PayPal Holdings, Inc.💰Daily log chart.
Uptrend with short-term acceleration, in the second channel.
The question, will prices exit the medium-term channel, from above?
Price above the 200-day moving average.
Make up your mind.
VCL trade ideas
Visa's Bold Move into Web3 Loyalty Solutions Signals Growth
In a strategic move to solidify its customer base and stay ahead in the fiercely competitive payment industry, Visa recently announced the launch of its groundbreaking Web3 Loyalty Engagement Solution. The move, made in collaboration with SmartMedia Technologies, is designed to revolutionize customer loyalty programs and offers a glimpse into the innovative future of digital transactions.
The Web3 Loyalty Engagement Solution
Visa's new loyalty program aims to go beyond traditional reward systems, offering users a plethora of enticing incentives. Under this scheme, customers engaging with Visa's payment services will earn additional digital points with every transaction, creating a compelling reason for users to stick with the payment giant.
The program introduces a variety of digital assets, ranging from ticketing rewards and token-gating to loyalty assets, collectibles, gamified giveaways, and even augmented reality treasure hunts. This ambitious move positions Visa not only as a facilitator of transactions but as a pioneer in providing a unique and immersive user experience.
Navigating the Evolving Landscape
In the aftermath of the global pandemic, payment facilitators worldwide have witnessed a surge in their online customer base. However, fierce competition demands more than just a reliable service; it necessitates the development of a loyal customer following to sustain and grow the business.
Visa's initiative reflects a proactive response to this challenge. By embracing Web3 technology and offering a holistic loyalty program, Visa aims to not only retain its existing customers but also attract new ones in a market saturated with options.
Strategic Partnership with SmartMedia Technologies
The collaboration with SmartMedia Technologies adds an extra layer of sophistication to Visa's Web3 Loyalty Engagement Solution. The enterprise platform provided by SmartMedia Technologies bridges the gap between Web2 and Web3 innovation, offering a user-friendly experience that can be tailored to create personalized and curated offerings for consumers.
This partnership positions Visa at the forefront of technological innovation, allowing the company to leverage the benefits of both traditional and emerging technologies. The result is a loyalty program that not only rewards users but also enhances their overall engagement with Visa's services.
The Growing Trend: Web3 Loyalty Programs
Visa joins the ranks of industry leaders like Starbucks, Nike, Adidas, and Venmo in embracing Web3 loyalty programs. As consumer preferences shift towards personalized rewards and immersive experiences, these companies are leveraging Web3 technology to transform their loyalty offerings.
Investors looking for opportunities in the dynamic fintech sector should take note of Visa's bold move. By staying ahead of the curve and adopting innovative solutions, Visa positions itself as a frontrunner in the evolving landscape of digital transactions.
Conclusion:
Visa's foray into Web3 loyalty solutions is more than just a strategic move; it's a signal of the company's commitment to future growth and technological innovation. As the digital payment industry continues to evolve, Visa's proactive approach positions it as a compelling investment opportunity. For investors seeking a stake in a company at the intersection of traditional finance and cutting-edge technology, Visa's stock may just be the key to unlocking future success.
V (VISA) breaks new ground! Is it all blue sky for V?
While V might be overheated in the short term, with a 2-3 week pullback on the cards to the 50DMA, a strong breakout trend might indicate big gains for the next 3 months.
Accumulation is still climbing and strong momentum away from the 200DMA indicates we could be in for a solid medium-term rise.
Visa Inc - Bullish Visa Inc. (V) - Bullish Price Action Analysis
Current Status: As of today, Visa Inc. (V) exhibits strong bullish price action. The stock has shown a consistent upward trend, indicating potential for continued growth.
Key Observations:
Trend Analysis: The stock has been following a robust uptrend, supported by technical indicators moving averages, RSI, MACD.
Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment appears positive, potentially due to market developments.
Volume Analysis: Trading volumes have been, suggesting strong investor interest.
Trading Strategy:
First Target (Take Profit 1): $284. This target is set based on historical resistance, Fibonacci levels.
Second Target (Take Profit 2): $324. The rationale for this target includes long-term resistance, pattern projections.
Stop Loss: Set at $234 to mitigate risk. This level is chosen based on ATR percentage.
Risk Management:
It's recommended to keep a close watch on the price action near the target levels and adjust the stop loss accordingly.
Conclusion:
Given Visa Inc.'s strong bullish signals and market positioning, the stock presents an attractive opportunity for bullish traders with the specified targets. However, it's crucial to monitor market conditions and news that may affect Visa's performance.
Top 3 Common Risks In Options TradingWhen you watch this video you will be able to:
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Summarize the main concepts of risk management
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Watch this video to learn more
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**Disclaimer:**
The information provided above is for educational and informational purposes only.
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VISA Pull-back to the 1D MA50 possible.Visa Inc. (V) has gone a long way since our last analysis (see chart below) which hit both our bullish and bearish targets:
The stock has made a +15.40% Higher High from the bottom of the long-term Channel Up, which is consistent with 2 out of the 3 previous Bullish Legs within this pattern. After those Higher Highs were formed, pull-backs to Higher Lows of -8.41% to -10.82% followed, all of which hit or approached very closely the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
As a result, our sell's target will be at least on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at $250.00.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
V - Bull Flag [MID-TERM]💡 RSI: 73 Strong
💡 Risk: Low
✅ Resistance: 280
✅ Support: 248
PERFORMANCE
🟢 ST: POSITIVE
🟢 MT: POSITIVE
🟢 LT: POSITIVE
*ST: Short-term | MT: Mid-term | LT: Long-term
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
V EARNINGS CHART - BIG SUPPORT COMINGV has a really steep downtrend that is literally about to close out, probably tomorrow.
The movement from like 230-226 is pretty bullish.
Price targets and trends are marked.
Careful around that 242 mark, and look for possible support to coming back in around 236-238, which can easily take us up to that final rejection point.
With the trends and movement heading into earnings, it's hard to say that we should favor the bearish movement. IF we open super positive and run-up, I'd just wait to buy.
VISAvisa is at resistance the top of the channel this stock moves very consistently in a channel. right now that channel is up
Visa bearishI am Bearish on Visa. the underlying asset performed well, and now I think it is time to be back somewhere in the 230s to be bullish again. However, there still an unfilled gap and it could be that it
VISA Potential for Bearish Trend Initiation🔹 Last week, VISA experienced a decisive break below a long-standing ascending channel, marked by an unambiguous weekly and daily close. This occurrence constitutes a potential bearish signal, which may swiftly herald the commencement of a substantial downtrend.
🔹In scrutinizing Fibonacci retracement levels, it is notable that a definitive rebound materialized at the 61.8% retracement mark, only to be succeeded by a consequential downward breakout. Moreover, attention must be directed to the 361.8% Fibonacci level, which serves as a prospective ultimate downside target. This is underpinned by the prospect of creating an advantageous risk-to-reward trading setup.
🔹This situation offers a lucrative selling opportunity, and our detailed trade setup has been disseminated within our channel.
$V Head and shouldersVisa closed below its 200sma for the first time this year. Looks to have painted a beautiful head and shoulders pattern, however this has not been confirmed yet (no close below the neck line). It does look as though momentum is shifting towards sellers with the lower highs and with bearish convergence on the oscillators.
Where Will Visa Go Next YearWeekly Chart of Visa.
Visa has had a very long and steep run from 2008 to 2021.
The Corrective Wave looks like a 3-3-5 regular flat correction, where the B wave retraced more than 90 percent of A wave. Currently, C wave is forming. Wave 1 of C wave has formed and wave 2 of C will retrace further, maybe even up to 78.6 percent of wave 1. There is support from trend line.
I expect Visa to go up till end of the year when wave 2 of C wave will complete. Next year, Visa will form waves 3-4-5 of C wave going between 100 to 161.8 retracement of A wave, depending on how strong/weak the market is. There are two support levels at 180 and 140 where C wave may end.
VISA Poised For GreatnessVisa processes more than $11.6 trillion in gross dollar volume (GDV), made up primarily of digital payments with the remainder being things like ATM withdrawals, B2B transactions, etc. Alongside Mastercard, which is en-route to process $9.2 trillion, this makes Visa one of the two largest payment processors in the world. The company evidently has a wide moat that is targeted by competitors and regulators.
While many competitors such as Block (SQ) and Paypal (PYPL) seek to penetrate the high-margin space, Visa is well-positioned to benefit from the continued growth of digital payments and serve as a foundation for digital transactions with a wide moat that can be difficult to substitute.
Digital payments, a core part of Visa’s transaction value, are estimated (2) to reach a $9.5 trillion GDV in 2023, and grow to $12 trillion in 2025.
The Credit Card Competition Act May Be A Major Negative Catalyst
Acknowledging that the passing of this act is not a given, investors may see a large portion of the profits of payment processors like Visa wiped out should this law pass. In its current proposition, the legislation would enable merchants to choose an alternative payment processor (one that isn’t Visa or Mastercard) to execute payments for their customers.
Merchants instead of customers are the ones covering payment processing fees, so they have a large incentive to route payments to the cheapest competitor. Inevitably, Visa will be forced to lower their payment fees to compete with these cheaper alternatives, thereby compromising a key income stream.
Large companies like Walmart and Amazon will especially benefit from this change as they stand to reduce the fees paid to processors like Visa and Mastercard.
I estimate that this bill or a compromised version of it will pass, and erode Visa’s oligopolistic moat, and therefore their margins and net profits.
Visa Will Only Capture 30% of Serviceable Addressable Market
In 2021, the US value of non-cash payments was estimated to be over $128.51 trillion
I estimate a Total Addressable Market (TAM) of $100 trillion to $150 trillion, based off data from the US plus the rest of the world.
But I think that a more realistic Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM - What Visa’s share of the TAM could be) for Visa is between $50 trillion and $75 trillion.
Alternative data estimates indicate that the global SAM for card networks will grow to $60 trillion in 2027. Of the SAM midpoint of $62.5 trillion by 2028, I estimate that Visa manages to capture 30% resulting in a GDV of $18.75 trillion.
Visa had a take rate of about 0.2247% for the last 9 months, up 9.4% YoY from 0.2054%. Assuming Visa captures my estimated GDV of $18.75 trillion, the revenue in 2028 comes up to $42.2 billion (5.8% CAGR revenue growth)
As most of the developed world already prefers cards, Visa will find it more difficult to open up international markets, so I expect the company to reach this high-point.
The International Segment Is A Primary Revenue & Growth Driver
Much of Visa’s growth comes from international markets, and there are two key verticals to watch for the company: e-commerce and B2B cross-border payments which is very pivotal VISA.
E-commerce is growing rapidly, and Visa is the leading payment processor for online transactions, making it well-positioned to capture this growing market.
Visa is also expanding into business-to-business (B2B) payments and cross-border payments. These markets have a lot of potential, and Visa is investing heavily to capitalize on these opportunities.
💵 E a r n i n g s J o u r n a l📶 S T A T I S T I C A L A N A L Y S I S
Current 50-Day Market Trend: short/sellers/negative.
Next Swing: positive to resistance.
Next Wave: buy wave to the ceiling.
Next 50-Day Market Trend: long/buyers/positive.
Trade Type: Touch & Go don't wait for a close.
💵 E A R N I N G S A T A G L A N C E
Release Date: 10/24 AMC
Quarter: FQ4'23
_______________________________________________
Revenue Anticipations: positive surprise of Revenues.
Revenue Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #7
Revenue 2-Year Trend: the company trend in Revenues is positive.
_______________________________________________
EPS Anticipations: positive surprise of EPS.
EPS Surprise-Confidence: on a scale of 0-9, #7
EPS 2-Year Trend: the company trend in EPS is positive.
_______________________________________________
📝 S Y N O P S I S
🟢BUY: If the earnings report is above the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will buy the +surprise.
⚪NEUTRAL: If the earnings report is released with complicating press, I expect the market will avoid the surprise and invest in alternative securities.
🔴SELL: If the earnings report is below the Wall Street consensus, I expect the market will sell the -surprise.
🔎 R E S E A R C H D E P T H
Technical Analysis: daily chart.
Fundamental Analysis: EPS & Revenue data.
Press/News: none.
Social Media: none.
V Visa Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold V Visa ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of V Visa prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 22023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $5.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
V | VISA | Informative NYSE:V
Bullish Target Price 1: $241.81 appears as an immediate resistance point, given the horizontal line drawn around that level.
Bullish Target Price 2: If the stock manages to exceed the first target, the next potential bullish target is $244.73.
If the stock price falls below the bearish line located at $238.33:
Bearish Target Price 1: $237.67 seems to be the next support, based on the line illustrated.
Bearish Target Price 2: If the price continues its downward trajectory, it might find support around the $236.21 level.
VISA Marching to the All Time High. Early to buy still.Visa is rising gradually after finding Support firmly on the MA200 (1d) and the bottom of the Channel Up.
In accordance to the previous Channel Up rises, when the MA50 (1d) closes a candle over it, the rally will be confirmed.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 252.90 (All Time High).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) rebounded from below the oversold zone (30.00) which justifies buying now and not waiting for the MA50 (1d).
Please like, follow and comment!!
VISA INC, Scraping At The Top, DOUBLE-TOP Pending!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about VISA INC STOCK on the 4-day timeframe perspective. In the recent times the stock market is developing highly differently with stocks that show either bullish or bearish inclinements. In such times it is necessary to pick stocks that have bullish potentials as long-candidates and stocks that have bearish potentials as short-candidates when following a total-return-approach in the market. Total return means to make profits in every market situation either if the market goes up or down and with such a total-return-approach it is the best approach to consider the possibilites and collect a basket of short-candidates and long-candidates. VISA INC STOCK is such a potential short-candidate that can be added to the total-return-basket.
Considering the recent price-action movements VISA INC STOCK is about to scrape on it´s all-time-high region with a weak uptrend that inhabits several lower- to higher amplitude pullbacks and such a weak uptrend is likely to reverse into the other direction when the time is ripe and further indications point to a final reversal. This means when VISA INC STOCK enters the area above the 245 level from there on the possibility for a pullback increases massively and when this pullback emerges with the price-action pulling below the 230 level again the continuation possibility will mark to the high-ends of the possibilty-distribution. This means once the price-action broke below the 50-MA marked in red in my chart the continuation will follow up.
There are several levels and scenarios to watch out once the price-action pulled back from the actual top because with the price-action continuing to pullback below the 50-MA and further on below the main decade-trendline, these will be the validations of the final confirmation of this huge double top as it is seen in my chart. Once the final confirmation of the double-top happened as it is marked the price-action will approach the minimum-double-top-target-zones and in this manner it will be determining on how strong the bearish momentum will continue to move towards these levels because a strong bearish momentum will likely determine a further bearish continuation. For now we will watch out how the stock develops and especially how the confirmations show up to move on with further considerations.
Thank you everybody for watching. It will be great when you support my idea and we move on forward together.
"There are many roads to prosperity, but one must be taken."
VP
V (Visa) Entry, Volume, Target, StopEntry: with price above 245.37
Volume: with volume greater than 4.33M
Target: 256.92 area (this is an area, no guarantee it reaches this price, but you should be selling on the way up)
Stop: Depending on your risk tolerance; Based on an entry of 245.38, 241.38 gets you 3/1 Reward to Risk Ratio.
This LONG swing trade idea is not trade advice and is strictly based on my ideas and technical analysis. No due diligence or fundamental analysis was performed while evaluating this trade idea. Do not take this trade based on my idea, do not follow anyone blindly, do your own analysis and due diligence. I am not a professional trader.
VISA: See the excellent levels this strategy offers.Visa has been trading inside a Channel Up pattern but lately with the 1D technicals neutral (RSI = 50.905, MACD = 0.560, ADX = 28.391). This is despite staying on high levels, finding support on the 1D MA50.
As long as this and the Inside HL trendline hold, we are bullish, aiming at the Inside HH (TP = 251.00). If the price crosses below however, it is very likely to see a 1D MA200 test. Don't buy though before the 1D RSI enters the 0.236 - 0.0 Fibonacci Zone, which has been the strongest buy signal when the last two HL levels of the Channel Up formed. As previously, we will again aim at the Inside HH (TP = 252.00).
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Visa has formed a large level double topVisa has formed a large level double top
This figure shows the weekly candle chart of Visa's stock from the end of 2019 to the present. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section at the beginning of 2020. As shown in the figure, the combination of last week's high point and 2021 high point of Visa's stock has formed a large level double top shape, both of which are suppressed by the 2.618 position of the gold split at the bottom of the figure! This week, the stock of Visa has fallen back to the bottom of the chart, which is 2.382 on the Golden Divide. In the future, this position will serve as the watershed for judging its strength!
