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BEARUSD trade ideas

$BITCOIN with substantiation and drawingMaybe it's a bit of a busy drawing. But I wanted to show why I think we may be correcting and why this is very healthy for the bull market. It seems that after the larger correction we have now completed 5 waves and we also have to correct this wave. That is the phase we seem to be in now. Now I have 2 expected positions where the correction can go. I think that we will not correct very deeply and will therefore not reach 50%, but that we will correct up to fib 618. So possibly just under 90k. Unfortunately, no Christmas run is expected. But just a super healthy correction that we don't have to worry too much about. The altcoins also seem to be less willing to participate and we seem to be settling in for the bull run. Be kind to the world and each other!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RidgerR
bitcoin multiple 1-2 in last 5th wave in textbook impulse ideaafter that abc flat to troll so much people people into thinking 200k. this scenario is for me only realistic with the timing and probabilites in EW. A wave woud be impulse to flash all the retail, b flat to exactly 4year cycle TOP in october, and c some sell the news event with reccesion or war which would be bear market for 365 days 85,842 entry + adding to position at 80k which is supported by lot of npocs invalidation .618 log where i would sell 60% and sold 30% after bounce from 618 and ATH first TP - w5 targets area(from 108k to the low created) second TP - 128k (common this cycle w5 target) third TP - these boxes 142-159k from comparing previous cycle post halving gains the number was only decreasing from 30 to 24 which would lead this cycle around 20, of course its only speculation. After 160k would be this data invalidated. 140-152k strong fibonacci confluence
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by luskmelongg
Bitcoin - Bitcoin went below $100,000!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin sell positions can be looked for in supply zones. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Bitcoin (BTC) plummeted from its peak of $108,135 on December 17 to below $95,000. Powell’s comments, which signaled the Fed’s ongoing battle against inflation, triggered a sharp selloff in the cryptocurrency market. He indicated that only two interest rate cuts might occur in 2025, as opposed to the four cuts previously anticipated. Additionally, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 inflation forecast from 2.1% to 2.5%. Even the 2026 forecast stands at 2.1%, exceeding the central bank’s 2% target. This suggests that inflation could persist for another two years, compelling the Fed to keep interest rates elevated for longer than initially projected. Bitcoin ETFs, after experiencing 15 consecutive days of capital inflows, saw an unprecedented $680 million outflow on Thursday. This trend continued into Friday, with an additional $270 million withdrawn. Cryptocurrency investors, reacting to the Fed’s decision to slow monetary easing next year, moved substantial capital out of the market. In the United States, Bitcoin ETFs have surpassed gold ETFs in assets under management (AUM). Despite gold ETFs’ 20-year history, Bitcoin ETFs now manage $129.3 billion, compared to $128.9 billion for gold ETFs. MicroStrategy, a company renowned for its massive Bitcoin holdings, successfully entered the Nasdaq index. With 439,000 Bitcoins valued at $42.64 billion, the company controls approximately 2% of the total Bitcoin supply. This milestone highlights MicroStrategy’s strong position in the Bitcoin market and has boosted its stock price (MSTR) to $364.20. The company’s innovative strategy of leveraging Bitcoin as a growth asset showcases a unique approach in the financial world. Bitcoin’s volatility has steadily decreased in recent years. By October 2024, its monthly volatility had dropped to 11%, lower than that of high-profile tech stocks like Tesla (24%), AMD (16%), and Nvidia (12%). Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, recently shared his outlook on the cryptocurrency market. He predicted a “horrific collapse” around the inauguration of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump on January 20, 2025. Hayes wrote, “The market believes Trump and his team can deliver immediate economic and political miracles,” but pointed to a gap between investor expectations and the “absence of quick, viable policy solutions.” Hayes forecasted that implementing changes to cryptocurrency policies would likely take far longer than the market anticipates. He added, “The market will soon realize that Trump, at best, has only a year to execute any policy changes in or around January 20. This realization will trigger a massive selloff in cryptocurrencies and other Trump-related trades.” He also predicted that a “steep decline” would occur around Trump’s inauguration day, followed by a “crack-up boom phase” in late 2025. This phase, typically seen after financial crises, is characterized by rapid price increases, high inflation, and financial instability.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Possible target : 2 equal lows in h4 at around $92kI think that the price of the bitcoin could go to GETTEX:92K because there are 2 equal lows that you can see on this chart at approximatively $92000. "Equal lows refer to a situation in trading where two or more price lows are at the same level or very close to each other on a chart. This concept is significant because it indicates a potential area where liquidity is resting. In trading, liquidity refers to the availability of buy or sell orders at a particular price level. When equal lows are present, it suggests that there are likely many stop-loss orders from traders who are long (buying) positioned just below these lows. This creates a pool of liquidity that can be targeted by the market."
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by trader77974
Crypto Market Update: Key Developments and Analysis.Crypto Market Update: Key Developments and Analysis 1. Trump Nominates Stephen Miran as Chairman of Economic Advisory Council President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Stephen Miran as Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors, a position that will play a crucial role in shaping economic policy for the incoming administration. Miran, who previously served as a senior advisor to the Treasury Department in 2021, is well-known for his advocacy of deregulation to promote innovation across various sectors in the United States. In a statement on social media, Miran expressed his excitement about the nomination: "I am beyond honoured that President Trump has chosen me to lead his Council of Economic Advisers. I look forward to working to help implement the President's policy agenda to create a booming, noninflationary economy that brings prosperity to all Americans!" The crypto community has responded positively to Miran's nomination, largely due to his pro-innovation stance and openness towards digital assets and cryptocurrencies. His appointment is seen as a potential catalyst for more favourable regulatory environments for the crypto industry. 2. Bitcoin Social Sentiment Drops to Yearly Low, Signalling BTC Breakout Social sentiment around Bitcoin has reached its lowest point in 2024, suggesting a possible recovery above the $100,000 mark for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. As of December 22, Bitcoin's price is down over 10% from its all-time high of above $108,300 recorded on December 17, trading at around $97,150. This 10% correction has led to a significant drop in social media sentiment, with an average ratio of four to five positive versus negative Bitcoin-related comments. Market intelligence platform Sentiment highlighted this shift in a recent post, noting: “Vocal traders are now showing severe FUD, and that's good news for contrarians who know markets move in the opposite direction of retail's expectations.” Other crypto analysts are also predicting an end to Bitcoin’s current correction below $100,000. Notably, Bitcoin’s daily chart showed three consecutive red candles for the first time since early November, a period that coincided with Donald Trump's US election victory. This historical pattern has led some to speculate that Bitcoin may soon experience a bullish reversal. 3. Interpol Issues "Red Notice" for Hex Founder Richard Heart The international law enforcement organization, Interpol, has issued a "Red Notice" for Richard Schueler, also known as Richard Heart, the founder of Hex. Schueler is wanted by Finnish authorities for allegedly committing tax fraud and assault. A Red Notice is a global request for law enforcement to locate and provisionally arrest a person, but it is not an international arrest warrant. Schueler is also listed on Europe’s most wanted fugitives list, where detailed allegations include physically assaulting a 16-year-old victim and committing tax evasion between June 2, 2020, and April 2, 2024. The issuance of the Red Notice comes just three months after a remand order was initially issued for Schueler on September 13, according to Finnish public broadcaster Yle. This development has sent shockwaves through the crypto community, as Schueler is a well-known figure in the space. These key developments in the crypto world highlight the dynamic nature of the market and the importance of staying informed. As the week progresses, traders and investors should closely monitor these stories and their potential impact on the broader financial landscape..
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by OakleyJM
The "Donald Trump Dump" and the 2025 Bitcoin Blunder"Kamala Klimax" has become synonymous with an extraordinary period in the annals of cryptocurrency, having primed Bitcoin for an amazing run towards the $100,000 mark. As Vice President Kamala Harris championed progressive policies that resonated through the realms of technology and finance, her influence catalyzed significant bullish momentum within the blockchain sector. This era saw Bitcoin not merely rise, but soar, as it was buoyed by a wave of optimism and innovation. The ascent was powered by a robust combination of regulatory relaxation and technological advancements. Harris's administration facilitated a fertile environment for fintech innovations, which in turn attracted a surge of institutional investors and crypto enthusiasts, all eager to partake in the burgeoning Bitcoin bonanza. The market sentiment was overwhelmingly positive, with the digital currency's value climbing to new, dizzying heights, nearing the once-unthinkable $100,000 milestone. However, as with all epic tales, the peak is often followed by a precipitous fall. Enter the looming specter of the "Donald Trump MAGA Dump." As political tides shift and the former President hints at a dramatic return to power, the crypto community braces for potential upheaval. The MAGA movement, known for its tumultuous impact on markets, could instigate a drastic downturn, with Bitcoin potentially plummeting to $80,000—if it's lucky. This expected "Dump" is feared to be fueled by a cocktail of controversial policies, unpredictable tweets, and a general shift towards economic nationalism, which may scare off international investors and shake the very foundations of the crypto market. The blockchain, once a beacon of bullish trends under the "Kamala Klimax," might soon face the wrath of renewed MAGA forces, potentially erasing significant gains and setting the stage for a new era of market uncertainty. In conclusion, while the "Kamala Klimax" prepared Bitcoin for an unprecedented ascent, reaching towards $100,000, we now stand on the cusp of the "Donald Trump MAGA Dump," where a crash to $80,000 seems not only possible but probable. The cryptocurrency community must now navigate these choppy political waters with caution, as the winds of change threaten to shift from a gale of gains to a storm of losses.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by UnitedFreedomJapan
Macro setup on BTC (bullish)Zooming out from the four-hour to the weekly (my favorite timeframe). It is easy to note that the chart does not look quite as bearish. The BBWP and stochastic RSI needed this cool off zone for a few days/weeks, this allows for continuation. BTC did not quite hit my target before the expected downturn. This remains my PT1. I believe we will see around 140k my April 1st given the fib projection. Once I see BTC hit around 140k, I will wait approximately 10 days and start to take profits on my alts I have been holding and averaging into. I am not willing to wait to see how that ends up. I will leave a few select alts to run until the end of cycle top which should be around 200k. Remember, no one ever got hurt from taking profits.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Apollo_21mil
BTC bearish next week (4-hour)BTC is pretty bearish right now as it cools off. I do not usually share 4 hour charts these days, look at the resetting BBWP and RSI. This is a much needed cool off. This correction will allow whales to get that final under 100k entry before the Q1 pump. I expect more capitulation, and a daily wick to my initial target. Volume has dropped off making this easier to flush out. Targets: Next week a leverage flush will cause the 87-89k target This will allow people to stack up before the new year
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Apollo_21mil
BITCOIN downtrend This chart presents Bitcoin's (BTC/USD) price action on a 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the analysis: ### Key Observations: 1. **Downtrend Formation**: - A clear descending trendline (black) indicates sustained bearish momentum. Each price rally has been rejected at lower levels, forming lower highs. 2. **Significant Support and Resistance Zones**: - **Pink Zone (Resistance at $101,880 - $102,602)**: - This area acted as a strong rejection zone multiple times, confirming it as a resistance level. - **Green Zone (Resistance at $99,011 - $99,316)**: - This zone represents a secondary resistance level where price failed to break above after retracing from the downtrend. - **Blue Zone (Support at $92,628 - $93,600)**: - A strong demand zone where buyers stepped in, shown by the large wick indicating rejection of lower prices. 3. **Price Action at Key Levels**: - The price broke below intermediate support at $94,496, signaling increased selling pressure. - The recent bounce off the blue zone suggests strong buyer interest at these levels. 4. **Volume Analysis**: - While not shown, areas of long wicks (e.g., blue support zone) often indicate high trading activity, implying accumulation. 5. **Bearish Continuation Indicators**: - Rejection at the green zone and continued interaction with the trendline supports the bearish structure. - Lower highs and lower lows dominate, reflecting sellers' control. ### Potential Scenarios: 1. **Bearish Case**: - If price fails to break above $96,194 or the descending trendline, it is likely to retest the $94,496 level and potentially head back to the $92,628 - $93,600 support zone. - A break below $92,628 could trigger further downside momentum. 2. **Bullish Case**: - For bullish recovery, price must break the trendline and reclaim $96,194. - Stronger confirmation would come from breaking the $99,011 - $99,316 resistance zone. ### Suggested Actions: - **For Short Positions**: - Consider entering around the descending trendline or resistance levels ($96,194 or $99,011), with a target toward $94,496 or the blue support zone. - **For Long Positions**: - Watch for a confirmed breakout above $96,194 with a retest as support, targeting $99,316.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by amerjaradat
btc price action for the next 110 days of this bullrunafter rallying 55% since November a correction of 20k is normal for a risky volatile asset as crypto and btc. the correction shall end by January ...and from end of January things will get heated for the last pump and fourth wave to 150k level. bull run has not finished yet, its true that we have 4-6 months only but 90% of alts are not yet reached their previous ATH back on 2021 altcoins holder be patient. you are 100 days away from 5x your wealth minimum
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by fghareeb
Bitcoin's Next Move - Do or DieBitcoin www.tradingview.com has been in a downfall lately, prompting altcoins to dip to lows we haven't seen for months. As you can see in the chart above, bitcoin is teetering on the edge of this regression trend, falling beneath this 95k mark could spark another sell off, with 92k being the next line of support and likely 85k after that. A bounce to the upside here will probably bring btc back to the mean of the trend at around 100k. A break above 100k could send us to new all time highs! Smash the rocket and follow for daily updates during this critical time!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by StonkMarketParty
Bitcoin is now in strong B of wave 2.From my opinion and my analysis, I think now bitcoin is in the corrective wave of wave 2 in term of strong B and I think bitcoin is going to make Irregular Failure Flat or Running Flat for make the 3rd very extionsion wave. WHY I think it would be Irregular Failure Flat or Running Flat, from CCI indicator it happened Hidden Bullish Divergence so it mean the wave doesnt end in the subcycle of wave B so I think it will going to my target. THANK YOU.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by jirapatsangmee
BTC TO $86,850Based on my TA, BTC has now confirmed a short term trend change on the smaller time frames which will result in relief / pull back on the higher time frames (W,M). BTC recently just crossed over the SMA's, pulled back and rejected them as well as a major key level. There is also the case of the SMA's (21/9) crossing over on the 4hr indicating a trend change confirmation. On the higher time frames we also has deceleration and exhaustion from the candles showing a relief period and pull back is in coming which of course will result in a trend change again on the smaller time frames. We also have the issue of the FED stating they are not looking to hold a BTC reserve and won't be changing their opinions anytime soon regardless of Trumps open supportiveness of Crypto. The fib is also confirming a bear market as it is aligning very nicely with key levels and targets to the downside. I have entered at the LH which is the same area the market rejected the crossover of the SMA's. We'll likely see some consolidation / resistance around the $94,500 price mark as it is a major key level imo but if we break that level then BTC will likely fall to the golden ratio market out by the fib which also happens to align with another major key level of $86,850 which is my overall target. Of course i will lock in profits along the way, i have a small stop on this trade of just 2.5% located just above the cross over of the SMA's for some protection from TA.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by h77nry
Bitcoin Analysis: Potential Bullish BreakoutThe BTC/USD 1-hour chart highlights a key resistance zone (shaded in pink) around the 97,000 level. The price is currently consolidating near this zone, with a potential scenario for a breakout towards the target of 101,000. Key Observations: 1. Resistance Zone: The 97,000–98,000 level has been a significant area of interaction, acting as resistance. 2. Potential Pullback: A short-term dip toward 96,000 could occur before a bullish breakout. 3. Upside Target: If the price sustains a breakout above 98,000, it may aim for the target at 101,000. Trading Plan: Consider buying on a confirmed breakout above the resistance zone with a target of 101,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by LunaTrader_SingnalsProvider