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BEARUSD trade ideas

BTCUSD UPWARD TREND UPCOMING READ IN CAPTIONS BULLISHThe chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, displaying a clear bearish channel with an expected reversal towards higher levels. Here’s the detailed analysis: Key Observations: 1. Bearish Channel: The price is currently inside a bearish channel marked by blue trendlines, where the price has been making lower highs and lower lows. This indicates that the current trend is bearish, but there are signs of a possible reversal at certain levels. 2. FVG (Fair Value Gap): The FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone is marked just above the support, suggesting an area of imbalance in market orders. The price is expected to fill this gap before continuing its bullish move. If the price stays above this gap, it could act as a support level. 3. Order Block: An order block is indicated at the top of the chart, suggesting that the price could potentially face resistance in this area. If the price manages to break through the resistance at this level, the bullish momentum could intensify. 4. Target: The target is set at 86,134, which is just above the current price level. If the price manages to break through the upper boundary of the channel and fill the FVG, it could move toward this target.5. Price Action: The price is currently bouncing around the FVG area, indicating that buyers may step in here, creating a potential opportunity to go long. The next step is to watch for a breakout above the resistance zone to confirm the continuation of the bullish move toward the target. Conclusion: The chart suggests that Bitcoin is currently in a bearish channel but could soon reverse if the price holds above the FVG zone around 84,100. A bullish breakout above the order block would likely lead to an upward movement, with the target at 86,134 in sight. Traders should monitor price action around the FVG gap and the order block for potential entry points.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Joan_Pro_Trader
1
Secure profits of LONGBTCUSD Chart Analysis (Daily Timeframe) 1. Securing the Last LONG Position The last LONG position should be secured in profit because: Price failed to sustain higher levels and is now rejecting resistance. If the price drops further, it could trigger a deeper correction. The risk-to-reward ratio shifts once key support levels start failing, making holding a long position less favorable. Locking in profits prevents giving back gains if price reverses. 2. Why This Is the MAX Risk Point for a New Short 🚨 A new SHORT signal has NOT yet been given, but if it prints, we must wait for the daily close to confirm it. Key reasons why this is the max risk point: ✅ Price is still within a key decision zone (near support and trendline levels). ✅ If price bounces and holds above current levels, shorts would be trapped. ✅ Shorting prematurely without a confirmed close could result in a fakeout. ✅ Stochastic Indicator is still crossing up, meaning a bounce could occur before confirmation. 3. Short Confirmation & Timing Considerations 📌 If a SHORT signal appears, DO NOT enter immediately. Instead: Wait for the daily close → Confirms that price sustains bearish momentum. Watch for key breakdown levels → If price stays below support zones at ~80,000 - 86,000, bearish continuation is likely. Check volume confirmation → A high-volume breakdown strengthens the short thesis. Conclusion ⚠️ Right now, we are at a decision point: If the price holds above current support, another move up is possible. If a SHORT signal is printed, we still wait for the daily close to confirm. Max risk for a new short is NOW, because shorting too early without confirmation could lead to a reversal. 💡 Patience is key—wait for the right signal before entering! 🚀 Current Price Context BTCUSD is trading at ~$84,380, showing a -2.81% daily decline. Price recently failed to break above key resistance (~86,000–88,000 zone). Volume is slightly increasing on the downside, indicating some seller momentum. The Stochastic RSI is still crossing up, meaning there is a chance for a bounce, but it is approaching a critical zone. Most Probable Next Scenario (Scale of 1-10) 🔴 Bearish Breakdown: 7.5/10 🟢 Bullish Bounce: 2.5/10 **Bearish Breakdown (Most Likely) – 7.5/10 If price closes below ~$84,000, this will confirm a breakdown of key intraday support. Next major support zones: $80,000 (psychological and technical support) $73,000 – $72,000 (strong demand & historical support) $65,400 (worst-case bearish scenario in the near term) Key Reasons for Bearish Bias: ✅ Failure to hold higher levels → Bears are in control. ✅ Trendline resistance rejection → Price rejected a major downtrend. ✅ Bearish order flow on volume → Sellers are stepping in. ✅ No new long confirmations → Momentum fading. ✅ Potential lower high structure forming → Could lead to further downside. 📌 If the daily closes red and under support (~84,000), a move towards 80,000 is highly probable. **Bullish Bounce (Less Likely) – 2.5/10 If BTCUSD manages to reclaim ~$86,000 and sustain, bulls could attempt another push. Resistance levels to watch: $86,000 → Short-term reclaim level. $88,000 - $92,000 → Key breakout zone. $99,800 - $107,000 → Longer-term bullish targets. What Would Change the Bias to Bullish? ❌ Price MUST reclaim $86,000+ with high volume. ❌ A strong daily close above $88,000 would confirm bullish continuation. ❌ Short squeeze event leading to a big move up. 📌 Until these conditions are met, the bullish scenario remains unlikely. Final Thoughts Bearish breakdown is more likely (7.5/10 probability). If BTC closes today under $84,000, expect a move to $80,000-$73,000. A bullish reversal is unlikely unless BTC reclaims $86,000+ convincingly. No new SHORT signal has printed yet, but if it does, wait for the daily close to confirm. 📢 Trading Plan: 1️⃣ If price breaks down below $84,000 and closes red, SHORT confirmations are strong. 2️⃣ If BTCUSD holds $84,000 and reclaims $86,000, potential bounce. 3️⃣ Wait for daily close confirmation before making high-risk trades. 🚀 Most probable next move: More downside towards $80,000 unless bulls reclaim key resistance. Key Factors That Could Trigger a Drop Below $70K 🔴 1. Major Support Breakdown ($80K → $72K → FWB:65K ) If $80,000 fails, BTC is likely to retest $72K– FWB:73K , a historically strong support level. If $72K fails, the next major demand zone is $65,400. Below $65,000, panic could set in, leading to a cascade of liquidations. 📉 Critical Breakdown Levels Below $70K: $72,000–$73,000 (historical demand, strong support) $65,400 (deep correction support) $55,000–$58,000 (absolute worst-case scenario in a full-blown market panic) 🔴 2. Leverage Wipeout & Liquidation Cascade BTC is heavily leveraged. A sharp drop below $80K–$72K could trigger mass liquidations, accelerating the decline. Whales may intentionally push price below key liquidation levels to wipe out overleveraged longs before rebuying lower. 🔴 3. Macro & Sentiment Shifts If stocks crash, inflation fears rise, or interest rates stay high, BTC could suffer from risk-off sentiment. If major institutions or miners start selling, BTC could dip below $70K temporarily before stabilizing. Probability of a Drop Below $70K? Short-term (1-2 weeks): 3.5/10 (Unlikely but possible if BTC fails $72K). Medium-term (1-2 months): 5.5/10 (More likely if macro conditions worsen). Black Swan Event: 8/10 (If panic liquidations hit, BTC could momentarily dip to FWB:65K or even $58K). Bottom Line: ⚠️ BTC remains at risk for deeper corrections. ✅ Below $80K, expect increased volatility & potential $72K retest. ✅ If BTC loses $72K, sub-$70K becomes a real possibility. ✅ Only a major liquidation cascade would push BTC towards FWB:65K –$58K. 🚨 If price action weakens, be prepared for rapid downside acceleration!
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by BitcoinMF
4HOURS BTC/USD It seems my analysis indicating that BTC will UPSupport Held Strong – The price has tested the support zone multiple times (around $82,000), showing signs of buying pressure. Reversal Pattern – The higher low (LH) formation suggests that sellers are weakening, and buyers are gaining control. Projected Bullish Move – The chart outlines a breakout scenario with an upward trajectory. The target zone is around $91,000 - $94,000, based on the green box marking a potential take-profit area. ITS NOT FINANCAIL ADVISE
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Mr_jeff82
3
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move. Support Might Not Hold The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200. Bearish Volume Presence The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside. Resistance Overhead is Strong The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
2
BTC: Capture buying opportunities accurately📍Fundamentals: From a macro perspective, with increased government endorsement, cryptocurrencies are gaining greater credibility and popularity in the market. 📍Technical Analysis:The downward momentum of BTC is showing signs of exhaustion, with multiple rebounds forming a structural bottom that provides strong support. Overall, the bullish trend remains intact. The key support zone to monitor is 83000-82000. 📌If BTC fails to break below this level in the short term, a rebound is likely, with upside potential targeting the 88000-89000 range. 🔎Trade Idea: BTCUSD: Buy at 83000-82000 Target (TP):88000-89000 Stop Loss (SL):Adjust according to risk tolerance. 📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
BTCUSD: Staying bullish with this breakthrough analysis.Bitcoin remains marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.889, MACD = -2304.900, ADX = 28.298) as it erased yesterday's Fed gains. Nevertheless, this doesn't make us lose sight of the bigger picture. On this 1M chart, we have selected all Decembers, as they hold critical importance for BTC Cycles. Both bottoms and tops tend to be priced around them and in between two consolidation phases take place. Don't let the short term volatility cloud your long term perspective. This Cycle hasn't topped yet. Stay bullish. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
BTCUSDT TRDAING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT list time post signals 💯 reached target 🎯✔️ New technical analysis Setup two said fisrt make close above ground that expect bullish trend 🚀 target point 88k 90k. Next patterns if close below 👇 ⬇️ 83k 80k strong 💪 support level up trand target point 88k 90k fisrt entry risk 🙏. Good luck 💯💯 Key Resistance level 87k + 80k + 90k Key Support level 83k - 80k Mr SMC Trading point Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
BTC/USD Price Projection for the Next 180 Days (6 Months) 📌 Current Market Overview Current Price: ~$97,000 - $98,000 Market Trend: Strong bullish momentum, testing new all-time highs. Key Fundamental Catalysts: - Bitcoin Halving in April 2024 - Institutional Adoption & ETF Inflows - Macroeconomic Factors (Interest Rates & Liquidity Shifts) 1. Key Technical Analysis Trend & Market Structure BTC is moving in a long-term ascending channel with strong support and resistance zones. Currently consolidating near $100K, indicating a setup for the next breakout. The Bitcoin halving event in April 2024 could drive a major rally, similar to previous cycles. 📊 Resistance Levels (Upside Targets) $100K - $110K → Immediate psychological resistance $120K - $130K → Next target after a breakout $150K - $180K → Potential post-halving surge target 📉 Support Levels (Downside Risk) GETTEX:92K - $95K → Short-term correction support $85K - FWB:88K → Strong demand zone $74K - $76K → Key long-term support if a deeper pullback occurs 2. Technical Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI) Currently above 70, indicating BTC is in overbought territory. A short-term cooldown or correction could be expected before further upside. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Strong bullish crossover on the weekly and monthly timeframes. MACD histogram expanding, confirming ongoing bullish momentum. Momentum (SQZMOM, Histogram) The green histogram bars are increasing, indicating continued strength. A slowdown in histogram growth could signal consolidation before another leg up. 3. BTC/USD Forecast for the Next 180 Days Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (70% Probability) 📈 Target: $130K - $150K BTC consolidates around $100K before another breakout. After the halving in April 2024, BTC could rally to $130K - $150K as supply decreases. If strong ETF inflows continue, BTC could push toward $180K by mid-2024. Scenario 2: Pre-Halving Correction Before Rally (25% Probability) 📉 Target: $85K - $95K (Pullback) Before Rallying to $130K+ BTC faces resistance at $100K, leading to a healthy correction back to $90K - $95K. Once BTC finds support, the next parabolic run-up could push BTC to $130K - $150K post-halving. Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal (5% Probability - Unlikely) ⚠️ Target: $74K - $85K A major macroeconomic shock (e.g., ETF outflows, US recession, regulatory crackdown) could lead BTC to test $74K - $85K. This scenario is less likely due to strong institutional demand and the halving cycle. 4. Fundamental Catalysts Supporting Bullish Price Action ✅ Bitcoin Halving (April 2024) BTC halving historically triggers a supply shock, leading to major price increases 6-12 months later. Based on past halving cycles, BTC could hit $130K - $180K in Q3-Q4 2024. ✅ Bitcoin ETFs & Institutional Demand BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale ETFs continue to drive record inflows. Increased adoption by institutional investors could accelerate BTC's price appreciation. ✅ Macroeconomic Factors If Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in 2024, more liquidity will flow into BTC and risk assets. A weaker USD could further support BTC’s role as a hedge asset. 5. Trading & Investment Strategy ✅ For Bullish Continuation Strategy: Buy dips near $90K - $95K if BTC corrects. Profit Targets: Target 1: $110K Target 2: $130K Target 3: $150K+ (if post-halving rally extends) Stop Loss: Below $85K to minimize risk. ✅ For Short-Term Traders: Look for RSI dips below 60 on daily charts before entering long positions. Use MACD crossovers to confirm trend continuation. 6. Conclusion & Final Forecast BTC/USD Likely Target in 180 Days: $130K - $150K. Short-Term Correction Possible: BTC may retest GETTEX:92K - $95K before another rally. Bearish Case (Low Probability): If BTC loses momentum, it could drop to $74K before recovering. 🚨 Final Outlook: BTC is on track for $130K - $150K within 6 months, with $180K+ possible post-halving if momentum continues. A short-term pullback before the next leg up is likely but should be viewed as a buying opportunity rather than a bearish reversal.
GEMINI:BTCUSDLong
by Stoxello
Support and resistance for BTCBTC tested resistance near 88000 yesterday following the Fed rate decision, and this test of resistance was effective. However, BTC uptrend is not over, and the lower support should be watched in the 81,000-82000 area, when the price reaches this area can continue to go long. 🎁 Buy@81000 - 82000 🎁 TP 83000 84000 85000 🎁 Sell@87000 - 88000 🎁 TP 84000 83000 82000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad If you also aspire to achieve financial freedom，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BenGray9
4
BTC Today's strategyAt present, the support range continues to move upward and the fluctuations have exceeded the previous range. This is a new direction. We only need to make appropriate adjustments and trade within the range, selling high and buying low. Today's BTC trading strategy: btcusdt buy@83K-84K tp:86K-87K There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by HenryClarke
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Action & Key Levels – March 20, 2025### **Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Price Action Analysis – March 20, 2025** #### **Chart Overview:** - This chart represents the **15-minute timeframe** for **Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** on the **Bitstamp exchange**. - The background is orange, with key price levels marked by **purple and blue horizontal zones**. #### **Key Observations:** 1. **Resistance Zone (~86,500 - 87,000):** - Marked by a **purple box**, this area acted as a **strong supply zone**, causing price rejection. - Price tested this zone and failed to break above, leading to a bearish move. 2. **Support Zone (~83,500 - 83,800):** - Another **purple box** marks a **demand zone**, where price is currently testing. - If this support holds, we might see a **bullish rebound**. 3. **Mid-Level (~85,143):** - A **blue horizontal line** represents an intermediate support/resistance level. - It previously acted as a consolidation area before the drop. 4. **Current Market Behavior:** - The price is in a **downtrend**, with a recent **strong sell-off**. - The green and red shaded area suggests a **potential retracement zone** for a pullback before further movement. - If support holds, a bounce towards **85,143 or higher** is possible. - If support breaks, price may drop **below 83,500**, extending the bearish trend. ### **Conclusion:** - **Bullish Case:** Price rebounds from the support zone and heads back towards **85,143+**. - **Bearish Case:** If Bitcoin fails to hold above **83,500**, further downside is likely.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ChartingMarketInsights
BTC Whales Stir, Trump's Crypto Push, and the Path to $85,000 Bitcoin's recent price action has ignited a renewed sense of optimism within the crypto community. A confluence of factors, ranging from whale activity and political pronouncements to macroeconomic indicators and regulatory developments, is shaping the current market narrative. Whale Activity: A Harbinger of Bullish Momentum? The resurgence of Bitcoin whale activity is a significant indicator that has captured the attention of traders and analysts. Large-scale Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales," possess the capacity to significantly influence market dynamics.1 Their accumulation of Bitcoin can signal strong conviction and potentially trigger broader market rallies. The recent uptick in whale activity suggests a renewed interest in Bitcoin among these major players, potentially laying the foundation for a sustained upward trend. This can be viewed as the building of a strong base of long positions. Political Winds: Trump's Crypto Pronouncements and Market Sentiment Political discourse has increasingly intersected with the cryptocurrency market, with recent statements from a prominent political figure influencing market sentiment. Rhetoric emphasizing the United States as a "Bitcoin superpower" has undeniably contributed to bullish momentum. This political articulation of a crypto-friendly approach signals potential policy shifts and improved regulatory clarity, both crucial factors in attracting institutional investment. Market participants are interpreting this as a sign of acceptance, if not outright endorsement, of digital assets at the highest levels. It is worth noting that consistent pronouncements regarding the US becoming the "crypto capital of the world," while driving short term volatility, need to be followed with legislative action for long term impact. Macroeconomic Factors: Fed Policies and Inflationary Concerns The Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the evolving narrative surrounding inflation play a pivotal role in shaping Bitcoin's trajectory. Recent indications from the Fed regarding continued rate cuts, despite persistent inflationary pressures, have boosted investor confidence. This stance, coupled with Powell's assessment of certain inflationary factors, such as tariffs, as "transitory," has provided much-needed relief to risk assets, including Bitcoin. This monetary policy creates a favorable environment for investment. The combination of Fed policy confirmation and rumors of "significant updates" to US crypto plans have driven Bitcoin to new two-week highs. Technical Analysis: The $85,000 Threshold and Beyond From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's ability to reclaim the $85,000 level is considered a crucial milestone. Surpassing this threshold would validate the current bullish momentum and potentially pave the way for further gains. Analysts are closely monitoring key support and resistance levels to gauge the strength of the ongoing rally. The return of significant volume combined with the price retaking old highs lends to an increasingly bullish sentiment. BlackRock's prediction of a price shift ahead indicates a growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a mainstream asset, potentially aligning it with traditional Wall Street investments.2 These kinds of comments indicate an institutional bullish long-term perspective. Regulatory Clarity: Ripple's Resolution and Its Impact on Bitcoin The resolution of Ripple's legal battle with the SEC has sent ripples (pun intended) throughout the cryptocurrency market. This development has provided much-needed regulatory clarity, bolstering investor confidence and fostering a more favorable environment for digital assets. The jump in XRP's price after confirmation of the case coming to an end further exemplifies the markets sensitivity to regulatory action. This resolution will influence Bitcoin’s adoption rates, as investors now know the US regulatory stance may be moderating. Options Market Sentiment: A Shift Towards Bullishness The Bitcoin options market has exhibited a noticeable shift towards bullishness, particularly after Powell's "transitory inflation" remarks. This sentiment reflects increased optimism among traders and investors, potentially signaling a sustained uptrend. An increased amount of bullish options being written displays further faith in the rise of Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin's Volatility: Navigating the Uncertainty Despite the positive developments, Bitcoin remains inherently volatile. Price swings, driven by a combination of market sentiment, news events, and technical factors, are to be expected. Investors should remain vigilant and exercise prudent risk management strategies. While large volume and long term political promises are strong positive indicators, there are still volatile short term swings to consider. Looking Ahead: The Potential for a Sustained Rally The convergence of positive catalysts, including whale activity, political support, macroeconomic factors, and regulatory clarity, paints a potentially bullish picture for Bitcoin. However, the cryptocurrency market is subject to rapid shifts, and unforeseen events can significantly impact price movements. To conclude, the present environment is ripe for sustained Bitcoin price discovery. The political and macroeconomic climates are aligning, coupled with increased whale activity and regulatory clarity. While markets will remain volatile, the trend is looking increasingly bullish.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin ($BTC) - Hoping for a Short-Term RolloverBitcoin bounced from the daily demand (76874.75-74306.67) that was highlighted in my "Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation" post from 5 days ago (see related post below). However, the rubber will now meet the road as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD could break higher or continue lower from current price. The in-play 1D sell zone, which is admittedly doesn't have great structure, is 86267.86-92920.42. Ideally, short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, per the RSI, would be weaker than it is, but momentum is still soft per the daily oscillator. I'm not looking to short BTC blindly, but rather am stalking it via LTFs and will execute a confirmation short if evidence of the near-term uptrend (established 3/10) violation/termination materializes. If the intermediate-term downtrend continues, T2 = sub-$70K. Anyway, just an idea. For those looking for longer-term buying opportunities, a near-term selloff should be viewed as a positive. Futures open in ~5 hours and can always be used to hedge longs if we get a breakdown. Thanks for reading. Thoughts/feedback appreciated! Jon @JHartCharts
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by JHartCharts