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BEARUSD trade ideas

The moment of Truth. Analyzing the BTC/USD Weekly Chart: A Cup and Handle Breakout Understanding the Cup and Handle Pattern: A cup and handle pattern is a technical analysis chart formation that often signals a bullish reversal. It's characterized by a "U"-shaped base (the cup) and a subsequent consolidation period (the handle) before a breakout. Bullish Implications: If a cup and handle pattern is confirmed on the BTC/USD weekly chart, it could indeed be a bullish signal. A breakout above the handle's resistance level can suggest a resumption of the uptrend and a potential target of $120,000 or higher. Key Factors to Consider: Confirmation: Ensure the pattern is well-formed, with a clear cup and handle shape. A breakout above the handle's resistance should be accompanied by increased volume for stronger confirmation. Market Sentiment: While the technical pattern is bullish, it's essential to consider the broader market sentiment. If the overall cryptocurrency market is bearish, the breakout might be short-lived. Fundamental Analysis: Evaluate fundamental factors that could impact Bitcoin's price, such as regulatory developments, institutional adoption, and economic conditions. Risk Management: Remember, technical analysis is not foolproof. Set appropriate stop-loss orders to manage your risk in case the breakout fails.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ParabolicP
A warning: BTC to $70.000?Bitcoin is currently trading around $90,000, which is notable. The sharp price increases following Donald Trump's election victory have been significant, but experts suggest that a period of cooling or consolidation could be expected. During strong upward trends, investors often delay selling, anticipating further gains. However, if the price unexpectedly starts to decline, it can trigger a wave of sudden sell-offs as many decide to sell at the same time. This dynamic often leads to significant corrections during bull markets. According to this supply and demand indicator from LuxAlgo, we see an equilibrium zone around this specific level. This suggests that in that zone supply equals demand. Financial markets tend for price to move toward equilibria. CryptoQuant analyst BaroVirtual sets his target for Bitcoin's correction just above $70,000. The reason for this is that the short-term moving averages of the Bitcoin price are starting to move further apart. But what do you think?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by danieltbolsch
Bitcoin Investment Essentials(11/18-11/24)The crypto market has cooled, $90,000 has become an important point of contention, US stocks represented by Tesla NVIDIA have underperformed, and the crypto market winds have shifted to Meme, all signals pointing in a more dangerous direction, with the potential for significant volatility in both directions. Economic events and data are unimportant this week, macro markets are expected to be flat, and crypto and macro are less correlated. 🌟 Heavyweight events this week: 11/18 Mon. 💼 G20 summit takes place 11/19 Tuesday 💼 Reserve of Australia releases minutes of November monetary policy meeting (08:30) 11/21 Thursday 💼 US initial jobless claims for the week (21:30) 💼 EFMA International Finance Forum in Paris (13:00) 11/22 Friday 💼 Several key officials speak 💼 U.S. final University of Michigan consumer confidence index for November (23:00) 📌 Crypto Market Outlook: The crypto market enters a correction after a surging week, with the options market more stable and Block and market rates of interest. Major term IVs are currently at low levels, laying out some medium to long term is good value for money, historically the market is generally better in the fourth quarter, and now is still a good opportunity to buy. 📌 crypto interest rate market, Bitfinex interest rate market has been relatively stable recently, encountering the right interest rate orders can be actively traded, especially when there is a market worth special attention.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Greeks_live
BTC - Current Pattern IdentifiedWith the current trend on the LTF (1H) we see a clear triangular pattern forming. This is because we have a series of lower highs as well as a series of higher lows. Price is nearing the apex and will soon see a breakout to the upside or to the downside. Once we see a higher high form or a lower low we should know the short term direction. Depending on which way we break I have two yellow lines that represent the liquidation level of the highs and lows. It would also represent the mouth of the triangle whether to the upside or downside break. Depending on momentum we could also see the 1.618 of the upside or downside achieved. If we breakout price could see an expansion to just slightly below $100k, and if price breaks down we could see an expansion target just slightly below $80k.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by VIAQUANT
2
The Hidden Risk of Complacency in TradingWhen markets show strong trends, especially bullish ones, it’s easy to feel reassured that prices will keep going up. This was what we saw in the gold market in October , where traders are confident and optimistic about continued upward movement. Yet this very confidence can mask a significant risk for traders: the risk of complacency. What is Complacency in Trading? In trading, complacency is the state where traders grow overly comfortable with the direction of the market, often assuming that current trends will continue. This mindset can lead to a relaxation of caution and due diligence, causing traders to overlook potential risks. Instead of evaluating trades with a fresh perspective, complacent traders may focus more on profit potential than on risk. Why Complacency Can Be Dangerous Complacency is particularly dangerous in trading because markets are unpredictable and often experience shifts just when traders feel the most comfortable. As the saying goes, “The market takes the stairs up and the elevator down.” When complacency takes hold, traders may enter positions without fully considering risks, increasing the potential for significant losses if a sudden reversal occurs. Take the gold market as an example... However, this positive sentiment could be a setup for a downside reversal. Traders who enter positions at elevated prices may find themselves exposed if the market corrects. The potential rewards for going long at these high levels may not be enough to offset the risks of a pullback. Recognizing Signs of Complacency To avoid falling into the trap of complacency, traders should look for certain behaviors, both in themselves and the market: Over-optimism in Market Sentiment: When traders broadly believe in an upward trend and are unwilling to consider downside risks, it’s often a warning sign. Entering Trades Without Proper Risk Assessment: If the main driver behind a trade is FOMO rather than sound analysis, there’s a chance complacency is at play. Ignoring Key Technical Signals: Complacent traders may disregard signals suggesting a potential reversal, like overbought indicators or failure to sustain new highs. How to Stay Vigilant Against Complacency Prioritize Risk Management: In every trade, evaluate risk first. A key to success is considering what could go wrong and setting stop-loss levels accordingly. Evaluate Reward-to-Risk Ratios: Before entering a position, assess if the potential reward justifies the risk. For instance, entering a long position in a bullish market may appear promising, but it’s vital to ensure that the entry point doesn’t carry excessive downside risk. Watch for Reversal Indicators: Look for technical indicators that might signal an impending reversal. Adopt a Patient, Wait-and-See Approach: When a market shows strong upward momentum, it’s often wise to hold back and look for better entry points rather than rushing in at a peak. Exercising patience can lead to far more rewarding opportunities. The Bottom Line Complacency can be the silent risk in trading, especially when markets show strong trends. By recognizing the dangers of complacency and implementing strategies to guard against it, traders can protect themselves from entering trades with unbalanced risk. Instead of getting swept up in bullish sentiment, stay grounded in a cautious, strategic approach that considers both potential gains and possible setbacks. In this way, you not only preserve your capital but also position yourself to capture more meaningful market moves in the long run.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
7
UPDATE:Bitcoin’s Crossroads: Breaking Higher or Turning Lower?Good morning, trading family! At the Mindbloome Exchange, we keep it real and trade what we see. Bitcoin’s making waves, pushing toward FWB:88K with a shot at $91K. But don’t get too comfortable—this market loves to shake things up. If the push higher doesn’t hold, we could see pullbacks to $86,900, $85K, or even down to $80,799. Breakdown The Bullish Case Bitcoin’s climbing from FWB:88K , aiming for $91K as the next big target. Resistance at $91K $91K is a key spot. Breaking it could mean more momentum ahead. Warning Signs If FWB:88K doesn’t hold, we could see Bitcoin slide to $86,900 support. Deeper Pullbacks Below $86,900, look for possible drops to $85K or even $80,799. Your Approach At The Mindbloome Exchange, we trade what we see. Watch the levels, keep your strategy tight, and let the market do the talking. Kris/ Mindbloome Trading
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
by Mindbloome-Trading
The cryptocurrency market is a market of expectationsLots of good news, but that's just at first glance. Expectations and reality 1. Last week we had good news about XRP victory, and this news was spread all over the internet and the market reacted with growth. XRP is not a security, but those contracts sold to early stage funds may still be considered securities. So the case is not closed yet and it will continue as a subject of manipulation The SEC can appeal this decision at any appropriate time. 2. FTX - there are a lot of rumors and different statements now about the reopening of this exchange, there are a lot of forms on the net ( fraudulent and not) about FTX account recovery and confirmation. Hope is given:) not the fact that the funds will be restored 3. I would not be surprised if they start to restore UST and LUNA case, if they do not start to restore at least give hope. ( reference - the cryptocurrency market is a market of expectations ) 4. BTC ETF. This is the same expectation that has been jutting for a long time and now strong funds such as BlackRock have joined, which have been buying physical bitcoin through other funds for a long time (e.g. at least 10% of Microstrategy belongs to BlackRock). On the expectation of ETF approval the market is inspired ( I wrote a post about Blackrock ). In any case after ETF approval we will see a drop here there is a logic: - ETF contracts can be bought more than physical bitcoins. - Need a good entry point into the market, 30k+ is not the best entry point - A drop in price with physical bitcoins + media resources etc. seems to me as very logical and very likely. All these points should happen at the peak of the hype, when many disillusioned in crypto after FTX and other shocks will start to re-enter the market, it all explains the Logistic Curve - the speed of information dissemination . The Which curve explains that when FTX crashed in November 2022 was the beginning of a new cycle, which I talked about in previous posts, then everyone was afraid and thought it would go even lower. And the end zone of the cycle is when the crowd comes into the market, a lot of noise shouting about a bright future, we are on the cusp of these events. At that time of course we will see a lot of dumb money big green candles on small capitalization altcoins. And that's the time to get out. Frankly I got out even earlier in stablecoins and now I only do swing trades ( positional orders positions with small stop loss ) If we talk about the time when all this can happen, it is a difficult question, because according to my previous calculations in September-October I was already waiting for the bottom, I am still waiting for it and my portfolio 100% In stablecoins is a proof of it. Well after the fall we will have the most interesting negative news, here is the list: - SEC appeal question on XRP - SEC questions to all crypto companies that made public sale - fines, lawsuit. - Questions to crypto exchanges ( bankruptcy of crypto exchanges) - Regulation - CBDC implementation and trading in some jurisdictions BTC/CBDC ( currency ) You definitely won't want to buy cryptocurrency on news like this, and this will be the moment when the new cycle begins. So ladies and gentlemen we are here for a long time and welcome to our community. And remember, trading is not a sprint - trading is a marathon. Best regard EXCAVO
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by EXCAVO
49
What Are Support and Resistance Levels?Hello, Traders! 🌐 Have you ever wondered why prices tend to “bounce” off certain points on a chart? Check out the image above. Those two lines? They represent support and resistance levels—the invisible boundaries guiding price movements. Let’s break it down so you can use these levels to your advantage. Support Level: The Market’s Safety Net 🛡️ Take a look at the bottom line in the chart—this is the Support Level. It's like a safety net for the price, preventing it from falling any further. This happens because buyers see the price as a bargain and rush in, pushing it back up. Essentially, the demand outweighs the supply, creating a cushion that stops the price from dropping. When the price approaches this level, it’s a signal that buyers are likely to step in, and the price might rise again. Resistance Level: The Market’s Ceiling 🚫 Now, check out the top line—that’s your Resistance Level. It's like a ceiling that prices struggle to break through. Why? At this point, sellers become more active, believing the price is too high and that it’s time to cash in. The price “hits the ceiling”, supply outweighs demand, and traders take this as a signal to sell. Spotting these resistance points helps you decide when to lock in those profits. Your Guide 🎯 Now that you can visualize support and resistance levels, let’s talk strategy. These levels aren’t just interesting to look at—they’re powerful tools for deciding when to buy, sell, or hold an asset. By spotting where prices tend to reverse—you gain insight into where the market might head next. Draw horizontal lines like the ones in the chart to mark significant areas where prices repeatedly bounce off. For added reliability, try to identify at least three points. Your Trading Compass 🧭 Support and resistance levels, as shown in the chart, are more than just lines. They are essential tools for navigating market movements. Recognizing these levels can help you time your trades and predict price behavior more confidently as a day trader or a long-term investor. 🖊️
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by WhiteBIT