Trading Analysis for United Parcel Service**Current Price:** $98.92
**Direction:** **LONG**
**LONG Targets:**
- **T1 = $103**
- **T2 = $105**
**Stop Levels:**
- **S1 = $97**
- **S2 = $95**
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**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in United Parcel Service.
**Key Insights:**
UPS benefits from its position as a global leader in logistics and package delivery, especially as key economies worldwide continue to strengthen post-pandemic recovery. The broader transportation sector is experiencing tailwinds due to improved consumer demand and B2B shipments, which provides a favorable backdrop for UPS to capitalize on higher network efficiency and cost controls. Analysts acknowledge that while economic uncertainties persist, UPS’s diversified operations and strategic initiatives, such as investments in automation and infrastructure, position it to maintain competitive advantages.
**Recent Performance:**
In recent weeks, UPS has showcased resilience in volatile market conditions. The stock is trading near its multi-week high, reflecting positive sentiment from both retail and institutional traders. Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 52.14, suggest neither overbought nor oversold conditions, providing room for continued upward price movement. Despite market uncertainty, the consistent recovery of the transportation and logistics sector has supported UPS, with gains evident in its last quarterly report.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts are optimistic about UPS's near-term prospects given its strong operating metrics, cost-cutting strategies, and focus on service improvements. Many experts cite favorable macroeconomic trends, including easing inflation, strong consumer spending, and robust e-commerce activity, as key growth drivers for the company. Furthermore, UPS's valuation, in comparison to its industry peers, appears attractive considering its cash flow strength and dividend-paying history. Technical signals such as a bullish crossover in the moving averages further bolster confidence in a moderate upside scenario.
**News Impact:**
Recent developments, including UPS’s strategic expansion into healthcare logistics, have been well-received by investors. This shift could open access to high-margin business opportunities in medical storage and delivery, which lends long-term growth potential. Additionally, global supply chain improvements and easing raw material costs contribute to optimism around future operating efficiencies. Traders are also paying attention to the upcoming earnings report, which is anticipated to reflect strong seasonal performance and may serve as a stock price catalyst.
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**Trading Recommendation:**
The strong mix of technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic factors suggests a bullish outlook for United Parcel Service. With momentum indicators supporting upside potential and the stock trading below estimated intrinsic value, traders can consider LONG positions targeting $103 (T1) and $105 (T2), with stops placed at $97 (S1) and $95 (S2). UPS remains well-poised to benefit from improving operational efficiencies, increased network demand, and favorable industry trends, making it a promising candidate for a long-term investment strategy.
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UPSCL trade ideas
$UPS going UP : FY25 FORECAST 147% +++in the wake of the potential end of the US 🇺🇸 assets market
I want to continue this post i made last year
If it breaks the trendlines I'm higher for longer till my target
For now I'm long till it breaks that point is it doesn't its going down
With the rest of the country
Whats the Chinese ups?
United Postal Service | UPS | Long at $92.00The United Postal Service NYSE:UPS finally closed out the last remaining price gap on the daily chart (since 2020) and entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. With a P/E of 15x, earnings forecast growth of 8.12% per year, and a dividend over 6%, NYSE:UPS "may" be a good buy and hold through these tumultuous economic/trade war times. I wouldn't place a continued price drop near $75-$85 out of the question, but I'm not in the game of calling bottoms.
At $92.00, NYSE:UPS is in a personal buy zone. Word of caution: if this stock really tanks due to trade issues and massive recession, $50s...
Targets:
$108.00
$120.00
$133.00
OptionsMastery: In a MONTHLY demand on UPS!🔉Sound on!🔉
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UPS looking DOWNSNice head and Shoulders on the United Parcel Service
#UPS and FEDEX are the new dow transport indicator.
An underlying determinant of how the consumer is faring
Since the US is a consumer economy and Online shopping is the majority of retail
if we see new highs on the Indicies, and the home delivery carriers continue to deteriorate
it would give your non confirmation Top
Similar to Dow theory of new High's in the Industrials , but the transports lagging and indeed falling.
Selling Pressure Ahead as UPS Approaching Key ResistanceUPS, after breaking below the critical support, is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating the potential validity of a long-term downtrend. At present, the price has once again approached the resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci level. This is expected to generate significant selling pressure, resulting in a downward push in price. Considering the 3-day chart, the drop could be relatively substantial. The final downside target is identified at the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which corresponds to the $120 mark.
However, a breakout above the channel would serve as a strong warning sign for sellers. If the price manages to produce a new higher high thereafter, it is likely that bulls will regain complete control. Nonetheless, at the moment, bears are clearly dominating the market. Therefore, we are currently initiating our short position.
UPS Share Price Plunges to a 4.5-Year LowUPS Share Price Plunges to a 4.5-Year Low
Last week, United Parcel Service (UPS)—one of the world's largest parcel delivery, supply chain management, and courier service companies—released its quarterly report.
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $2.75, Expected = $2.53
→ Total revenue: Actual = $25.4 billion, Expected = $25.3 billion
Despite EPS exceeding forecasts by over 8%, UPS shares plunged to $110, a level last seen in mid-2020 when the US economy was recovering from the pandemic.
Investor Disappointment Over Amazon Cutbacks
The stock decline was driven by UPS’s decision to further reduce its business with Amazon. The company stated that its 2025 revenue would be around $6 billion below analysts’ expectations due to halving the volume of Amazon parcels it processes—despite Amazon being its largest customer.
UPS CEO Carol Tomé explained that the company wants to move away from Amazon as profit margins in this segment are too low, negatively impacting overall profitability.
According to The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), UPS management is under pressure from dissatisfied investors, a significant portion of whom are long-serving company employees. Due to UPS's unique shareholder structure, veteran employees—who control 63% of voting rights—have suffered billions in collective losses due to the stock's decline.
Shortly after releasing the report, UPS announced a quarterly dividend increase from $1.63 to $1.64 per share, though this is unlikely to offset the stock’s 40% decline over the past three years.
Technical Analysis of UPS Stock
UPS shares remain in a downward trend (as indicated by the red channel).
Following the latest drop:
→ The price fell below $124, a key resistance level in 2018–2019.
→ The stock reached the lower boundary of the channel, which may act as a support level, preventing a further decline toward the psychological $100 mark.
Is Now the Time to Buy UPS Shares?
Analysts have lowered their UPS price targets:
→ Stephens revised its target from $140 to $127.
→ DA Davidson downgraded UPS from "Buy/Add" to "Neutral", cutting the target from $154 to $116.
→ Redburn Atlantic reduced its target from $159 to $137.
→ Loop Capital revised its target from $120 to $115.
→ Oppenheimer lowered its target from $146 to $126.
From a technical perspective, reversing the multi-month downtrend seems challenging. However, if UPS reconsiders its Amazon strategy under investor pressure, this could provide an opportunity for buyers.
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UPS to $120My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 100 52 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $111.50
Target is $120 or channel top
Rising Costs & Economic Uncertainty: What January Taught Us and And then there’s UPS. A 20% drop is not just a stock market hiccup—it’s a symptom. The logistics giant, a bellwether for commerce, is struggling under the weight of declining demand, operational cost increases, and shifting consumer behavior. The question is, who’s next? If a company as ingrained in global trade as UPS is faltering, what does that signal for the rest of the economy? Retail? Small businesses? Tech?
February looms with uncertainty. Will we see further price hikes, layoffs, or corporate contractions? Or will there be a recalibration, an attempt to stabilize? If January was a lesson in upheaval, February may well be a test of resilience.
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Opening (IRA): UPS June 20th 90C/March 21st -115C... for a 19.60 debit.
Comments: Buying the back month 90 delta call and selling a front month that pays for at least all of the extrinsic in the long such that the break even is at or below where the stock is currently trading.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 19.60
Break Even: 109.60/share
Max Profit: 5.40
ROC at Max: 27.6%
I generally look to take profit on these at 110% of what I put them on for and/or roll out the short call if my take profit isn't hit.
UPS at a Make-or-Break Zone – Will Buyers Step In?Hi you all,
United Parcel Service (UPS) has recently entered a potential buying zone. In its latest earnings report, the company announced a reduction in business with Amazon by more than 50% by the second half of 2026, aiming to focus on more profitable ventures. Despite a slight revenue miss, UPS beat profit expectations for the fourth quarter.
From a technical perspective, several factors suggest a potential buying opportunity, so do your homework. If fundamentals will align then you should be ready...
- Trendline: The stock is approaching a long-term trendline, third touch.
- 50% Retracement: UPS has retraced approximately 50% from its all-time high.
- Previous Yearly Highs as Support: Former resistance levels from previous years are now acting as support, indicating potential liquidity.
- Psychological Support at $100: The round number of $100 serves as a psychological barrier, potentially providing additional support.
Do your homework because this is just half of the story: technical analysis. From my side, this is inside a potential area, but do fundamentals support it?
Good luck,
Vaido
$UPS - DOUBLE BOTTOM UPS completed a double bottom pattern with a tight stop of a daily close below $122. Earnings are initially set for January 30th. I believe it should reach the targets (horizontal ray) before earnings and the ER will decide if it retraces or be a catalyst to brake the trend line.
Proposed play:
7 FEB 25 130 C
Currently @ 2.65 (Ask)
If target reached before ER will consider closing partially and coninue with the rest for ER. Please do your DD and this is a personal play.
Updates will follow.
GLTA
UPS - State of the EconomyUPS presents an interesting opportunity for investors looking for a potential rebound, especially if you believe there will be a turnaround in consumer demand due to looser financial conditions. The stock has dropped nearly 50% from its highs just a couple of years ago, presenting an attractive entry point for long-term investors. If financial conditions ease and consumer confidence improves, demand for shipping and e-commerce is likely to pick up, directly benefiting UPS's business. As we move more towards e-commerce and away from traditional shops, UPS is poised to benefit from this continued trend over the longer term.
Additionally, UPS offers a strong, reliable dividend yield, making it an appealing safe compounder for those seeking stable income over the long term. As the company approaches key support levels that align with previous recession trendlines from 2008 and 2020, it could be poised for a recovery if economic conditions improve.
The company’s ongoing automation initiatives, aimed at increasing efficiency and cutting costs, should also drive improvements in margins and earnings per share (EPS). Recent layoffs, while often a negative signal, may actually strengthen UPS’s financials by streamlining operations and reducing labor costs. These efforts are expected to contribute to increased profitability as the company works to optimize its operations.
Even for those not directly investing in UPS, the stock remains an important one to monitor as it serves as a proxy for the broader economy. UPS’s performance is closely tied to consumer activity and global supply chains, making it a useful barometer for the health of the economy. If the company shows signs of improvement, it could signal a broader recovery, making UPS an essential stock for any investor keeping an eye on economic trends.