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BEARUSD trade ideas

BITCOIN Is it owed a parabolic rally based on the GoldBTC ratio?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading on a highly structured manner within a Channel Up for the entirety of its Bull Cycle since the November 2022 bottom. We've discussed before how this is the smoothest Cycle of all. What we didn't bring into the mix before was the Gold/BTC ratio (black trend-line), naturally negatively correlated to Bitcoin, which has been trading within a Channel Down since its January 2023 Top. As you can see it posts the same pattern on every Cycle: Channel Down (blue), followed by its bearish break-out and a huge drop (red ellipse) that prices the Bull Cycle Top on BTC. So far every BTC Cycle had its parabolic rally (green ellipse) when the Gold/BTC ratio broke downwards. Does the market owe one this time also? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
1
BTCUSD 1H Analysis: Key Levels for Bullish & Bearish ScenariosBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading at a critical level, where price action could determine the next major move. Here’s a detailed breakdown of my analysis: 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario • BTC has been in a short-term uptrend after bouncing from key support. • A break and retest of the mid-range resistance (marked on the chart) could confirm continuation to the upside. • If price successfully holds above this level, the next target will be the upper resistance zone (~87,000 - 88,000 USD). • Confirmation signs: A strong bullish close above resistance and retest as support. 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario • If price fails to break above resistance and gets rejected, it could trigger a sell-off. • A break below the current support zone would increase bearish pressure, leading to a potential drop toward 81,000 - 82,000 USD. • Confirmation signs: A strong bearish rejection at resistance or breakdown of key support with volume. 3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch • Resistance 1: Mid-range zone (~85,000 USD) • Resistance 2: Upper target (~87,000 - 88,000 USD) • Support 1: 83,000 USD • Support 2: 81,000 - 82,000 USD 4️⃣ Risk Management & Confluences • Confluences for Long Setup: • Higher lows formation. • Retest of broken resistance turning into support. • Increasing volume on breakout. • Confluences for Short Setup: • Double top or rejection at resistance. • Lower timeframe bearish divergence (RSI/MACD). • Break of recent higher low structure. Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is at a decision point. I’ll be watching for a breakout confirmation or a rejection to determine my trade. Let me know in the comments — are you bullish or bearish on BTC?
OANDA:BTCUSD
by HorricaneFx
1
Bitcoin at Critical Support – Will It Hold or Break? Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Forecast – Potential Breakdown Ahead? Key Observations: 📉 Strong Support Retest: Bitcoin is currently testing a major support zone around $81,350 - $81,000. 📉 Bearish Momentum: The price has been in a steady downtrend, struggling to hold above key moving averages. 📉 Breakdown Potential: If Bitcoin fails to hold this support, we could see further downside towards $80,046, and possibly as low as $77,685. Possible Scenarios: 🔴 Bearish Case: A clear break below $81,000 could accelerate selling, leading to a drop towards $80,000 or lower. 🟢 Bullish Case: If BTC holds this support and forms a reversal pattern, we might see a bounce back towards $83,000+. ⚠️ Watch for confirmation! A breakdown could trigger strong bearish momentum! 🚨 What’s your outlook for BTC? Will it hold or break down further? Let me know in the comments! 👇🔥 #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by DollarsMagnet
1
HolderStat | BTC daily digestBitcoin price today ~ FWB:83K (-5% 24h). BTC futures open interest down ~7%, funding +0.006% 📉 Wider market 🌐: Altcoins fell too (ETH -6%, SOL -12%). Sentiment is split – some shout #BuyTheDip, others urge caution. 📰 CoinDesk: Tariff news spooked crypto markets, fueling BTC’s drop. Meanwhile, whales (big holders) bought this dip 🐳 – a bullish sign. 🔍 Analysis: Traders remain cautious, but whale dip-buying shows big players bullish. Expect crypto bulls 🐂 and bears 🐻 to battle it out for now. _____________________ 📊 Want more useful analytics? Like and subscribe to stay up to date with the most relevant trading ideas! Always DYOR! 🔬
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by HolderStat
1
BTCUSD – April 2025 Downside ReportTheme: Distribution, Crowded Longs, and Imminent Breakdown • Bitcoin is showing signs of late-stage distribution after a failed breakout and prolonged consolidation. • Sentiment remains bullish, but price has stalled — a dangerous divergence. • The market is heavily one-sided: long exposure is extreme, while net long positioning has quietly begun to unwind. • Institutions are pulling back exposure, while retail is still stuck in euphoric bias from previous highs. • This is a classic case of positioning mismatch, where downside risk builds beneath stagnant price action. ⸻ Bias: Bearish • Market structure is weakening — lower highs and failed momentum indicate sellers are regaining control. • Positioning data reveals a crowded trade with little fuel left to push higher. • Reflexivity kicks in as participants begin exiting longs en masse, creating liquidity voids beneath the current range. • The longer the market holds in this fragile zone, the more violent the eventual release is likely to be. ⸻ Trade Idea: Fade the Retest • Look for a failed rally into prior rejection zones — signs of exhaustion or reversal patterns signal opportunity. • Enter short on confirmation of weakness, using a tactical stop just above the structure break. • Ride the move lower as trapped longs are forced to unwind. • Stay patient — the breakdown may come fast and sharp once emotional pressure unwinds. This is a strategy built on imbalance: the crowd wants higher, but the structure and positioning say lower.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by pharyeh
1
Tariff Tensions, Dollar Dips & Gold’s Record Rally!"As of April 2, 2025, the financial markets have been significantly influenced by recent economic data releases and geopolitical developments, particularly concerning the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), gold (XAU/USD), and Bitcoin (BTC/USD).​ 1. Key Economic Data Reports and Their Impact: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): The DXY has experienced fluctuations due to recent economic indicators and policy announcements. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) reported softer figures, indicating a slight cooling in the labor market. Additionally, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released data reflecting a slowdown in manufacturing activity. These reports have contributed to a marginal decline in the DXY, which decreased by 0.02% to 104.2418 on April 2 .​Financial TimesTrading Economics Gold (XAU/USD): Gold prices have surged to record highs, nearing $3,150 per ounce. This increase is largely driven by investor concerns over potential economic slowdowns and uncertainties surrounding impending tariff announcements by President Trump . The anticipation of these tariffs has led investors to seek safe-haven assets, bolstering demand for gold.​ Bitcoin (BTC/USD): Bitcoin has shown signs of recovery, trading above $84,000 with a nearly 2% gain in the past 24 hours . This rebound follows weeks of price weakness and is occurring amid the backdrop of upcoming tariff announcements, which have introduced volatility into the cryptocurrency markets.​ 2. Implications of the Data Reports: Labor Market and Manufacturing Data: The softer JOLTS figures and the ISM manufacturing slowdown suggest a potential deceleration in economic growth. These indicators may influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, potentially impacting interest rates and, consequently, the strength of the U.S. dollar.​The Guardian+3EWF Pro+3KuCoin+3 Tariff Announcements: The anticipation of new tariffs has heightened market uncertainty. Investors are closely monitoring these developments, as they could have significant implications for international trade relations and economic stability. Such uncertainties often lead to increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold and can introduce volatility into both traditional and digital asset markets. 3. Major Contributors to Recent Market Movements: Tariff Uncertainty: President Trump's impending announcement of new tariffs has been a primary driver of recent market volatility. The potential for widespread tariffs has led to concerns about a global economic slowdown, prompting shifts in investor sentiment .​ Investor Sentiment and Safe-Haven Demand: The uncertainty surrounding trade policies has led investors to seek refuge in assets perceived as safe havens, such as gold. This shift has contributed to the significant rise in gold prices. Cryptocurrency Market Dynamics: While Bitcoin has faced headwinds from global trade tensions, it has also shown resilience. Analysts suggest that traders may be overstating the impact of the U.S.-led tariff war on Bitcoin's price, indicating that other factors, such as market sentiment and technological developments, also play crucial roles .​ In summary, the recent economic data releases and the anticipation of new tariffs have collectively influenced the DXY, gold, and Bitcoin markets. Investors are advised to monitor these developments closely, as they have the potential to significantly impact market dynamics in the near term.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by DeanMuller
2
BULLISH ON BTC This image illustrates the Bitcoin adoption curve, dividing the adoption process into four main phases: 1 . Early Adopters 2 . Early Majority 3 . Late Majority 4 . Laggards The arrow in the image indicates that we are now at the beginning of the "Early Majority" phase. This means Bitcoin is no longer limited to a small group of enthusiasts and risk-takers but is starting to gain broader adoption among regular users and businesses. The opportunity is still there, but we are gradually moving away from the early stages... So, who will benefit from the next phase?
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by mrbenacci
1
BTC TRIANGLEThe daily Bitcoin chart is taking shape inside a symmetrical triangle, formed by a clear series of lower highs and higher lows since the local top in early March. These converging diagonal support and resistance lines are setting up for a breakout – or breakdown – in the coming days or weeks. Price is currently squeezing toward the apex, hovering just below the key 50-day moving average. This kind of coiling price action often precedes a large move. The 200-day moving average is currently acting as resistance, while the 50 MA looms above as resistance as well. A break of the downtrend line would likely flip market sentiment more bullish, especially if confirmed with strong volume. Conversely, a drop below the rising trendline would invalidate the current series of higher lows and could usher in a deeper retracement. Keep an eye on volume – the move out of this structure could be fast and violent.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
1
#202513 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Textbook breakout below the bear flag and market is likely on it’s way testing previous lows below 80000. My target 75000 or even 70000 remain the same. What would bulls need to stop this? I highly doubt they can produce a bull surprise above 90000, so if they would go sideways above 80000 for the next 1-3 days, it could have been enough to stop the selling and keep the trading range 80000 - 89000 alive for some more. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 70k - 90k bull case: Only chance for bulls I see here is going sideways and stopping the selling above 80000. Otherwise I don’t have anything for them. They have touched the bear trend line 3 times now and failed. Did not change much to last week since market has not invalidated anything of it. Invalidation is below 70k. bear case: Bears need to close the bull gap down to 73800, no ifs or buts. If they do not create better selling pressure next week and close a daily bar below 80k, market has likely turned more neutral again and both sides have equal odds of the next impulse. Invalidation is above 94k. short term: Neutral. Need strong selling momentum again for me to join this. medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon. current swing trade: Short since 85000. Stop is 89000 no matter where you go short here. chart update: Removed one minor broken bear trend line.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by priceactiontds
3
(BTC) bitcoin "the case for bitcoin"Where is bitcoin going to be during this 2025 year. The image shows a blank canvas. The drawing untold, unknown for now? Where will the price move and how long will it take to move through the pattern, bearish? bullish? neutral? fire? ice? greener pastures? The graph showing what is being seen tends to see a rise in price once the price moves past the crossing of the blue lines but the purple and pink dotted lines are facing down with no indication that the price is moving neutrally in a recovery effort.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
1
BTC Mid-Term Outlook: Key Levels & Wave StructureAs long as March lows hold, there remains a technical possibility for one more wave up toward the 130K resistance zone. However, given the corrective three-wave structure of the recovery (rather than an impulsive five-wave move), I am now leaning toward the mid-term top being in place at January highs. If price remains below last week’s high, my operative scenario favors one more leg down to the 64K–55K–51K macro support zone. If the downside scenario unfolds, it would still be technically valid for the entire corrective wave (2) to complete within the support zone mentioned, especially considering the underlying fundamental strength of the asset. Should price break above last week’s high in the coming weeks, the odds shift in favor of a renewed uptrend, potentially reclaiming ATH and targeting 130K. The super-macro structure that I'm following as an operative wave count, assumes multi-decades bullish cycle, with the next long-term expansion phase expected once price establishes a firm bottom in the discussed support zone: Wishing you successful trading & investing decisions. Thank you for your attention! PS: The wave structure of BTC, proposed in March 2024 idea, has fulfilled itself:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by artemfedorov
1
BITCOIN | 4H | KEY POINTS Hey traders, what's up I've marked the key levels for Bitcoin on the chart. Right now, it's holding within the 4-hour supply and demand zone. But if this level breaks, I expect Bitcoin to drop all the way down to around $78K. For spot buyers, there’s no real risk at the moment. But if you're trading on margin and currently in the red, be extra cautious. The market will liquidate you first, then move on its way. Big thanks to everyone supporting my analysis with likes I will provide continuous updates under this analysis.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TraderTilki
2