$BTC.X BEARISH DIVERGENCE on the weekly$BTC.X BEARISH DIVERGENCE on the weekly
Exactly what the title says LOL. Just making a note.
BEARUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD — Is Wave C complete?Trend: Uptrend
EW No.: Wave IV to Wave V
Note: I see correction waves ABC with a 5-5-5 wave pattern. Probably wave C (in circle) is complete. If Wave C is completed, then we may witness a new Wave 1 (in a circle) to complete Wave V.
This is just my point of view. No trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis before placing any trade.
The 100K Club: Market Moves Exchange Cold Wallet moveme
In the volatile world of cryptocurrency, understanding market movements can be a daunting task. However, a growing number of traders are turning to unconventional indicators to gain an edge. One such approach involves analyzing the movements of the so-called "100K Club" — large exchange cold wallet addresses that hold substantial amounts of Bitcoin. These wallets not only represent significant market players but also act as a barometer for broader market sentiment.
Unveiling the 100K Club Indicator
Our newly developed indicator focuses on tracking major exchange cold wallet movements. By plotting simple labels whenever large movements of Bitcoin are detected from cold wallet exchange storage, it reveals critical market dynamics that are often invisible to the average trader. The indicator highlights accumulation and distribution phases, market tops and bottoms, and key levels for swing trading on weekly and monthly timeframes.
Market Tops and Bottoms: A Clear Pattern
Historical data suggests that the movements of the 100K Club wallets align closely with market tops and bottoms. When these wallets begin to offload significant amounts of Bitcoin, it often precedes a market top. Conversely, heavy accumulation by these wallets frequently signals a market bottom. This correlation provides traders with a reliable tool to anticipate major price swings.
Accumulation and Distribution Levels
The indicator also sheds light on major accumulation and distribution levels. Accumulation phases are characterized by steady inflows into exchange cold wallets, indicating that large players are positioning themselves for a price increase. Distribution phases, marked by substantial outflows, suggest that these players are cashing out, anticipating a market downturn.
Swing Trading with Confidence
For swing traders, understanding these wallet movements can be transformative. The indicator’s ability to define key levels on weekly and monthly charts allows traders to identify optimal entry and exit points. By aligning their strategies with the actions of major market players, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their risk management.
Liquidation Candle Sweeps: A Hidden Signal
An interesting phenomenon observed with these large wallet movements is the occurrence of liquidation candle sweeps above or below the major movement key levels. These sweeps often suggest a retail stop hunt before a reversal in market direction. Recognizing these patterns can provide traders with additional confirmation of potential reversals, making the indicator even more powerful for strategic trading.
Technical analysis on #BITCOIN that's my idea on bitcoin . im bullish in the next days but if we don't break 102600 then i will post a new analysis
BTCUSDBTC (Bitcoin) is the first and most widely recognized cryptocurrency, launched in 2009 by an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized blockchain network, enabling peer-to-peer transactions without the need for intermediaries like banks. Bitcoin is often seen as digital gold due to its limited supply of 21 million coins, making it a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. Its price is highly volatile and influenced by factors such as market demand, regulatory developments, institutional adoption, macroeconomic trends, and overall sentiment toward cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin plays a central role in the crypto market and is often used as a benchmark for the performance of other digital assets.
100 SMA REBOUND (?) - $135,000 / $140,000 As illustrated, I'm trying to visualize a potential rebound off of the 100SMA that matches the resistance line of what looks to be an ascending triangle that has been broken and retested.
Price is showing support at such line that happens to overlap with the 100SMA.
I might be "wanting to see" bullishness in the market, but you be the judge of these observations.
The long rejection wicks at the bottom seem manipulative... almost as if there was selling pressure to shake off HODLERS and new investors (?) ...
Will the US approve the famous BTC reserve? ...
--
LET'S SEE WHAT HAPPENS!
Inverted Double Hammer with Doji (A RARE FORMATION) !!! BTCUSDFolks,
An ' Inverted Double Hammer with Doji ' pattern is potentially forming by the end of this week on the daily timeframe.
An Inverted Double Hammer with Doji consists of two inverted hammer candles followed by a doji and then fourth candle that closes green above the closing prices of the previous three candles.
On the weekly timeframe, a similar pattern appeared during August 2023. If an Inverted Double Hammer with Doji successfully forms, we may likely see a trend reversal for the BTCUSD pair.
BTCUSD has resistance at 10 D SMA & 50 D SMA and also has support at $95,500 which is very closer to 100 D SMA trend line, If the Sunday (February 9, 2025) candle closes above the closing value of the previous three candles, which is ~ $96,600, then I plan to initiate a long position with at least 10x leverage, targeting a close at the weekly highest closing value (~$104,400).
Let's see what happens this Monday. Wish me good luck. Play safe, b]#DisciplineWithStopLoss before you invest. 🤞
#ChartPatterns
#SwingTrading
#BTCUSD
#PatienceIsKey
#RektProofTrade
#ProtectYourCapital
Bitcoin Traps?The latest price of Btcusd is at $96394.06, with a loss of $143.02 (0.15%) from the previous trading day. The daily price movement has a performance ranking of 66/100 among all US stocks. Trading volume is at 25.86B, having a strength of 0.39 relative to its last 22-day average trading volume of 66.06B. The low trading volume as well as the dull price movement indicate the lack of enthusiasm from both buying and selling sides.
The 50-day up/down volume ratio is at 1.02, indicating an accumulation condition of the security for the daily timeframe. This ratio is at 0.97 on the previous day and at 1.22 one week ago.
For the short (daily) timeframe, the security is in a confirmed downtrend since Jan 21. The downtrend has been reconfirmed for once since.
The current price is at $96394.06, which sits between a support level at $94635.50 (94506.45 - 94764.56) and a resistance level at $97173.88. The support level is formed based on 3 pivot points with a total strength of 3.59 times of average daily volume. The resistance level is formed by the 5-day EMA. Other than the closest support, there is a major support level down below at $71211.86 (70801.18 - 71622.53). The major support level is formed based on 5 pivot points with a total strength of 4.89 times of average daily volume.
The 14-day RSI is at 42.11 and it is in a downtrend.
The 12-26-day MACD has a value of -784.44 and MACD signal (9-day EMA of MACD) has a value of 132.49. The MACD indicates a bearish condition but the condition is improving.
The 14-day ADX trend analysis has the DMI+ at 10.69 and DMI- at 23.43, indicating a bearish condition that was first started on January 26. The ADX has a value of 23.78, suggesting range-bound price movements or the lack of trend.
The Bollinger bands (20-day SMA with 2-sigma) has its upper, middle and lower band values at 107612.57, 101299.41, 94986.25 respectively. The %b is at 0.11, indicating the current price stays in the bottom part of the band. The band width has a value of 0.125. In comparison to the 125-day minimum and maximum band widths of 0.079 and 0.458, the bands is near the contraction (squeeze) region. This often signals the early stage in a new trend.
The 14-day ATR is currently at $4323.27. For a long position, consider putting a stop loss at $90183.18 which is at one time ATR below the low end of the support level at $94506.45. For a short position, consider putting a stop loss at $101497.15 which is at one time ATR above the resistance level $97173.88.
BTCUSDT to bounce from 4h support towards weekly resistanceHere is the next trade setup for long. The price is likely to dip into 4h support zone deeper, but we will keep building position as the price dips further into the zone. Target is first 4h resistance 4HR1 then daily resistance DR1 and then weekly resistance WR1. We will evaluate the price action as it will reach these resistance milestones. There are retracement possible from these levels and therefore we will book some profit at these levels and will add on the retracements depdending on the charactersitics of the retracements.
BTC Trade IdeaWe have been consolidating in the range and we have raided ATH, would love to see us revert back to the lows for potential swings back to 110k price level. SMT in the weekly FVG would give me a confirmation to go longs. Also key thing to note is, market is pricing in trump tariffs and I think we are getting clarity reducing the hype on safe haven assets
$BTC Fib Probabilistic MapAdjusted version of previous charts for experimental purposes
Time and Price related fibonacci channels are sourced from the cycle of Covid Low and 2022 Low.
Previously I used the steepest (time related) fib channels all the way back from 2014.
I chose the source from covid cycle over the prehistoric one to witness how price behaves to more recently formed angles.
Bitcoin Market Analysis – Buy Signal Bitcoin Market Analysis – Buy Signal
Current Trend: Bitcoin is showing bullish momentum, holding strong above key support levels. Recent price action indicates accumulation, with higher lows forming, suggesting potential upward movement.
Anchored VWAP and the incredible accuracy.I just started looking into VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), and I’m honestly blown away by how accurate it is. At first, it just seemed like another moving average, but after watching price action around it, I realized how often it acts as a magnet. Prices tend to revert to it, and when they break away, they either find strong support or resistance. It’s like a hidden roadmap that big players follow, and I can actually see when institutions might be stepping in. It’s crazy how something so simple—just price weighted by volume—can give such clear signals for entries, exits, and trend strength. Now I can’t stop checking it every time I trade.
I will need to explore this more and develop strategies to implement this into my trading regime.
My safe entry for #LONG87.5k to 90k area is good for long zone, for me current market situation is suggesting me to Wait patiently for this area or let's see CAN BTC HOLDS 95-97K AREA,0
SUNDAY IS SPECULATION DAY😅
**BTC/USD Overview****BTC/USD Overview**
**Current Price:** $97,000
**Market Cap:** $1.91T
**24h Volume:** $53.95B
**All-Time High:** $109,356 (Jan 20, 2025)
**All-Time Low:** $0.04865 (Jul 14, 2010)
**Major News**
1. **Bitcoin Monthly Close:** BTC/USD achieved its first six-digit monthly close ever at $102,400 on Jan 31, 2025.
2. **Institutional Activity:** Coin base registered a net outflow of over 15,000 BTC, hinting at major institutional purchases.
3. **US Economic Data:** The upcoming NFIB Small Business Optimism Index and Bureau of Labour Statistics reports on productivity and labour costs are crucial for gauging US economic strength.
4. **FTX Repayments:** FTX's upcoming repayments to creditors starting on February 18 could bring volatility for Bitcoin prices.
**Insights from Top Traders**
1. **Cassian Drake:** Suggests potential for BTC to make one last push up to $111,000 before a possible bear market.
2. **Grandmaster Oz:** Warns of potential negative impact from US political developments on crypto.
3. **Michaël van de Poppe:** Remains confident in the longer-term picture despite short-term volatility.
4. **PlanB:** Indicates that BTC is in the most intense phase of its price cycle.
**Guidance on Moving Forward**
1. **Watch Key Levels:** Keep an eye on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $96,686.26.
2. **Stay Informed:** Monitor US economic data and political developments for potential impacts on BTC/USD.
3. **Risk Management:** Ensure proper account risk management and leverage trading knowledge.
**Predictions for Next Week**
1. **Potential Upside:** February is traditionally one of Bitcoin’s best-performing months, with average gains of 14.4%.
2. **Volatility:** Expect volatility due to FTX repayments and US economic data.
3. **Support Levels:** Watch for support at the $96,000 level.
Big Opportunity ComingBTC still in a correction with a tentative target of GETTEX:82K to complete wave 4. This will present and rare opportunity to buy in on most crypto currencies as they should all follow this intermittent structure. This will also open up the chance to grab long term positions on associated stocks heavily involved in crypto.
Stay patient and only risk what you’re willing to lose!
Monday Monday la la lala la la...Double Top, Possible Downside
Price currently Below the Mid of the Range
Check Financial Colander for upcoming Events
BTCUSD Chart Analysis 15mints check Captain This chart is a 15-minute candlestick chart of Bitcoin (BTC) against the US Dollar (USD) from Bitstamp on TradingView.
Key Elements:
1. Candlestick Chart:
Each candlestick represents 15 minutes of price movement.
Green candles indicate price increases, while red candles indicate price decreases.
2. Current Price:
96,049 USD, shown in red on the right.
A small decrease of 76 USD (-0.08%).
3. Support and Resistance Levels:
96,901 USD (Resistance): A key level where price has previously faced selling pressure.
95,662 USD (Support): A level where price has found buying interest before.
4. Market Behavior:
The price is fluctuating within a range between the support (95,662) and resistance (96,901).
A breakout above 96,901 could indicate a bullish move.
A breakdown below 95,662 could indicate further downside.
Would you like any specific insights or analysis?
Watch out for this huge Bitcoin capitalizationSame same but different, last week on ETH we had a simmilar situation in the weekend a huge liquidation spike.
Looking at the bitcoin chart it looks it wants to fall and does the same.
So I expect the whales will drop the price in a same liquidation spike as ETH last weekend.
When? I dunno can this weekend but not too long.
The BTC price will drop to the demand zone at 87k level.
That's the most logical level the price will find support.
The positive thing is when the price holds at 87k with a pinbar and bought up again.
You can be 99% sure the price will go up in the upcoming months and we see an alt season.
If the price falls down to 70k then it will take a lot longer to recover.
So best thing is you can place a limit order at the 87k area. Or just wait when the capitalization is over.
BITCOIN Drops Below Major Support - Is $93,000 the Next Target?COINBASE:BTCUSD has decisively broken below a key support level, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The recent price action shows a rejection at this broken support, now acting as resistance, indicating that sellers are regaining control. This rejection reinforces the bearish outlook, as failed attempts to reclaim the level suggest continued downside pressure.
If bearish momentum persists, BTC could extend its decline toward the $93,000 support zone, a key level where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a sustained move back above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish setup, signaling a potential shift in momentum. In this scenario, buyers could regain strength, possibly driving the price higher and negating the bearish bias.
Traders should remain cautious and monitor price action around these key levels to confirm directional bias before committing to a position. Risk management remains essential, given the volatility of BTC/USD.
BREIFING Week #6 : Volatility is LyingHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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