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ETH Futures Contract (Mar 2025)ETH Futures Contract (Mar 2025)ETH Futures Contract (Mar 2025)

ETH Futures Contract (Mar 2025)

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ETHUSDH2025 trade ideas

Nine Spot ETFs Plunge ETH Prices. Will ETH Tank Further?The SEC approved the listing of nine spot ETH ETFs on 23/July. The launch of these ETFs was expected to drive capital flows with spot buying. But it didn’t. ETH prices plunged by 9% over the following two days. Crucially, the decline in the ETH/BTC ratio was a similar 9% as BTC remained resilient. Following what appears to be a sell-the-news event, the outlook for ETH remains mixed as GETH outflows are more than offsetting inflows to the other ETFs. The sharp price decline offers a buying opportunity. Take caution as the risk of further decline persists. Implied Volatility (IV) on puts increased while IV on call declined after spot ETF approvals. ETH ETF APPROVAL ACCOMPANIED BY PRICE DECLINE The SEC provided final approval for eight spot ETH ETFs to trade while also allowing the conversion of the ETHE trust to a spot ETF, making it nine spot ETH ETFs in total. Source: Farside ETH prices dropped by 1.3% on launch day clearly marking a "sell the news" event. ETH plunged nearly 9% over the next two days, returning to its 20/May levels. This earlier date in May marked the onset of rumors about the SEC's likely approval as covered previously . Crucially, the ETH/BTC ratio also declined, highlighting the specific negative impact on ETH distinct from the broader crypto market. OUTFLOWS FROM GRAYSCALE ETHEREUM TRUST DOMINATE NET ETF FLOWS ETH prices were pressured down by massive net outflows led by fund movement out from Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) chiefly due to steep expense ratio. These outflows far outpaced the inflows to other ETFs. Source: Farside Grayscale offers a lower cost alternative in the mini ETH ETF (ETH), inflows into it are small and inadequate to stem the outflow from the much larger ETHE. Launch of Spot BTC ETFs caused outflows from Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC). Investors then switched over to lower cost ETFs. This time though, the net effect on ETH ETFs has been much more negative. Crucially, outflows from GBTC continued for almost four months after spot ETF launch. ETHE outflows could also continue for a considerable period, dominating net flows in spot ETH ETFs for the foreseeable future. CALL IV HAS DECLINED FOLLOWING ETF LAUNCH IV skew for 25-delta options showed that calls were far more expensive than puts. This reversed sharply after the ETF launch on 24/July, making puts expensive relative to calls, signaling rising fears of pain for ETH prices in the near term. Source: CME QuikVol Though ATM IV has dipped somewhat following approval, it still remains elevated from last month. Source: CME QuikVol HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP ETH ETF launch has been a stark sell-the-news event. Prices have reversed gains. While spot buying may drive positive price action, recent flow analysis from ETH ETFs shows outflows from ETHE dominating. Like GBTC, this trend could continue for many months, with inflows to other ETFs muted, the net effect may be higher selling pressure in the coming weeks. Still, ETH prices have corrected sharply. It trades 12.5% higher from a major YTD support level and above the 200-day moving average. Consequently, ETH prices are unlikely to trend much lower from current levels. Breakout to the upside also remains unlikely in the near-term given the lack of major news flow. A bullish put spread is an astute trade set up to harvest elevated put IVs amid a narrow trading range. A bullish put spread consists of a short put at a higher strike combined with a long put at a lower strike. This position benefits from the net credit earned from the short put position net off the premium paid for the long put. Long put provides the crucial downside risk protection while also reducing the margin required. The proposed hypothetical trade set up comprises of short 3100 put combined with a long 3000 put on CME Micro Ether Options expiring in August. While the position offers a fixed upside and downside, it is crucial to note that the maximum loss for this position (USD -6.5) is higher than the maximum profit (USD 3.5). As such, the position would lose money in case the present downturn in ETH prices continues. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:MET1!
by mintdotfinance
Ethereum: Past Successes and Future ChallengesSince its inception in July 2015, Ethereum has undergone a remarkable ascent in value, surging from a mere $0.31 to its current price of $3,000. This represents an extraordinary return on investment of nearly 10,000 times, potentially transforming modest investments into substantial fortunes. However, the pivotal question remains: does Ethereum still harbor the potential to elevate investors to millionaire status? While Ethereum's past performance speaks volumes, the prospect becomes more ambiguous when considering its future trajectory. Upon its introduction in 2015, Ethereum held an unrivaled position as the premier smart contract blockchain platform, benefitting from a significant first-mover advantage. It wasn't until 2020, with the emergence of blockchain competitor Solana, that Ethereum faced its first credible challenger. Consider this scenario: visualize a prominent Silicon Valley tech giant enjoying an unparalleled five-year lead over its rivals. After such a substantial period, it would likely have solidified its dominance in market share, intellectual property, and customer loyalty, appearing virtually invincible. However, applying this analogy to Ethereum's situation reveals the daunting challenge of replicating its past success. The landscape has evolved considerably since Ethereum's inception, with numerous competitors vying for prominence. Unlike in 2015, Ethereum now contends with formidable competition, with three of the top 15 cryptocurrencies directly challenging its supremacy. Moreover, enthusiasm for Ethereum's ongoing blockchain upgrades has somewhat diminished. While the 2022 blockchain upgrade, known as The Merge, was undoubtedly impressive—comparable to changing the engine of a plane mid-flight—it also marked a turning point. Although The Merge notably enhanced Ethereum's performance, making it faster, more cost-effective, and efficient in transaction processing, the relentless pursuit of upgrades raises concerns about Ethereum's stability and long-term viability. Nevertheless, Ethereum's initial promise of delivering 1 million transactions per second remains unfulfilled, with the network relying on a complex array of Layer 2 blockchains to address scalability and functionality issues. The core Ethereum blockchain, known as Layer 1, struggles with speed and efficiency, necessitating several more upgrade cycles to introduce new adjustments and enhancements. While incremental innovation is commendable, there exists a notable distinction between incremental and truly disruptive innovation. This is where apprehension regarding Ethereum lies. The Merge may have marked the end of disruptive innovation, potentially paving the way for agile competitors to challenge Ethereum's dominance. Adding to the uncertainty is ongoing regulatory scrutiny from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Following The Merge, the SEC has yet to determine whether Ethereum should be classified as a commodity or a security. The transition to a proof-of-stake blockchain could have regulatory implications, particularly concerning the staking process, which some may interpret as an investment with profit expectations derived from others' efforts. This legal ambiguity holds significant implications for investors, as Bitcoin maximalists revel in Ethereum's regulatory uncertainty. There is a tangible risk that the SEC might classify Ethereum as a security, deterring many investors. Consider this scenario: achieving millionaire status from a $1,000 investment in cryptocurrency today would necessitate a 1,000-fold return on investment. Consequently, the pivotal question regarding Ethereum's potential as a millionaire-maker cryptocurrency revolves around whether it can appreciate by 1,000 times its current value of $3,000. Such a monumental rise would imply a staggering $3 million price per Ethereum coin in the foreseeable future. With Ethereum's circulating supply standing at 120 million coins, this would translate to a total market capitalization of $360 trillion—exceeding the current total market capitalization of the S&P 500, which is approximately $50 trillion. In essence, solely relying on past performance for investment decisions is akin to driving a car while fixating on the rearview mirror. It's imperative to shift focus towards Ethereum's potential to generate value in the future, rather than dwelling on its historical track record. Now, regarding the volume analysis and the chart provided: The price of the Future is currently under bearish pressure, characterized by low tick volumes. However, the price is above the 70% retracement from the previous swing, indicating a discount area for potential buying opportunities. Our strategy involves setting buy limits within an area of inefficiency, with stop losses positioned below. We anticipate the price to retrace to the Fair Value Point of Control (POC) and continue its upward trajectory.
CME:ETH1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
ETH completes the sell off - Halving in BTC will get us ATHSo the Ethereum Futures have finally filled the gap and IMHO we have now completed the bearish correction in the major crypto futures. I am now looking for both BTC and ETH to make higher highs and higher lows on the intraday charts. With the BTC chart, the volume and triangle/pennant pattern aligned with the correcting over time theory, and the ETH has done something similar. The difference is the weak holders of ETH just got shaken out as they thought today's price action was the start of a sell-off. For the bears, I would say, we would need to see a decent close at the lows of today's price action and for the volume to be high. From there you would want to see a retest of a high volume area on the profiles and then a decent sell off. I doubt we get that though. For the bulls, you want to see the current price action as a sweep of the stops below the lows. The filling of the gap means that the algo's have done their job and we need to see confirmation of this with rising volume, higher swing highs and higher swing lows. If the bulls win, we just buy the dips.
CME:ETH1!Long
by Macrobriefing
4
book sweep 🍒last post: one from 2022: --- there's many ways to label this run, but it will under no circumstances be labeled as an impulse. it's not a bullish nest, and it's not 5 waves up. chop city, that's all it is. ralph nelson elliott would look at this and snicker, tongue in cheek at what's about to come. --- now that the boomers are in, we're going to run it down, and the boomers are going to panic sell everything. --- calling this move a double zig-zag, subdivided into a 3-3-3. abc from the 2022 high, wxy from the 2022 low to the 2024 high, followed by an abc \ wxy down to about 900 usdt, into 2025. the move will happen quickly, because this time, the common mans average is near the highs. --- 1129 ☿ 🍒
CME:ETH1!
by notoriousbids
1
ETH Building an Investment Portfolio Building an Investment Portfolio: A Complete Guide to Managing Your Finances Introduction: Creating a solid investment portfolio is essential for achieving your long-term financial goals and ensuring your economic stability. In this comprehensive guide, we will provide you with the key steps to build an effective investment portfolio that you can manage yourself, allowing you to maximize your profits and minimize your risks. Define Your Financial Goals: Before you start building your investment portfolio, it's crucial to have a clear understanding of your financial goals. Are you saving for retirement, for your children's education, or to achieve financial freedom? Defining your financial goals will help you determine your investment time horizon and the amount of risk you are willing to take. Assess Your Risk Tolerance: Risk tolerance is an important factor to consider when building an investment portfolio. Are you willing to take on higher risks for potentially higher returns, or do you prefer a more conservative strategy? Assessing your risk tolerance will help you determine the appropriate asset allocation for your portfolio. Diversify Your Portfolio: Diversification is key to mitigating risk in your investment portfolio. By investing in a variety of asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, real estate, and commodities, you can reduce volatility and protect your capital against significant losses. Additionally, consider diversifying within each asset class to add an extra layer of protection. Choose the Right Investments: Once you have defined your goals, assessed your risk tolerance, and diversified your portfolio, it's time to select the right investments. Research different investment options, such as mutual funds, individual stocks, corporate bonds, and ETFs, and choose those that align with your goals and investment strategy. Monitor and Rebalance Your Portfolio: Building an investment portfolio is just the first step; it's equally important to regularly monitor your portfolio and make adjustments as needed. Rebalance your portfolio periodically to maintain the desired asset allocation and take advantage of new investment opportunities that may arise in the market. Conclusion: Creating a well-diversified and managed investment portfolio can be a powerful tool for achieving your long-term financial goals. By following these steps and maintaining a solid financial discipline, you can build a portfolio that provides financial security and helps you reach your dreams. Start building your path to financial freedom today!
CME:ETH1!
by Marcos_Castro
BTC Leads, ETH follows, Altcoins right behind, true?We hear that CRYPTOCAP:BTC runs 1st. Then CRYPTOCAP:ETH follows. Then #altcoins lag showing the biggest gains. Let's see how true that is Early 2021 Chart: 1 Extended #BTC a little bit more on the left to show that there was a run already in progress. 2 #Bitcoin led the rally & it also TOPPED earlier. Took #ETH a little longer to run. It topped later. It also sold off faster than its counterpart. ----------------- CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit a mid April peak CRYPTOCAP:ETH hit a mid May peak ETH fell faster & coincided with BTC on all bottoms, shown in the yellow box. #Ethereum resumed run was bigger, but was in conjunction with #Bitcoin. #BTC made a higher high on this run. However, while the #ETH run was bigger, peaking a month later both times, it made a lower high. ----------------- CRYPTOCAP:ETH bottomed right above 1k in Mid June - July & tested this in Nov. CRYPTOCAP:BTC bottomed at a lower price in November. Both put higher lows in the middle of March. Since then: #ETH has done a 4x! #BTC has done 4.5x & has new ATH! The #Bitcoin performance is pretty much the same but the technical is better. #Ethereum is still under the ATH & resistance is currently stopping. ***So far: The early 2021 run shows CRYPTOCAP:BTC was a clear leader, topped before $ETH. Later in the year, #BTC peaked first BUT did manage to make another high while #ETH did not. During bear market, the clear performer was #ethereum. It managed to bottom first, before BTC. #Bitcoin has similar performance in returns in similar time frames but has been more impressive technically. *** ----------------- CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 = NO CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH #altcoins follow similar trajectory to #ETH in early 2021 but outperformed it by a very good amount. The second half of #altcoinseason wasn't as strong as the first half but still outperformed #ethereum & coincided with patterns again. Smaller caps weakened first showing a loss for risk appetite. ----------------- #Altcoins perform more like CRYPTOCAP:BTC come August 2022. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 bottomed a month AFTER #BTC. This is shown in the yellow box. Since then, as a whole, smaller caps have severely underperformed #bitcoin & #ethereum by 50%! Granted, those in the right sectors have done well. Sectors like #AI #CryptoGaming & #memecoin. ----------------- CRYPTOCAP:BTC is at an ATH CRYPTOCAP:ETH is 20% away from its previous all time high. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 = is a whopping 50% from its all time high! *******Conclusion******* Not sure of the narrative being pushed for the last 2 years is correct. At least in reference to #altcoins as a whole. If you're in right sectors, yes, it is great! However, looking at the the data shows that most previous winners are severely lagging. Examples are CRYPTOCAP:BNB CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:AVAX BIST:LINK Hope you enjoyed this & get something out of it. (Very hard to show all this data here, Please see our profile for more data)
CME:ETH1!
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Not much of a pause for the ether rocketEthereum has had quite a run over the past six weeks. Yesterday's tiny pullback seems to have just set the stage for a further advance. This echoes the price action that prevailed until late summer 2022. From Labor Day 2022 until the end of January 2024, sideways price action gave Ethereum traders almost as many opportunities to be whipsawed as to make profits. A second-stage advance will find us adding to our long position if Ethereum can manage to hold above 3650 or so. If we do load the boat, we'll be ready to reverse on a pullback below 3450.
CME:MET1!
by SwingWaiter
Ethereum CME Futures Gap UpEthereum CME Futures testing Gap Up Support Resistance levels. Also Fibonacci 55% Retracement Level , First Touch Price Rejection. ...................................................................................................................... We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature. and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
CME:ETH1!
by CryptoTrend-Alerts
Three corrective waves are enough and continue? Deeper correctivDear Friends, I hope this message finds you well and that you're having a great start to the week. I wish you success in your business endeavors. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it a valuable tool for analyzing the market. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. I am sharing my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. I aim to share my unbiased analysis with you so that you can use it as a guide to make informed decisions. The first analysis is Litecoin In the attachment, you will find my previous analysis of the same market, so you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand (although having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily). I have been studying the Elliott Wave principle for almost three years now. With time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has increased. What I have achieved so far is a legacy of a genius named Ralph Nelson Elliott, and I am truly satisfied with my progress. May his soul rest in peace and his memory be cherished. Thank you for your support so far. I am grateful and will always remember your kindness. Please feel free to share your thoughts and feedback with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely,
CME:ETH1!Long
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP