BTC/USD hourly trend using Market Timing AnalysisAccording to the analysis, the BTC/USD looks bearish. Trade with the stop loss.
BEARUSD trade ideas
BTC Looking Bullish | Trade view for 22-23 March 20251D/1H/15 minutes all show a bullish pattern in the BTC.
After Applying Fibonacci we find a strong Golden zone for support with good volumes. BTC is expected to move higher.
Entry, SL and TP are mentioned in the trade view.
Note: Due to weekend the markets will be slow. Make sure to enter with small quantities.
Happy Weekend with the trades.
BTCUSD will breakout from this triangleBTCUSD will breakout from this triangle. It is currently consolidating in narrow zone.
some short-term plansIt has now reached the lower edge of the previous horizontal support and resistance line, which shows that the current short-term dominance is still strong, but we do not want to add positions here.
If it falls below the channel and is confirmed within the next week (the same is the 4h-1D level K-line), you can add more short positions.
wish all partners good luck🙏
BTC/USD – BIG ESPRESSO SHOT–is the breakout of the decade ahead?On the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chart, we observe a potential bullish scenario based on the well-known Cup and Handle formation.
Between November 2021 and November 2024, Bitcoin formed a classic Cup and Handle pattern.
The "cup" part (marked as 1-2-3) is characterized by a rounded bottom, indicating a correction phase, accumulation, and gradual recovery of bullish momentum.
Then, in the second half of 2024, the "handle" (marked as 4-5) formed as a short-term consolidation in the shape of a triangle, which was followed by a breakout that led to a peak around $109k in January 2025. A correction followed, pushing the price down to approximately $76.5k in March 2025.
Currently, the price is making a pullback, testing the key zone around 87K–$93k from below.
To confirm the bullish scenario, we need a strong hold above the $75k–$76k support and a clear breakout above the local resistance zone at 87K–$93k.
As of now, this retest has not yet been confirmed and requires further observation, as there is still a risk of a fake breakout and potential drop to lower support zones — such as $66k or even $50k.
This formation suggests strong upside potential for Bitcoin in the medium to long term, and if confirmed, may signal a continuation of the uptrend with a target around $127k–$130k.
WATCH CLOSELY
BTCUSD Bearish rising wedge forming capped by 88,000
Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 79,000, followed by 76,278 and 74,222.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 96,415.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Global Tensions, Market Manipulation, and BTC Uncertainty The cryptocurrency market, a realm notorious for its volatility, is currently grappling with a confluence of factors that are forcing investors to reassess their strategies. Global trade tensions, macroeconomic uncertainties, and the intricate dance of market manipulation are all contributing to a complex and unpredictable landscape. Specifically, Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, is experiencing a period of intense scrutiny, with analysts offering a range of perspectives on its potential future.
A recurring theme in recent analyses is the notion of "whale manipulation." Reports suggest that large holders, or "whales," are engaging in strategic trades on exchanges like Binance to influence Bitcoin's price. This "liquidity massaging" is seen as a deliberate attempt to create artificial price ceilings, with some analysts predicting that Bitcoin's upward momentum could be capped below $90,000, and more conservatively, $87.5K. Such manipulations introduce uncertainty, making it difficult to discern genuine market sentiment from artificially inflated or deflated prices.
Adding to the complexity is the debate surrounding retail investor participation. Contrary to the prevailing narrative of retail investors being absent, some crypto executives argue that they are already actively involved. This perspective challenges the notion that a surge in retail interest is needed to propel Bitcoin to new heights. If retail participation is already significant, the anticipated catalyst for a bull run may have already materialized, leaving investors to wonder what new catalyst is needed for further price appreciation.
Data from Bitcoin's Realized Cap and UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) analysis is also signaling a "major shift." These metrics, which offer insights into the actual value stored within the Bitcoin network and the movement of coins, are crucial for understanding the underlying health of the market. Changes in these indicators can foreshadow significant price movements and shifts in investor behavior. Traders are closely monitoring these metrics for clues about Bitcoin's future direction.
However, despite recent attempts to pare losses, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain a consistent uptrend. This instability has led some traders to adopt a bearish stance, with predictions of a potential drop to as low as $65,000. These bearish sentiments are fueled by the inability of Bitcoin to decisively break through resistance levels and the persistent volatility that characterizes the current market.
Conversely, some analysts are finding bullish signals by examining indicators that also correlate with the Nasdaq. The correlation between traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency space has become increasingly evident, and analyzing these relationships can provide valuable insights. If the Nasdaq shows signs of strength, it could potentially buoy Bitcoin's price. However, this correlation is not always consistent, and the inherent volatility of both markets can lead to unpredictable outcomes.
The performance of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs is another critical factor influencing market dynamics. The collapse of the "cash-and-carry" trade, a popular arbitrage strategy, has had significant implications for investors. The stagnation of inflows into these ETFs, compared to the initial surge earlier in 2024, has raised concerns about the sustainability of institutional interest. While there have been recent reports of net inflows returning, questions remain if this is a temporary blip, or a sustained uptrend. This fluctuation in ETF inflow signals a wavering confidence from institutional players.
The combination of these factors creates a challenging environment for investors. Global trade tensions, which can disrupt economic stability and investor sentiment, add another layer of uncertainty. Fluctuations in traditional markets, geopolitical events, and regulatory developments can all have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency market.
In this tumultuous landscape, investors are advised to exercise caution and adopt a diversified approach. Relying solely on technical analysis or market sentiment can be risky. Instead, a comprehensive strategy that incorporates fundamental analysis, risk management, and a deep understanding of market dynamics is essential.
The current situation highlights the inherent volatility and complexity of the cryptocurrency market. While Bitcoin remains a dominant force, its future trajectory is far from certain. The interplay of whale manipulation, retail participation, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors creates a dynamic and unpredictable environment. Investors must remain vigilant, adapt to changing conditions, and prioritize risk management to navigate this challenging terrain successfully.
Bitcoin update 21.03.2025 (6 more months of bull market)Bitcoin Update : 6 Months Left Until the Bear Market
You asked for a Bitcoin update — here it is. I don’t post updates too often because I’m currently focused on developing my academy. But let’s get straight to the point.
Where Are We Now?
There are only 6 months left until the end of the current bull cycle . My vision remains unchanged: we’ve gone through a correction and are now forming the bottom of this move. This is a classic consolidation phase, where the market is preparing for its next big push.
I’m still bullish, but it’s important to remember that we’re in the distribution zone . This means upward movement will be accompanied by volatility and local pullbacks.
What to Expect in the Coming Months?
The next 2 months are likely to be monumental. We’ll see new highs, but in 2 months, most people will have already forgotten about this forecast (as usual). People tend to ignore long-term trends until they become glaringly obvious.
However, publishing exact targets on the chart right now isn’t the smartest move. We might not even reach them, as emotions and news drive the market.
Key Moment: May 2025
In May, there will be a major announcement in the US regarding cryptocurrencies . This will be a turning point. The market is currently moving based on the current sentiment, but after May, things will change. When politicians start talking about crypto, it’s our signal to exit.
My Take
Don’t underestimate the importance of timing. When everyone starts talking about Bitcoin, it’s already time to get out. Until then, we’ll see growth, but keep this in mind: the next 6 months are for closing positions, not opening new ones.
Be prepared for a significant correction after September — more than 50% from the peak . This is a natural process that repeats itself over and over again.
Conclusion
The market moves in cycles. They work like clockwork:
151–152 weeks of growth (bull cycle).
51–53 weeks of correction (bear cycle).
We’re nearing the end of the bull cycle. Act consciously, stay disciplined, and remember that success comes to the patient.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC FIGHTING THE 200 MABitcoin continues to face resistance at the 200 MA, which it briefly reclaimed earlier this week before failing to hold. The rejection confirms that the 200 MA remains a key barrier, with price currently trading below it.
We're still stuck between $85,000 resistance and the broader support zone around $77,000. Volume remains unimpressive on this bounce, signaling that buyers are not stepping in aggressively. This makes the recent push toward $85,000 look more like a relief rally than a genuine breakout attempt.
RSI remains neutral, hovering near the midline after confirming bullish divergence coming out of oversold territory earlier this month. Momentum seems to be fading, and Bitcoin will need to clear the 200 MA with conviction to build bullish momentum toward $91,000. A breakdown from here would likely target the $77,000 area again.
For now, Bitcoin remains range-bound, with traders waiting for a decisive move to confirm the next direction.
Short MBTThe Leap, Short Bitcoin. Looks like the .5 is $86,750, if price holds below, last stop can be $77,750.
But first needs to hold Below $89,105.
Details in the video!
YOU ARE LOSING THOUSAND'S PER WEEK IN IGNORANCEThe truth is you are missing out on making thousands a week in crypto simply because you don't know how to make it.
Instead of holding CRYPTOCAP:BTC and a select few altcoins, you gamble with random tokens that don't give you any cash flow whilst at risk of losing thousands from them.
If you invested just a fraction of that into bettering yourself and understanding the market, you could make thousands of dollars in a short time.
If you want to finally make the change for the better and bet on yourself random than just an altcoin, you know where to find me @CryptoJayTrades
Theory.This is just a theory about CRYPTO:BTCUSD
I think we’re going to see a lot of global economic problems in the near future. THEY will try to preserve THEIR capital with gold and Bitcoin, as the stock market stagnates.
I believe we’re in the BUBBLE RUN, but the key question remains open: “At what stage of the BUBBLE RUN are we?”
Zoom out + Ignore noise $BTCBitcoin generally started the parabolic run after the candles closed above KijunSen and the run continued as long as there was no candle closing below it.
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( BUY )trade ( BTCUSD) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (83900) to (83800) 📊
FIRST TP (84200)📊
2ND TARGET (84600)📊
LAST TARGET (85000) 📊
STOP LOOS (83300)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Bitcoin in coming days ...frankly, Bitcoin will reach $89000 in the coming days.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin, interest rate effects, Macro events since 2021 - UPDATEThere is one very simple takeaway for me from this chart and that is simply that raises and Lowering of interest rates had Very little Effect on Bitcoin
It is more the effect it had on other organisations and the sentiment that followed Bitcoin and the traders.
For instance, From Jan 2023, when we saw Bitcoin begin its recovery, interest rates continued to rise.....and had NO effect on the Bitcoin recovery
And I think this continues to this day.
After the First push higher by Bitcoin in 2023, PA went into a Long range...in this time, interest rates began remaining at a static level. Bitcoin did not rise because of this.
When BTC was ready, it made a push higher again, interest rates were static and remained so while BTC entered another long range in 2024
It could be said that BTC PA rose once Rates were reduced but PA leveled out again even while the next rates decision was to reduce.
Bitcoin has its own agenda, it is NOT dependant on the USA to control its choices
On Each range, the MACD on the weekly timef rames was OVERBOUGHT.
And it is currently resetting having been overbought again.
This s NOTHING to do with interest rates.
MACRO events do have an impact though and we need to pay attention this this
But over all, Bitcoin is GOOD, BULLISH and getting ready for its next push
Have a Nice day now
BTCUSDlasr analysis was 100% worked i hope you all had a good time, as we look at weekly chart and see potentionl continue sell on btcusd, till ob+fvg, let see a strong pull back to take short postion. i hope weekly chart as i draw my like easy to understand. let me know in the comment what you think ..?
$BTCUSD is making a 4tn wave pullbackBitcoin is bouncing from the upside support of 75k and is targeting higher in the fifth wave. Target is 115k as long as we are above 75k.
BITCOIN Will this historic level break too?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains supported on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which is its main Bull Cycle Support, despite the recent volatility. As mentioned numerous times, in periods of uncertainty it helps you maintain an objective long-term perspective if you zoom out and look on the wider time-frames.
On this 1W chart, we can see that so far all of BTC's Cycle's have followed the same pattern. The Bear Cycle bottoms and the first bounce of the Bull Cycle aims at breaking above the ATH Lower Highs trend-line (blue Arc). It is what we call the 'Growth Channel' that guides the market from its Cycle bottom to break above the ATH Lower Highs and when it does the Parabolic Rally Phase (green Rectangle) starts. The most aggressive part is when the price breaks also above its Growth Channel.
This is the only Resistance level that has yet to be broke on this Cycle. If it does, the market will explode to Targets above $200k that will start putting it to capitalization levels that would require earth shattering catalysts in terms of adoption. A continuation of expansion within the boarders of the Growth Channel however can easily target $150k. Notice that throughout the whole process of the Growth Channel expansion on all Cycles historically, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) tends to hold and support.
So what do you think will happen this time? Will Bitcoin break above the Growth Channel and offer us another proper Parabolic Rally or will it be a more standard rise within it? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin's Wedge Breakout – Big Move Incoming?"Key Observations:
Descending Wedge Breakout:
BTC has been trading within a descending wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal formation.
The price has now broken above the wedge, signaling potential upside momentum.
Buy Setup:
A buy entry is marked around $83,900 - $85,000.
The stop-loss is placed near $79,154 - $80,000, just below the previous support.
The target is set at $90,126, aligning with a key resistance level.
Trade Strategy:
Bullish case: If BTC sustains above the breakout level, it could rally toward $90,000+, offering a strong risk-reward opportunity.
Bearish case: If BTC falls back below $83,305, it may invalidate the bullish breakout and revisit lower support.
Conclusion:
This setup suggests bullish potential with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Traders should monitor BTC’s reaction at the buy zone and adjust their stop-loss accordingly.
BTC BUYConsidering the resistance levels and seeing the divergence, return to the previous support level
