UNHCL trade ideas
UNH - Bullish Trade IdeaUNH Trade Plan : Entry Zone
Momentum Breakout Entry (Candle Trigger): Reclaim of 314.76 level (15m) with bullish engulfing candle or strong candle 12cloud (15m/30m).
Ideal Pull Back Entry Range (Micro Pullback): $310.50 – $312.20 (deep liquidity pocket + 1H bullish order block).
Entry refinement = Wait for 15m or 30m candle signal + WTMA inverse Arc or Level 3 Floating candle
🛡 Stop Loss / Take-Profit Ladder
Stop Loss Zone: $308.65 (under VWAP band and bottom of HTF breaker)
TP Ladder:
TP1: $317.35 → Weak high sweep
TP2: $320.63 → Final breakout retest
TP3: $324.18 → Macro swing target (2H FVG supply hit)
Relief Rally likely, but if the gossip is true ...Let's perform a technical analysis of UnitedHealth Group (UNH) stock, incorporating the SMAs, MACD (8,13), and the provided support and target levels.
As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 10:04:56 PM PDT, here's a breakdown of UNH:
**Current Price & Performance:**
* **Last Price:** $308.62 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025)
* **Today's Change:** Up $6.00 (+1.99%)
* **Previous Close:** $302.62
* **Today's Range:** $302.20 - $310.45
* **52-Week Range:** $248.88 - $630.73 (Note the significant drop from its 52-week high, indicating a strong downtrend over the past year).
---
### **Simple Moving Averages (SMAs): 200, 100, 86, 50, 21**
Moving Averages are lagging indicators, and their relationship to price and each other helps identify trends. For UNH, the picture is quite different from GOOGL.
* **200-Day SMA:** This is a long-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $494.42 - $495.79**
* **Interpretation:** The current price of $308.62 is **significantly BELOW** the 200-day SMA. This clearly signals a **long-term bearish trend**. This is a major red flag for long-term investors.
* **100-Day SMA:** A medium-to-long-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $433.21 - $429.49**
* **Interpretation:** The price is **significantly BELOW** the 100-day SMA, reinforcing the bearish sentiment on a medium-term basis.
* **86-Day SMA:** A custom or less common moving average.
* *Exact 86-day SMA not commonly reported, but given the trend of the 50, 100, and 200-day SMAs, it will also be well above the current price.*
* **Interpretation:** The price would be well below its 86-day SMA, confirming the bearish pressure across this timeframe as well.
* **50-Day SMA:** A medium-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $359.86 - $345.03**
* **Interpretation:** The price is **well BELOW** the 50-day SMA. This is a **bearish signal**, indicating that the medium-term trend is down. The price needs to reclaim and hold above this SMA to suggest a shift in sentiment.
* **21-Day SMA:** A short-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $302.51 - $305.13** (This is the most relevant in the immediate term.)
* **Interpretation:** The current price ($308.62) is **just above or fluctuating around its 21-day SMA**. Some sources indicate the price is above it (suggesting a short-term "Buy" signal for this specific MA), while others still show a "Sell" for longer periods. This suggests that while there might be a very recent, tentative bounce or consolidation, the short-term trend is still very weak or fighting for direction.
**Overall SMA Assessment:**
In stark contrast to Google, UnitedHealth's SMAs paint a **predominantly bearish picture**. The longer-term SMAs (200, 100, 50) are all significantly above the current price, indicating a strong downtrend. The shorter-term 21-day SMA shows the price is trying to consolidate or bounce slightly, but it's still operating within a broader bearish context. The "stack" of SMAs is inverted (shorter-term below longer-term, with the price at the very bottom), confirming the bearish outlook.
---
### **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) (8,13)**
* **MACD Line:** (8-period EMA of Close - 13-period EMA of Close)
* **Signal Line:** 9-period EMA of the MACD Line
* **MACD Histogram:** MACD Line - Signal Line
**Current UNH MACD (8,13) State:**
Some sources indicate that the standard MACD (12,26,9) for UNH is currently **negative (e.g., -12.31)**, suggesting a "Sell" signal. However, some recent updates also indicate a "buy signal from the 3-month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)" and that the MACD value "suggests UNH has a positive trend, although the MACD value is declining." This presents a mixed signal for the standard MACD, suggesting a potential bullish divergence or a very recent, weak bullish crossover from extreme oversold conditions.
Given the price is just above its 21-day SMA after a significant drop, the custom MACD (8,13) would be more sensitive and might show:
* **Recent Crossover:** It's plausible that the MACD (8,13) line has recently performed a **bullish crossover above its signal line**, or is about to, from deeply negative territory. This would reflect the very short-term bounce observed.
* **Histogram:** The histogram might be turning less negative or even positive, indicating a potential, albeit weak, shift in immediate momentum.
**Interpretation:** While a bullish MACD crossover would be a positive sign, for a stock in a strong downtrend like UNH, such a signal would be viewed with caution. It might indicate a short-term relief rally within a larger downtrend rather than a sustained reversal, especially if the MACD values remain relatively low compared to previous bullish phases.
---
### **Strong Support at $147**
* **Analysis:** If we consider the 52-week range of $248.88 - $630.73, the $147 support level is significantly below the current 52-week low. This suggests that $147 might be a *very long-term* or *historical* support level (e.g., from pre-2023 prices) that is not immediately relevant to the current trading range.
* **Current Relevance:** Currently trading at $308.62, UNH has more immediate support levels to consider, for example, its 52-week low of $248.88, or the various pivot point supports provided by technical aggregators around **$300.37, $298.12, and $294.95**. If $147 is indeed a strong support you're tracking, it implies a *very significant further downside risk* if current support levels fail, as it would represent a break below its recent 52-week low and a continuation of its downtrend to levels not seen in over a year.
---
### **Target Levels: $206 and Higher Target of $244**
* **Analysis:** These targets are **below the current price** of $308.62. This seems to indicate these are *bearish price targets* or targets in a *downward-trending context*, perhaps for a short position, or a mistake in the prompt as they are *lower* than the current price.
* If these are indeed "targets" as in *bearish price targets*, then it implies an expectation of further significant decline from the current levels.
* **$206 Target:** This would represent a further drop of approximately $102.62 from the current price, pushing UNH even lower than its 52-week low.
* **$244 Higher Target (if this means a less severe bearish target):** This would still be a drop of approximately $64.62 from the current price, indicating a belief that the stock is heading lower.
Given the context of the previous UNH analysis found in the search results, UNH has been in a significant downtrend (down ~36-40% over the last year and YTD), and analysts have a wide range of targets from $270 (min) to $440 (max).
**Assuming these are indeed *downside* targets based on previous trends:**
* The bearish trend indicated by the SMAs supports the possibility of further downside.
* The $244 level would be above its 52-week low ($248.88) but still a significant drop.
* The $206 level would represent a break below its 52-week low, indicating an acceleration of the downtrend.
---
### **Overall Outlook for UNH:**
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) is currently in a **clear long-term and medium-term downtrend**, as evidenced by its price being significantly below its 200-day, 100-day, and 50-day SMAs. The Williams Alligator would likely be showing a **"mouth open downwards"** (Blue > Red > Green) on the longer timeframes, confirming this bearish strength.
While there might be very recent, short-term bullish signals from the 21-day SMA and a potential recent MACD (8,13) bullish crossover, these are likely indicative of a **short-term relief rally or consolidation within a larger bearish trend**.
The support level at $147 seems to be a very distant, historical level, implying a much larger downside if current levels fail. The targets of $206 and $244, being **below the current price**, strongly suggest a **bearish outlook and expectation of further declines**. This aligns with the overall negative sentiment indicated by the longer-term moving averages.
**Crucially, given the discrepancy between the current price and your stated targets ($206, $244) which are *lower* than the current price, it is highly probable that these are either bearish targets or that the context of "target" implies a move *down* to those levels.**
**Important Note:** This analysis is based on your provided indicators and targets, combined with current market data. UNH has been subject to specific company news (e.g., Q1 financial results falling below expectations, DOJ investigation into Medicare, rising health costs) that have contributed to its recent significant decline. Always conduct your own thorough fundamental and technical research, consider all relevant news, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Strong Recovery Signals After UnitedHealth (UNH) Stock DeclineUnitedHealth (UNH) shares have sharply declined due to the company's first-quarter financial results for 2025 falling below expectations and the United States Department of Justice's investigation into Medicare. The downward revision of earnings forecasts and rising health costs have increased selling pressure.
However, the stock is currently showing signs of recovery from a low around the 318 USD level. Its strong market position, broad customer base, and analysts' target prices reaching up to 440 USD indicate UNH's potential for growth in the medium to long term. Volatility may continue in the short term, but fundamental indicators support a recovery.
UNH Weekly Options Setup – Short-Term Pullback Risk (2025-06-11)📉 UNH Weekly Options Setup – Short-Term Pullback Risk (2025-06-11)
Ticker: NYSE:UNH (UnitedHealth Group)
Bias: Short-Term Bearish
Setup Timing: Market Open | Confidence: 70%
🔍 AI Model Consensus Overview
📍 Price: ~$310.56
📈 Momentum: Strong intraday bullish momentum — price above 10, 50, and 200 EMAs
📉 RSI: 5-min RSI ~79 → overbought
🎯 Max Pain: $300 → potential gravitational pull
🧠 Sentiment Split:
Bullish Models: Grok/xAI & DeepSeek
→ Focus on short-term momentum and trend continuation
Bearish Models: Llama/Meta & Gemini/Google
→ Emphasize overbought conditions & option pressure to steer price toward $300
⚖️ Strategic Summary
All models agree that:
• UNH is technically strong, but very overbought
• Max pain at $300 presents a downside magnet
• Both call and put options have tradable liquidity
Disagreement:
• Bulls see trend continuation
• Bears expect short-term correction before any continuation
✅ Recommended Trade
🎯 Direction: PUT
🛒 Strike: $300
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.60
🎯 Profit Target: $0.90 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.30 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market open
⚠️ Risk Factors
• Continuation of bullish breakout can kill put value fast
• Sharp intraday whipsaws common near RSI extremes
• Price staying pinned above $310 would weaken max pain magnet effect
• Use tight stop-losses and limited position sizing
📣 Do you fade overbought RSI or ride momentum on NYSE:UNH ?
💬 Drop your setup 👇 & follow for more AI-backed trade ideas.
$UNH sub $200?After the last fall, I thought that we'd see a more significant bounce, however the lack of follow through on any bounce attempt has me now looking for more downside.
I think it's very likely that UNH continues lower here and falls to one of the lower support levels.
I think the two lower supports are the most likely levels for a good long-term buy.
Let's see how it plays out.
UNH Weekly Trade Summary — Bearish Setup into June 6 Expiry📉 UNH Weekly Trade Summary — Bearish Setup into June 6 Expiry
📊 AI Model Snapshot
Model Bias Strike Direction Premium PT / SL Confidence
Grok Moderately Bullish $317.5 CALL $0.71 +50% / −20% 65%
Claude Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $3.15 +100–150% / −40% 72%
Llama Moderately Bearish $287.5 PUT $0.80 +50% / −50% 70%
Gemini Moderately Bearish $290 PUT $0.95 +50% / −50% 65%
DeepSeek Moderately Bearish $287.5 PUT $0.80 +50% / −50% 65%
✅ Consensus Summary
🟥 3 of 5 models lean bearish based on price below EMAs, weak MACD, and bearish news.
🧲 Max Pain at $305 could cause a bounce but unlikely to reverse trend.
📰 Piper Sandler’s target cut adds downside weight.
💡 Recommended Trade
🔻 Strategy: Weekly Naked Put Play
📌 Ticker: UNH
🎯 Strike: $287.50 PUT
💵 Entry Price: $0.80
🎯 Profit Target: $1.20 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.40 (−50%)
📏 Size: 1 contract
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence: 65%
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
🔄 Short-covering bounce could push UNH toward $305 and reduce put premiums fast.
⏳ Time decay (theta) speeds up mid-week — early action preferred.
🔍 Support zone around $300 – if it holds, consider cutting early.
📉 Broad market relief rally could neutralize this bearish edge.
UNH : Are Bad Days Over ? (Cautious)UNH shares have moved above the 50-period moving average but are trading below the 200-period moving average.
For now, since the 200-period moving average is very high, a small trade can be tried by keeping the stop-loss level a little tight.
A few weak movements may pull the average down and the price may break the average.
Therefore, small position sizes are ideal.
NOTE : If we can maintain persistence on 376(Which will take a few days),
then we will look at the other gaps.
Risk/Reward Ratio : 2.39
Stop-Loss : 274.99
Take- Profit Level : 376.38
Regards.
UNH - can price recover next week?I bought Call Option at strike 250 / Expiration May-30-2025
Again, not a typical trade. Just paid pennys to take possible huge RRR advantage.
I also bought Put Bear Spread in the last trade: see
This can be a a huge profit if we see big volatility in the next week. Up or down. Does not matter.
UNH Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025📉 UNH Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025
🚨 AI Model Consensus: Bearish Bias with Relief Rally Risks
🧠 Model Insights
🔹 Claude (Anthropic)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Technical: Daily MACD turning up, RSI recovering; short-term neutral-bullish.
Trade: Buy $305C @ ~$4.95 → PT +50–60%, SL ~30%
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Llama (Meta)
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Technical: M5 bullish, daily bearish; Bollinger/MACD mixed.
Trade: Buy $280P @ $0.94 → PT +50%, SL = $0.20 or if UNH > $307
Confidence: 70%
🔹 DeepSeek
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Technical: M5 squeeze; daily bearish but showing bullish divergence.
Trade: Buy $300P @ $5.70 → PT $8.55 (+50%), SL $3.99 (−30%)
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Gemini (Google)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Technical: Oversold daily with bounce signals; bullish 5M EMAs.
Trade: Buy $320C @ ~$1.45 → PT $2.75–2.90, SL $0.72
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Grok (xAI)
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Trade: Buy $280P @ $0.94 → PT +15%, SL −50%
Confidence: 70%
✅ Consensus Takeaways
⚖️ Short-term EMAs bullish, daily trend still bearish
🧲 Max Pain @ $300 = key anchor zone
📰 Negative news priced in, VIX falling
🔻 3 of 5 models lean bearish, but short-term bounce is possible
🎯 Recommended Trade
💡 Strategy: Naked Weekly Put on UNH
🔘 Ticker: UNH
📉 Direction: PUT
🎯 Strike: $300
💵 Entry: $6.00
🎯 Profit Target: $9.00 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $4.20 (−30%)
📏 Size: 1 contract
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence: 60%
⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor
🔼 Short-term RSI/MACD bounce could squeeze puts
🧲 Max Pain $300 could magnet price sideways
⌛ Theta decay accelerates midweek—trade must move early
⚡ Watch VIX—any spike could rapidly change momentum
📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
json
Copy
Edit
{
"instrument": "UNH",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 300.0,
"expiry": "2025-06-06",
"confidence": 0.60,
"profit_target": 9.00,
"stop_loss": 4.20,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 6.00,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-06-01 00:11:01 UTC-04:00"
}
$UNH contrarian idea ..Hello, this seems to be the "BUY THE DIP!" name definitely on the retail side. A guy once told me, if everyone is talking about getting into something, buying something, it might be a good time to sell and get out of that something. Example: I have been buying Bitcoin for five years, the price has risen and now everybody is talking about Bitcoin, that might be a clear indicator to sell some of that position and take profits; contrarian. So, something is telling me this name isn't ready to just ride to the upside like everybody is imagining. A big zone is down around $200, a 7 year demand. This name is in turmoil, randomness happens. I believe the name would have kept going down if the insider buy did not come in and bring some momentum. I can see this name retracing back to $275 and below. Will be interesting to see. On watch is $275p 6/20.
WSL
Panic Creates Opportunity!- Corruption allegations and incidents like assassination have severely damaged the company. However, insider buying activity and a dramatic drop in valuation multiples create an exceptional opportunity.
- The absence of issues in profitability or operational performance further reinforces this rare opportunity.
- Negative analyst revisions have introduced political pressure on the company, which may persist.
- Yet, those who invest when others are fearful often come out ahead.
- The stock should be considered for swing trading. The price target aligns with two overlapping levels: the 61.8% retracement of the A-B-C correction wave, and the 261.8% projection of a post-correction 1-2-3-4-5 impulse wave (assuming wave 1 peak is fixed and wave 2 bottom is at the 61.8% level).
UNH LONGOh man, what a chart to dig into.
(Read the fundamental analysis for this one—I don’t look into company financials or earnings. I’m also not following the news, so that’s on you. I’ve seen too many setups fail because of some unexpected headline or a random tweet on a f***ing Monday from the orange man.)
Why am I looking at this setup?
We’re sitting right at the 0.618 fib in a bullish trend. That lines up with the POC of a B-shaped volume profile, right at a support level. On top of that, liquidity under the trendline on the left has already been swept, and price is way overstretched from VWAP. So even if this isn’t a full reversal, we should at least get a pullback back toward the VWAP midline.
entries at 301
283
264
SL at 236
TP 50% at 492, and let the rest rides
There’s a lot going on here:
Trend direction is still up. As long as we don’t get a close below 187, this is just a pullback.
VWAP is miles away from the current price. Price doesn’t stay that far from it forever—it either pulls back or consolidates before heading higher.
Fibs and TLs: There’s a major trendline (marked as Area 2) that hasn’t been touched for the third time yet. That same zone lines up with the 0.78 fib. Price hasn’t reached it yet—might not—but that’s still a spot I’d seriously consider for a long.
POC zone: The marked long area is right on the POC of a B-profile. It’s a key level and should act as support. That’s a solid place to look for a bounce.
I’ve marked out the setup and three possible entries. These are the spots I’d look to long from. If they all fail, then Area 2 is the backup—it should hold.
One more thing: there’s a red line in the middle of the chart. If you want more confirmation, wait for price to close above it, then catch the retrace. That gives you more confidence in the setup.
Do your own analysis and keep an eye on the news.
TA only works if it lines up with the fundamentals. If not, it’s useless.
UNITED HEALHT GROUP- SECOND PURCHASE CHANCE !BUY :
$290-$300
PROFIT:
$350-$370
Analysis by Josias HB — Speculator from 2017 to present.
The investment will take the necessary time to reach its objective, which we project within the next two months. Let's let the optimistic market sentiment do its work. In the meantime, we sit back and wait.
UNH: Why I Believe This Is a Dead Cat Bounce(Late posting)We’ve seen a quite the abounce in the market as of lately, but I believe it’s not a real recovery. To me, this looks like a classic dead cat bounce; a quick move up that happens during a downtrend before prices drop again. I’ll explain why I think this is the case, kind of a simple one.
First of all, the grand picture in the economy still looks fairly negative, especially respecting the TRUMP TARIFF new. Inflation hasn’t fully gone away, interest rates are still high, and consumer confidence is weak. There’s no major change in the news or the fundamentals that would support a strong comeback. It feels like people are just hoping things will improve, but the facts don’t really support that yet.
Second, the volume on this bounce has been low. In trading, volume tells you how strong a move is. If the price goes up but not many people are trading, it usually means there’s not much real buying happening. This bounce seems to be driven more by short sellers covering their positions, not by confident investors jumping in.
Third, we’re hitting key resistance levels—areas where the price dropped before—and we’re starting to see signs of rejection again. These levels are often hard to break through unless the market has strong momentum, and right now it doesn’t look like that’s the case.
Fourth, if you look at indicators like the RSI and MACD, they show that the price is already overbought. That means the recent move up may have gone too far, too fast. These kinds of readings usually lead to a pullback, especially when the bigger trend is still down.
Finally, the overall structure of the chart hasn’t changed. We’re still making lower highs and lower lows, which is what a downtrend looks like. Just because we’ve had a few green candles doesn’t mean the trend has reversed. Until we see the market start building a base and making new highs with strong support, I don’t think this bounce will last.
I n my opinion, this is one of those moments where people might get too excited too quickly. A lot of traders jump in thinking the bottom is in, only to get caught when the price turns back down. That’s why I’m staying cautious and watching for signs that the bounce is
failing.
I could be wrong, but right now, this feels more like a trap than a turning point.
$UNH still looks very uglyI'm still bearish on NYSE:UNH until 335-340 area gets taken out. The chart is so ugly. We've seen many "too big to fail" companies die out eventually. Will NYSE:UNH survive all this bad publicity? Insider action, options flow suggest this isn't going "parabolic" anytime soon lol sorry bulls
The technicals just don't align YET to the upside.
This is still so far from major moving averages on the higher time frames... the volume dried out after those huge moves and consumers hate them right now lol.. this is feeling like NYSE:GME apes versus wall street bullies. Except its NYSE:UNH versus the insured consumers finance.yahoo.com
20EMA on the daily = 342 still not even close
Also FYI - NYSE:UNH is not the type of stock that goes parabolic, nothing sexy on the options flow either
Below 290, I've got 275, 260, and 210 gap down. Good luck bulls and bears
UNH Long Setup – Oversold Reversal PlayUnitedHealth ( NYSE:UNH ) is showing early signs of a potential bounce after a brutal selloff.
🔹 Price broke above the baseline (Ichimoku), first green candle close with bullish momentum
🔹 Williams %R showing oversold bounce from -80 levels
🔹 MACD turning positive on multiple timeframes
🔹 Clean risk/reward setup:
‣ Entry: $293
‣ Target: $455 (55% upside)
‣ Stop: $249 (15% risk)
‣ R/R Ratio: 3.5+
This could be a high-reward reversal play if market strength continues. Watching closely for follow-through confirmation.
#UNH #stocks #longsetup #tradingview #healthcare #swingtrade #technicalanalysis #chartsetup #Ichimoku
UNH Under Pressure – Below EMA 200 with Heavy Selling VolumeUNH (UnitedHealth) is showing clear bearish signs:
Price has dropped below the EMA 200, a key long-term support level
Recent sessions show strong selling volume, indicating institutional exit
Trend is downward, with no bullish confirmation yet
⚠️ I stay cautious here — waiting for volume shift or price reclaim above EMA before considering a reversal.
Until then, the bearish momentum stays active.
Not financial advice – just my technical view.
#UNH #StockAnalysis #BearishTrend #VolumeAnalysis #EMA200 #TechnicalTrading #HealthcareStocks