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BEARUSD trade ideas

Holding here a little longer and there is a potential for an upHolding here a little longer and there is a potential for an uptrend The market is getting oversold long term, but we still have to watch out because in bearish scenarios the market goes oversold beyond parameters, but if we see some holding of resistance then we can assume that there is no interest to continue to sell and we should be buying for a long, however waiting for a full bounce is the safer route since there is no risk involve. On the other hand catching an accumulation early could potential increate profit margins. My plan is to buy the 74-75k line and put a good stop loss, I will fully go in once the price start moving up. My get off targets are 80-81k and if that holds then it moves up to the 88-90k line once again.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldHatTrader
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 3: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge If you've read Part 1 about position sizing and Part 2 on liquidity , then you already know how to adapt to the mechanics of volatile markets. The next great tool in your arsenal will be patience. Your biggest opponent in wild markets is your own mind. In volatile markets, your emotions can easily get the best of you. Fear of missing out (FOMO) is one of the most dangerous emotions that drives poor decisions. █ FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Hits Hardest in Volatile Markets Wild price swings, like 300-500 point moves in the Nasdaq or Bitcoin jumping $1000 in seconds, can make it feel like easy money is everywhere. You can quickly get the overwhelming temptation to chase moves , especially when it seems like you're missing every opportunity. This is where most traders lose. Let me state some harsh truths that I had to learn the hard way through many losses: Volatility doesn't equal opportunity. Fast moves don't mean easy trades. Most wild price moves are designed to trap liquidity and punish impatience. The true reality is that the market wants you to overreact in these conditions. It wants you to buy after a big move. It wants you to short after a flush. It thrives on you being emotional, chasing, and reacting. Because reactive traders = liquidity providers for smart money. Every single trader has made this mistake — not just once, but over and over again. Jumping into the market after a big move, hoping it will continue… but what usually happens? The market snaps back and stops you out. Can you relate? Share your story or experience with this in the comments below! █ What Experienced Traders Do Instead ⚪ They Know the First Move is Often the Trap Breakout? Expect a fakeout. Breakdown? Expect a snapback. New high? Watch for stop hunts. New low? Watch for a flush. Effectively speaking, pro traders don't chase the market. We wait for stop hunts to complete, liquidity grabs to finish, price to return into their zone, and for confirmations before entering the market. ⚪ They Train Patience Like a Skill Professional traders aren't more patient because they're "special." We are patient because we’ve learned the hard way that chasing leads to pain. ⚪ They Know When Not to Trade It is bad to trade when there’s no clear structure, no clean confirmation, if the spread is too wide or when the liquidity is too thin. Instead, pro traders let the market come to them , not the other way around. ⚪ They Turn FOMO into Confidence Instead of saying, "I'm missing the move…" , I recommend you think: "If it ran without me — it wasn't my trade." "If it comes back into my setup — now it's my trade." █ So, what have we learned today? Volatility triggers FOMO. FOMO triggers bad decisions. Bad decisions trigger losses. To win long-term, you must stay calm, selective and professional. Let other traders be emotional liquidity. That's how you survive volatile markets. █ What We Covered Already: Part 1: Reduce Position Size Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades Part 3: Why Patience is Your Biggest Edge █ What's Coming Next in the Series: Part 4: Trend Is Your Best Friend ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
14
What to expect from the markets this weekWith markets taking a break from the US and China going off on each other for 5 days straight, investors are bracing for a potentially turbulent week ahead. Cryptocurrencies seem to have recovered a large chunk of their losses from the first week of April, but how long can we expect this upward reversal to last? Well, if we're being realistic, not long . If you take a look at the price charts of most cryptocurrencies, you'll notice a common theme: we're in a mid- to long-term downtrend. If you've been trading cryptocurrencies (or any other type of security) for a while, you're probably familiar with the saying that goes “ The trend is your friend ”. With that in mind, if you're looking to hold any short-term crypto trades, shorts might offer better, less-risky opportunities. Now's not the time to panic and FOMO into the market. Big players are still looking to shake weak hands out of the market. My advice: Observe market fluctuations through the first days of the week before committing your money to any trade.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by michaelrex
Time to get Bitcoin Range in perspective again -where are we ? This chart clearly shows us where BTC PA is in relation to the ATH it created in Early 2025. PA sits just above centre line of current Lower range box. There is still a Long way to go, against some strong resistance, to get back into the upper Range box and to that ATH line We will manage it, I have no doubt about that But we may get to top of current Range box and be rejected before that time comes. There are a number of different scenarios that exist right now and it is next to impossible to pin point when we may reach higher, to a New ATH. My Feeling is that we will hit top of this current range box in the near future ( in april ) From that point, we have to weigh up the Macro and Sentiments of Markets and see. But for now, Bitcoin PA is with Strength and has tha bility to reach higher. I am still Bullish fora Cycle ATH in Q4
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Cyclical Pattern Analysis: 2017 vs 2025-2026The charts provide compelling evidence of fractal patterns between Bitcoin's 2017 bull run and the current 2025 cycle, revealing both striking similarities and meaningful differences in market behavior. Key Similarities Both periods display remarkably similar structural patterns with consistent sequence of movements: Initial pulldowns (~34% in 2017 vs ~33% in 2025) Series of uptrends followed by corrective pullbacks Progressive upward momentum with higher highs and higher lows Similar number of major price waves (four significant uptrends in each case) Key Differences Timeframe Extension: The 2025 cycle shows significantly extended durations compared to 2017 Initial pulldown: 3 weeks (2017) vs 21 weeks (2025) – 7x longer First major uptrend: 12 weeks (2017) vs 11 weeks (2025) – similar duration Second uptrend: 12 weeks (2017) vs 14 weeks (2025) – slightly longer Overall cycle progression is approximately 2-3x longer Magnitude Reduction: The 2025 cycle shows diminished percentage movements: First major uptrend: 230% (2017) vs 120% (2025) – roughly half Second uptrend: 172% (2017) vs 85% (2025) – roughly half Final uptrend: 253% (2017) vs 125% (2025) – roughly half Technical Analysis Support This pattern correlation would likely be supported by other technical indicators: Bollinger Bands would show: Similar pattern of band expansion during strong directional moves Band contraction during consolidation periods before breakouts 2025 likely exhibiting less volatility (narrower bands) but with similar repeating patterns of price touching upper bands during uptrends and lower bands during corrections Ichimoku Cloud would demonstrate: Similar cloud breakout patterns preceding major uptrends Price respecting key Ichimoku components (Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen) as support/resistance 2025 showing extended time within the cloud during longer consolidation periods Similar bullish/bearish crossovers of the conversion and base lines, but occurring over longer timeframes Predictive Value This comparative lens offers valuable predictive power for several reasons: Market Psychology Consistency: Despite Bitcoin's maturation, market psychology (fear, greed cycles) remains remarkably consistent, expressed through similar percentage retracements and fractal patterns. Macro Context Integration: The longer durations and reduced volatility in 2025 reflect Bitcoin's increased market capitalization and institutional adoption, creating a logical evolution of the same underlying patterns. Specific Forecasting Application: If the pattern correlation holds, we might anticipate: The current cycle extending into mid-2026 One more major uptrend followed by a 30-40% correction A final explosive move of approximately 125-150% Total cycle appreciation significantly less than 2017 but still substantial Risk Management Framework: These patterns provide clear pivot points for position sizing and risk management, with defined percentage targets and timeframes. This analysis suggests we're witnessing an evolved expression of the same market dynamics that drove the 2017 cycle, with the extended timeframes and reduced percentage movements reflecting Bitcoin's maturation as an asset class while maintaining its fundamental cyclical character.RetryClaude can make mistakes. Please double-check responses.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by rathernotsay21
Bitcoin: it’s a crossDuring the first week of the general market sell-off, two weeks ago, the crypto market was sort of left behind investors' attention. However, the previous week brought some negative movements at the beginning of the week, which were diminished as of the weekend. The problem of margin calls from other traditional markets affected the crypto market at the start of the week. BTC reached its lowest weekly level at $74.860. The second half of the week was supported by news of tariffs delay for 90 days, in which sense, the market optimism was back, as well as the price of BTC. At the Saturday trading session, BTC tested the resistance line at $85K. The RSI is still struggling to pass the 50 level. During Saturday, RSI reached the 52 level, but it still does not provide a clear signal that the market is heading toward the overbought market side. The most important weekly development was with MA 50 and MA 200 lines. These two MAs created a cross, where MA 50 crossed the MA 200 from the upper side and is currently moving below the MA200 level. In a technical analysis this is called the “dead cross” indicating probability that the uptrend is exhausted. The current general volatility in markets might still not be over, simply because it is driven by Government narrative related to tariffs, which is quite changeable on a daily basis. Markets have never been happy with uncertainty. To which extent this uncertainty will be transferred to the crypto market is hard to predict at this moment. Some indications of the recovery are modestly seen on charts. However, the question at this moment is whether this is a sustainable recovery? It is positive that BTC headed to test the $85K resistance level. In case that it is broken to the upside, the BTC will seek higher grounds, around the $ 87K and $90K resistance. However, the move toward the opposite side might bring BTC back toward the $ 83K or $80K support levels. Both options are currently open, because the market is not driven by actual sentiment, but the fear of potential consequences from tariff wars.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Bitcoin's Bounce, Your Weekly Scoop on the Bullish Surge !The market has unfolded as anticipated, aligning with our projections. Short-Term Outlook: Expect a relatively narrow trading range this week due to the absence of major news catalysts. Bullish Perspective: We maintain a bullish stance, targeting a price range of $88,000–$92,000. Local Bottom Confirmation: Bitcoin appears to have established a local bottom. Notably, it diverged from Ethereum, which recorded lower lows, while Bitcoin resisted forming a new low. Technical Analysis: Last week, Bitcoin respected a daily bullish order block, resulting in a strong upward move. Key Support Level: This week, an inverse fair value gap (FVG) on the daily chart around $82,400 is expected to act as a liquidity zone and support, with price likely to tap this level and rebound higher. Thank you for your support! Stay tuned for more insights and drop a Like if you loved it 🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by wolfchemist
2
What now BTC?This fibonacchi spiral i drew on #bitcoin chart based on nikkei crash, says many things. Look, how this fib. spiral played out perfectly on #btcusd .Spiral revels the confirmation of grand correction of summer 2024, the top of the elections rally in Jan 2025 and price declinations to present. Now, #btc price is about to decide the the path. An incoming trend reversal or correction continuation to 66K? Well.. There are some positive and negative facts on market. To think positive, 74K may be the tariff capitulation played in, markets eager to normalize, gold top may be in etc. A bullish divergence has formed in lower time frame CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart. So, BTC must crush 91K with permanent daily and weekly closes. Losing 73K will deepen the correction. Not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by naphyse
Bitcoin following 2013-2017 Fractal UPDATE - have we left it ?This chart remains unchanged from the last time I posted it except for the addition of that yellow Dashed Arrow As we can see, PA fell below the Fractal in Late February and ever since, we have ranged further away from it. Does this mean we have left the fractal we have been on since November 2021 ? Not really. PA fell below it in 2022 due to pressures from Interest rates making companies collapse and sentiment being negative. We have fallen below it this time purely because PA was so overbought, it needed to recover. This can be very clearly seen on the Weekly MACD, where in 2024, we ranged for months because of the same reason. See how on the weekly MACD, how once we reached near Neutral, we bounced back up to a New ATH and, ever since, BTC PA has ranged while waiting for the MACD to cool off.. And now we are there. MACD is in the bounce zone and has shown some strength in the last few days. So, The Fractal For PA to get back above that Fractal, we need PA to make a very strong push higher. and as you can see from the Bold Arrow, this is achievable by end of May if PA rises Strong and continually form here. I am not to sure this will happen. We have so many Macro events destabilising the markets... I am more inclined to think PA will hit that circle , and we will likely follow the Dashed Arrow to a cycle ATH of near 300K, by the end of the year at the latest. This is the Path of safety. Things can always change for the better or for the worse and so we have to be ready for all occasions. But BULLISH is the word - BUT BITCOIN ON SPOT, HOLD IT AND RELAX
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Price Movement Analysis Current Situation Price: $84,721This is AI created analyses, not a trading recommendation. You act at your own risk EMA: Technical Analysis Elliott Wave Theory The chart shows a completed corrective ABC structure: Wave (c) concluded near $75,000, which may act as a key support level. A new upward impulse could form if Bitcoin breaks above $90,000. Short-Term Strategy Monitor the $85,000 level (EMA 38): A sustained move above this level could justify entering long positions targeting $90,000. Set a stop-loss below $80,000 to minimize risks. If Bitcoin breaks $90,000: This would confirm the start of a new upward impulse. Targets: $100,000 and beyond. Medium-Term Strategy Wait for a breakout above EMA 162 ($86,600): A price consolidation above this line would be a strong signal for continued growth. Consider holding positions until levels of $110,000–$120,000. If the price drops below $75,000: This would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. Consider short positions targeting $65,000. Support and Resistance Levels Support: $75,000 and $80,000. Resistance: $85,000 (EMA 38), $90,000, and $100,000. Conclusion Bitcoin is in a transitional phase between correction and the potential start of a new bullish cycle. Key levels to watch are EMA 38 ($85,000) and EMA 162 ($86,600). Traders are advised to act cautiously and use stop-loss orders to protect capital while monitoring critical breakout points.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mfeigin
(BTC/USD)pattern typically signals a buy opportunity price GO UP1. Harmonic Pattern (Possibly a Gartley or Bat pattern): The points labeled X, A, B, C, D form a harmonic pattern suggesting a potential reversal zone near point D. This pattern typically signals a buy opportunity at the end of the correction (point D), expecting the price to move upward. 2. Support and Resistance Zones: Resistance Zone (upper shaded box): Indicates a price range where BTC has faced selling pressure in the past. Support Zone (lower shaded box): Shows where BTC has historically found buying interest. 3. Ascending Channel: The price is shown to be trending upward in a channel after the harmonic pattern completion, suggesting bullish momentum. 4. Trade Setup: Entry Level: Around $84,513 (current price level marked on the chart). Target Zone: Approximately $88,124, indicated by the green box. Stop-Loss Zone: Below the entry, marked in red (likely just under $83,000). 5. Chart Timestamp: The current chart time is Sunday, April 13, 2025, 08:00 UTC. Interpretation: This chart suggests a bullish outlook for BTC/USD based on harmonic pattern completion and price action within the ascending channel.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by INTRA_CLUB_FX
"Bitcoin Bearish Reversal Setup: Supply Zone Short Strategy"🔵 SUPPLY ZONE (Resistance Area) 💥 Strong selling area around 85,800 - 87,800 USD Historically, price got rejected here Expect sellers to step in again ✍️ ENTRY POINT 📍 Just below the supply zone (~85,889.89) Ideal for short position setup Watch for bearish candlestick patterns for confirmation 🛑 STOP LOSS ❌ Placed above the supply zone at 87,796.97 Keeps risk under control if breakout happens 🎯 TARGET POINT (Support Area) 📉 Around 78,000 USD Marked by previous support and structure Great Risk-to-Reward ratio 📐 PATTERN WATCH Looks like a harmonic pattern (maybe Gartley or Bat) 🦇 Suggests reversal from point D Also resembles a rising wedge, which is bearish 📊 EMA (9-period) 🧭 Price hovering above the 9 EMA (84,704) A break below it = bearish confirmation Summary 🔻 Bearish bias 🛒 Short near supply zone ❌ SL above 87,800 🎯 TP around 78,000
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Jameshead007
4
The last 4 previous Stockmarket Fear spikes were great buys...for Bitcoin, allowing investors to enhance their long-term holdings. Purchasing risk assets when the #VIX exceeds 50 and over 20% of stocks fall below their 200-day moving average has consistently yielded positive returns, with a success rate of one hundred percent when evaluated one week, one month, and three months later. This particular scenario has only happened 11 times in the history of the S&P 500, and the reading from Monday, April 7th, marked one of those rare instances. #BTFD
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi