Bitcoin Surges Past $95K Despite Overbought SignalsThe outlook of the Bitcoin uptrend remains bullish as long as the prices are above 95K, with the next bullish target being the $100,000 threshold.
Article: fxnews.me
BEARUSD trade ideas
ATCryptoScan: Bitcoin Projections into 2025I know that there are many people out there projecting Bitcoin movements, and some are accurate, while others are, well..., less accurate. I think we need to learn and discern what is sound, what is probable and what should we follow.
Here I present a continuation of the usual projections that I have been doing for bitcoin, and more, including market instruments, ETFs, and other charts.
Firstly, this projection has always been a combination between technical indicators (such as candlesticks, moving averages, MACD and volume analysis, DeMark, etc.), geometrical patterns with support resistance levels, Fibonacci, as well as astrological energy patterns.
Historically, earlier in 2024, 17 August was marked as the expected time to load up Bitcoin at 40K. While Bitcoin never reached 40K, the period (on hindsight) was about appropriate as BTCUSD consolidated strongly above 54K. Breakout signals started in September and October, Buy signals in late October.
A couple of posts in simple pattern analysis was also shared previously, even as close as a week before the massive breakout came.
So now, going forward, we need to relook into BTCUSD for when it would top out from this parabolic run, and to what retracement levels for out second bite at the cherry.
Ok, I will walk through the step by step thought process so here goes the model building...
The current spike rally is a little long in the teeth, if I may say so. BTCUSD has had amazing spikes and this is one of them for the history books. Meanwhile, I start with the weekly TD Sequential which is nicely completing a Perfected TD Sequential . What this means is that the Sequential Setup is completed with all the conditions required, and is ready for a retracement/trend change.
With that possibility, a target point needs to be demarcated and this can be done in many ways...
First up is a simple geometric measurement of the previous rallies. Since September, there has been two rallies of similar magnitude (x). The third rally did double the magnitude (2x) as denoted by the third blue (solid arrow). This arrow is left solid as it was part of the projection made previously. Clearly price overshot and went up much higher. Another magnitude (x) is marked by the dashed line blue arrow, and you can see that there was a stall about 94,500.
And then the spike rally started yet again...
This time, I am less expectant of a double magnitude (2x) rally. BTCUSD needs to end the rally on a flat note, and then retrace for the next larger wave. If it blows off the top then the downside would be more devastating.
TD Sequential also has yet a lesser known, but very common and respected, rule that states it is possible to overextend for the range on the highest candle... marked by the blue box (daily) and the yellow box (weekly).
Astrological energies "coincidenttally" pin 17 December as the time for a reversal. Furthermore, and oddly enough, in a retracement setting to rocket further/
Together with the weekly TD Sequential, there is a confluence at about 108K for BTCUSD topping out. This should bring us to the end of the year, maybe early next year.
Now that models the topside. It needs to happen first, then the expected retracement can then be a realistic possibility.
Rough modelling forward, if the topping out happens as expected, we should see a retracement to about 75K. This is a simple look at the respected and responded Fibonacci lines, noting that every 61.8% is a support bounce.
So, for a probable longshot, 75K in Feb 2025 is targeted as the next point/level for accumulation.
BITCOIN : RECTANGLE BREAKOUT pattern - BULLISH
TECHNICAL INDICATORS -
RECTANGLE BREAKOUT PATTERN :
bitcoin has broken out of a long rectangle pattern (price has stayed within the rectangle since 17th nov and tested it for 10 times) today with a large green candlestick (strong confirmation) indicating upward momentum
PROFIT TARGET :
98334.37
Chart Idea - BTC Potential Bull Market TargetI have rarely seen a cup and handle created on weekly this beautifully. Acc to this cup n handle pattern, the TP is coming around $290K. I personally will start booking profits once the monthly RSI hits around 90. Bearish divergence on weekly will give further confirmation to start selling in big chunks. It doesn't matter what the price would be and what the month in that cycle would be. IMO, it will be around 3rd or 4th quarter in 2025. Let's see
Not a financial advice!!
This measurement seems interestingAll the description is in the chart. This is just a personal interpretation of this graph, it is not "obligatory" to happen like this. I noticed that the top price differs depending on the exchange.
So you better do your own research.
BTC to ATHThis is a chart I prepared a few months ago. I never shared it. BTC got in the "Buy Zone" just briefly. Now we have set a series of higher lows. This is a Bullish setup. I see a break from previous resistance with strength to go higher. ATH in the near to medium term.
Stack Sats on pullbacks and don't over-trade.
Not your Keys. Not your Crypto.
Stay safe my friends.
CYCLE 4 | SMA Golden Ratio [UPDATE]For those following along with this indicator, the current price action volatility has accelerated price to some interesting historic points.
As discussed in prior post above, historically BTC has followed a trend of dropping to the lower SMA extension coloured line with each cycle with interesting multiple hits in establishing our 2021 technical cycle top.
We have already tagged the gold line and currently approaching the 'Gray Line' which put in our prior cycles ATH.
Will be interesting to see how BTC (buyers / sellers) handles this price level and the information this may provide on how useful this indicator may be this cycle....
Where is the top for BTC?Just looking at BTC charts give's me anxiety. I feel a storm brewing, I see white knuckles trying to hold on to the face of El Capitan, there is a move incoming. Beware the fake out/mommy make out and buy/sell wisely.
Potential non-failure swingThe recent breakout from the ascending wedge (a bearish pattern) may have been an extension of the previous 5 waves, rather than the start of a new set.
This would be a "non-failure" swing because it didn't fail to break above the (5) wave.
My lower targets are based on the general rule that support is found at the (4), but in a low liquidity markets we can lower that to the (2). We can still place a stop below the (1), but a secondary stop could help you sleep.
Then, the magic sauce of the non-failure is a fairly reliable resistance under the A wave, which provides a short with a target just below the (4).
looking back at this chart 20261. btc tops out around october next year around 150-160k
2. end of 2026 we bottom out at around 56k
BTCUSD SELLING SHOT TIME H15
As of now on my side, its Sunday around 9:25 trading Btcusd h15minute my indication show me to sell short time now I'm using exness broker
Analysis of $273K and BeyondAscending Channel:
The chart shows Bitcoin moving within a well-defined ascending channel on a longer time horizon.
The trajectory within the channel aligns with significant price increases, provided the bullish momentum persists.
A breakout beyond the $273K level would require continued adherence to this channel, along with periodic corrections.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI:
Currently overbought on this timeframe, suggesting a near-term correction could be due before resuming the uptrend.
MACD:
Showing strong upward momentum, indicative of the possibility for continued growth in the medium term.
Fundamental Drivers:
Bitcoin Halving: The blue vertical lines align with Bitcoin's halving cycles, which historically trigger significant price rallies over the subsequent 12-18 months. The next halving, projected for 2024, could provide a strong catalyst for upward movement.
Institutional Adoption: Continued entry by institutional players and nation-states adopting Bitcoin could provide support for prices to move beyond previous limits.
$1.3 Million in 4 Years:
To achieve such a price level, Bitcoin would need to sustain exponential growth rates fueled by adoption, limited supply, and growing demand.
While this level might seem ambitious, historical trends during past bull cycles demonstrate that significant multipliers from previous all-time highs are possible (e.g., from $20K to $69K during the last cycle).
Challenges to the Bullish Case
Market Cycles:
Bitcoin is known for its four-year cycles, with periods of euphoria followed by multi-year corrections. After peaking (e.g., at $273K), a sharp pullback would likely occur, delaying the $1.3M milestone to the next cycle.
Macroeconomic Conditions:
Interest rates, regulatory pressures, or global economic challenges could hinder growth or cause significant corrections.
Resistance Levels:
Major resistance could form near psychological levels like $100K, $150K, and $273K, requiring sustained momentum to break through.
Conclusion
$273K within this cycle (2024-2025): Achievable if Bitcoin continues to follow its historical bull market trajectory after the next halving. Momentum and institutional interest will be key factors.
$1.3 Million in 4 Years (2028): Possible but highly dependent on long-term adoption, diminishing market volatility, and Bitcoin maintaining its appeal as a store of value.
Recommendation for Investors:
Watch macro resistance levels and halving-related cycles for timing investments.
Monitor sentiment indicators like RSI and macroeconomic factors for corrections.
Be prepared for both parabolic growth and significant pullbacks in between.
The 4 year BTC cycle buys and sellsJust a basic chart show the BTC/USD 4 year time Cycle with prediction to wear the next sell point might be
BTC: 2025 ATH estimate.Measured move and Fib Extension Lvls (estimated) target for this cycle is at 199k-275k USD, from my current simple analysis; following Trump POTUS win, probaby peaking in ~Q3 2025 following trend in past 3 4-year cycles; then followed by another bear market to revisit previous ATH at ~65k USD or as low as 45k USD if the trend continues to rhyme with history.
Might need to readjust target as chart evolves, with institutions entering, ETF, Trump win and his pro-crypto policies/advisors, and even CCP (who controls the 2nd largest economy) now going to allow its citizens to buy and own cryptos.
Just my personal view atm to share, subjected to change.
Stock to Flow overlay on weekly log analysisjust a savant noone ever listens to but is almost always correct. This is what im seeing.
coming out of a massive cup and handle, aligned perfectly with stock to flow, Red Lines are my targets, right now im weighted 30% BTC / 70% Microstrategies. Strap in, looking for escape velocity here
Retraction from Psychological Resistance ($100,000)The chart signals strong bullish momentum, with the breakout above the ascending channel reinforcing upward bias. Traders should focus on buying pullbacks or trading breakouts while being mindful of potential overbought conditions. Risk management is crucial as the price approaches psychological resistance levels.
Bitcoin is likely to rally to at least $100,000 before a significant retracement to $60,000. If momentum persists, it could overextend to $110,000-$115,000. However, overbought signals suggest caution, watch for reversal patterns and volume trends to confirm a retracement.
BTC Price Action SoonCRYPTOCAP:BTC Micro level pointing to a downside? Fib retrace, in a volatility funnel, shows a target of 51k.
Macro target is still 95k.
If the micro fails and hits 51k, the volatility funnel to the upside would be similar to the macro target.
BTC likes to blow through targets.
September trough February may be interesting.
BTC 6 MONTH OUTLOOK- PRE BULL MARKETThis is a composite of quite a few systems, but the screen here has been reduced for ease of reading. The economic sentiment right now is not favorable so a pullback of BTC is very likely. This is not signaling a weakness in crypto, but just the overall uncertainty in investors in ANY market. Look for the BTC pullback end of March early April. Securities and Banking are seeing difficult times. The safest market may be Crypto (ie Bitcoin). It doesn't mean Bitcoin won't have it struggles (It will), but its promise is to safeguard those who hold it from the ever present uncertainty of the BANKING sector which is a whole different topic.
On this chart you will find secondary support/resistance lines here (dashed blue lines). Hard resistance and supports (sold blue lines). The yellow line is a projection that I am seeing for BTC over the next 6-8 months. I do think once we exist the Gann Box that we will be in a full blown BTC Bull market. For now some intermediate tops and bottoms will be seen. Not in a bull market yet, but soon so stack up! I am! Buy Low- Sell High
Any questions/ comments leave them below.
I warrant that the information created and published, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
$BTC #3Soldiers #Bullish #Undeniable 100k by ThanksgivingMillenials and GenZ will have something to give thanks for!
Here's a breakdown of the pattern's characteristics:
Three consecutive candles: The pattern is formed by three candles that appear one after the other.
Long bodies: Each candle should have a long body, indicating strong buying pressure.
Higher closes: Each candle should close higher than the previous one, forming a staircase-like pattern.
Small or no upper shadows: Ideally, the candles should have minimal or no upper shadows, suggesting that the bulls were in control throughout the trading session.
Small lower shadows: Small lower shadows on the candles indicate that the bears had little impact on the price.
(The only caveat to the tradional pattern is that this usually occurs after a downtrend)
- Zero
Btc / Usdt COINBASE:BTCUSD
🚨 **LIQUIDATION ALERT** 🚨
A **massive short squeeze** is on the horizon! 😱
Over **$1,060,000,000 worth of shorts** are at risk of getting **liquidated** if Bitcoin hits the **$100,000** mark! 🚀
🔑 **What does this mean?**
- **Short squeezes** happen when the price of an asset rises rapidly, forcing traders who have bet against it (short positions) to cover their positions by buying back, causing even more upward price pressure.
- If Bitcoin approaches $100,000, the **liquidation of shorts** could propel the price even higher, creating a potential **buying frenzy**.
- The **volatility** is real, and we may see explosive movements in Bitcoin’s price!
🔥 **Get ready** for possible rapid price action, as the squeeze could push Bitcoin to new heights. Stay alert and watch for those liquidation triggers!
Disclaimer:It's Not Financial Advice
BTC\USD - 2025 ATHV prodolzhenie prognoza po obnovleniyu ATH v 2024 godu
Kak vidno, vopreki vsem hejteram bitkoina shortivshim ego osen'yu 2023, a takzhe rasskazyvayushchih skazki o tom, chto posle 48000 ego obnulyat, eto ego poslednij cikl - bitkoin udivil dazhe menya)))
Delo v tom, chto on obognal moj prognoz na polgoda, chto dlya menya bylo absolyutnoj neozhidannost'yu)
Celi dostignuty i my mozhem prodolzhat' dal'she)
Kasaemo ATH2025
Ot ATH2021 Primerno 1430 dnej dlya pikovogo znacheniya v 2025 godu
Tri diapazona ceny:
1 - (oranzhevyj, negativnyj) - 90-120k
2 - (zheltyj, nejtral'nyj) - 120-140k
3 - (zelenyj, pozitivnyj) - 140-150k
Dopuskayu chto bitkoin vnov' mozhet vsekh nas udivit' (a eto on umeet = burnyj rost osen'yu 2023 vopreki ozhidaniyam + rost k ATH vesnoj 2024 ran`she prognoza) i pokazat' znachenie vyshe 150-200k. Odnako veroyatnost' takogo sobytiya ya ocenivayu takzhe, kak i prognoz nizhe 90k (v dannom sluchae ya oshibus' i moj prognoz vovse ne srabotaet).
Sam zhe ya sklonyayus' k diapazonu 120-140k.
Takzhe dopuskayu veroyatnost' otkloneniya po vremeni +\- 1 mesyac
a good BTC short up and coming.There is a break above ceiling @ 97.200
A bullish pullback expected @ 96.300
Probably nice setup for a take profit @ 94.500
Maybe not 2019, but maybe 2015?I gave you the bottom + the option to TP at 30K. This is my next play. No further comments. Following 2015 PA with brutal chop market kicking out a lot of market participants. Pump into Halving and then the usual halving dip. Do not expect big returns.
Have fun!
