The return of BTCBTC came back to its long running accumulation channel i.e
91k to 102k channel
it should now retest 91k support for some time and then peak of the channel should be 102k
many fakeouts had happened to break this channel but may be this time it will be different any ways entry at 91k after retest and exit and 101k would be a great swing trade
Entry @ 91 k after retest
Stop loss @ 89k or 87k if you have the balls
tp @ 101k
BEARUSD trade ideas
Can BTC Hit $95K in the Next Few Days?📊 Current Setup (as of April 22, 2025):
Price: ~$93,400
Resistance zone: $94,500–$95,500
Momentum: Weak, but recovering
Volume: Low (lack of strong buying conviction)
✅ Bullish Case (30–40% chance):
If BTC closes above $94K with strong volume in the next 1–2 days, a test of $95K is realistic — possibly even $98K.
BTC is above the 50-day SMA (bullish), but just barely.
MACD is flat, so a momentum breakout is possible, but not confirmed.
❌ Bearish/Neutral Case (60–70% chance):
Market lacks conviction right now.
Any rejection at $94K or loss of $91K support will likely send BTC back to GETTEX:89K or lower — killing any near-term chance of $95K.
Death cross fear is capping enthusiasm.
🎯 My View:
Price touching $95K? Possible, yes.
Sustaining above it or breaking out cleanly? Less likely unless volume spikes.
Probability BTC touches $95K next week: ~40%
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 22 April 2025
- Bitcoin broke round resistance level 90000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 95000.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency today broke the resistance area between the round resistance level 90000.00 and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward wave (A) from January.
The breakout of this resistance area should accelerate the C-wave of the active ABC correction (B) from March.
Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise in the active C-wave to the next resistance level 95000.00 (former strong resistance from the start of March).
Bitcoin continues to be bullishOn Tuesday, Bitcoin broke through the $90,000 mark and oscillated at a high level. Concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve may push Bitcoin to an all - time high.👉👉👉
Trading recommendations mainly focus on going long on pullbacks and shorting on rebounds as a supplement. In the short term, pay attention to the support level of 88,000-88,500 below.
BTCUSD Trading Strategy
buy @ 89400
sl 88300
tp 90200
In periods of intense market volatility, it is crucial to strictly set SL orders and control trading risks.
BTC Elliott wave Analysis 23/4/2025I think we have close to the End of the big B wave that is the part of the the wave 4 (Start from Nov 2022 crash).We Should see a clear Divergence soon in big time frame like 2 , 4 Hours to confirm that the pivot has come.For me I think the target price that is the pivot point is around 96000-97000 since bearish shark pattern harmonic and Gann fan suggest us.
Bitcoin & the Resistance...who will win?Its early 2025 any Bitcoins hashrate is hovering around 1000 EH/S! The computational power is becoming staggering. Has anyone considered the sci-fi world we currently live in and how that might affect BTC in the future? I like the version of the new matrix where a truly decentralized, pro human AI program is released on the bitcoin network to grow...lol
The future and perps markets determine bitcoins price now. There are fewer coins in circulation so everything is leveraged. Be mindful of massive head fakes but like the $96200.00 area for resistance. Might be a nice area to short for a 5x leveraged scalp...
Not financial advice and crypto has unique risks that usually end of you losing funds. Have fun and learn.
Just BitcoinBitcoin
Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency created in 2009 by an anonymous person or group using the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. It was the first successful cryptocurrency and remains the largest by market capitalization.
Key aspects of Bitcoin include:
Decentralization: It operates without a central authority like a bank or government
Blockchain technology: Transactions are recorded on a public ledger
Limited supply: Only 21 million bitcoins will ever exist, with the last expected to be mined around 2140
Mining: New bitcoins are created through a computational process that also validates transactions
Pseudonymity: Users can transact without revealing their identity, though all transactions are publicly visible
Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility throughout its history, with several major bull and bear market cycles. It's primarily used as a store of value (sometimes called "digital gold"), for speculative investment, and increasingly as a payment method.
Many see Bitcoin as an inflation hedge or alternative to traditional financial systems, while critics point to concerns about energy consumption, potential use in illegal activities, and regulatory uncertainty.
BTCUSD - POSSIBLE LONG SETUPBTC has created a Head and Shoulders pattern.
Neckline has been broken.
Now waiting for the retest, so we will have a break and retest + head and shoulders.
After that i'm going to wait for a bullish shift of structure on the 15/30min timeframe and look to enter the trade.
It also all depends on how this daily candle will close.
Bitcoin Tests Critical Resistance Level: What's Next?FenzoFx—Bitcoin is testing the $88,650 resistance, a level it has rejected more than three times. The Stochastic and RSI 14 indicators remain in overbought territory, indicating short-term overvaluation. Entering the market at this price is not recommended.
If BTC/USD stays below $88,650, a consolidation phase may follow, with potential dips to $88,140 and $82,810.
Bullish Scenario
The bearish outlook is invalidated if BTC closes above $88,650, potentially resuming the uptrend toward $90,000.
Bitcoin Tests March HighsBTC tests March highs after 2 weeks of bullish price action and a double bottom / reversal pattern on Apr 9.
Currently testing significant price levels around FWB:88K and 1D 200MA, a decisive break above could signal a push towards $92k.
Failing to reclaim FWB:88K - GETTEX:89K could lead to a retest of $85k - $86k before attempting to reclaim previous R as S.
Bitcoin price increaseAfter the tensions between traders in the United States and the strong price fluctuations in the dollar and other stocks, and after the 3-month increase in gold, this time it will be the turn of digital currencies to increase again and there are signs of their increase in the market. For Bitcoin, two increase targets can be considered: $110,000 - $120,000.
Sasha Charkhchian
BTC/USD: Hero's Quest to the Boss Treasure BTC/USD: Hero's Quest to the Boss Treasure
Price Action Deep Dive:
BTC/USD has formed a powerful SPAWN POINT breakout on the 4H timeframe, characterized by three consecutive blue candles with minimal wicks, indicating strong buyer control
Prior to the breakout, we observed a period of tight consolidation (level 15-20 grinding phase) where price was building energy for the current upward thrust
The breakout volume significantly exceeds previous candle volumes, confirming legitimate player interest in this upward move
Recent price structure shows higher lows and higher highs, establishing a clear uptrend path toward our target zones
Current candle formation suggests momentum continuation rather than exhaustion, with minimal upper wicks indicating buyers absorbing all selling pressure
Market Structure Context:
The breakout has successfully cleared the previous resistance zone (ELITE LvL 2 HP: 2), transforming it into support for future pullbacks
The Treasure Hunter color shift preceded this move, acting as an early warning signal for observant traders
Major support trendline from previous lows remains intact, providing a "regeneration shield" for any temporary retreats
Each pullback has been increasingly shallow, demonstrating growing reluctance from sellers to engage the hero's advance
The most recent consolidation formed a bull flag pattern before the continuation, classic "power-up charging" price action
With our Hero at Level 159 with full health and the Wizard's Journey already 53% complete, all technical indicators align for continued progress toward BOSS TREASURE around $94,000-$95,000, though we should remain vigilant for temporary pullbacks to the HEALTH POTION zone around $84,000.
Are You Backtesting or Backfilling Your Ego?You build the setup.
You run the test.
It’s not quite what you hoped for…
So you tweak it. Then tweak it again. Then again. And again.
Before you know it, you’re not testing a strategy anymore
you’re editing reality until it flatters you.
That’s not refinement.
That’s backfilling your ego.
The urge to make it look right
We’re human.
Nobody likes drawdowns.
Inconsistency feels uncomfortable.
And let’s be real.. win-rates under 50% just look bad.
We don’t want to see our promising idea fall apart in the data.
So instead of facing it, we start sculpting the results to make them easier to accept.
We don’t want to see our promising idea fall apart in the data.
So instead of facing it, we start sculpting the results to make them easier to accept.
Widen the stop just a little.
Tighten the take-profit, Perfect! Now my win-rate is 60%
Add a filter that “feels logical.”
Nudge the indicator setting.
Remove the choppy day, “that was news anyway.”
And just like that, the curve is smoother.
The stats are cleaner.
You feel better.
But here’s the problem:
You’re not building a strategy that works.
You’re building a strategy that looks like it works.
Optimization isn’t the enemy, but your intentions might be
Of course, tuning is part of the process.
You should test different inputs and variables.
But stop and ask yourself: why are you doing it?
If you're refining to understand the behavior of your system, that’s good.
If you're changing things to avoid discomfort? That’s not testing. That’s denial.
The market doesn’t care how hard you worked.
It doesn’t reward effort. It rewards resilience.
If your strategy only performs when everything’s perfectly aligned
when the moving average is exactly 13.53661,
and the RSI is 42.122 instead of 40,
and your entry is two bars after a wick touch…
Then you don’t have a strategy.
You have a sandcastle.
And when the tide shifts, it’s gone.
All because you wanted it to work so badly, you sculpted the data until it told you what you wanted to hear.
A strategy worth trading doesn’t just survive the good times
Anyone can build a system that performs in a trending market.
Or when volatility is ideal.
Or when the dataset ends right before the storm hits.
But markets don’t hand out clean conditions on demand.
So ask yourself:
Have you tested your strategy in stress conditions?
Have you run it through market noise, sideways action, volatility spikes, and traps?
Have you studied its worst stretch and still said, “Yes… I’d take these trades”?
Because if the answer is no, your system isn’t ready.
You’re not building a strategy to trade.
You’re building one to feel safe.. and that’s far more dangerous.
Break it before the market does
The best traders do the opposite of comfort:
They try to break their systems before live money does it for them.
Run a Monte Carlo simulation.
Shuffle the order of trades.
Randomize outcomes.
Apply slippage or missed entries.
If your equity curve collapses under that pressure, if your belief in the system evaporates when the trades aren’t perfectly sequenced, then you didn’t build robustness.
You built a lucky curve.
Loss streaks aren’t a bug, they’re the cost of playing
Too many traders design systems that avoid losing…
instead of building ones that know how to lose..
Every real edge has pain points.
Every equity curve has drawdowns.
Every stretch of performance has some ugly days.
If your backtest doesn’t show that? Be suspicious, because the market will definitely do.
So stop trying to eliminate every loss, and start asking better questions:
Where does this strategy actually break?
What’s the worst losing streak I can expect?
Can I survive that financially and emotionally?
bottom line:
It’s truth over comfort.
Clarity over illusion.
Edge over ego.
Test it honestly, or the market will ..