Bitcoin Short idea 1H time framePossible sell on Bitcoin
Low risk : Entry 87873.07
Possible 1:1R
High risk : Entry in zone 90331.77 - 90667.05
Possible 1:5R
BEARUSD trade ideas
BTC Bounced To Perfection - Heading for 92500-93000 now
Bitcoin bounced off support for the sixth time in a week. Heading for the resistance for the fourth time. Should see 92500-93000 levels on this bounce.
BTC perfectly bounced, heading for resistance 92500-93000
Bitcoin seems to have perfectly bounced off 89500-89700 support level, bouncing off support for the sixth time. Might be heading for resistance the fourth time at 92500-93000.
Bitcoin in 93k - Will the 100k be on the edge?Right now the king is getting a lot of confidence since the elections. But the chart shows that the momentum is very agressive and the actual bullish tendency is very fast. Also RSI and MACD are showing some overbought zones in the actual price so there is no need to discard potential bearish corrections because of volatility.
BTCUSD (BUYS)4TH entry added at $90k. Final take profit currently sitting at $100k. Since I'm still unsure if i want to extend it to $120k, as I'm sure once we hit $100k there is a good chance we will see a nice pullback where i can look for more buy opportunities and hold to $120k.
Bounce off support 89500-89700
Bitcoin seems to have a pretty strong support currently, off which it has bounced multiple times. Heading for it again, around 89500-89700.
Bounce off support 89500-89700
Bitcoin seems to have a pretty strong support currently, off which it has bounced multiple times. Heading for it again, around 89500-89700.
Pretty much following the pattern/fractalupdating on my old idea :)
Btc - seems like its creating a copy of its own history :))
DayTrade -H4 Inside BAR
Consolidation in H4 chart, day of high and low
Waiting for the breakout?
Worry of miss the chance?
I try to do paper trade for this
BTC: Next price Halving 📊Analysis by AhmadArz: #BTCUSD
By calculating the price growth in the 4-year halving time frame, we came to the conclusion that with the growth of the Bitcoin market cap, its growth will be halved and we can expect $120,000 from Bitcoin, and it is expected to grow up to 270,000 dollars in halvings.
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Bitcoin bull-run starts nowBitcoin ripped off yesterday and its following its usual bull-run pattern.
Comparing to the 2017 bull-run pattern bars we can see it following exactly the same direction. Soon it will be breaking 75k, probably between November and December.
Afterwards we will see massive volatility for the year of 2025. We are expecting a BIG surge in the price. Taking into account the massive accumulation period of 6 months, from March until October, we can expect the price to react soon.
Targets for the end of 2025:
Target 1: 172k
Target 2: 230k
Target 3: 280k
11/18 Third pump week or correction? Week's overviewOverview :
The post-election optimism is palpable, with markets expecting a business-oriented administration focused on cutting spending and reinvesting in the domestic economy. This sentiment aligns with key developments across markets:
Yields and Rate Cuts: Treasury yields are stalling, signaling a potential reversal following the Fed’s 75 basis point rate cut. If yields resume climbing, it could suggest market skepticism toward further cuts, hinting at expectations of stable or tighter conditions ahead.
Dollar Index and Macro Environment: The rising dollar index reflects the upward pressure on rates but also hints at a weakening macro environment in Europe since the index is calculated against the euro.
Gold's Decline: Gold has slid for two consecutive weeks, correcting 7% from its recent high. This drop could indicate stronger economic conditions boosting risk-on sentiment, or tighter monetary policy driving risk-off pressure. A stronger dollar further pressures gold downward, while a weaker dollar typically provides support.
CPI and Job Market:The Fed reported a year-over-year CPI increase to 2.6%, in line with expectations but up from 2.4% in the previous month. This marks the first uptick since April 2024. Meanwhile, unemployment has dropped for three straight months, now at 4.1%, below pre-pandemic levels.
CME Tool Insights:The CME tool indicates a 38.1% chance of no rate cut at the December 18th meeting. This aligns with a strong labor market and recent comments by Jerome Powell stating, “The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates.”
Institutional Bitcoin Investments:Institutional investors ramped up Bitcoin ETF purchases for the second week post-election. Despite retail-oriented funds like Fidelity and ARK selling on Thursday and Friday, BlackRock’s buying continued to dominate. Last week also marked the highest Ethereum ETF buying activity to date.
Market Indices: SP:SPX retraced to its 0.68 Fibonacci level after the election, setting up for a potential climb higher.
NASDAQ:QQQ mirrored the SP500, maintaining its retracement pattern.
BTC TA :
W : The past two weeks produced strong vector candles with rising volume, though still below the peaks of February-March 2024 and the bull runs of 2017 and 2021. While a correction is overdue, BTC may stay range-bound briefly or push toward the psychological $100k level as early as this week.
D : Bitcoin is in a parabolic phase, with no divergences or clear technical patterns—simply pumping higher.
4h : A small MACD divergence cleared over the weekend, and RSI normalized from overbought levels. Notable bullish CVD absorption occurred midweek, where selling pressure formed lower lows on the indicator, but buying pressure resulted in higher lows in price.
1h : No divergences detected, and BTC remains on track toward $100k.
Alts Relative to BTC :
The only altcoin keeping pace with Bitcoin is Solana, bolstered by its ecosystem of memecoins. However, unexpected contenders like XRP and ADA have entered the spotlight, pumping unexpectedly last week. Who’s behind this? It’s unlikely the DeFi crowd. Could it be that, six years later, people have forgotten Ripple’s controversies and Cardano’s slow progress?
Bull Case :
This is just the beginning of a major 2025 crypto cycle. With regulatory hurdles and quantitative tightening behind us, the path forward is clear for a prolonged bull market.
Bear Case :
With Bitcoin at all-time highs, this could mark the peak and final leg of the 2024 crypto bull run.
Fear and Greed Index :
At 83, we’re deep into extreme greed territory—a classic danger zone. Historically, extreme greed rarely ends well, and this is an official selling zone for a prudent investor. But you aren't one of them, are you?
Bitcoin's Super-cycle PredectionBitcoin is finalizing a motive wave (3) to mark the run's top.
A main corrective wave (4) shall start right after (3) and it shall last till Aug/ Sep of 2025 (a mini bear market).
A last motive wave (5) would happen after (4) that would probably last for another year
to end the 4 years super-cycle that started from Nov 2022.
Bitcoin to test support 88800 and below Bitcoin declining to test blue support SCD BAND on 4hr chart- this is first decline after strong run up - and first decline is always buying opportunity.
Start buying small amounts on approach to 88800 and more if it declines more in to blue support SCD BAND. To rebound back to top Bolinger on 4hr chart.
BTCUSD SELL NOWBitcoin prices have continued their impressive run today breaching the 90000 mark for the first time. The world’s largest cryptocurrency is now up around 30% since election day and a 121% YTD as the new generations ‘digital gold’ continues its ascent.
The greed around crypto markets is evident at present, can you blame the hodlers? There does seem to be somewhat of a generational shift when it comes to investment flows and this has been reflected in recent data. BlackRocks Bitcoin ETF has now surpassed the holdings of its Gold ETF (NYSE:GLD) and this switch could in part explain the struggles of the precious metal as the new digital Gold grows in popularity. It would be unwise to dismiss this as we have seen in 2024 that the world’s largest cryptocurrency appears to be less volatile than in the past. The reason for this has been touted as institutional adoption which could be part of it.
BTCUSD sell 89400
TP 1 89300
TP 2 89200
TP 3 89100
TP 4 87400
SL @ 91400
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE
BTCUSD Long @ 69,444First "stock pick" given to a friend. Buy BTC long at 69,444. Look for 2 exit targets.
BTC with a BUY on the 30 min timeframeIt's a buy for Bitcoin 30 min. As long as BTC is holding over 90k next stop 100k is inevitable. Fall below 90k will break current support level.
predict future of Bitcoin In the continuation of the Bitcoin price analysis, when the green line is broken again, there will be a good opportunity to enter again
Bitcoin, catch me if you can ..Bitcoin on the move into the friday closing bell, the weekend and the rest of November elect ..
Bitcoin Price Movement ExpectationsYou all are on board, now you gotta realize that everyone cant go.
They Will shake people out, make sure you are not overleveraged and play accordingly.
Good Luck!
#202446 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
bitcoin: Max bullishness continues. Every dip is bought. My gigantic bull gap stayed open and until bears can get a daily close below 85000, this screams nothing but 100k. Do I think that we will see the biggest reversal this market has ever seen once we hit 100k? Bet.
Quote from last week:
comment: What a rally this is. On Thursday I wrote that we broke high enough to make 80000 a possibility and it happened on Sunday. I absolutely can’t this see going any higher as of now but I can also be totally wrong about that. I have no interest in buying this, whatsoever. I have also drawn my preferred path forward with a two legged correction where the B would reach 80000 and we got that part already. My next target is 72000/73000.
comment: 1 00k. That’s it. That’s my outlook. The open gap goes down to 73805. Good luck to bears closing this before market prints 100k. The absolut lowest bulls can let this pull back is 80k (50% retracement), everything below is probably the end of the bull trend and we will likely reverse further.
current market cycle: Bull trend - blow off top to 100k
key levels: 80000 - 100000
bull case: Bulls only objective is to keep this market above 80k and print 100k. That’s it.
Invalidation is below 80000.
bear case: Bears could not print 1 daily close below 87000. If that does not scream max bullishness, nothing is good enough for you. Absolut most insane melt up and market pulls back mostly sideways. That is as strong as it gets.
Invalidation is above 110000.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral but if we stay below 85000, we could see the two legged move down as drawn. Could still just be a bull trap and we sell down hard again. That does not mean shorting this right now is a good idea. Bears need to show strength with consecutive bear bars before I think about joining them. Right now it is max bullishness.
→ Last Sunday we traded around 79329 and now we are at 89922. Invalidation target was pretty fine. Market went above and never went back below it.
short term: Max bullish until we print 100k and if we stay above 80k.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10: 100k and then on the second sign of weakness, will short it to 50k. Remember, there will be people, just like in 2021 who bought all the way down and there positions were -50% or more and those legends told you to buy more all the way down. Will happen exactly like that in 2025 again. If you don’t book big profits on it’s way to 100k, don’t you fucking cry when your position is underwater again.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed all bs.
Bitcoin near term probabilities 18.08.24Some zones with estimated probabilities.
I see the red arrow scenario of a lower probability than the prospect of BTC staying above 52k.
While the big green circle zone is estimated with a potential incursion, there is also a case for milder bullish tone scenario (white arrow) that doesn't propel this to much higher ground, where also there is an estimation for potential appearance of bearish mood. (anywhere between 68k-78k -> blue arrow)
A support type of price action would be ideal in the purple rectangle zone or above it, and this is the zone of a more special interest in this project.
All probability estimations do not guarantee a specific envisioned outcome. Preferably it would be better to see some signs that these estimations are close to being relevant.
The dimension of the circles might vary depending on the screen and resolution or device used. The lines below them are for reference for their radius regarding the scale adjustment, although their overall position and concept is more relevant than the size.
Bitcoin = Madoff 2.0I don't care if BTC hits 100k or more! Bitcoin is the biggest Ponzi scheme of the history and it's intrinsic value will always remain zero.
