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BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs US Dollar" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!" however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 115,000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: 🚩 Fundamental Analysis - Bitcoin's Limited Supply: The total supply of Bitcoin is capped at 21 million, which could lead to increased demand and higher prices. - Increasing Adoption: Growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a form of payment and store of value could drive up demand and prices. 🚩Macroeconomic Analysis - Global Economic Uncertainty: Ongoing economic uncertainty and inflation concerns could lead to increased investment in Bitcoin as a hedge against traditional assets. Monetary Policy: Central banks' monetary policies, such as interest rate decisions, can impact Bitcoin's price. 🚩COT Report - Speculative Positions: The latest COT report is not available, but speculative traders are likely to be net long on BTC/USD, indicating a bullish sentiment. 🚩Sentimental Analysis - Market Sentiment: Market sentiment is mixed, with some investors expecting a bullish movement due to increasing adoption and limited supply, while others are bearish due to regulatory uncertainty and market volatility. 🚩Institutional Trader Analysis - Institutional Positions: Institutional traders are watching the market closely, awaiting regulatory clarity and economic developments. 🚩Retail Trader Analysis - Retail Positions: Retail traders are also cautious, with some taking long positions on BTC/USD due to increasing adoption and limited supply, while others are taking short positions due to regulatory uncertainty and market volatility. 🚩In terms of institutional and retail trader positioning, here's what we know: - Institutional Traders: 55% are holding long positions in Bitcoin, indicating a bullish sentiment. - Retail Traders: 42% are holding long positions, while 58% are holding short positions, indicating a slightly bearish sentiment. 🚩Outlook - Based on the analysis, the BTC/USD pair is expected to move into a bullish direction in the short term, with a target level of 115,000. However, the movement is likely to be volatile, and investors should be cautious ahead of regulatory developments and economic data releases. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
Short BTC USD on sideways rangesBTCUSD Technical Analysis February 4, 2025 Trade Setup: Short Position set up : price rejection with bearish candle on 0.382 fib Trading Range: Sideways consolidation pattern Timeframe: 4 H Technical Structure Price testing major resistance level at 100,223 or 0.382 fib Sideways trend indicating market indecision on since Range-bound price action on daily chart Resistance zone historically significant Stop Loss: Above range high Take Profit: Lower range major support at 92k area Position size: According to risk tolerance
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by aryoTraderX
Closing my entire crypto position todayBitcoin prices have been consolidating since December '25 (around 60 days) after multiple failed attempts to continue the uptrend (as indicated by the purple Xs on the chart). Even though I remain bullish on the asset in the long term, I decided to close all my cryptocurrency positions today and allocate 100% in dollars. From a technical perspective, a double-top pattern has started to form, which is a bearish signal, and I’d rather not risk waiting to see if it gets confirmed or if the asset simply continues moving sideways. I prefer to watch this consolidation from the sidelines and accept the risk of buying back at a slightly higher price only after a breakout—if it happens. If it doesn’t, closing my positions will have been a successful protective move. I also acknowledge the formation of a flag pattern near the upper resistance of the range, but again, if it confirms and breaks out, I will re-enter. For now, I’m choosing the more cautious path and prioritizing capital protection. Part of this position was bought recently, around 100k, speculating on potential euphoria after reaching that price level. Another portion was acquired around 60k in September '24.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by thessia_
4
$BTC and the exit pump to new highs before new lows?Ever since November/December, BTC has largely moved sideways in a wide range from FWB:88K -$109k. Now that we've bounced off of $91k again this morning, I think that sets BTC up for a big bull trap. I think that we're likely to go to new highs either this week or before 2/21 up to the top resistances (although we don't necessarily have to make it up there), and then everyone will buy the new highs before we go to new lows. This is a classic distribution top here and I think we'll see new lows by March. We can go as low as the bottom supports down $65-66k and the chart can remain bullish on the high timeframes. I'm fully out of crypto and have only been speculating directionally by buying calls/puts on COIN (which I currently have calls on). This market has been extremely hard for most investors as they've been speculating in alts and most alts have continued to bleed out while BTC has ranged. I think alts will see new lows (yes, today's move was not the bottom, and the bull market will only start once most people have given up on crypto). I'm bullish long-term, but still bearish in the near term and plan to buy back my position sometime in March once the distribution has played out to the downside. Good luck from here on out.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by benjihyam
BTCUSD Short Move in Play? Bitcoin (BTC) – Updated Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 1. Weekly Timeframe 1. Ascending Parallel Channel (2023–Present) • BTC has trended within a broad channel since early 2023, topping out at ~107,000 near the channel’s upper boundary. Price is currently consolidating in the 90,000–103,000 region. • The lower trend line of this weekly channel sits much lower—around 65,000, serving as a key reference if a deeper correction unfolds. 2. Moving Averages & Ichimoku • The 50 > 100 > 200 SMA alignment underlines a long-term bullish posture. • Price remains above the Ichimoku Cloud, with the lagging span also above price—consistent with a bullish macro outlook. 3. Bollinger Bands • BTC spent several weeks above the upper band, reflecting strong momentum. Price is now back inside, above the basis line (20 SMA), but could retrace further if overhead resistance persists. 4. Horizontal Supports & Order Blocks • Major weekly supports near 67,000 and 48,000, should the correction gain momentum. • A key bullish pivot was the break of a bearish OB on 29 Jan 2024, fueling the run from ~73,000 to 100k+. 5. Momentum & Volatility • RSI has slipped from ~80 to ~65—still bullish but cooling off. • MACD is positive yet waning on the histogram, hinting at reduced momentum. • ADX ~41 with declining +DMI signals potential trend fatigue near the top of the channel. Weekly Conclusion: The overarching trend remains bullish; however, any decisive break below 90,000 (and certainly below the wedge on the daily) raises the probability of a deeper move toward the lower channel boundary (~65,000) or other major supports. 2. Daily Timeframe 1. Rising Wedge / Potential Breakdown • Price has formed a rising wedge with nominal resistance near 108,000. • A clear break below ~92,000–90,000 would confirm a wedge breakdown, which is bearish, possibly targeting much lower supports (e.g., 72,000 daily OB, 65,000 weekly channel). 2. Moving Averages & Ichimoku • 50 > 100 > 200 SMA still shows a longer-term bullish outlook. • Price, however, is below the 20 EMA; short MAs have been choppy due to consolidation. • Ichimoku Cloud future is turning red, and the lagging span hovers around price—signals momentum may be fading. 3. Bollinger Bands & Market Structure • BTC slipped under the daily Bollinger basis line and the bands are contracting, often a precursor to a significant price move. • The wedge top at ~108,000 stands as the main upside barrier, while 92,000–90,000 is critical support that, if lost, likely confirms the wedge break. 4. Order Blocks & Key Levels • Bullish OB around 92,000 helps define current support. • The next major daily OB is at 72,000, aligned with prior structural levels. Losing 92k–90k support could open the path down to this deeper zone. 5. Momentum & Volatility • RSI near 50; dropped to ~43 then recovered slightly—indicative of a neutral-to-bearish tone. • MACD is in a modestly bearish phase; histogram is waning, reflecting a slow drift. • ADX ~16, consistent with indecision/range conditions. +DMI < -DMI suggests mild bearish tilt. Daily Conclusion: The rising wedge is a key pattern. A drop below 92,000–90,000 would confirm a bearish breakdown, potentially triggering a move toward the 72,000 daily OB or even lower. Conversely, pushing above 108,000 would invalidate the wedge breakdown scenario and resume the uptrend. 3. 4-Hour Timeframe 1. Descending Trendline & Bearish Structure • The 4H chart shows lower lows, lower highs. Price is attempting to retest a descending trendline near 102,000–103,000. • Shorter MAs are arranged in a bearish fashion (10 < 50 < 100 < 200), and price dipped under the 200 SMA before bouncing. 2. Ichimoku & Indicators • Price is below the 4H Ichimoku Cloud, with the lagging span also below price—indicating 4H bearish momentum. • RSI rebounded from oversold to ~54, a technical bounce within a broader downtrend. • MACD turned bullish (crossover) but remains below zero, suggesting a corrective upswing rather than a trend reversal. 3. Order Blocks & Volume Profile • A previously bullish OB around 100,000 has been broken; 105,000–106,000 overhead stands as the next major supply zone. • POC near 104,000 in the 4H chart, aligning with descending trendline resistance. 4H Conclusion: Short-term momentum leans bearish. Any rally into 102,000–105,000 faces strong overhead supply. A break above 105,000 is required to shift the 4H bias back to bullish. 4. Sub-4H (2H & 30-Min Highlights) • 2H Chart: • Price retested the descending channel resistance near 102k–103k and the 200 SMA from below. • The 2H MACD is green, but price remains in a lower high, lower low pattern. • The wedge’s lower boundary is visible, with 90k–92k acting as a key pivot. • 30-Min Chart: • Stalling near a local bearish OB ~102,000. A break above 102k–103k could extend the bounce, but the broader structure still warns of a potential wedge breakdown on higher timeframes. Corrected Trade Setups (A) Bearish Continuation (Short) • Scenario: Price rejects the descending trendline (~102k–103k) and breaks back below 100k, confirming the short-term downtrend. • Entry Trigger: Bearish rejection candles or a break below intraday support (~100k). • Stop-Loss: Above 104k–105k to account for volatility. • Targets: 1. 92k–90k (lower wedge boundary / daily OB). 2. If wedge breaks, watch for a quick drop toward 72k (next major daily OB). (B) Intraday Bounce Play (High Risk) • Scenario: BTC breaks above the descending trendline and 4H Ichimoku Cloud top (~103k–105k). • Entry Trigger: 4H close above 105k, accompanied by bullish volume. • Stop-Loss: Below 102k or the breakout candle’s midpoint. • Targets: 1. 107k–108k (wedge top). 2. Should BTC clear 108k, it may reenter a strong bullish phase, potentially retesting 110k+. (C) Deeper Correction Long (Updated) • Scenario: Price breaks the wedge by losing 90k–92k, turning near-term structure bearish. Ultimately, BTC finds support at deeper levels such as 72k (major daily OB) or even the weekly channel near 65k. • Entry Trigger: Oversold RSI and bullish reversal patterns on high timeframes (e.g., daily or weekly). • Stop-Loss: Below the chosen support zone (e.g., ~70k if entering around 72k). • Targets: 1. Recovery to 90k–92k, then possibly 100k if the market reestablishes momentum. 2. Longer-term reclaim of 108k if the macro bull trend revives. Note: A break below the wedge is inherently bearish; the idea behind (C) is waiting for a much deeper retracement to historically significant support areas (72k or 65k) that could still keep BTC in a broader macro uptrend on the highest timeframes, depending on price action and fundamental catalysts. Risk Management & Final Thoughts 1. Macro vs. Micro: The weekly uptrend remains intact as long as price is within or above the large channel (~65k bottom). However, a wedge breakdown on the daily is typically bearish short-to-mid term. 2. Critical Levels: • 90k–92k: The last daily bullish order block before a wedge breakdown scenario unfolds. • 72k: Next key daily OB if the wedge breaks—this could serve as a deeper correction target. • 65k: Weekly channel support, a historically important pivot. 3. Volatility: ATR remains elevated, so watch for swift moves once a break occurs (above 105k or below 90k). 4. Fundamental Catalysts: Bitcoin is susceptible to macro risk sentiment, liquidity injections, and major news events. Keep an eye on market-wide developments. Disclaimer: This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform independent research and manage your risk diligently.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EliteMarketAnalysis
BTCUSD Correction Looming? Bitcoin (BTC) – Updated Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 1. Weekly Timeframe 1. Ascending Parallel Channel (2023–Present) • BTC has trended within a broad channel since early 2023, topping out at ~107,000 near the channel’s upper boundary. Price is currently consolidating in the 90,000–103,000 region. • The lower trend line of this weekly channel sits much lower—around 65,000, serving as a key reference if a deeper correction unfolds. 2. Moving Averages & Ichimoku • The 50 > 100 > 200 SMA alignment underlines a long-term bullish posture. • Price remains above the Ichimoku Cloud, with the lagging span also above price—consistent with a bullish macro outlook. 3. Bollinger Bands • BTC spent several weeks above the upper band, reflecting strong momentum. Price is now back inside, above the basis line (20 SMA), but could retrace further if overhead resistance persists. 4. Horizontal Supports & Order Blocks • Major weekly supports near 67,000 and 48,000, should the correction gain momentum. • A key bullish pivot was the break of a bearish OB on 29 Jan 2024, fueling the run from ~73,000 to 100k+. 5. Momentum & Volatility • RSI has slipped from ~80 to ~65—still bullish but cooling off. • MACD is positive yet waning on the histogram, hinting at reduced momentum. • ADX ~41 with declining +DMI signals potential trend fatigue near the top of the channel. Weekly Conclusion: The overarching trend remains bullish; however, any decisive break below 90,000 (and certainly below the wedge on the daily) raises the probability of a deeper move toward the lower channel boundary (~65,000) or other major supports. 2. Daily Timeframe 1. Rising Wedge / Potential Breakdown • Price has formed a rising wedge with nominal resistance near 108,000. • A clear break below ~92,000–90,000 would confirm a wedge breakdown, which is bearish, possibly targeting much lower supports (e.g., 72,000 daily OB, 65,000 weekly channel). 2. Moving Averages & Ichimoku • 50 > 100 > 200 SMA still shows a longer-term bullish outlook. • Price, however, is below the 20 EMA; short MAs have been choppy due to consolidation. • Ichimoku Cloud future is turning red, and the lagging span hovers around price—signals momentum may be fading. 3. Bollinger Bands & Market Structure • BTC slipped under the daily Bollinger basis line and the bands are contracting, often a precursor to a significant price move. • The wedge top at ~108,000 stands as the main upside barrier, while 92,000–90,000 is critical support that, if lost, likely confirms the wedge break. 4. Order Blocks & Key Levels • Bullish OB around 92,000 helps define current support. • The next major daily OB is at 72,000, aligned with prior structural levels. Losing 92k–90k support could open the path down to this deeper zone. 5. Momentum & Volatility • RSI near 50; dropped to ~43 then recovered slightly—indicative of a neutral-to-bearish tone. • MACD is in a modestly bearish phase; histogram is waning, reflecting a slow drift. • ADX ~16, consistent with indecision/range conditions. +DMI < -DMI suggests mild bearish tilt. Daily Conclusion: The rising wedge is a key pattern. A drop below 92,000–90,000 would confirm a bearish breakdown, potentially triggering a move toward the 72,000 daily OB or even lower. Conversely, pushing above 108,000 would invalidate the wedge breakdown scenario and resume the uptrend. 3. 4-Hour Timeframe 1. Descending Trendline & Bearish Structure • The 4H chart shows lower lows, lower highs. Price is attempting to retest a descending trendline near 102,000–103,000. • Shorter MAs are arranged in a bearish fashion (10 < 50 < 100 < 200), and price dipped under the 200 SMA before bouncing. 2. Ichimoku & Indicators • Price is below the 4H Ichimoku Cloud, with the lagging span also below price—indicating 4H bearish momentum. • RSI rebounded from oversold to ~54, a technical bounce within a broader downtrend. • MACD turned bullish (crossover) but remains below zero, suggesting a corrective upswing rather than a trend reversal. 3. Order Blocks & Volume Profile • A previously bullish OB around 100,000 has been broken; 105,000–106,000 overhead stands as the next major supply zone. • POC near 104,000 in the 4H chart, aligning with descending trendline resistance. 4H Conclusion: Short-term momentum leans bearish. Any rally into 102,000–105,000 faces strong overhead supply. A break above 105,000 is required to shift the 4H bias back to bullish. 4. Sub-4H (2H & 30-Min Highlights) • 2H Chart: • Price retested the descending channel resistance near 102k–103k and the 200 SMA from below. • The 2H MACD is green, but price remains in a lower high, lower low pattern. • The wedge’s lower boundary is visible, with 90k–92k acting as a key pivot. • 30-Min Chart: • Stalling near a local bearish OB ~102,000. A break above 102k–103k could extend the bounce, but the broader structure still warns of a potential wedge breakdown on higher timeframes. Corrected Trade Setups (A) Bearish Continuation (Short) • Scenario: Price rejects the descending trendline (~102k–103k) and breaks back below 100k, confirming the short-term downtrend. • Entry Trigger: Bearish rejection candles or a break below intraday support (~100k). • Stop-Loss: Above 104k–105k to account for volatility. • Targets: 1. 92k–90k (lower wedge boundary / daily OB). 2. If wedge breaks, watch for a quick drop toward 72k (next major daily OB). (B) Intraday Bounce Play (High Risk) • Scenario: BTC breaks above the descending trendline and 4H Ichimoku Cloud top (~103k–105k). • Entry Trigger: 4H close above 105k, accompanied by bullish volume. • Stop-Loss: Below 102k or the breakout candle’s midpoint. • Targets: 1. 107k–108k (wedge top). 2. Should BTC clear 108k, it may reenter a strong bullish phase, potentially retesting 110k+. (C) Deeper Correction Long (Updated) • Scenario: Price breaks the wedge by losing 90k–92k, turning near-term structure bearish. Ultimately, BTC finds support at deeper levels such as 72k (major daily OB) or even the weekly channel near 65k. • Entry Trigger: Oversold RSI and bullish reversal patterns on high timeframes (e.g., daily or weekly). • Stop-Loss: Below the chosen support zone (e.g., ~70k if entering around 72k). • Targets: 1. Recovery to 90k–92k, then possibly 100k if the market reestablishes momentum. 2. Longer-term reclaim of 108k if the macro bull trend revives. Note: A break below the wedge is inherently bearish; the idea behind (C) is waiting for a much deeper retracement to historically significant support areas (72k or 65k) that could still keep BTC in a broader macro uptrend on the highest timeframes, depending on price action and fundamental catalysts. Risk Management & Final Thoughts 1. Macro vs. Micro: The weekly uptrend remains intact as long as price is within or above the large channel (~65k bottom). However, a wedge breakdown on the daily is typically bearish short-to-mid term. 2. Critical Levels: • 90k–92k: The last daily bullish order block before a wedge breakdown scenario unfolds. • 72k: Next key daily OB if the wedge breaks—this could serve as a deeper correction target. • 65k: Weekly channel support, a historically important pivot. 3. Volatility: ATR remains elevated, so watch for swift moves once a break occurs (above 105k or below 90k). 4. Fundamental Catalysts: Bitcoin is susceptible to macro risk sentiment, liquidity injections, and major news events. Keep an eye on market-wide developments. Disclaimer: This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform independent research and manage your risk diligently.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EliteMarketAnalysis
Strategic Equity Longs: Trade Insights 6: BITCOIN 03 Feb 2025Delivering strategic equity longs with precision and insight. Entry criteria gets published before the price event occurs. Ticker: BTCUSD Entry criteria: Wait for pullback at $95095 or $95395, observe and proceed Pattern: Uptrend continuation Trade insights include detailed entry, exit, position sizing or resizing guidelines, and the most exciting momentum patterns, are available exclusively to subscribers. Build conviction in the details shared before joining the waitlist. Comment your name & interest to join waitlist.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by WB_Investments
2