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BEARUSD trade ideas

BEAT-COIN? (BTC PROBABLE MOVE)Alright, we seen expected price action movements to the downside (maybe not expected by some retailers Lol) and now there's a crazy number of questions being; one of it is where is it really going to end up before the new year? Well... I can't say for sure, I can only really predict the next price in short time. In my chart above, I've marked out key infos; you can see the HTF point of interest taken from the 4H chart, where by candle wick; "price almost disrespected the fair value gap (had this happened by candle body, we would have an inversion gap that would be a support for a bullish move), but most encouraging (not for investors); price respected the 62%-79% fib levels which marked our O.T.E and it started dropping (potentially marking an end of the retracement move). But while I'm still a little skeptical about this vague movement all around, I moved over to the 15M timeframe for further forensics (Lol) as it may be beneficial to Currency, and perpetual traders. You would notice a liquidity sweep and if you draw a trendline liquidity from $92,149 up to the O.T.E level, you would see liquidity being taken out however you try to bend it; which may confirm our sentiment (but still not satisfied). I've marked out a key area in the chart that I expect should be broken, and if it is; we will have the market structure shift and look to take position. My next predicted price range is $95k - $89k. SHARE AND FOLLOW FOR MORE! For perpetual traders, I may leave analysis either on BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P or BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by earthtraderx
7
BITCOIN Will the Channel Up hold or has the Fed condemned it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having an impressive sustainable price action within the Channel Up pattern since November 12, which despite yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, is still holding. If it holds, it may follow the same pattern that it did exactly 1 year ago. As you see, it was again in November 2023 that it traded within a Channel Up, which was supported by the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 11. After it broke out, the price reached the 7.0 Fibonacci extension level from the October low, before correcting again. The situation is very similar today, the 4H MA200 is also holding since Oct 11, the price also formed a 4H Golden Cross on Sep 18, while both fractals started their impressive rallies around the same date (Sep 06 2023 and Sep 11 2024 respectively). As a result, if the 4H MA200 holds, we can expect BTC to target the 7.0 Fib ext next at $135000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
Bitcoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?if Bitcoin cannot hold the $130,000 range, the price could drop to around $100,000 or even lower. After that, it can continue its growth again. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CobraVanguard
BITCOIN Are you scared enough? Or need to see more pain?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since October 11) and is rebounding. The first presence of short-term buyers was actually felt on Friday, when the price came close to the MA50 again and rebounded aggressively. This is a natural technical reaction during such aggressive uptrends. The key Support level during BTC Bull Cycles however is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been supporting since March 2023 and was successfully tested (and held) twice on August 05 and September 06, the last of which was technically the start of the current Bullish Leg. ** The Fibonacci Channel Up ** Bullish Legs are technically part of Channels and this time is no different as Bitcoin has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since the very bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 21 2021. As you can see, we have classified the price action on this pattern in Phases, each of whom trades within one range upwards, which is why the Fibonacci Channel succeeds at accurately displaying BTC's current logarithmic rise during this Cycle. ** The Phases and the high symmetry ** Phase 1 (blue Channel) traded within the Fib 0.0 - 1.0 range, Phase 2 (green Channel) within the Fib 0.5 - 1.5 range and we expect a 3rd one, Phase 3 (red Channel) to trade within the Fib 1.0 - 2.0 range. As you may assume, there is high symmetry between sequences, Legs and pull-backs within this pattern and the one that stands out is that rallies so far tend to record +100% rises. More specifically, both the April 14 2023 and January 11 2024 Highs of +100% rallies, then pulled back towards the 0.382 Fib retracement level, the first didn't hit it, the second almost did. ** Will we test the 1D MA100? ** But that is the rally that displays the most similarities with the current one and after hitting its 1D MA50, it broke even lower and only found Support and bounced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). You can see even how identical their 1D RSI sequences are, which are Channel Down patterns that started showing a bearish divergence much earlier than the top. Right now the RSI is holding the 45.00 neutral level, but the January 2024 and the 2023 fractals turned into a buy on the key 36.00 level, which is bearish territory. Even though Bull Cycles tend to get more and more aggressive as we approach the end of the Cycle and ignore previous Support levels, the 1D MA100 is currently at $79250 and rising, indicating that it can 'meet' the price on lower levels than currently, assuming how quickly the RSI also hits 36.00 (any of the two conditions hits first, the cyclical buy signal can be valid). ** The remainder of the Bull Cycle ** Beyond that, we expect the next High, as we've already entered Phase 3, to be on the -0.5 horizontal Fibonacci extension (as March 13 2024 was) and on the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci ext at a price of $150000, which is the next technical extension of the Channel. After that, you can see that both Phase 1 and 2 started multi-month Accumulation phases with a potential maximum correction to the 0.382 Fib again and as Phase 3 concludes (and possibly the whole Bull Cycle), we may see another +100% rally and a possible Top at $200000. So for the current situation the key question is as mentioned on the title: 'Are you scared enough?' now the 1D MA50 has been tested? Because we may very well drop as low as the 1D MA100 before the Fear & Greed Index turns market sentiment to 'Fear' again and makes the majority misjudge the market activity as they always have. What do you think will happen next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
1
BTC\USD Ascending Broadening Wedge FALL ALERTIn this idea we have a ascending broadening wedge On Bitcoin that really matches the behavior we have witnessed recently. I did my best to project the targets we should see as we break out to the downside assuming that is how this moves. Maybe it will maybe it won't. Only time will tell. Good luck to everyone and much love- ND Ps-If you look at the formation in smaller frames where we are now you will see the exact formation that is towards the end of the example.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by The_New_Disciple
8
BTC Bleeding - When Bottom?Bitcoin is in a corrective phase following a sharp rally, with the $92,000 50-day SMA acting as the first critical support zone. A break below this could lead to further downside toward $89,000 or $73,835. To regain bullish momentum, Bitcoin needs to reclaim $99,860, targeting $108,300 and higher. Keep an eye on the RSI and volume for confirmation of the next move. Key Observations: Recent Price Action: Bitcoin recently reached a high of approximately $108,300, marking the peak of the current rally. Following the high, BTC has experienced a sharp pullback, breaking below the $99,860 support level and currently trading near $93,569. The pullback reflects a correction of approximately 14% from the peak. Bearish Divergence on RSI: RSI Divergence: While price made a higher high at $108,300, RSI formed a lower high, signaling a loss of bullish momentum. RSI is now trending below 50, confirming bearish short-term momentum. RSI will eventually make it to oversold, but that could be far down the road. Still worth noting that it is only at 40, so there could be a long way to go if the correction continues. Key Support Levels: $92,000: Immediate support around the 50-day SMA, which aligns with a consolidation zone during the earlier stages of the rally. $89,000: A secondary potential support just below the 50-day SMA. $73,835: Major breakout level from the prior range and a strong support zone if the correction deepens. Key Resistance Levels: $99,860: This level, previously a support, has flipped to resistance following the breakdown. $108,300: Recent high and critical resistance, acting as the upper boundary for potential continuation. Volume: The recent sell-off has occurred on elevated volume, confirming active selling and validating the correction. Moving Averages: The 50-day SMA (blue line) is currently around $92,000, providing immediate dynamic support. The 200-day SMA (red line) sits significantly lower, near $72,000, reinforcing long-term bullish structure. Interpretation: Bearish Signals: The bearish divergence on RSI has played out, leading to the breakdown below $99,860. Price is testing the 50-day SMA at $92,000, a key short-term support zone. Support Zones to Watch: $92,000 (50-day SMA): Critical for maintaining the short-term bullish trend. A strong bounce here would be encouraging. $73,835: Long-term support level, aligning with the breakout zone from earlier in 2024. A breakdown to this level would still preserve the macro bullish structure. Potential for Reversal: To resume its uptrend, Bitcoin must reclaim $99,860 and hold above it. A strong bounce from the 50-day SMA would reinforce bullish sentiment. Scenarios: Bullish Case: Bitcoin holds the 50-day SMA at $92,000, forms a higher low, and begins to climb back toward $99,860. A reclaim of $99,860 with increasing volume would target a retest of the $108,300 high and potential continuation. Bearish Case: If Bitcoin fails to hold $92,000, the next logical support is around $89,000, followed by a deeper correction to $73,835, which would still align with the broader macro bullish structure.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
3
Divergence - SHORT I am not perfect on explaining what is happening, but I am good in drawing my expectation. in this expectation, I think there is a signal for Divergence from the tops which indicate price will revert to hard down, so keep in mind, Selling short period is about to happen. and put in your mind, that the price sooner or later will come back to the main trend link ( the below white line) so, BTC will go back again to the $60,000 again, and maybe less, you need to know the game, they drop the price with one click by selling a huge amount of BTC on their network, that's how they control the market, by selling and buying their exist BTC, they will never lose, this Satoshi Nakamato organization are like the CASINO, the house always wins. ;)
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by khaledabdrabo
3
BTC watch 90 then 85k: Targets for the well foreseen RetraceBTC peaked at a wave end point projected by our fibs. Retrace progressing with speed and very few bounces. Adding a retrace fib gives us a few key targets below. $ 88,976 - 90,177 is the Minimum Expected dip. $ 84,686 - 85,714 is the Strongest support below. $ 80,438 - 81,289 Speed Bump only, unlikely to hold. $ 77,179 - 77,672 is a MUST-Hold for bulls or its "ova". ================================================ Previous Analysis: Big Picture projection of 97.8k break and run to $105k Near term warning of possible top at $104-105k ==================================================================
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
3
BTC heads up at 97.8k: Genesis fib and Last Stop before 105kShown here is a single fib series in three different time frames. The Genesis Sequence has caught every major turn since 2015. This fib is a "minor" ratio but a big jump from Golden fib below. $ 97,769.44 (Coinbase) is the exact level of concern. It is PROBABLE that we see a pullback from it. It is POSSIBLE that it marks 'a' top or even 'the' top. It is PLAUSIBLE to orbit a few times and then continue. ======================================================
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
16
BITCOIN The three Expansion Phases of the Cycle.We have talked about Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hitting the $100k Target on numerous analyses and one of those was almost 4 months ago (August 26, see chart below), where we introduced the 2-year Channel Up, which has been the dominant pattern since the very beginning of the new Bull Cycle: That piece of analysis was on the 1M time-frame but today we will examine it from the 1W perspective as the horizon narrows. We have made some slight modifications and the one that stands out is that we've classified it on Expansion Phases. The key characteristic of those was the mid-Phase consolidation, which on the previous 2 took place within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range, while the 1W RSI also turned sideways for the first time since the Channel Up bottomed. With this marker, the consolidation phase is easily identifiable and according to it, we are currently on once. As a result, we can assume that we are within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fib range of Expansion Phase 3. This indicates that there is still plenty of room to rise. Based on that, a $150k Target is technically plausible before Summer. So do you expect to reach 150000 so fast, if we do at all during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
22
My Best analysis Sell Setup: Entry Point (Sell): 99,605 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 98,173 TP2: 96,038 Stop Loss (SL): 100,981 Buy Setup: Entry Point (Buy): 96,038 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 98,173 TP2: 99,605 Stop Loss (SL): 94,000 Analysis: 1. The current market price is at 98,173, and there is a potential uptrend, with the price possibly reaching 102,293. 2. If the price breaks 99,605, a sell entry is expected. 3. A buy entry can be initiated near the strong support level of 96,038.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by LunaTrader_SingnalsProvider
2
Bitcoin (BTC): Crypto Cycles / Are We In Bullish One?Well, the last time we took a bigger look at bitcoins cycles was exactly a year ago and so far almost everything has been playing out well; halving is done and we are in the beginning phase of the bullish market, as it seems. But one thing concerns us: we did not have a proper reaccumulation phase on the coin, whereas we did have a proper expansion phase and a quick start of bullish market. Now this seems a little bit off so we are keeping our curiosity at a possible quick liquidity movement to happen (due to lack of reaccumilation phase). But keep in mind that every cycle is different and so is this one. Stay safe and don't be greedy!! Swallow Team
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SwallowAcademy
1
Has BITCOIN reached its maximum and is a bear market coming?To make a prediction about Bitcoin’s next rally based on historical patterns, we should first examine the overall trends and how these increases and decreases have evolved in percentage terms. Data observations: 337,000% increase -> 93% decrease Massive increase, followed by a steep correction. 61,000% increase -> 86% decrease Significant increase, but smaller than the first, and the decline was still close in percentage terms. 11,000% increase -> 84% decrease Smaller increase, the decline remains large, but slightly milder. 2,000% increase -> 77% decrease Significantly smaller increase compared to previous cycles, and the decline continued to moderate. Observing a descending pattern: The increases seem to be getting smaller and smaller with each cycle, and the decreases also tend to be less severe. This shows diminishing returns on increases and a reduction in market volatility. Estimate for the next increase: Given this pattern, the next percentage increase could be significantly smaller than the last one (2,000%). If we apply a progressive reduction coefficient, as was the case in previous cycles, the increase could be around: ~300%-500%. This would mean a maximum increase of 5x from the low of the last cycle, and currently we have an increase of over 600%, that is, 6x. Is this ATH in this bull market? To estimate the duration of the next Bitcoin uptrend, we can analyze how the duration of these uptrend cycles has evolved over time: Historical data: 240 days 730 days 850 days 1050 days Notes: The increase in duration between cycles is not uniform, but follows a general trend of extending duration. The duration increase intervals were: From 240 -> 730: +490 days From 730 -> 850: +120 days From 850 -> 1050: +200 days Analysis: The duration extension appears to be accelerating moderately, with an irregular but generally increasing trend. If this pattern continues, the next cycle could add between 200 and 300 days to the previous duration (1050 days). Estimate: The duration of the next cycle could be: ~1250-1350 days. This estimate corresponds to a natural extension of Bitcoin cycles, reflecting wider adoption and lower volatility as the market becomes more mature.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Smaryo3001
4
Ash | 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTCHi traders! 👋 This is Ash, let’s dive straight into today’s analysis! 📊🚀 📌 Wave analysis and our near-term view on Bitcoin We believe we are nearing the end of Wave 1 of Intermediate Wave (3) (in yellow). A dip could be on the horizon in the near future - potentially toward $60k. ~$60k = Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛 📌 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTC (even at $100k)! 1. Elliott Wave Analysis We believe we are only on Wave 1 of the 3rd Intermediate Wave. This time could be different~! 😅 2. Halving Cycle Analysis Historically, the upward trend lasted about 1 year 4 months after each Halving event. Since the last Halving was on April 19, 2024, this timeframe points to ~ August 2025. So, we’re still about 8 months away from a correction! 😌 3. Institutional Buying and Government Recognition Major institutions are buying, and many governments (including the incoming Trump administration) are beginning to embrace BTC as a form of reserve asset. Bullish! 📈 4. Hyman Minsky Model All financial systems progress through stages of increasing leverage and speculation (aka, a bubble). But… we don’t think we are there yet. Institutions have only just started buying, with limited participation from retail (i.e., public). BTC has plenty more room to run! 🚀 With this said, always remember to DYOR and protect your capital. (Note: DYOR = Do Your Own Research) 📌 Alternative “sub” Scenario: Highly Unlikely The following scenario is highly unlikely, but “if” BCT is nearing the end of Wave (1) (in yellow), the ensuing correction (Wave (2)) could be quite severe - potentially to ~ $40k or even lower.. For those looking to buy at the current level: be aware that, despite a very low probability, a drop to $40k is possible. Please ask yourself whether you can stomach this fall before going long. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit that boost button and follow me! 🚀🙌 See you soon with more updates! 🔥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Ash_Maeuknam
2
BTCUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EUR/USD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 97265 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 10074 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
3