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BEARUSD trade ideas

BTC & ALTCOINSIn this chart we can see Bitcoin historical Highs , lows , halving years (green->green) and halvings ... we can see some patterns here , not price patterns but sessionality patterns .. for example .. strong probabilty next btc HIGH will be in November/December this year , or we can also see on chart of BTC.D .. we are close to date when BTC.D breaks and fall as much as alts shine .. But all of this was history what about today ? What if , in this one cycle is something different , for example players ... Old good BTC and Crypto OG players now have less power as manipulators , we have some guys from wallstreet also here , Trump and much more .. Macroeconomic was totaly changed ... so what do you think guys ?
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by STLMfx
3
Bitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and EmergingBitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and Emerging Threats Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, finds itself at a critical juncture. While recent data reveals a surge in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and identifies a key support level, looming challenges related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum suggest a potential struggle in the near future. The next 30 days could prove to be a game-changer, determining whether Bitcoin can consolidate its gains or faces a significant downturn. Key Support Level Identified Technical analysis suggests a crucial support level for Bitcoin at $96,000. This figure coincides with the realized price for short-term Bitcoin holders, a metric that often acts as a reliable support or resistance level. Should Bitcoin fall below this threshold, it could trigger further sell-offs and potentially lead to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price can hold above this level, it may signal renewed strength and pave the way for a potential rebound. U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge Despite the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price action, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed a remarkable surge in inflows. Year-over-year, these inflows have increased by a staggering 175%, with total net inflows exceeding $40.6 billion. This substantial investment from institutional and retail investors underscores the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and suggests a strong underlying demand. The continued accumulation of Bitcoin by these investment vehicles could provide a buffer against potential price drops and contribute to long-term price appreciation. The Next 30 Days: A Potential Turning Point The next 30 days are crucial for Bitcoin. Several factors could influence its price trajectory, making this period a potential turning point for the market. These factors include: • Liquidity Conditions: Bitcoin's price is heavily influenced by the availability of fiat currency. Concerns are rising as critical sources of fiat liquidity begin to tighten. This tightening could make it more difficult for investors to purchase Bitcoin, potentially putting downward pressure on the price. • Government Policy: The U.S. presidential administration's approach to Bitcoin remains a significant factor. The slow progress in creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve raises questions about the government's long-term vision for the cryptocurrency. Clarity on regulatory frameworks and government adoption could significantly impact investor confidence and market sentiment. • Technical Momentum: Bitcoin's upward momentum appears to be weakening. Technical charts suggest a potential loss of steam, with indicators pointing towards a possible correction. Traders will be closely monitoring these technical signals to gauge the direction of the market. Risks to Watch Out For Bitcoin faces several risks that could hinder its progress and potentially lead to a significant price correction. These include: • Loss of the $96,000-$110,000 Range: Failure to hold above the $90,600 support level could lead to a retest of the broader $96,000-$110,000 range. A sustained break below this range could signal a more significant downturn. • Tightening Liquidity: As mentioned earlier, the tightening of fiat liquidity poses a major threat to Bitcoin's price. Reduced access to fiat currency could limit buying power and lead to increased volatility. • Uncertainty in Government Policy: The lack of clarity regarding government regulation and adoption of Bitcoin creates uncertainty in the market. Negative regulatory developments or a lack of clear guidance could dampen investor enthusiasm. Balancing Act Bitcoin's current situation is a delicate balancing act. While the surge in ETF inflows and the identification of a key support level offer some positive signs, the looming risks related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum cannot be ignored. The next 30 days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can navigate these challenges and continue its upward trajectory. Conclusion Bitcoin's price outlook remains uncertain. While the substantial inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and the presence of a key support level offer some encouragement, the cryptocurrency faces significant headwinds. Tightening liquidity, the slow progress in establishing a national Bitcoin reserve, and weakening technical momentum are all cause for concern. The next month will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its footing or if it is poised for a correction. Investors should proceed cautiously, closely monitoring market developments and preparing for potential volatility. The long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate, but the short-term future hinges on how it navigates these immediate challenges.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
2
BITCOIN's situation+next targets and expected movements.Bitcoin can reach above $100k tomorrow... Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ❗Disclaimer ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
3
BTC at a Pivotal Moment: Breakout or Breakdown?Just wanted to share my thoughts about BTC as it reaches a crucial decision point. Bitcoin is at a key spot within its current channel, testing levels that could dictate the next major move. The parabolic trendline is nearing its end, meaning volatility is likely ahead. The 106.587 resistance is the level to watch if BTC breaks above, we could see a strong upside continuation. On the downside, 92.156 support is critical a break below could trigger a significant downtrend. To navigate this move, my Trend Follower indicator is out and it provides clear trend direction and potential reversal points, you can find it on my scripts.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by AM.98
7
Bitcoin ATH 2025 - Which colour pill do you Want ? Blue ? Red ? It is a very simple question and one you should be asking yourself RIGHT NOW And here is why. On previous 2 cycles, we have spent around 1440 days , on average, Between cycle ATH and the next Cycle ATH and so, by consequence, it should be easy to project forwards now, and estimate when to expect the next cycle ATH. YES, except for the fact we had 2 Major ATH's in 2021. Some insist that the March 2021 was the real ATH and the Nov ATH was False, maybe a Pump due to the roll out of TAPRROT. For me, I say it is the Nov 2021 ATH is the REAL ATH for a number of reasons. 3 of which are simply that BTC ATH tend to be in Q4 and it was simply the Highest price that cycle. The 3rd reason is in the chart with the Blue Day counts markers. Using the Nov 2021 ATH, the 1400+ day count remains consistent from Previous ATH in 2013-2017. Many current projections point toward another Q4 2025 ATH for Bitcoin and so I have added the BLUE day count to estimate when this maybe. And it is around Oct / Nov , the same as 2nd ATH in 2021 This is the BLUE Pill BUT if you believe that the March 2021 ATH was THE REAL ATH, then we must take our day count from there. That was only 1190 from the previous ATH and if we project that number onto Current PA, we have already past that point and set a New ATH, Current ATH was set after that day count. So Lets Project forward from the March 2021 ATH with the 1400+ average day count and we end up with a projected ATH around Early March, same as in 2021 ! This is your RED pill I do have charts that point towards a major move in March but the question we need to ask ourselves is , "Will that be cycle Top" This is obviously impossible to answer but we can continue to observe what does happen. To simplify the issue, I am looking at the Weekly MACD for Bitcoin It is SO overbought. In Fact, it is up as high as it was when we had the March 2021 ATH ! What does this suggest ? We may already have had our Cycle ATH and we need to watch closely as to what happens now. In 2021, we had a near -50% draw back when MACD was OverBought after the March ATH, before we pushed back up. The push higher was enabled because the MACD had cooled off after 4 months , enough to be Neutral when it turned up to push for a New ATH We are currently in a similar position. MACD OverBought - Last time it was overbought, we ranged for 6 months while it cooled off slowly, controlled. So what now ? The Current situation poses so many questions. OnChain data suggests strength though we have seen a lot of Long term holders selling. This usualy happens at cycle TOPS or near Are we going to have 2 ATH pushes like we had in 2021 ? Is this going to happen again ? Which Colour pill are you taking ? BLUE for a Q4 cycle ATH RED for it has already past or is about to arrive. The possibility does exist that the Cycle has been accelerated by Corporate involvement. But we have not seen the Public FOMO yet. Will we ? So, Ladies and Gents. Which pill are you taking ? BLUE or RED ? Me, I already taken the............................................ BLUE
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
1
BTCUSDHonestly,we've been ranging and I'm hoping tomorycan give us direction and momentum. By momentum I mean enough volume to give us a bullish or bearish spectrum. We have ATH priced at 109,000 and recent monthly lows priced at 89,000 which serves as our range . A break below 89,000 sets us back to 78,000 (atleast). Otherwise, if we break above ATH then we go in search of new highs likely at 120000 (or more). I cannot predict new highs but maybe the use of Fibonacci can be beneficial. Let's wait and see what this month brings in Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Muchangi
Bitcoin showing some cracks - caution advised- follow up analysis on USDT D. chart I posted yesterday - the two have an inverse correlation so if USDT D. is making new all time lows, Bitcoin is making new ATHs and vice-versa - with USDT D. threatening a range breakout it therefore makes sense to watch for signs of weakness with Bitcoin itself - yesterday´s rejection happened right at the 0.618, making a lower high - furthermore a clean S/R flip (red) occured alongside a textbook rejection of the 50 level on the RSI - if range low is broken, the likely path for the king then is filling the CME gap that is roughly at the 78k area
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Mansasuma
Scalping Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trend: Bitcoin is currently showing a range-bound movement with local bearish pressure. Key Levels: Resistance: ~$99,700 - $100,000 Support: ~$96,500 - $97,000 Indicators: MACD: Weak momentum, approaching a potential crossover. EMA: Price is hovering near the 50 EMA, indicating indecisiveness. Volume: Decreasing, suggesting market participants are waiting for confirmation. 🔥 Scalping Strategy: 🩸 1. Range Scalping (Low Volatility Environment) Why? Price is trading between support and resistance without strong breakouts. How? Buy near $96,500 - $97,000 Sell near $99,500 - $100,000 Take quick profits, as price action is choppy. 🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Price Moves Aggressively) Trigger: Break above $100,000 or drop below $96,500. Execution: If price breaks $100,000 → Scalp long targeting $101,500 - $102,000. If price drops below $96,500 → Scalp short aiming for $95,000. 🩸 3. EMA Scalping Why? Price is near the 50 EMA, which can act as support or resistance. Execution: Buy when price bounces off EMA (confirmation via MACD crossover). Sell if price rejects EMA and continues downward. 🔥 News & Market Context: Neutral sentiment, with no significant macro news or FOMO/FUD at the moment. Liquidity levels suggest that a breakout may occur, but no clear trigger yet. 🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out? 🩸 Current Situation: Market is indecisive, making scalping viable but risky. 🩸 Recommendation: Low-risk range scalping is the best choice until momentum confirms a breakout. 🩸 Ideal Entry: Buy near $96,500 or sell near $99,500, keeping tight stop-losses. 👑 Final Verdict: Scalp with caution, but be ready for breakout confirmation. 🚀
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FinCaesar
Alts are moving toward the lows once more. Is it time to buy?This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSD
by ThinkMarkets
Universal Laws is Primary, Tools/Overlays/Strategy is SecondaryMany traders get taken by surprise by the Law of Alternation Being respectful to the laws and knowing how to navigate them by using tools and a smart system is what it takes to be profitable in the now and distant future. Apologies for the inconsistency of posts, however I am using my time for coding so I've been busy. Please reach out to me if you have questions or want to see more market updates as I am happy to help, and will carve out more time for this
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Blayno_MTOPS
BTCIn the monthly timeframe, to identify the final target of Bitcoin’s bullish rally, we observe that in previous rallies, Bitcoin has reached the 13.618 target and then the 3.618 target. In the current bullish wave: If Bitcoin reaches the 1.618 Fibonacci target, it will hit $122,423. The 2.618 Fibonacci target corresponds to $188,166. If it extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci target, it will reach $253,910. Bitcoin has already reacted to the 1.414 Fibonacci level at $109,414, and its previous reaction was at the 1.272 Fibonacci level at $99,676.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ozairal83
Equal Weight Crypto Precariously PositionedWhenever I want a decent understanding of what crypto is doing on aggregate, I consult an equal weight portfolio of 10 of the top cryptos by market cap. The sector has been building another pennant, trying for a push to fresh highs, but momentum is flagging. The last time this happened, not too long back, there was a solid drawdown before the pump. By the look of it, there's room for a 30% drop. Given that so many cryptos have doubled, tripled, 5x, 25x, etc don't be surprised if there's a crash soon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by quickshiftinn
2
NEW UPDATE OF BTCUSD 4H In-Depth Analysis of the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Chart This 4-hour Bitcoin chart from TradingView includes various technical indicators, patterns, and potential price movements. Let’s analyze it in detail: --- 1. Chart Overview & Indicators Trading Pair: Bitcoin (BTC) / U.S. Dollar (USD) Timeframe: 4-hour chart Exchange Data Source: OANDA Price at the Time of Chart: $98,274.2 Price Change: +1,279.8 (+1.32%) Technical Indicator Used: Supertrend (10,3) Red Supertrend (Above Price) → Bearish Signal (Down Trend at ~$98,274.2) Green Supertrend (Below Price) → Bullish Signal (~$95,000 as potential support) --- 2. Key Price Levels Support Area: $90,000 - $95,000 This is highlighted as a blue zone. BTC has bounced from this area previously, making it a strong demand zone. Resistance Area: $105,000 - $110,000 Marked with a yellow box. BTC faced multiple rejections in this area before dropping. --- 3. Technical Patterns Observed A. Descending Triangle Formation (Red Trendline) The price is forming a descending triangle, characterized by lower highs and a flat support level. This is often a bearish pattern, but a breakout can occur in either direction. Breakout Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: If BTC breaks the upper trendline resistance, it may surge toward $105,000 or higher. Bearish Breakout: If BTC falls below the triangle, it could drop toward the support zone (~$90,000 - $95,000). --- 4. Breakout Projection & Trading Strategy A. Breakout Arrows (Black, Blue, Green) Blue Arrow: Indicates a possible breakout above the descending trendline. Black Arrow: Suggests a move toward $105,000 resistance if the breakout is confirmed. Green Arrow: If BTC surpasses $105,000, it may continue rallying higher, possibly toward $110,000+. B. Bullish Trading Strategy Entry: Buy when BTC breaks above the descending triangle (~$99,000 - $100,000). Target: $105,000 - $110,000 (resistance zone). Stop Loss: Below $95,000 (support zone). C. Bearish Trading Strategy Entry: Sell if BTC fails to break out and falls below $95,000. Target: $90,000 or lower. Stop Loss: Above $98,000 (previous resistance). --- 5. Supertrend Indicator Analysis Currently Bearish: The Supertrend indicator is red, meaning BTC is in a downtrend. Bullish Reversal Possible: If BTC moves above $100,000, the Supertrend might turn green, signaling an uptrend. --- 6. Summary & Market Sentiment BTC is currently in a short-term downtrend but approaching key support. A breakout above $100,000 could trigger a strong bullish rally toward $105,000 - $110,000. Failure to hold above $95,000 may lead to further downside toward $90,000. Traders should watch for confirmation of a breakout before entering positions.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by mrsagarfx
2