and gamma positioning suggest the path of least resistance could still be down, especially toward $250. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk wisely.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
2