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BEARUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin Needs A Correction (small)On a daily timeframe, we are seeing that since the 12th of November, sellers have started to fight the buyers, with liquidity movements occurring in both ways. We are now waiting for sellers to show further dominance here and form a MSB on smaller timeframes (which would result in a switch of trend and hunting of FVG zones). Marketprice has drifted away from EMAs + broken zone without a re-test + lot's of liquidity on lower zones + ALT coins not reacting much to this pump = possible good turnover point! Swallow Team
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwallowPremium
5
BTC - Fake Gurus and Scared Furus - Let Her Ride!Our trade tapped out hitting T2 and as I mentioned in the group, I'm going to let my position ride. Now to be fair and honest, I sent out a message around 94k +- when Bitcoin was jerking around just under 95k, that if you intended on closing it out at 95k, take your profit here. Been burned a few times trying to milk every ounce out of a trade so that close, take risk off the table. However I let me last position run. Yes I posted that to so it is not hindsight trading BS. Point here is, as I mentioned this morning, once we break 100k I am in the firm position that we trade 110 then 120 pretty quickly. WOOOOOOOO HOOOOOOOOO!!!! After years of waiting Bitcoin is finally looking to trade the Holy Grail of 100k. All the Fake Gurus are going to be coming out of the wood work screaming how they called it!!!! Yes we finally get there and they were the Nostradamus's of trading. Yeah ok, whatever. Anyone that has been following me for the last, I don't know, 6 years, knows we positioned for this moment. As I said, can't be a bear over 86k, so while many Furus that talk more shit than the trades they make, have been waiting from like....... forever, we added in the 50's and traded in the 70's. Too many Furus are scared to take trades, ohhh the market is too high (as it continues to rally), ohhhh the market is too low (as it continues to go lower) and they sit on the sidelines. Well great keep paying them for that bull shit commentary! Now yes we will get a pullback but I think we still have some room to run and I would be looking for shorter term consolidations for longs. Since June I have had my final target around 130k plus or minus 20k of course ;). So still looking for trades and I will likely spread out into some other coins that are looking a little bullish as well. We know how this goes, Bitcoin rallies gets all the news and attention, the herd of wannabe overnight millionaires start jumping into every alt coin they can grab on robinhood, so the alts are next. Have a good weekend my friends, I am going to be shopping for another home up on the water. Bitcoin on rally and houses in Florida on the water are on sale!!! SCARED MONEY DON'T MAKE MONEY!!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by goldbug1
6
Bitcoin - When will Bitcoin go to price correction?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the daily timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk ON sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for bitcoin selling positions in the range of the channel ceiling (weekly). Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. US Spot Bitcoin ETFs • Performance Last Week: • During the first three trading days, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced substantial capital inflows, starting with a $1.11 billion inflow on the first day. • However, in the last two trading days, the ETFs faced capital outflows of $400 million and $370 million, respectively. • Weekly Summary: Overall, the ETFs recorded a net capital inflow of $1.67 billion for the week, marking a positive performance. Crypto Market Liquidations • Coinglass Data: • Over the past 24 hours, due to market volatility, more than 101,000 traders were liquidated, resulting in a total liquidation value of $231 million. • This significant figure highlights the impact of recent market fluctuations on crypto traders. Credit Agricole’s Analysis of the US Dollar • Future of the Dollar: • Unlike the 2018 rally driven by Trump-era policies, Credit Agricole argues that 2025 will not see a repeat of the same trend. • Reasons: • Current economic conditions differ significantly from 2018. • Monetary policies and the dollar’s current strength indicate that the dynamics driving the dollar’s movements have shifted. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on Bitcoin • Bitcoin as the “Currency of Freedom”: • Robert F. Kennedy Jr., former Secretary of Health under Trump, described Bitcoin as a tool for protecting the middle class from inflation and a solution to counter the devaluation of the dollar. • He also highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role in addressing America’s crippling national debt, emphasizing its importance in the country’s economic future. Declining Correlation Between Bitcoin and Gold • The correlation between Bitcoin and gold has dropped to its lowest point in 11 months. • James Stanley, Chief Market Strategist at Forex.com: • Gold has recently reached an overbought status, and its price correction is reasonable. • Investor Focus on Bitcoin: As Bitcoin approaches the $100,000 threshold, gold may regain investor appeal, especially near critical support levels.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
3
WARNING!— The RAID SIREN has Sounded“Traders, I’m putting this prediction out there for Bitcoin in advance. The whales may think I’m too slow to catch on to their tactics, but I see what’s unfolding. We’re witnessing this surge in real time, and here’s my take—don’t quote me, but keep it in mind. When the daily timeframe closes today at 4:00 PM Pacific Time (check your time zone), I believe smart money will move in with a 2-wick candle trap. It’s their silent signal, what I call ‘body language,’ and it means we’re at a pivotal point: the $85K target. This $85K mark has been my target from the start. Months ago, I told many of you that a reachable price level would appear before we see a significant correction. I even predicted that the fall would be severe, but not quite enough to qualify as a crash. Now, the trap at $70K is clear, something I only discovered days ago. This may very well be the level where Bitcoin’s decline could head. Some of you asked for a warning. Here it is—not a warning, but insight. Remember what happened with the $85K target. Price surged, but it didn’t break below the stop-loss. Now we’re looking at a potential target of $90,372. While it could be reached, I’m not banking on it immediately. The price might stay within range, but for now, it doesn’t look like it will fall below $70K—although that’s uncertain. I’m not rushing to post a flashy TradingView idea showing a short target. My PIPS ATR calculation isn’t ready for that just yet. I won’t have confirmation until we see a $3K drop, at which point the path down will reveal itself. I’ve changed my approach. No more jumping the gun. I’ll wait for the signals to align, for the right moment, and that short position will come, even if there’s a delay.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
206
100K The Countdown Begins- We are so close. - To every Bitcoin holder who has weathered the highs and lows, celebrated the peaks, and endured the troughs—remember, you are not just an investor. - You are a believer in a decentralized future, a pioneer of financial sovereignty, and a guardian of the idea that true value transcends borders, governments, and time itself. - Holding Bitcoin is not merely holding an asset; it’s holding a piece of the revolution that will shape generations to come. Keep the faith, for the future belongs to those bold enough to believe in it. Thank you to all my followers for constantly inspiring me to share more analyses. Your support means the world—love you all! PS : This isn’t an analysis. it's a heartfelt congratulations! Happy Tr4Ding !
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by thecryer
5
Elliot waves meets Fibonacci [Educational]Hello everyone, today I like to share how I use elliot waves combined with fibonacci to analyze the market. The standard rules are: - Wave 2 can now be lower then the start of wave 1 - Wave 3 should be the longest - Wave 4 should not breach the high of wave 1 But to have a more objective view there are also price targets to be reached within the different waves. It's a complex subject to show in one chart, so feel free to ask in the comment section if you have any questions.
Editors' picks
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Kyrean
5
BITCOIN - why I expect (120K -130K) is a peak of this cycle My wish is to reach $200k but I have a reason and I would like to share it with you. The reason is related to historical and time assumptions and it is the core of the markets (logarithmic movement). 🔸Here are some statistics: - Bitcoin's decline rate in 2014-2015 was 87% - The decline rate in 2017-2018 was 84% ​​(3% small difference). - The decline rate in 2021-2022 was 77% (difference 7%) 🔸 - Why did 2022 record a lower rate? Because of time Yes, because it rose to a close to the top with a slight difference early and had a full year until the end of the cycle, so it reached 64,000, then fell 55% and returned to rise 140% and formed a double top from this movement and ended its cycle on time in November 2022, as the oscillation process took 7 months on two sub-waves before the end of the cycle, so achieving the top before its time is important to settle the rest of the calculations. But the two cycles 2014-2017 because the rate of rise was flexible and had space, it achieved large ascending rates and from there it fell directly without oscillation. And we said with the passage of time and the stability of the cycle every 4 years and also we have decreasing peaks and bottoms, it will definitely work on oscillation when it achieves the main peak until the cycle ends. 🔸 Notice in blue the formation of the peaks and how they were different in 2021-2022 on M shape and indicator of exploiting the time period until the end of the cycle, which is expected to happen in this cycle for a long oscillation and the formation of more than one peak until the time ends and it falls. 🔸Ok now it has a very long time until the end of the current cycle which will end in November - December 2025 we are talking here about a whole year what will it do? From this point of view everyone has seen the majority's expectations that it will rise to astronomical numbers 500k and a 1M we all hope for that but the reality is different. So I currently expect 120,000 - 130,000 a major peak in which I guarantee myself not to enter into high assumptions and risks. But be careful here an important condition must be met which is the basic sign of the end of the rise of Bitcoin .. 🔸 What is it? (The explosion of ALTS to the point of hysteria and here we say that the peak has been achieved). This means that the violation of expectations and their conformity lies not in the rise of alternative currencies but in a crazy explosion regardless of whether the price of Bitcoin is higher or lower than my expectations. 🔸Okay, is there any objection to Bitcoin going to 200k and 300k? Of course the answer is no in a restricted way, meaning that Bitcoin rises at a sharp angle like 2014-2017 and takes advantage of the entire cycle time, so it will naturally achieve those numbers, but it conflicts with the behavior of the logarithmic movement between price and time. 🔸Final point: The percentage of the decline in the next cycle will be less based on past data. If we assume that the percentage will be between 65% and 60%, and considering that the main bottom will be between 58,000 and 48,000, Bitcoin's rise may extend to $150,000 as a maximum, but as I said, it is governed by the condition of the explosion of altcoins, as they are the ones who will determine the credibility of all those numbers and percentages. BEST Regards Ceciliones🎯
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ceciliones
2
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): The Ultimate Surge - New ATH ComingBitcoin successfully broke out of the symmetric triangle pattern and surpassed the dynamic resistance line. The crucial level to monitor now is the all-time high. Sustaining this level could lead to a significant bullish rally akin to previous trends, but failure to do so could result in a decline. If a pullback occurs, the $90k minor support area may offer some defense, potentially leading to a bullish rebound. However, a 4-hour close below this zone could negate the bullish scenario and pave the way for further losses.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by linofx1
2
BTC/USD is ready to move fast!🟢 BTC/USD is ready to move fast! BTC/USD is doing a rising wedge in the middle of the last rally. Last time we've seen this same pattern (november 7th) was broken up and the price moved fast to the $90k zone. Right now, we have 3 scenarios: 🟢 The most posible scenario, an upside break to see the price reaching the $100k soon. This kind of pattern is bullish and usually breaks upwards with a strong rally. 🟡 Sometimes, the pattern breaks down. Would this happen, the price will have a major support in the 86-87k$ zone. While we trade over those prices, we can only wait to see what pattern is unfolding. Could be both, bullish or bearish! 🔴 If the yellow scenario happens and BTC also loses the 86k$ area, we would be in front of a major sell-off of bitcoin that could potentially move the price to the 7Xs zones. Stay tunned!! How to trade this scenario? I would recommend you to stay away of this kind of scenario, it's too open. Anyway, a good way is to buy near the yellow line with tight stop loss and a large TP under $100k. If you want to short the BTC could be like a suicide, but you could do it once the yellow line is broken and you should see a decrease to the 87k$ zone. The risk return ratio is quite bad but it's true that this must be an extremely fast movement to do some profits.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TopChartPatterns
4
Well, Well Well, Can Bitcoin Sustain Its New All-Time High?It's been a while, TradingView. I've really stepped away from markets for the most part to focus on other things. It's been quite refreshing. This won't be long. I'm popping in to share a couple of quick observations. For one, Bitcoin has managed to break out to a new significant ATH, so far a little under 30% above the previous high around $73k. My speculation has long been that Bitcoin is unlikely to SUSTAIN a significant new all-time high above the previous bull-market high near $70k. This is close to being invalidated. Full invalidation would require Bitcoin to just keep going, and $100k is the next clear hurdle. Right now, it's encountering some resistance, just 5% from that major target. Keep in mind, Bitcoin, is not really outperforming major stock indexes (yet). It's simply caught up after a period of underperformance. The recent upswing in price seems to have been catalyzed by Trump's second election to office in the U.S. Interesting, considering he used to look down on cryptocurrencies and suddenly flip-flopped during his recent run for office. This seems to be a bit of an emotional and speculative reaction from investors. Buyers expect further price appreciation with increased adoption and decreased available supply. "Adoption" simply means buying and holding these days, not using it as a currency. This is clear when looking at this graph: studio.glassnode.com Bitcoin active addresses continue to stagnate. People are just buying and holding, and it is often the same entities doing so. The ETFs skew this data as well, since these coins are held in concentrated addresses, even though many more people may be holding "Bitcoin" through an ETF. That brings me to something else: Options. Now traders can exercise options on Bitcoin ETF's. This is dangerous, and I think should be treated with some caution. This can increase the amount of price manipulation, as if it wasn't already manipulated. As for me, I closed my shorts at a loss around $63.8k. I saw that Bitcoin was unlikely to drop further, and instead break out of its flag formation to the upside. This ended up being the safer move. Now, I've slowly begun scaling back into a short. I've added at GETTEX:89K , $93k, and now $94.8k. The chart is demonstrating some divergences. The Ultimate Oscillator is actually declining as price goes up. Today's "breakout" is so far on meager volume, but my guess is that this increases should price continue towards $100k this week. In the above chart, confirmation of a local top might be the breakdown of my orange trendline. If price stalls here, it can fall all the way down to the breakout point (the long broadening wedge) It can also simply fall as shallow as $82-83k and then resume its climb. Long term, I'm not a fan of this asset as it represents something dystopian and sinister to me these days. I acknowledge it doesn't represent this to everyone. Regardless of your position on Bitcoin, I wish you luck! This is not meant as financial advice and for speculation only! -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VictorCobra
6
Bitcoin is at the end of a two-year uptrend1- Bitcoin is at the end of a two-year uptrend and the $110,000 range is the end of this trend. 2- The impact of Trump’s election on Bitcoin’s growth will be before he enters the White House. After that, Bitcoin will fall down to $26,000 for at least about 1.5 years. (Contrary to popular belief) 3- From mid-2026, Bitcoin will reach about $200,000 within 2 years. Current Bitcoin price is about $98800 @JalilRafieefard November 22, 2024
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by JalilRafieefard
4
History Repeats? Bitcoin's Post-Election Surge in Focus!Bitcoin's Historical Bull Cycles & Election Correlations 🟢 Bitcoin's Monthly Chart Analysis: A decade of history shows a striking pattern around U.S. elections. 🚀 1️⃣ Post-Election Bull Runs: 2012: Bull market peaked ~1 year after the election (+11,246%). 2016: Peak ~1 year post-election (+2,833%). 2020: A dual rally with a final peak ~1 year post-election (+421%). 2️⃣ Current Cycle (2024): Early-stage bull run starting post-2024 election. Historical trends suggest potential peak in late 2025, marking a full year of upward momentum. 3️⃣ Key Takeaway: If history repeats, 2024–2025 could witness explosive growth 📈 before cooling off. Watch for significant moves as we approach the second half of 2025. 💡 Plan Ahead: Timing is everything in crypto! Stay prepared for volatility and opportunity in this evolving market. #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #BullMarke
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
Bitcoin Master ChartI've ran some calculations, comparisons, and derivations of functions to predict a top of $270,000-220,000 for Bitcoin on October 21st, 2025 . The bottom of the bear market is projected to occur sometime in November of 2026. After this cycle, we will have enough cyclical data to predict future tops, bottoms, variations, and standard deviations of average price momentum (of average cycle). Refer to this chart if you are Dollar Cost Averaging, or if you're looking for an overview of Bitcoin cycle statistics. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE - If you can read it lol
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DaxxDelucchi
2