BTC Price Alert: Rejection from Major Supply Zone! Bitcoin just rejected the $85,554 supply zone for the third time, showing clear resistance on the 1H chart. With low momentum and repeated wicks at the top, a breakdown might be brewing.
Key Levels to Watch:
Supply Zone: $85,100–$86,000 (heavy resistance)
Support Zone: $83,383–$83,000 (demand cluster)
Bias: Bearish unless $85,554 is broken cleanly
What I’m Watching For:
If price closes below the mid-range (~$84,500), expect a quick move toward demand.
Break below $83,383 could open the door to $82,000.
Bullish invalidation only if we get strong volume above $86K.
Let me know in the comments: are you buying the dip or waiting for FWB:83K ?
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #BTCUSD #TechnicalAnalysis
BEARUSD trade ideas
Long trade
🚀 Trade Breakdown – Buyside (BTC/USD)
📅 Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025
⏰ Time Observed: 9:26 AM (NY Time)
Pair: BTC/USD
📈 Trade Direction: Buy (Long)
🕒 Entry TF: 2-Minute
📊 Strategy: Supply & Demand Narrative
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 85,412.16
Take Profit (TP): 85,853.24 (+0.52%)
Stop Loss (SL): 85,288.58 (–0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.59
Reason: This trade buyside trade is based on range-based logic, taking advantage of short-term volatility and liquidity pockets.
2min TF entry observation
BTC Diamond Ser ?- While bears see bearish pennants, I see diamonds in the rough.
- I remain bullish, not due to the price, but for the sake of humanity.
- This isn’t an analysis, just a light-hearted joke, so please don’t roast me too hard! 🙏.
- Remember, diamonds are forever.
- Hodl!
Happy Tr4Ding!
BTC POTENTIAL TRIPLE TOP PATTERNhi
From the previous chart, the price successfully broke through the upper trendline and started to rise. This could indicate that bullish momentum is taking over. Waiting for the price to break the upper trendline is a solid strategy for confirming bullish momentum. However, there is a potential triple top pattern forming, which could indicate that the price may face rejection at a key resistance level 86056.35
If the triple top pattern becomes more apparent and the price fails to break above resistance, it could signal the start of a bearish move. In this scenario, trading volume and price action around the resistance zone are crucial to observe. If volume declines and selling pressure increases, the price may drop further.
good luck
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
Global Market Overview. Part 4: BITCOINPreliminary Context — See Above
Bitcoin: Euphoria, Fear, and a Foundation That Withstood It All
If we were to describe the mood of the crypto market over the past few months in a single phrase, it wouldn't be just a roller coaster — it’s been a full-blown thrill ride, driven by geopolitics, news hype, and emotional burnout among participants. Public sentiment toward Bitcoin this year has swung across the entire spectrum — from wild excitement and $200K price forecasts after Trump’s projected victory, to total pessimism with claims like: “That’s it, Bitcoin’s going back to $20K — crypto is a scam.”
And, as is so often the case, both camps were wrong.
The market survived — not on hype, but on fundamentals.
I make no secret of the fact that I remain a Bitcoin optimist. Not because I want to believe — but because when you mute the media noise, one thing remains: the strongest macroeconomic foundation the crypto market has ever had.
Let’s be honest: it’s getting harder and harder to find a solid reason why Bitcoin should collapse back to $50K — let alone $20K. Strip away the emotion, and here’s what we’re left with:
What do we have, in fact?
1. Regulators are no longer suffocating the market — they’re participating.
The SEC has dropped major investigations into crypto projects, including Ethereum and leading DeFi platforms.
The U.S. Senate has approved legislation to create a national crypto reserve — for now, it’s based on confiscated assets, but it marks the first precedent of crypto being recognized as part of state strategy.
Meanwhile, the European Union has officially launched the MiCA regulatory framework, making crypto a fully legal asset class in the EU with clear compliance norms, a tax model, and open access to institutional clients.
2. Institutions are playing big.
Crypto ETFs have launched not only in the U.S., but also in Europe. This means one thing:
Pension funds, insurance companies, and hedge funds are entering the market.
The capital is not speculative — it’s strategic.
These are not "hot" retail dollars chasing tweets — they’re building portfolios for the long haul.
3. Exchanges are drying up. Whales are accumulating.
Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at historic lows.
This tells us:
Long-term holders aren’t selling.
Large players are moving assets to cold wallets.
Retail hype hasn’t kicked in yet — which, frankly, makes it a perfect entry point.
When the crowd starts buying, it’ll be too late.
4. Even a trade war couldn’t break the market.
The tariff escalation between the U.S. and China has hit global trade hard, triggering corrections across traditional markets. Yet despite that:
Bitcoin held strong above $70K, rising from the $110 levels.
This zone has become ironclad support — a sign that the market has matured.
There’s panic in the headlines, but not in the charts.
Even Wall Street veterans are cautiously suggesting Bitcoin may be a necessary hedge against fiat devaluation.
5. China is silent — for now. But if that changes...
Any positive signal from Beijing — even a hint at easing restrictions or partial legalization of crypto ownership — would cause an immediate surge. Because:
Chinese capital is waiting.
The tech infrastructure is already in place.
And if the government gives the green light, the market will relaunch overnight.
What do I think?
The current Bitcoin price range is a prime entry zone for medium-term positions.
The 70K–85K range is a fundamental accumulation corridor, where:
Strong hands are already in.
Weak hands have been shaken out.
FOMO and retail hype haven’t even started.
By Fall 2025, even modest optimism in geopolitics or trade could push the market to new all-time highs — not on hype, but on dry institutional demand.
Final thoughts
I’m not a fan of conspiracy theories.
But this setup is too clean to be a coincidence.
The crypto market has survived it all: bans, lawsuits, regulatory crackdowns, exchange collapses, hacks, FTX, LUNA, and every form of digital black magic.
But it's still here.
More than that — it’s quietly becoming a legitimate part of the global financial system. Without noise. Without asking permission.
While everyone else is talking panic — the market is already in an accumulation phase.
And those who understand the cycles don’t look to the news for validation.
They look at the fundamentals — and act accordingly.
BTCUSD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current BTCUSD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?BTC/USD H4 Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?
📊 Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a clear symmetrical triangle, with price tightening ahead of a potential major breakout. The chart shows price testing the upper boundary of the triangle, supported by MA13 and MA34 from below.
Key resistance zones: 86,594 and the extended target zone at 88,753. A successful breakout above this region could trigger a strong rally toward 90,000+.
Key support levels: 81,397 – 78,725 – 75,102, acting as critical retracement zones in case of downside rejection.
The structure suggests two primary scenarios:
Bullish breakout to 86,594 → 88,753, followed by a pullback and continuation higher.
False breakout or breakdown, leading to a sell-off toward 78,725 and possibly down to 75,102 if market sentiment deteriorates.
🌍 Macro Context & Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment remains fragile, impacted by ongoing geopolitical risks and the Fed’s cautious stance on monetary policy.
Altcoins are underperforming, signaling that capital rotation remains limited – often a precursor to short-term correction or distribution in BTC.
Volume is fading as price coils inside the triangle, typically a precursor to a sharp move in either direction.
🧠 Trading Strategy Ideas
Watch closely for price action near 86,594 – 88,753. If rejection or wick rejections occur, short-term pullback trades may be viable.
A breakdown below the triangle support (~84,000 area) could open up downside targets at 81,397 and 78,725.
A clean breakout with volume confirmation? Look for retest buys around 86k with continuation potential.
⚠️ Caution Advised
BTC is in a “calm-before-the-storm” zone. This is not the time to chase moves or overleverage. Let the market confirm direction and trade based on structure, not emotion.
💬 Are you leaning bullish or bearish on BTC’s next move? Will we see 90k or a drop back to 75k? Share your thoughts below! 👇👇👇
BTCUSD Weekend Possible Move 18-20 April 2025🔍 Key Levels
Immediate Support: $84,350 (lower trendline support)
Immediate Resistance: $85,250
Major Resistance Target: $86,000 – $86,250
Major Support Target: $83,000 and $81,400 below
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Green Path)
If BTC respects the lower trendline zone between $84,350–$84,550 and successfully retests it:
✅ Enter LONG on confirmation of bounce
🎯 Target 1: $85,250
🎯 Target 2: $86,000 – $86,250
🛡️ Stop-loss: Below $84,200
🟥 Bearish Scenario (Red Path)
If BTC breaks below the trendline at ~$84,350 and retests from below:
✅ Enter SHORT on successful rejection
🎯 Target 1: $83,000
🎯 Target 2: $81,400
🛡️ Stop-loss: Above $84,700
✅ Signal
🔔 Watch for a confirmed bounce or break at $84,350–$84,550.
Buy above $84,550 after retest confirmation → Target: $86,000
Sell below $84,350 after breakdown + retest → Target: $81,400
Follow, comment, boost and share to show your support.
BTCUSD - Buy Trade CallOn daily TF, since 20 Jan 2025 BTC was in downtrend following regression channel.
MACD also was mostly indicating short trade. However, now MACD is showing likely upward movement. Moreover, Williams Alligator also suggesting a likely change of trend to bullish.
Coupling that with USA falling stocks, BTC is a gaining attraction of US investors.
Therefore, one may take a BUY trade now or technically very correct entry would be after price crosses the resistance level ($ 88,950) which is also previous Lower High.
Bitcoin Triangle Breakout Looms AheadHello traders,
4-hour BTC/USD (Bitcoin/US Dollar) chart.
🧠 Key Chart Elements
1. Chart Pattern
A symmetrical triangle (white lines) "DIAMOND" - has formed near the top of the move following a double bottom breakout.
The triangle indicates consolidation after a bullish move — often seen as a CONTINUATION pattern, but it can also break either way.
2. Double Bottom
Clearly marked, confirming a reversal from bearish to BULLISH trend.
The neckline breakout led to a strong push upwards, followed by this triangle pattern.
3. Targets
Long Target: Above 91,000 to 93,000 zone — likely measured from the triangle breakout.
Short Target: Around the 75,000-76,000 support zone — below key ascending trendline.
4. 50 EMA (Green Line)
The price is above the 50 EMA, suggesting bullish momentum is intact unless the 50 EMA breaks down.
5. MACD Indicator
The MACD lines are slightly bearish right now — potentially signaling a temporary pause or dip, but not a strong downward trend yet.
📊 Prediction: Two Likely Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario (Most Probable – 60%)
Why: Price is above EMA, double bottom breakout, triangle after impulse move, volume likely compressing.
Confirmation Needed: A breakout above the triangle resistance (around $85,000–$85,500).
Target: Move toward the long target zone at 91,000–93,000.
Support: Horizontal green zone and EMA provide a cushion.
❌ Bearish Scenario (Less Likely – 40%)
Why: Weak MACD signal + triangle patterns can break either way.
Bearish Trigger: A strong breakdown below triangle support and EMA, especially a candle close below ~$83,000.
Target: Drop to the short target zone at $75,000–$76,000, possibly testing the trendline.
🔔 What to Watch For
A volume spike to confirm breakout direction.
MACD bullish crossover or continued divergence.
Candle close outside the triangle — do not preempt without confirmation.
📌 Summary:
The chart shows a strong bullish setup forming after a double bottom with consolidation in a symmetrical triangle. Most likely scenario is a bullish breakout targeting the 91K+ region, unless price breaks below ~ FWB:83K , which would invalidate the bullish thesis and open room for a deeper pullback to $75K.
More power to all your trades!
Intrepid Trader
I think BTC is forming and inverse head and shouldersI believe that BTC is going to test the resistance once more with some buying pressure. Then reject it and create a higher low while also touching the support to breakout above the resistance level and create higher highs. Price is also testing the 50MA from below on the Daily chart and is quite stagnant but I believe that is just building explosive pressure to breakout upward or at least establish a new high to keep that slight uptrend in motion. On the weekly chart we are pretty bullish as well. Price seems to be trying to use the 50MA as support hopefully propel itself upward. My sentiment currently for BTC is BULLISH.🐂
$BTC Weekly Chart AnalysisCRYPTOCAP:BTC Weekly Chart Analysis (All numbers in USD)
Current Price: $85,194
Timeframe: Weekly – my preferred timeframe for long swing trades or investment theses
⸻
Bull Case 🟢
To reignite bullish momentum, Bitcoin needs to:
1. Break above the 0.382 Fib @ $87,303
2. Follow through by breaking the 20-Week Moving Average @ $92,496
If both of these levels are cleared, I believe we’ll be heading back toward All-Time Highs ($109K) fairly quickly. I currently assign 50% odds to this scenario.
Above those levels, we enter new price discovery, which would require a fresh analysis.
⸻
Bear Case 🔴 (Also 50% odds overall)
⚠️ First Lines of Support:
• 50-Week MA @ $77,321
• 0.382 Fib @ $73,783
→ 30% odds of retesting this level.
It’s possible the market ranges between GETTEX:87K and FWB:73K for a while, which would actually be bullish long-term — allowing BTC to build a strong support base through accumulation.
🛑 Second Major Support (Very Strong):
• Multi-year Cup & Handle Breakout Zone
• Strong Volume Shelf
• 0.5 Fib @ $62,855
→ 20% odds of reaching this.
If we do test this level, I believe it’s very unlikely to break below.
🚨 Final Support Warning:
• GETTEX:48K = Critical level
→ <1% odds of reaching
A break below would signal the end of the bull cycle in my view.
⸻
Final Thoughts
As Bitcoin is a non-producing asset with no fundamentals or balance sheet to anchor it, all of this is purely price action-driven — so I won’t assign timelines to these scenarios.
📌 Personally, I do not hold any BTC currently. With the odds at 50/50, the risk-reward doesn’t appeal to me right now — I see better opportunities elsewhere. However, I’ll reconsider if the bullish breakout scenario plays out.
⸻
Hope this breakdown helps! Make sure to adjust your strategy based on your own risk tolerance.
BITCOIN UPDATE: Time To Abandon Ship.The time to abandon Bitcoin ship has arrived at least for now. After watching Bitcoin spent the last 13hrs doing nothing and knowing that from this moment on it has like 7hrs left of its 1hr tf bullish cycle it is TIME to come out with the projection of its next the move.
Even if Bitcoin manages to breakout and go above the lower res line of $86500 it will be short lived cause the TIME it has left it is NOT enough to follow thru. Place your bets and Buckle up ladies and gentlemen brace yourself for the next wild....wild....wild ride.
Bull Flag or Breakdown? A Liquidity Proxy Near Its LimitsIs Bitcoin forming a head and shoulders pattern before a correction, or are we in the midst of another bull flag consolidation? Personally, I lean toward the latter — that this is a classic bull flag being formed. That does not preclude us from seeing more volatility in the short term. We could very well chop sideways for the next two months or even move lower before the next leg up. It’s entirely plausible that we test and ultimately break through the 109,000 level before advancing toward 132,000.
That said, we must also acknowledge the alternative: what if this is indeed a head and shoulders pattern, signalling a deeper correction ahead? The market will do what it wants, and the truth is revealed only in hindsight. Good traders and investors prepare for both outcomes.
My broader view is that the real economic pain begins to show itself around September or October, when the cumulative impact of tariffs, deteriorating trade flows, and policy missteps starts to weigh more heavily. That’s part of why I believe we’re still in a bull phase for Bitcoin — though likely the final one before liquidity tightens more decisively.
Let me be clear: I do not regard Bitcoin as digital gold. It may be a reasonable proxy for global liquidity, but it is not a risk-off asset. It is not a store of value in the same sense as gold, and I believe those who treat it as such are in for a rude awakening. Yes, it has captured the imagination — and wallets — of a certain subset of investors who see it as a monetary alternative. But in a true bear market, when risk assets come under real pressure, I expect Bitcoin and the broader crypto complex to fall alongside equities and other speculative instruments.
That will be the moment when the cost of four years of reckless spending, monetary debasement, and centralised overreach is fully realised. The lesson, as always, will be the same: liquidity is a tide, and when it goes out, only real assets endure. For many, it may soon be time to consider harvesting gains and rotating into genuine risk-off positions — not narratives, not hope — but assets with intrinsic value, such as physical gold.
This is not investment advice. Do your own research. I could be entirely wrong. And please forgive the rough chart — it’s amateur work.
BITCOIN Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 84,703.50.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 88,907.42.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTC in 17 April 2025Potential Major Move on Thursday, April 17, 2025 📍
📊 Based on an analysis of historical Bitcoin chart averages and similar patterns, there is a likelihood of a significant price movement on this date.
This analysis is conducted using technical analysis and a detailed examination of Bitcoin’s movement averages. It suggests that approximately every 150 days after the start of a neutral trend, we can expect a sharp upward or downward move that sets the stage for the main trend in the future.
📅 As of the current date, March 29, 2025, there are about 18 days left until this significant event.
You can follow the results of this analysis and the conducted review on TradingView on the specified date.
The Road to $100k BitcoinBitcoin is most likely forming a left-translated 60-day cycle .
Expect Bitcoin to trend downward for the next month, making a lower low in this 60-day cycle and fully scaring the market.
People will start screaming “bear market” and panic-sell their coins to market makers, institutions, and patient investors.
Once that’s done, Bitcoin will resume its bull market, heading toward a market top in Q2/Q3 2025.
This would mirror 2021’s bull market behavior, align with the 4-year Bitcoin cycle, and leave enough time for the market to fully reset by late 2026.
2018 Cycle Repeat? Bullish Bitcoin Until End of YearSee my DXY analysis for my full view on the performance on bitcoin (and other risk assets as well)
-Summary- bullish like 2018 until end of year.
-This chart pointing out time frames of past cycles, the over all market structure of bitcoins price, and the transformation of a bullish trend into the parabolic. (where I think we are now)