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BEARUSD trade ideas

BTC/USD Analysis: Bullish Momentum Faces Resistance at $110,000!Looking at this chart of BTC/USD on the 4-hour timeframe: Current Price: The price of Bitcoin is currently around $98,468.88, with a slight increase of +0.24% for the session. Key Levels: The price is approaching a strong resistance zone near the $110,000 level, which is marked with a shaded area above the current price. This could act as a psychological barrier or a sell-off zone if the price reaches this level. On the downside, there is support near the $94,000 level, indicated by a box in the lower part of the chart. The market has shown a tendency to bounce from this zone in the past. 200 EMA: The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently around $98,193, and the price is trading slightly above it, which indicates that the trend may be leaning bullish, but a pullback to this level could be expected. Price Action: The chart shows a series of upward movements after consolidation in the lower range, which suggests bullish momentum. However, the proximity to resistance means the price might face some challenges breaking through the $110,000 zone. Overall, there’s potential for Bitcoin to test higher levels, especially if it can clear the resistance near $110,000. But a pullback or consolidation around the $94,000 region could also be on the cards. Keep an eye on volume and price behavior around these levels to confirm the next move.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
February 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no Nasdaq index announcement today. At the bottom left, the purple finger connected the 2nd section yesterday, 94,142 dollars final long position entry section. *In the case of the sky blue movement path It is a two-way neutral strategy. We focused on the final long position. 1. 97,550.5 dollars short position entry section / cut-off price when the orange resistance line is broken 2. 95,743 dollars long position switching / cut-off price when the green support line is broken 3. 98,526.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Great 2nd target If there is an immediate adjustment from the current position The 1st section (95,085.5 dollars) at the bottom is the long position waiting section. The bottom section is today's major rebound section. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
#Bitcoin, "HAVE NO IDEA WHERE IT BREAKSOUT, AND IT IS OKEY"I have no idea where it will break out, and that's okay. Studying technical analysis at the CMT Association , I found very valuable chapters about behavioral finance . Did you know that there is a ton of research available to explain to people a lot about their choices and how we, human beings, are different in making them because of the different contexts and the fact that we are all so different? To sum up, being aware of these tricks of the human mind and psychological biases can help you not to overtrade or not to enter when you are 'guessing' but not aware of this fact, yet. Bitcoin, for me personally, is in consolidation with equal potential to go in any direction. And I am aware of confirmation bias, so I let it make any decision without my real actions. I am allowing myself not to know, to be out of the market and just watch, a.k.a. quit guessing and looking for any confirmation of any bullish or bearish bias. The opposite behavior is to draw an ABC number of lines, add XYZ indicators, and be stubborn. Learned the hard way.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ChartsPlusFun
Bitcoin Latest Trend Analysis (David)Dear traders Bitcoin is currently between $95,825 and $97,297. David believes that Bitcoin will continue to fall. What do you think? The reasons are: 1. The US non-agricultural employment data in January 2025 was lower than expected (143,000 new jobs), and the unemployment rate dropped to 4%, but the Federal Reserve may only cut interest rates once, and interest rates remain relatively high, causing risk assets to be under pressure 2. The "reciprocal tariff" measures announced by Trump may escalate trade conflicts and intensify market volatility. Geopolitical risks such as the Middle East will cause funds to flow to traditional safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off of Bitcoin What do you think about this? You are welcome to discuss with me If you agree with my analysis, please continue to pay attention. I will share my views for free later-(David) COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by David_financial_analyst
BTC Long idea Based of Higher timeframe Hello Everyone, just continuing from my yesterdays Idea but this time on a higher timeframe "I believe BTC has respected a major Support around the 95k Levels which was an indication to me that the initial push down was just to grab liquidity before driving back up to continue the uptrend" on the Higher timeframe (4h) we can see the Higher High was already created and i believe its after creating the Higher Low, the 4H closed as an inverted hammer after the initial push down and respected my support levels which is my indication price has a chance to push up and create a New Higher High this is not financial advice, I'm just sharing my ideas along my trading journey, feedback would be appreciated!!
VANTAGE:BTCUSDLong
by Kristjan_Maximus
Diamond Pattern Trading: How to Spot and Trade This SignalSome patterns scream for attention, while others sneak up on traders who aren’t looking closely. The diamond pattern is one of those sneaky ones—a formation that hints at a brewing reversal but requires a sharp eye to catch. Let’s dive into what this pattern looks like, how it forms, and the best strategies for effectively trading diamond top patterns and diamond bottom patterns. What Is a Diamond Pattern? The diamond pattern is a reversal chart pattern that occurs after a strong trend, indicating a potential shift in market direction. It forms when price action expands and then contracts, creating a shape that resembles a diamond. This pattern is rare compared to triangles or head and shoulders formations, but it often signals significant price moves when it appears. There are two types of diamond patterns: Diamond Top Pattern – A 🐻 Reversal Pattern That Appears After an Uptrend. Diamond Bottom Pattern – A 🐂 Reversal Pattern That Forms After a Downtrend. These patterns can help traders identify potential turning points and prepare for a change in trend. How to Identify a Diamond Pattern in Trading? To spot a diamond pattern trading setup, look for the following characteristics: Broadening Formation: The price action initially expands, creating higher highs and lower lows. Narrowing Structure: After the expansion, the price contracts, forming lower highs and higher lows. Symmetrical Shape: When trendlines are drawn connecting the highs and lows, they create a diamond shape. Breakout Point: The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out of the structure, either to the upside or downside. While it might resemble a diamond quilt pattern or diamond tile pattern on the chart, the key difference is its role as a market reversal signal. Diamond Top Pattern: Bearish Reversal A diamond top pattern forms at the peak of an uptrend and signals that bullish momentum is weakening. Traders often look for a downside breakout to confirm the reversal. How to Trade a Diamond Top Pattern: Identify the diamond formation after a strong uptrend. Wait for a breakout below the lower trendline with increased volume. Enter a short position once the breakout is confirmed. Set a stop-loss above the recent high. Target price: Measure the height of the pattern and project it downward. This pattern suggests buyers are losing control, and a downtrend will likely follow. Diamond Bottom Pattern: Bullish Reversal A diamond bottom pattern appears at the end of a downtrend, indicating a potential shift to bullish momentum. How to Trade a Diamond Bottom Pattern: Identify the diamond shape forming after a downtrend. Wait for an upside breakout above the upper trendline with strong volume. Enter a long position once the breakout is confirmed. Set a stop-loss below the recent low. Target price: Measure the pattern’s height and project it upward. This pattern signals that selling pressure decreases, and buyers may take control. Why the Diamond Pattern Is Important for Traders Reliable Reversal Signal. The diamond pattern trading setup strongly indicates trend reversals. Clear Entry and Exit Points. Well-defined breakout levels make risk management easier. Works in Different Markets. Whether trading stocks, forex, or crypto, the diamond pattern remains effective. Final Thoughts The diamond pattern is a rare but powerful tool that can help traders confidently spot trend reversals. Whether you’re trading a diamond top pattern for bearish setups or a diamond bottom pattern for bullish breakouts, understanding this formation can give you an edge in the market. So, traders, have you spotted a diamond pattern trading setup recently? Share your experiences and strategies in the comments!
WHITEBIT:BTCUSDEducation
by WhiteBIT
Adverse excursion: a key concept for risk managementAs a professional trader, I can tell you about the adverse excursion and its crucial importance in the world of trading. Adverse excursion: a key concept for risk management Adverse excursion refers to the unfavorable movement of the price of an asset after a position is opened. More precisely, it is the difference between the entry price and the worst point the price reaches before the position becomes profitable again or is closed. Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) The concept of Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE), developed by John Sweeney, is particularly useful. It measures the maximum floating loss suffered by a position before it turns in your favor or is closed. The MAE is a powerful statistical tool for analyzing drawdowns in an open position. Trading Efficiency Using MAE has several benefits for traders: Optimizing Stop-Loss: By analyzing MAE over a series of trades, the optimal level for placing stop-loss orders can be statistically determined. Evaluating Trading Systems: MAE helps evaluate the performance of trading systems and identify areas for improvement. Refining Risk Management Strategies: By understanding the maximum adverse moves, traders can refine their strategies to better preserve their capital. Improving Trading Efficiency: MAE analysis can help improve decision-making and execute trades with greater accuracy and confidence. Practical Application To effectively use the concept of adverse excursion, it is crucial to collect data on a large number of trades. For example, if you observe a series of MAEs like this: 15, 23, 18, 16, 0, 11, 31, 17, 8, 0, 19, 26, 0, 38, 22, you can deduce valuable information about the behavior of your trades and adjust your stop-loss levels accordingly. In conclusion, the adverse excursion and especially the MAE are powerful tools for any serious trader. They allow to optimize risk management, improve the performance of strategies and make more informed decisions. As they say in the trade, "who controls his risks, controls his profits". _______ Using the Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) has several significant advantages over traditional stop-loss placement methods: Data-driven optimization The MAE allows for a more precise and data-driven approach to stop-loss placement: Statistical analysis: By examining the distribution of the MAE over a large number of trades, the optimal level for placing stop-loss orders can be statistically determined. Performance visualization: The graphical representation of the MAE provides a clear overview of trade performance, allowing the most effective stop-loss levels to be visually identified. Balancing protection and performance The MAE helps to find an optimal balance between capital protection and trading performance: Retention of winning trades: The stop-loss can be placed to retain 75-85% of winning trades, thus avoiding prematurely cutting potentially profitable positions. Elimination of large losses: At the same time, this approach eliminates trades that suffer large losses, thus protecting capital. Adaptation to the specific strategy The MAE adapts to the unique characteristics of each trading strategy: Customization: Unlike generic methods, the MAE takes into account the specific behavior of the trades of a given strategy. Flexibility: This approach can be applied to a variety of strategies, whether short-term trading, swing trading, or long-term positions3. Improved risk management Using the MAE contributes to better overall risk management: Deep understanding: The MAE provides a more nuanced understanding of how trades evolve, allowing for better risk assessment. Reduced stress: By having a solid basis for placing stop-losses, traders can reduce the stress associated with real-time decision-making. Complementarity with other tools The MAE can be used in conjunction with other techniques: Combination with the MFE: The analysis of the Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE) in parallel can help to optimize not only the stop-losses, but also the profit-taking. Cross-validation: The results obtained by the MAE analysis can be compared with those of traditional parameter optimization methods for greater confidence in the strategy.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
BTC/USD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE Key Insights: 1. Support Zone (Blue Area - 94,877 to 95,643) Price recently tested this area and showed signs of rejection, indicating potential bullish momentum. 2. Entry & Target Projection The chart suggests a buy setup with price expected to rise from the current support. The first target is around 96,828, followed by a higher resistance level at 97,208. 3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management Stop-loss is likely placed below 94,877 in case of further downside movement. The risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable with a clear upward structure. Conclusion: If BTC holds above 95,000, buyers may push towards 96,800 - 97,200. A break below 94,877 could invalidate this setup. Would you like a signal update message for your channel?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DavidHills110
BITCOIN:STUCK IN CHOP, READY TO POP?🚀 Bitcoin: Stuck in the Chop, Ready to Pop? 🎯 Current Vibes: Bitcoin’s feeling the heat, slipping 1.3% to $96,368 as Wall Street sweats over sticky inflation and the Fed’s next move. CPI is still giving side-eye to that 2% target, which means rate cuts? Not so fast. 💥 Macro Madness: • 📊 Inflation Drama: CPI’s still high, so the Fed’s probably keeping rates up—bad news for risk junkies. • 🎙️ Fed Chatter Incoming: If they start flexing hawkish vibes, expect more pain. • 🏃‍♂️ ETF Exodus: Institutions are hitting the exits, cashing out amid the macro mess. 📉 Rangebound & Restless: BTC’s been loitering between $94k and $100k, waiting for a catalyst to break the boredom. ⚔️ Battle Zones (From Your Chart): • ⚠️ Liquidity Trap (89-90k): Could be a wick magnet if bears get their way. • 💣 Danger Zone (80-90k): A “negative catalyst” here could trigger panic selling. • 🚀 Break Above 100k: Sends us moonwalking to 106k+ (Jan 31 high). 🎯 Alpha Angle: If BTC holds the 90k line, bulls might flip the script and drive a 100k breakout. But a Fed-induced rug pull? See you at 80k. 👀 Eyes on the Prize: CPI data and Fed commentary are the dice rolls—play it smart. Bulls are eyeing expansion beyond 100k, but bears are lurking under 90k. Place your bets, but don’t overleverage your lunch money. 🚨 TL;DR: 100k+ = 🚀 | 89k = 🤕 | 80k = 😱 Let’s ride the volatility. No guts, no glory. 🫡
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bencryptoknight