Silver Ballistic Phase - Give it the Benefit of the DoubtSilver appearing to be in a short squueze.
Watch for my opinion
XAGUSD1! trade ideas
Volume Surge in SILVER Futures!!How the Demand in Silver came from sub 100 contracts to over 400k contracts on weekly basis in last few months. What is ahead is what volume speaks.
SILVER | XAGUSD Weekly Outlook Oct 21st: Wait For BUYS!This weekly forecast is for Oct 21 - 25th.
After closing last week with a strong bullish candle, the week ahead maintains a bullish bias.
Be mindful of a short term pullback this week, as price tends to retrace after breaking swing highs. Just remain patient and wait for valid buy setups in this case.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Silvers look bullishseems silver preparing for a good move ahead....after retracement it again started the move removing the weaker hands
Cycles and Sentiment may no Longer Matter - SilverWatch video for more detail on the trajectory for silver's next move
EDIT: in the video I said "convert unleveraged to leveraged"
I mean to say take profit on leveraged positions and convert to unleveraged accordingly depending on how quickly we approach 35-40
Today was "THEE" tell-Silver's Artificial Price Cap IneffectiveAfter a 2 week rally in the DXY, silver, and even more so, gold price were nearly unaffected.
As i suspected last night, mild weakness in the DXY could trigger a massive move in silver - this suggests the artificial suppression of the metal via the futures market is being overwhelmed by worldwide physical purchases, likely leading to a short squeeze if my prediction played out. Follow through on Monday will likely confirm this and is a huge bullish signal.
After just a 1/3 of a percent drop in the DXY as it hit its head on the 200DMA, bullion banks could not touch silver, suggesting a failed attempt to suppress price and potential short squeeze underway.
I am looking for 40$ silver within the next 3 weeks of a DXY decline, possibly into a left translated DCL
Please watch for more details
SILVER HUGE BREAKOUT!!! Long and Strong NASDAQ:XAG Silver has broken above key resistance level. Any retrace towards mid $32's is a buy although we might not even get such a retrace... its looking extremely bullish right now.
Gold & Silver Ripping Higher. Should You Be Cautious Of A CrashThis video highlights the recent rally in Gold and Silver and covers some basic information related to the risk of a US/Global market crash event.
Take a minute to try to understand why Gold & Silver are rallying away from the Breakaway phase and into the Expansion phase.
This is a huge opportunity for traders if they understand why Gold and Silver are rallying like they are.
This is not a move of Panic and global market contagion. This move is related to metals being extremely undervalued compared to global market risk factors. Metals must appreciate in order to properly reflect the risks related to the global markets.
Gold may rally well above $5500 and Silver may rally well above $65 before the end of 2026. Are you ready for that move?
Pay attention & Get Some.
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DXY Getting Rady to Roll Over-The Cartel Has its Hands FullAs the dollar will start to make its next move down expect a big rally from precious metals
Watch for detail
silver reversion / bullish tradelooks like it will hit long term resistance after shaking out weak hands
Silver Soars amid China’s Stimulus and Investment DemandSilver’s dual role in both investment and industry makes it highly sensitive to economic slowdowns but also well-positioned to thrive during periods of strong growth.
Silver prices have surged 30% year-to-date, driven by a fourth consecutive year of supply deficit, soaring demand from the expanding photovoltaic (PV) industry, and spillover momentum from gold, which has also risen about 30% this year.
However, unlike gold, silver remains well below its 2011 peak of USD 50/oz. With bullish sentiment building, the question remains—could silver catch up with gold’s blistering performance?
CHINA’s STIMULUS SUPPORTS SILVER
China’s broad stimulus announcement supports a bullish view on silver. The announcement of the massive stimulus package in China drove a 4% rally in silver prices. However, since then, further announcements have failed to drive a similar rally in silver.
The scale of the stimulus package was the largest since the pandemic. The stimulus package included a 50 basis point cut in the Reserve Ratio Requirement for Chinese banks which is expected to free up about 1 trillion yuan of liquidity. The stimulus package also included a 20 basis point cut to the 7-day repo rate, as well as a 30 basis point cut to the medium-term lending facility.
Over the past weekend, China announced additional broad stimulus measures, signalling a “significant increase” in debt. While the exact scale of new debt issuance remains uncertain, the scope and tone of the announcement reflect the government’s commitment to delivering sufficient monetary support to revive the struggling economy.
The stimulus package benefits silver through multiple channels. It bolsters industrial demand by driving increased activity from PV and electronics manufacturers. Additionally, improved consumer sentiment is likely to boost silver consumption in the form of jewellery and electronics.
RUSSIA TO INCLUDE SILVER IN PRECIOUS METALS STRATEGY
According to a report by InterFax , the Russian Finance Ministry is considering adding silver to its State Fund's precious metal holdings. Although the volume of potential acquisitions remains unclear, this move represents a new source of demand for silver.
PV PRODUCTION AND INSTALLATIONS REMAIN STRONG
PV production continues to thrive, boosting silver demand. Data from Ember Climate shows that global solar installations are 29% higher than last year. This growth has remained steady throughout the year, with several agencies, including the IEA and S&P Global, continuously raising their forecasts for annual installations in recent months.
Source: Ember Climate
The growth slowdown observed in China last April has since reversed, with solar additions rising sharply and projected to close the year 28% higher year-over-year. The easing of installation curbs in June played a key role in supporting this renewed growth.
Source: Ember Climate
MASSIVE ETF INFLOWS SINCE JULY
Silver ETFs have experienced significant inflows in recent months, indicating strong investor interest. Since July 1, cumulative flows into four U.S.-listed silver ETFs have reached USD 942 million. Notably, over USD 400 million flowed in following the Fed’s first rate cut in September. A lower interest rate environment encourages investment in non-yielding assets like silver and boosts industrial demand.
COMEX SILVER OPTIONS SIGNAL BULLISH SENTIMENT
Source: CME QuikStrike
COMEX Silver Options positioning suggests a strong bullish sentiment. Overall OI put/call ratio is at 0.52 suggesting nearly twice as many calls as puts. Options skew points to higher IV for calls relative to puts suggesting higher demand.
Moreover, bullish positioning has only increased since the disappointing announcement by the National Development and Reform Council (NDRC), China’s top economic planner, on 8/Oct with a large call buildup on the December expiry.
Source: CME QuikStrike
SEASONALITY POINTS TO BULLISH OCTOBER
Seasonality in silver prices since 2015 suggests a bullish outlook for October. 78% of the time, the month has returned positive returns for silver with an average increase of 1.7% and a low standard deviation of returns.
The outlook is even more bullish for December which has yielded a 4% gain on average.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
The fundamental outlook for silver remains bullish with support from China’s stimulus package, central bank interest, sustained PV demand, and ETF inflows.
Silver prices have remained in an uptrend year to date due to the convergence of these factors. However, prices have struggled to cross past USD 33/oz, with this level acting as a strong resistance. Prices have retraced sharply from near this level thrice this year.
The most recent reversal came after China’s stimulus announcement.
Investors can express a bullish view on Silver using CME Micro Silver futures. Each Micro Silver futures contract provides exposure to 1000 troy ounces (1/5th the size of a full silver futures contract) and requires margin of USD 2,300 as of 14/Oct.
A hypothetical trade setup using CME Micro Silver futures expiring in December offering a reward to risk ratio of 1.67x is described below:
Entry: 31.595
Target: 33.66
Stop Loss: 30.36
Profit at Target: USD 2,065 ( (33.66 – 31.595) x 1000)
Loss at Stop: USD 1,235 ( (30.36 – 31.595) x 1000)
Reward to risk: 1.67x
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
The Power of TrendinesA comprehensive review of the multi-year cycle lows in the precious metals complex
Silver Breakout Likely within Weeks - 32.75 Line in the SandSilver approaching 32.75 level after completing a corrective move this week.
37.75 is the line in the sand. A close above this level will confirm a historical breakout.
35 is almost certain and 40-45 a possibility before undergoing a larger, intermediate level correction.
Watch for more detail.
Top 13 Iron Watchlist + Silver Price Action [3 Min. Video]On the 19 th October i will reveal
to you my 2025 trading strategy
am still testing this watchlist that's
why I need time
to develop it before I reveal it to you
but be prepared because
on that day I will show it
to you in full either on video
or article.. or both!!
Silver is one of the assets that's on
the "Top 13 Iron Watchlist"
To learn more watch this video
to see why silver is a good buy
and why you should create a watchlist for your
trading plan in the future.
Remember to rocket boost
this content to learn more.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky you will lose
money whether you like it or not
please learn risk management
and profit taking strategies.
Time to Ride the #Silver Wave!!! +12% potential PROFITIt doesn't get easier than this.
We have a bullish daily t@m expiring on Oct 3rd.
Targets of $33.5 and $35.2
Entry at low $31's
Stop at $30.6
Gold & Silver Have Confirmed An Attempt To New ATHsWatch this video to understand how Fibonacci Price Theory suggests Gold & Silver are moving in a bullish price trend - attempting to break recent resistance levels.
I believe Gold and Silver will continue to rally, reflecting global capital risk factors, and break to new ATHs before the end of 2024.
My target for Gold by Dec 31, 2024 is $3030-$3250.
My target for Silver by Dec 31, 2024 is $34.5-$37.50.
Here we go.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Can SILVER BREAKOUT above 32.50?Silver (along with every other beaten down commodity) exploded on the news of China's stimulus! Unfortunately for silver bugs "somebody" was lying in wait with a mighty big hammer when it poked its head above 32.50.
In a vacuum the fundamentals (supply/demand) are incredibly bullish. However in the macro context of China's housing and economic woes there is a bear case to be made for base and industrial metals. If Copper starts rolling over I expect Silver to follow. Raw cash injections might keep Chinese stocks afloat but I do not believe it alter the reality of the real economy and its effect on commodities.
In addition to the issues with China, the US is at serious risk of a recession. 50 basis point cut has never been bullish. If you take the time to look at the last initial 50 basis point cuts it might curb your enthusiasm. I know... this time "its different"
TECHNICALS:
Silver may retrace to the $30 breakout level.... Great re-entry... if it holds... ( ;
If Silver is able to hold above 32.50 the rally remains intact.
SILVER LONG TERMLong term silver chart
1)shorter term correction likely over
2)42-47 next
3) If you didn't buy under 30, buy before 32.75
Targets
45
50
77
3-5 years 585
FLAG PATTERN IN SILVER! BREAKOUT OR FAKEOUT?Silver Update (4-Hour Time Frame)
Pattern: Bull flag pattern forming, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
Fundamental Outlook: Gold prices hit a new all-time high following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, signaling positive momentum for precious metals.
Key Levels:
Support at 89,030.
Breakout Confirmation: A strong move above 90550 will confirm the bullish breakout.
Target Level: Watching for price movement towards the 93000 - 93800
Risk Management: make sure to put stoploss
Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis based on the provided data and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: SILVER | XAGUSDSILVER | XAGUSD is in position to make more gains. My bias is bullish, and I am looking out for long setups.
41.140 is my invalidation line. Should price break below this price, I will change my bias to bearish.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Silver ~ Is this top lasting?In EW speak, this is still a bullish chart. So long as the blue box region holds, there's a chance to reverse higher soon. Don't want to see it lose that major support zone in red down below... tick tock.
