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Quantum Doom for Bitcoin?Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency known for its promise of a decentralized structure, faces an existential crisis due to advances in quantum computing that threaten its cryptographic foundation. The article "Bitcoin's Imminent Collapse: The Quantum Threat and Cryptographic Vulnerabilities" outlines a convergence of risks – technological breakthroughs, government influence, and market dynamics – that could potentially bring Bitcoin's value to zero. At the heart of the danger lies the SHA-256 algorithm, which secures the Bitcoin blockchain. Quantum computers, such as those from D-Wave, which claimed to have achieved "quantum supremacy" in 2025, may soon be able to reverse the hashing operation, revealing private keys and destabilizing the entire network. This potential breach, known as "Q-Day," could severely damage trust in Bitcoin and lead to a mass exodus of investors. The forecast becomes even more alarming given the mysterious origin of SHA-256, developed by the NSA (U.S. National Security Agency) and standardized by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). The article raises disturbing questions about the possibility that the NSA possesses unknown vulnerabilities or "backdoors" within the algorithm. Past seizures of Bitcoin by the U.S. government, such as the recovery of a hacker's wallet in 2021, suggest an extraordinary ability to bypass its security – perhaps through undisclosed inside knowledge. Meanwhile, NIST's push for post-quantum cryptography (PQC) hints at the impending obsolescence of SHA-256, but Bitcoin's failure to adopt these alternatives critically exposes it. This lack of preparedness increases the risk, as rivals with quantum computers could act before defenses are strengthened. Market signals add another layer of concern. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in 2023 by financial giants like BlackRock and Vanguard suggests a strategic move where institutional players offload risks onto less experienced retail investors. Combined with repeated government seizures that cast doubt on Bitcoin's anonymity, a scenario is emerging where the cryptocurrency stands on the brink. The conclusion is that Bitcoin's vision of decentralization may not survive this perfect storm – a quantum threat, cryptographic weaknesses, and orchestrated market shifts. For stakeholders, the message is clear: adapt quickly or risk potential collapse.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by UDIS_View
BTCUSDT Upside potentialThe BTC/USDT market is currently consolidating above the 80,000 level after breaking below February's low. Recently, a large weekly doji candle has emerged, signaling ongoing sideways movement. At present, the price remains within this week's trading range. From a broader perspective, price action appears to be narrowing, forming a falling wedge pattern. With the market consolidating just below the downward trendline, a potential breakout above this level could signal further upside momentum. If the price manages to close above last week's high, it could lead to the formation of a solid inverse head and shoulders pattern, reinforcing the possibility of an upward extension. The next key target lies at the resistance zone around 88,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
BTC CONSOLIDATESBitcoin has confirmed a bullish divergence on the daily chart, with price making a lower low while RSI formed a higher low — a classic signal that downward momentum is weakening. However, the follow-through has been weak so far, with Bitcoin now consolidating beneath the key resistance at $85,010. The 200-day moving average (around $83,645) has not provided strong support or resistance in recent days, as price has hovered just above and below it without a decisive move. Volume also remains low, indicating a lack of conviction from buyers despite the bullish divergence. For bulls to regain control, Bitcoin needs to reclaim $85,010 and build upward momentum toward the $91,271 resistance zone. Failure to hold above the 200 MA could lead to a retest of the $77,000–$78,000 support zone or even a drop toward the $73,835 level, which represents the next major structural support. Overall, Bitcoin has shown early signs of bottoming, but bulls need to step in with stronger volume and momentum to confirm a more significant trend reversal.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
March 14 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement It is not visible on the chart screen, but in the analysis article on March 11, I connected today's strategy while maintaining a long position of $79,188 at the long position entry point. Also, there was a recent booster manipulation and the participation rate was low, so I kept the analysis article private for the past few days, but how was the difference compared to other analysis articles? I wonder if you felt the gap in my analysis article. It was not a mistake to make the analysis article public today, but I think it would be good to see it as a small gesture of goodwill because new people supported me yesterday and today. It is currently moving sideways after a slight upward touch, and compared to Tether dominance, I created an aggressive strategy. The important part today is that NASDAQ only needs to move sideways If it crashes or breaks the previous low Be careful because Bitcoin will definitely follow I'll summarize it very simply and briefly. *When the red finger moves Long position strategy 1. 82407.5 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line breaks (It can be pushed up to section 2 at most.) 2. 84965.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target Currently, the top section is roughly the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart. Rather than touching this section and switching short positions It would be better to try to re-enter after long liquidation. (The mid-term pattern is broken based on Tether Dominance) Today, the second sky blue support line is a safe zone where the upward rebound can be maintained From the bottom section deviation, the next support line is the previous low point section marked below, 77,611 dollars. Up to this point, please use my analysis as a reference only I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you for your hard work this week.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Bitcoin (BTC): Neckline Secured, Not Attentions at 200EMA.As of now, Bitcoin sellers have secured the zone of neckline where the price is below 200 EMA, and this is our next point of interest. We are keeping an eye on this zone to see who will take over the dominance in that zone. After a successful breakdown from that EMA, we are now experiencing a local re-test, which we intend to be a successful one, where the price will get rejected here and then move to our major support zone, where we expect some big volatility to take place! Swallow Team
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SwallowAcademy
1
Bitcoin Weekly SMA are finally into Sequential order -and now ?A nice simple post here. As you can see, in Late January, the 5 main SMA ( Simple Moving Averages) finaly got into sequential order Under PA This is a sign that PA is bullish. As you can see, in September 202, this happened and PA began its rise after a sharp drop just before hand. It is a bit different this time in that we have dropped AFTER that SMA order was made. But it is still a Good sign HOWEVER - what is important to note, is how PA has fallen below that 21 and we are currently hitting off the 50, searching for Support again. I remain BULLISH and I am sure that within a few weeks, we shall move back over that 21. From were the SMA went into order in 2020, it took about 6 months to reach the first ATH in 2021 PA is rising Much slower than in that cycle but If that repeats, we can see a New Real ATH around July / August I would say that is too early to be honest and so I expect larter. As I said, PA is rising slower this time around. But, anyway, Good News that the SMA have remained in order so far... Something to look forward to
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Go Up Again?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s downward trend and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. As long as Bitcoin is above the drawn trend line, we can think about buying transactions. The continued rise of Bitcoin will also lead to testing of selling transactions from the supply zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and observing capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. In recent days, Bitcoin’s price has experienced a significant decline, reaching its lowest level in several weeks. This price drop coincides with growing concerns about a potential economic recession in the U.S. and the impact of Donald Trump’s recent statements on financial markets. As a result, many investors have shifted towards safer assets. Analysts believe that Trump’s remarks have intensified market volatility, leading to increased selling pressure across financial markets. Consequently, riskier assets like Bitcoin have also seen a decline in price. Given the uncertainty in the market and doubts surrounding the future of the U.S. economy, experts predict that Bitcoin’s price fluctuations will persist. While some investors see this drop as a buying opportunity, the lack of clarity on upcoming economic policies has heightened overall risk. On March 14, Bitcoin broke its long-standing 12-year ascending support trend against gold (XAU). A well-known analyst, NorthStar, has warned that if Bitcoin remains below this level for a week or more, it could signal the end of its 12-year bullish trend. This breakdown occurred as spot gold prices surged by 12.80% since the beginning of the year, reaching a new record high above $3,000 per ounce. In contrast, Bitcoin—often referred to as “digital gold”—has fallen 11% so far in 2025. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, who previously predicted that Bitcoin would drop below $80K, now believes its decline will likely bottom out around $70K. Meanwhile, reports indicate that Russia is increasingly using cryptocurrencies in its oil trade, which is valued at $192 billion. Digital assets are facilitating the conversion of yuan and rupees into rubles, streamlining transactions. According to sources, Russian oil companies have been utilizing Tether, Bitcoin, and Ethereum in their trades.While digital assets currently represent a small portion of the oil trade, their adoption is growing rapidly.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
1
Bitcoin under 40k? Possible, but is this also probable?In life, anything is possible , and when it comes to crypto, everything is possible . But, as I mentioned in my educational post yesterday, there’s a big difference between what is possible and what is probable. In this article, I want to analyze the possibility of Bitcoin dropping below $40,000 and more importantly, what would need to happen for this scenario to shift from just possible to truly probable. ________________________________________ BTC — From All-Time High to Distribution? If we look at the Bitcoin chart, we notice that after the first all-time high very close to $100,000 at the end of November, the market began a consolidation phase. Although we saw two more all-time highs — one around $108,000 in mid-December and another near $110,000 in January — the entire structure from late November to late February appears to be a distribution pattern rather than a healthy continuation. Once Bitcoin broke below $90,000, we can consider this distribution phase complete, with a target for short positions around $75,000 — a level I’ve highlighted in my previous posts. ________________________________________ Long-Term Logarithmic Chart — Diminishing Returns and the Bigger Picture Looking at the long-term logarithmic chart, we can see a clear pattern of diminishing returns: • The first major leg up, starting in late 2011, was approximately 600x and lasted about two years, followed by a correction. • The next leg was 100x, spanning four years, followed by another correction. • Then, a 20x rally, which lasted just over a year. • Finally, the most recent leg up has been around 7x. What’s crucial here is that returns are decreasing and, even more importantly, the last leg up looks more like an ascending channel than a parabolic move like in previous cycles. ________________________________________ The Significance of the Ascending Channel This ascending channel is not unusual — the market has matured, and big players are now involved, reducing volatility. However, ascending channels on the long-term often signal potential reversals, rather than continuation. ________________________________________ What Would Make $40,000 Probable? Now, let’s address the real question: What would need to happen for Bitcoin to drop to $40,000? Zooming in on the logarithmic chart, it becomes evident that the $72,000 - $75,000 zone is a major support confluence. If this area is broken — meaning a weekly candle closes below this level — the scenario of BTC dropping toward $40,000 becomes probable. The target zone I’m watching in this case is $32,000 - $36,000, a strong historical support that is clearly visible on higher timeframes. ________________________________________ Conclusion — Watch the Key Levels, Not What you Hope To conclude: • Bitcoin dropping to those extreme levels is possible, but not yet probable. • Probabilities will shift only if key support levels are broken — specifically $72k-$75k. • The market has matured, cycles are changing, and returns are diminishing, so expecting a repeat of past parabolic runs may not be realistic. • As traders and investors, we must focus on the charts and key levels, not on hopium and hype.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
88K is not excluded but not granted as wellMorning folks, So, we set for 85K sell and it worked. Downside reaction happened, but still, we call you to move stops to breakeven for some case. The problem that we see is the market behavior. We see it not natural for normal bearish market. BTC stands stubbornly around K-resistance, not showing normal downside extension. Our scenario of downside continuation from ~85K area is not broken yet, it is valid, and maybe everything will happen as we've suggested initially. But we see the risk in the way of market behavior. It could lead to more extended upside bounce in the way of upside AB=CD pattern right to 88k resistance . It means that if you already have bearish positions - move stops to breakeven. If you don't - do not take the new once for awhile. Or, at least, you could take but not more than 25-30% of your normal lot. Our bearish scenario remains valid until market stands under 85.1K spike (because this is bearish reversal session on daily chart) and below 85.5K resistance in general. Upside breakout means an action to 88K. Since we do not have the breakout it, I mark our update as "bearish", but we warned you... Take care.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin: can it be the $90K?There has been a higher volatility on the crypto market during the previous week. The markets are still making shiny steps toward the upside, influenced by the macro sentiment and potential negative effects of the trade tariffs. Uncertainty is still strong on financial markets, where BTC also belongs as now part of mainstream markets. During the week, BTC was traded in a more bearish manner, with shy bullish moves. It still managed to finish the week with a weekly gain. The lowest weekly level of BTC was at $77,5K at the beginning of the week. The uptrend was holding for the rest of the week, where BTC managed to get back toward the $85K resistance at the end of the week. The RSI reached a clear oversold market side, from where it started the reversal. Current RSI level stands at the level of 43, which is still not showing that the market clearly started its reversal toward the overbought market. The moving average of 50 days started its higher convergence toward the MA200, with still a distance between two lines. Current charts are showing that the BTC is trying to make some recovery from previous week’s losses. But it seems that this is going to be a heavy task for BTC. Slow moves might continue also during the week ahead. As per current charts, there is a probability for the level of the $90K in the coming week or two. At this moment it is unclear whether the market will have the strength to pass this level. One warning signal coming from charts is that if the $90K is not branched toward the upside, then there would be a potential for a stronger move toward the downside. Still, these moves are for the longer time frame in the future. For the week ahead, it should be considered that the FOMC meeting is scheduled for March 19th, when certainly some volatility can be expected also on the crypto market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
1
BTC USD UpdateWe've seen massive news in the crypto space lately, yet the price absorbs buys and pushes lower week after week. The logical explanation is that they need to drive the price down to buy massive orders at a cheaper price. We don't close our spot trades; we remain overall bullish on these coins. So, we're in scalping mode, filling new spot orders as the price drops. We're confident it will go up sooner or later. Currently, we're in a bearish price range, and liquidity has built up heavily beneath the daily fractals. Therefore, we're focusing on scalps, trading in and out within the range. As of now, the range high is 95,128.88, and the low is 76,555.00. Let's see what happens.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by themarketknight
BTCUSD UPWARD UPCOMING READ IN CAPTIONS (BULLISH) TREND SOONThe chart displays Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, showing a concept of "Breaker Block" after a liquidity sweep. A breaker block is a failed order block formed when liquidity is swept. The chart highlights key points for identifying a breaker block: 1. Liquidity Sweep: A sweep of liquidity in the market before the price reversal. 2. Last Opposite Color Candle of Leg: The last candle of a different color before the reversal. 3. Failed Order Block: The block that fails to hold, indicating a reversal. 4. Market Structure Shift (ICT MSS): A shift in market structure, signifying a potential change in trend direction. 5. Inducement: A price move that induces traders to enter before a reversal. The chart highlights areas marked SiBi (Swing In/Buy) and BiBi (Break In/Buy), which indicate possible zones where these events occur. The Resistance area is also shown as a key level for potential price rejection. Traders should look for confirmation of price action near these levels to assess the likelihood of further movement toward the Target around 84,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Joan_Pro_Trader
Bitcoin's left translated cycle - new lowsLet’s analyze both Cycle Market theories separately: 60-Day Cycle Status Bitcoin printed a new cycle low on February 28. While many expected a rebound, it carved another low a week later, leading into a left-translated cycle (price trends downward for over half the cycle). We’re now on day 16, hovering just above the $78,000 low. Further downside is likely in coming weeks. Multi-Timeframe Cycle Breakdown 2-Week Cycle: Will dip below 20 by Monday’s close, marking the start of accumulation (long-term oversold conditions). 1-Week Cycle: Broken below 20 and stuck there for two months – a reversal is imminent, signaling mid-term upside. 3-Day Cycle: Also below 20, confirming short-term bullish momentum. 1-Day Cycle: Topping above 80, hinting at a brief pullback soon. Consensus : Both theories suggest a rally toward the 60-Day Cycle high (days 20-30), aligning with the 3-Day Cycle peak. However, we may see one final dip when the 3-Day Cycle resets to 20 before the bull run resumes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheStrategyMaster
1