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Bitcoin: a little bit side tradedNews regarding a new Chinese app DeepSeek shocked not only the equity market, but there was also a reaction on the crypto market. BTC started Monday last week in a negative mood, dropping down to the levels below the $98K. When the market realized that BTC will not be hit with the new AI-tool, the price of BTC reverted to previous levels, reaching its weekly highest level at $106,5K. Still, the negative sentiment continued through the rest of the week, so BTC is ending the week around $101K. The RSI was moving modestly above the level of 50 through the week, ending it at this level. It shows that the market is still not ready to clearly choose the trading side. The moving average of 50 days continues to modestly diverge from MA200, indicating that there will be no cross in the near period of time. Although the RSI is implying that the market cannot choose the trading side, the first look at the daily chart shows higher bearish potential than the bullish one, for the week to come. It should be taken into account that decreased trading volumes will not have the potential to move the price of BTC to either side. In this sense, the $ 98K could be tested for one more time. Again, the price could revert back from the $ 98K, to the levels above the $100K. However, at this point, there is no evident potential for the price of BTC to reach levels around the ATH. A sort of side trading might continue for another week.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
DAY 16: TRUMP TRUMPWe are back. It has been a long week but I have been in the forex market as always,even the teacher should go back to his books and learn more.Last week we had monthly closes on all pairs which we are supposed to use to give us direction and momentum into the new month. POTUS has brought back volatility into the market with the recent tariff trade wars. The previous week saw us range for most pairs but as the month of February starts we might see new trends picking up .So we are looking to catch new trends in the market based on previous data and Dxy(dollar) movement. Based on DXY, price has been up and down ever since we got recent highs at 110 and performance has been based on volatility.So as we head into a new month we must take note of 1: DXY price and performance. 2: Dxy based on fundamental news. Because if DXY performs well then we might see a strong dollar which will perform well against other currency pairs.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Muchangi
BIT COIN - Support & Resistance BIT COIN - Support & Resistance Key Levels Support Level: $91,500 This level has proven to be a strong cushion in recent sessions, indicating buyer interest. If Bitcoin tests this area again, we could see a rebound as long positions are reinitiated. A sustained break below $91,500 might trigger further downside, so watching volume and price action near this support will be crucial. Resistance Level: $106,500 On the upside, $106,500 represents a significant hurdle where selling pressure has historically increased. A break above this resistance could signal a bullish momentum shift, inviting additional buyers and possibly setting the stage for further rallies. However, failure to clear this level might result in a consolidation phase or a pullback.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by sudtintin
BTCUSDT - at final supporting region? holds or not??#BTCUSDT.. a perfect drop as per our last idea regarding Btcusdt and now you can see market just placed our targeted area. but one thing is important here, that is it was not a selling trend ride it was only a retracement and if market again hold his current supporting region that is around 92k to 94k then you can see again a rise in btc price otherwise not at all. keep in mind that below that region we have further drop on table. stay sharp.. good luck trade wisely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AdilHussain731333
BITCOIN Can a 1D MA100 rebound reverse the 'Tariffs narrative'?Just a week ago (January 27, see char below) we made a case of why it was essential for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to test and rebound on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line), if the market was to find the necessary Support to move it forward through the rest of the year and the Bull Cycle: Well BTC went on to confirm our expectation and hit the 1D MA100 for the first time in almost 4 months (since October 11 2024). That analysis was focused on the current Bull Cycle (2023 - 2025) and the recurring 1D MA100 rebound sequence within the 2-year Channel Up, which has so far provide its Higher High both times. Today's analysis examines if this is a pattern that emerged and held during the previous Bull Cycles as well. The results are eye opening. During the last two years of each of the past 3 Bull Cycles, a 1D MA100 contact has most of the times (9) met with an incredible rebound, making it the most efficient buy entry on such basis. It was only 3 times this failed to initiate an immediate rebound (April 2024/ ETF led rally corrected, April 2021/ Musk led rally corrected, March 2020/ COVID flash crash), all valid reasons fundamentally. Is this new all-out Trade War another one of those events? Not impossible, but this chart shows that it is 3 times more probable for this 1D MA100 contact to produce an aggressive rebound. If we narrow the sample to just the last year of the Bull Cycle, it was only once that a 1D MA100 failed to produce an instant rally. As a result, it is now more probable to see a rally similar to the one that followed the January 2024 or October 2024 1D MA100 contacts, which were within a +85% / +90% range. Even the 1D RSI patterns among the Cycle fractals at the start of each final Bull year are similar. So what do you think? Do you expect this technical 1D MA100 contact to reverse the dismal Tariffs sentiment? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
“Bitcoin to one million dollars? Not now, maybe in 20 years!”Introduction: Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are often presented as a solution to the traditional financial system. Originally designed as decentralized currencies not controlled by the government, they are seen as an escape from traditional banks and state control. However, some argue that cryptocurrencies may have been introduced by governments or powerful institutions as a means to control capital flows or bring ‘black money’ back to the state. While there is no definitive proof of this, it is undeniable that governments are increasingly trying to gain control over the cryptocurrency market, as evidenced by stricter regulations and the development of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), which would give governments full control over digital transactions. This research report focuses on the potential future of Bitcoin, specifically the question of whether it will ever reach the milestone of one million dollars, and why this seems unlikely at the moment. Bitcoin Chart in Comparison with the Dow Jones: When we compare the charts of Bitcoin with those of the Dow Jones, we see that Bitcoin is still in a relatively early phase of its growth, which can be compared to a ‘fetus’ stage. This means that the Bitcoin market is still relatively young compared to established markets like the Dow Jones, which has existed for more than a century and thus had more time to develop and stabilize. The Bitcoin market is currently in the early stages of its growth phase. From the perspective of the Elliott Wave Theory, Bitcoin is currently in the third phase of the market cycle, known as the “First Wave Extension.” This phase is characterized by a strong rise in the price of an asset after previous corrections. The Elliott Wave theory posits that markets develop in five waves: three upward waves and two downward corrections. The “First Wave Extension” is the third phase of this upward movement, in which the price of an asset, in this case Bitcoin, shows strong growth. My claim that Bitcoin is in an early phase is supported by actual market data. Bitcoin is indeed still young and volatile, unlike traditional markets like the Dow Jones, which is in a much more advanced stage. The volatility of Bitcoin is currently one of the main features of the cryptocurrency market and a factor that brings both opportunities and risks. The relatively short history of Bitcoin, compared to established markets, means there is still a lot of uncertainty about the stability and future value of the digital currency. Conclusion: Bitcoin is currently in an early stage of its development, both in terms of market acceptance and price stability. While there is a possibility that Bitcoin may reach a higher value in the future, it is unlikely to reach the milestone of one million dollars in the short term, especially due to the volatility and uncertainties associated with the regulation of cryptocurrencies. The coming years will be crucial for Bitcoin’s further evolution, and factors such as technological advancements, government policies, and market acceptance will determine whether Bitcoin can develop into a more stable and widespread currency. In the meantime, the Bitcoin market remains a dynamic and exciting space for both investors and technology enthusiasts. The question of whether Bitcoin will reach one million dollars in the future remains speculative, but the future of this decentralized currency offers plenty of food for thought over the next two decades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EvertLenos
Bitcoin - Bitcoin lost $100,000?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin’s upward correction and its placement in the supply zone will allow us to resell it. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. In the past trading week, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw an inflow of $560 million, though this represents a significant decline compared to the previous two weeks. Meanwhile, as of January 31, 2025, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a minor outflow of $45 million, though this decline was not particularly drastic. At the same time, Standard Chartered Bank has advised investors in a new research note to view Bitcoin’s drop below $100,000 and the over 6% single-day decline in the crypto market as a buying opportunity. Jeff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, stated: “Hope is not a strategy.” He further explained: “When hope disappears, digital asset prices tend to fall by 10% to 20%.” Despite recent market volatility, Standard Chartered remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025. The bank’s research suggests that growing institutional interest could accelerate Bitcoin’s potential surge to $200,000 by the end of the year. Last week, Donald Trump fulfilled two key promises to the crypto industry: 1. Granting clemency to Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, who is regarded as a symbolic figure among Bitcoin and libertarian communities. 2.Signing an executive order on cryptocurrencies, which aims to enhance regulatory transparency for digital assets, promote stablecoins, prevent the debanking of the crypto sector, and ban the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). In parallel, Jeff Kendrick of Standard Chartered also warned investors to pay close attention to altcoins, referring to cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin that are expected to experience significant growth in the coming year. He stated: “As soon as we enter the second phase, in my view, the altcoin season will begin.” Kendrick further noted that institutional flows will primarily drive Bitcoin and Ethereum investments, partially offsetting the rotation into altcoins. Responding to the growing interest in Bitcoin and Solana, MetaMask is planning to expand beyond Ethereum. The company is currently working on integrating Bitcoin functionality while simultaneously exploring decentralized finance (DeFi) opportunities across multiple blockchain ecosystems. Meanwhile, Texas Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick has identified the establishment of a state Bitcoin reserve as a top priority for 2025. Texas, already a pioneer in adopting Bitcoin at the state level, continues on this path despite challenges at the national level. If the proposal is approved, Texas will become the first U.S. state to hold Bitcoin as a financial reserve on its balance sheet, a move that could accelerate Bitcoin adoption within the U.S. financial system.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
BTCUSDT🔸 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Sideways: Bitcoin is consolidating within a clear sideways range of GETTEX:89K - $110K, Liquidity is being absorbed within this range, and market makers (MM) seem comfortable maintaining this structure for now. This suggests a deliberate effort to trap liquidity before a significant move. 🔸 Key Support Zone: The GETTEX:89K - GETTEX:92K zone remains a strong accumulation area, providing an ideal entry point for long-term investors. This level has consistently acted as a solid support, making it a crucial zone for risk-managed trades. 🔸 Upside Target: A breakout above $110K would validate a bullish push toward $140K-$180K. 🔸 Risk: Macroeconomic and fundamental risks, such as Trump Coin and the Forbes report on Michael Saylor, add caution to the market. However, we are still far from a critical danger level—it would take at least 4-5 major warning signs before a significant market downturn becomes more likely. From an institutional perspective, BlackRock recently acquired 30K BTC in January, reinforcing a long-term bullish outlook. Their continued accumulation indicates confidence in Bitcoin's future price appreciation. However, short-term shakeouts remain possible as market makers attempt to remove weak hands. 🔸 Action Plan: No-Trade Zone: BTC’s current price action in the middle of the range is risky, as MM are manipulating liquidity on both sides. Buy at GETTEX:89K - GETTEX:92K , hold for breakout, and take short-term profits at $100K-$110K. BTC remains range-bound, requiring patience from traders and investors. While major institutions continue accumulating, the next few months will be crucial. If warning signs escalate (reaching 4-5 major risk events), it will be time to exit positions. Until then, traders should focus on trading within the range, managing risk carefully, and avoiding unnecessary euphoria.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
BTCUSD: Correction or change of trend?By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The cryptocurrency market experienced a turbulent weekend with a significant drop in the price of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) initiated on Thursday, January 30. The world's leading cryptocurrency retreated sharply, losing -14.29% in four trading days, with a particularly aggressive plunge on Sunday, when it lost -10.05% in a single day. This move generated uncertainty among long-term investors and left open the question of whether this is a simple correction or the beginning of a trend change. Factors behind the drop Several factors may have contributed to this correction in the BTC price: 1. profit-taking: a fter a strong bull rally in recent weeks, many institutional and retail investors decided to lock in profits, leading to selling pressure. 2. Market liquidity: Weekend moves are often amplified by lower liquidity on exchanges, which can exacerbate declines when there is an increase in BTC supply. 3. Macroeconomic data and Fed expectations: uncertainty about future interest rate decisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve has affected risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. 4. Movements in portfolios of large holders (“whales”): On-chain data shows that some large portfolios transferred significant volumes of BTC to exchanges, a signal that often precedes massive sales. Technical Outlook: What to expect? From a technical point of view, the fall led BTC/USD to test key support levels. Currently the price is trading at $93490, if the price manages to recover above $97000 during this week, we could see a technical rebound in the short term. However, if the selling pressure persists and support gives way, the next bearish target is at $90,800. Technical indicators reinforce the uncertainty: - RSI (Relative Strength Index): Over the weekend, BTC entered an oversold zone, although it has shown a slight recovery to 43.40%, suggesting a possible rebound in the coming sessions. - 50/100-day moving average: On Saturday, the price pierced the 50-day moving average to the downside, adding the 100-day moving average as a reinforcement of that trend, which casts doubt on the continuation of the uptrend of the past few weeks. Without a quick recovery, we could be looking at a deeper correction. - Control Point (POC): The current control point in the long term is located around $103,000, this is the bullish possibility we are talking about as a continuation of this trend. Conclusion Despite the fall, Bitcoin remains within a long-term bullish structure. However, the coming sessions will be decisive in defining whether the recent correction is just a breather within the rally or the beginning of a more prolonged trend reversal. The market reaction in the coming days and the evolution of macroeconomic factors will set the direction of BTC/USD in the short and medium term. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:BTCUSDShort
by ActivTrades
Bitcoin Plunges to $91K Amid Market TurmoilThe cryptocurrency market has been rattled as Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) nosedived 16% to $91,000, triggering concerns among investors. This steep drop comes amid broader market sell-offs, with Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) and leading meme coins shedding nearly 20% of their value. The primary catalyst? Speculations of a trade war fueled by U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariffs. Technical Analysis Bitcoin's price plummeted to an intraday low of $91,242, marking one of its most significant drops in recent months. Despite rebounding slightly to $94K, BTC’s movement reflects extreme volatility. Key technical indicators suggest: - Support Levels: The next critical support zone lies near $90K, a psychological level that, if broken, could lead to further declines. - Resistance Levels: BTC faces immediate resistance at $100K, with further upside contingent on market recovery. - Liquidations: Over $397 million worth of CRYPTOCAP:BTC long positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, amplifying selling pressure. - Bitcoin Dominance: BTC dominance surged 2.76% to 61.38%, indicating that altcoins are suffering heavier losses compared to Bitcoin. Additionally, the 9.5% drop in the total crypto market cap to $3.04 trillion, alongside a 182% increase in trading volume to $286.91 billion**, signals panic-driven trading behavior. Trade War Fears & Market Uncertainty The backdrop for this crypto crash is rooted in macroeconomic developments, particularly **Donald Trump’s new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China**. The prospect of escalating trade tensions has spooked global investors, leading to a risk-off sentiment across financial markets. Key fundamental factors contributing to Bitcoin’s decline: 1. Global Trade War Speculations – Trump's tariff policy has sparked fears of retaliatory measures, which could weaken global economic stability and reduce institutional appetite for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. 2. Market Liquidations – Over $2 billion worth of crypto liquidations occurred in the past 24 hours, intensifying downward momentum. 3. Investor Sentiment Shift – Uncertainty prevails as market participants remain divided, with some anticipating a rebound while others brace for further declines. 4. Macroeconomic Headwinds – Broader economic factors, including inflation concerns and regulatory uncertainties, add pressure to BTC's price action. What’s Next for Bitcoin? While the current downturn is causing fear, Bitcoin has historically demonstrated resilience in the face of macroeconomic turmoil. The coming days will be critical, with key factors to watch including: - $90K Support Test – If Bitcoin holds this level, a relief rally could follow, potentially targeting $100K resistance. - Macroeconomic Developments – Any updates on the global trade situation or Federal Reserve monetary policy could influence BTC’s trajectory. - Institutional Interest – Large players may use this dip as a buying opportunity, injecting fresh liquidity into the market. Conclusion Bitcoin's 16% crash to $91K reflects a combination of technical breakdowns and macroeconomic pressures. While uncertainty looms, BTC remains a key asset in the crypto ecosystem, with historical recoveries following major dips. As the market navigates trade war fears, investors should remain cautious, keeping an eye on support levels and potential rebounds.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
1
BTC updateThe Illusion of Certainty in Markets & The science of Bias In trading, the desire for certainty is one of the most dangerous psychological pitfalls a trader can fall into. While BTC may be displaying bullish behavior, the fact remains that we cannot "know" what will happen next. This fundamental truth often clashes with human nature, as our brains are wired to seek patterns and predictability. However, markets are probabilistic, not deterministic. As price unfolds, the picture becomes clearer , not because the market is revealing some preordained script, but because each new piece of data refines our understanding of probabilities. The most successful traders accept this reality and remain fluid, adjusting their perspectives as new information becomes available. The science of Encoding Poor Information One of the greatest cognitive traps traders fall into is becoming married to their desires or biases. This happens because of the way our brain encodes information: 1. Dopaminergic Reinforcement - When we form an expectation (e.g., "BTC is bullish, so it must go higher"), and the market moves in our favour, our brain releases dopamine , reinforcing the belief that we were "right." - This creates a confirmation loop, we start filtering information to support our bias and dismiss evidence that contradicts it. 2. Cognitive Rigidity & Belief Encoding - The prefrontal cortex , responsible for rational thinking, is often overridden by the limbic system , which governs emotions and survival instincts. - If we've emotionally attached ourselves to an outcome, our brain literally rewires itself to treat contradicting information as a threat rather than a useful input. 3. Sunk Cost Fallacy & Commitment Bias - The more time and energy we invest into a particular belief, the harder it becomes to let go, even when new information suggests we should. - This is why traders hold onto losing trades , refusing to accept new probabilities because it would require admitting they were wrong. How to Stay Probabilistic & Avoid Mental Traps 1. Detach from Outcomes Focus on executing a well-defined process , not on proving your prediction was "right." 2. Constant Re-Evaluation Every new price movement should be treated as new information that either strengthens or weakens existing probabilities. 3. Active Neutrality Never assign a fixed narrative (e.g., "BTC is going to explode higher"). Instead, frame it probabilistically: - "BTC has an X% probability of continuing higher, but a Y% probability of reversal if conditions change." 4. Train Yourself to Embrace Opposing Views If you are bullish, seek out bearish arguments and assess their validity. 5. Use Mental Stop-Losses for Biases Just as we place stop-losses on trades, we must be willing to "cut" faulty narratives when price action disproves them. Final Thought The market is not a certainty machine—it is a probability engine . The sooner a trader embraces uncertainty, the sooner they free themselves from emotional bias. Traders don’t predict, they adapt. It’s not about being right. It’s about staying on the right side of probability.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SERVER_SEVEN