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XAUTRY1! trade ideas

GOLD Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators. * Trend is Based on TrapZone Color * Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves. * Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand -------------------- 1-18-2024 GREEN UMVD pushing the price UP with a strong RED TrapZone at the moment. See higher Time Frame Analysis below
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by SnowflakeTrader
It seems gold's time to fall has arrived !!!In the 1-hour time frame, we can currently see that gold has formed a higher low in a descending triangle pattern, which tends to indicate that the price could fall to the support level within the rectangle, which is the support level according to the 99-period moving average in the daily time frame. If it breaks below the upper resistance at the polarity point, it could drop further. On the volume side, we can clearly see heavy selling volumes, while at the support levels, the buying volumes are lower, signaling that the price has the potential to shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. The volume profile at support and resistance levels suggests gold may be transitioning from an uptrend to a downtrend based on the technical evidence.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by WIPHOO
1
Gold COMEX Future - Intraday Levels - 14th March 2024For your Analysis and Study only If Sustain above 2181 then 2185 then 2193 then 2195 then 2198 above this more bullish movement can be expected If Sustain below 2175 then 2171 then 2166 then 2163 then 2161 then 2158 or 2153 then 2145 to 2144 then 2142 to 2140 then 2135 below this more bearish movement can be expected Consider some buffer points in above levels. Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer -  I am not a registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock and commodities trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
COMEX:GC1!
by PrashantTaralkar
Gold looking for the fifth wave! Is this correction enough?Greetings Dear analysts and traders, I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering different scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. It should be noted that I do not like to be surprised in the market, and that's why I have different market prospects. I follow them to be sure and recognize the structure that is forming so that I can 100% recognize it. I will share my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is completely unbiased, so if the idea analysis meets your standards, you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision. I have attached my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand. However, having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily. I have been studying the Elliott Wave Principle for almost three years now, and over time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has grown. What I have achieved so far is the legacy of a genius called Ralph Nelson Eliot, and I am really happy with my progress. May peace be upon him. Thank you for your support so far. I will always remember your kindness. Please share your comments and criticisms with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely, Mr. Nobody If the US dollar strengthens and its correlation with gold is inverse, indicating a corrective structure in the larger wave.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by mehdi47abbasi79
Can the HOUSE capitalize SHORT on the counter-trend PULLBACK...?COMEX:GC1! A wise man once said, 'The Market Pays You To Be DISCIPLINED' So Family...Here on Gold I have constructed a High Probable SHORT set-up for the HOUSE to CAPITALIZE on! Below I will break down my narrative in gr8 detail to understand the reason why... Vibe w/ me... 1) Starting on the Daily TF buyers pushed price all the way up and swept December's HIGH with a candle closure above pricing ($2171.5)...& Also swept a descending eR/LQ Trend to the upside with candle closure above PUSHING INTO Premium Pricing levels AKA (GOLD is EXTREMELY EXPENSIVE RII NOW) ***Yu see the market is made up of humans just like you and me who are created with emotions. Now this is just my perception, but being that gold is extremely HIGH & expensive rii now, what does that mean? People are going to start selling at the HIGH rii...Exactly! They fear Gold dropping anyway being that is so expensive, so they sell to lock-in & protect their profits. AND this is the move we will be looking to capitalize on! ON THEIR FEAR!!! 2) On the 4Hr TF we have an unmitigated Demand zone and this will the the #1 confirmation I need to see Fail in order to scale Short... Soon as sellers break this 4Hr demand zone, That will be out 1st confirmation that the counter trend pullback may be getting ready to happen... Stay on Point, it's $$$ on the line... 3) Underneath the 4Hr Demand zone is a MAJOR Weekly Resistance turned Support Level ($2160.0) and that will be the #2nd confirmation I need to see fail in order to enter short... ***Price needs to close underneath with strong conviction under 4Hr Demand and the Weekly Support level on both the 30&15m in order for me to scale short...***Also price needs to be trading underneath the RED V-Wap on the 1He TF and below as final confirmation...Always a plus to be trading in favor of the V-Wap...IMO 4) If and when we can get the sequence of events to happen then I will be compelled to scale SHORT on the retest of the Weekly S&R Level ($2160.00), Always cover the high for STOPS and target the next unmitigated 4Hr Demand Zone around ($2040.00) Roughly a 200 point move. Can easily catch a solid +2.5-3R % Gain depending on your management system... ***OH and this is just something I might add...When it comes to your stop losses, ALWAYS Place your stops outside of a fluctuation zone and in a place where it would in-validate the trade once hit...That way its easier to accept the L if taken cuz you were 100% wrong...its helps me hope it can help you as well...This Trade is considered Counter Trend so we need to skilled in our entries and even more our exits... Stay Focused, Stay Disciplined... Shalom+ ***Remember nothing in the market is set in stone, We play the long-term game of probability... However I am very confident in my reading of PA...Lets get to it $$$$$ +2.5R % Gain this Week! It's been spoken!! Now lets sit back N stalk like the Saltwater CROC!!! #BHM500K #NewERA
COMEX:GC1!Short
by TreyHighPwr
Gold COMEX Future - Intraday Levels - 13th March 2024For your Analysis and Study only If Sustain above 2165 to 2166 then 2169 then 2171 to 2173 then 2180 to 2182 or 2183 then 2187 then 2193 2195 or 2196 above this more bullish movement can be expected If Sustain below 2161 then 2156 to 2154 or 2153 then 2145 to 2144 then 2142 to 2140 then 2135 below this more bearish movement can be expected Consider some buffer points in above levels. Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer -  I am not a registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock and commodities trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
COMEX:GC1!
by PrashantTaralkar
UPDATE: Gold almost VERTICAL! Target remains at $2,236Gold has been moving very nicely this year. First it broke out of a MASSIVE Symmetrical Triangle that lasted an entire year of sideways movements. Then it shot up, formed a W Formation and then just rallied up with a high inclination. I'm talking over 60 degrees up. So, the momentum is strong (bubble style) but still strong. And the target remains at $2,236. We could then get some consolidation and some steam off by SMart Money, before the buying saga continues. I'm a raging gold bull!
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Timonrosso
Are gold prices expected to fall?If you would like to be notified whenever I post a new article, just click "FOLLOW" at the top. Also, if you would like to elaborate on a particular topic or need some advice, please comment below the article and I will be happy to help. Contrary to popular belief, in times of low interest rates and accommodative monetary policies, gold is not the best investment. One of the main reasons gold is seen as a favorable investment is because the resumption of Quantitative Easing (QE) and zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) has a positive impact on its value. Usually, when the fiat currency is devalued, durable goods such as gold become more valuable. During periods of low interest rates, it is important to find zero-yielding assets such as gold that can still be attractive to investors. In this scenario, the yield loss is less significant than in situations where interest rates are higher. For example, if rates were at 10 percent, the opportunity cost of gold would be higher than if interest rates were at 2 percent. This means that during these periods, gold could become more attractive as a form of investment. However, if we look at past data, we see that this has never happened. According to the data, gold tends to depreciate relative to stocks when monetary policy is more accommodative (even if its face value in currency increases). But why does this happen? The reason is still uncertain and can be attributed to the human behavior of traders. However, there are some dynamics that may help explain this phenomenon: in an environment of low interest rates and inflation fears, investors may prefer to pursue higher returns by taking on more risk. Despite its limited opportunity cost, gold remains an attractive investment for rational investors. However, not all investors act rationally, and over the past decade we have seen many people prefer nonprofit startups to gold or dividend investments. During phases of expansionary monetary policy, the nominal value of gold increases relative to fiat currency. This prompts miners to mine more gold, further increasing the nominal value of gold. Demand for gold is constant and is often driven by fear and uncertainty in the markets. However, gold has limited practical utility and can be mined at will, which keeps its prices artificially low. In addition, as a non-cash flow-generating asset, investors may prefer more profitable assets in a yield-hungry and inflation-influenced economic environment. Unlike corporations or real estate, gold is unable to raise prices to adjust for rising inflation, leaving it dependent on its perceived scarcity to thrive as an investment. One of the most interesting advantages of Trading View is the ability to observe futures curves. As can be seen, the curve is sloped upward and shows a Contango trend. This means that future prices are greater than the current spot price, causing an upward sloping forward curve. To the extent that we get closer to the expiration of the contract, the gap between the spot price and the future price decreases, leading to convergence of the curve toward the spot price. Under contango conditions, there is a high probability that investments will generate negative returns in the medium term. This makes me a bit skeptical about future gold prices. My model forecasts for the next quarter indicate a gold price in the 2000 area, with the beginning of a sideways market phase. This means that there could be a period of stability in prices after reaching this level. We look forward to seeing you in the next article! And remember, for successful trading always rely on Tradingview: an indispensable tool that can help you avoid serious mistakes during your trades. www.tradingview.com
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Antonio_Ferlito
a daily price action after hour update - goldGood evening and i hope you are well. bull case: Everything above 2100 is uber bullish because most long term bears already covered, so we could range much more at the highs. Bulls see the sell off by the bears today as weak and they keep the buying pressure on. If you look at the 1h chart, we currently have wild swings up and down on some 1h candles. Some are > 1%. Bulls now want a break above the bear wedge from today and trade back to 2180 to test higher prices. I’m unsure if we will find more buyers than sellers there but if you look at the daily chart, the move last week was so strong that bulls are obviously still in full control of the market. bear case: Today was the second day where the Globex open was the high of the day and bulls are not stepping in enough. Was 2202 the high? Could be but the sell off is weak. Bears need to do more and get follow through tomorrow. Market also formed a bear wedge which could break above and market is probably expecting a retest of 2200. If bears can keep it below 2180, bulls might take more profits and we get lower prices. Also there is the slight possibility of today being W1 and we get a measured move down to around 2120 but again, this is very low probability. short term: Sideways to up but 2200 could continue to be big resistance - invalid below 2150 medium-long term: Down to at least 1850 over the next 2 years — unchanged trade of the day: selling near the 1h 20ema since bulls could not close above and buying 2160 since bears could not close below - sounds fishy but look back at charts and see how many times that’s a profitable strategy on the day.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
Gold COMEX Future - Intraday Levels - 12th March 2024 For your Analysis and Study only If Sustain above 2177 then 2183 then 2185 to 2187 then 2202 then 2211 If Sustain below 2171 then 2166 then 2154 then 2144 then 2137.0 Consider some buffer points in above levels. Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer -  I am not a registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock and commodities trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
COMEX:GC1!
by PrashantTaralkar
Small Window of opportunity for the HOUSE to go SHORT...?COMEX:GC1! I have been watching GOLD very very closely as it has been trending very heavily to the upside with very little opportunity if close to none to play SHORT...Now after much down time and patience we may finally have an opportunity. Here is what I will be looking for to go SHORT! 1) Buyers have pushed price up and broke a strong monthly resistance level around around ($2060.00) ***On the 4Hr TF we already have a strong rejection at that level with a minor resistance level also ($2165.0) that sellers have rejected and now pushing price lower... 2) I want to price close below ($2060.00) on both the 30&15m candle with enough conviction below for me to be interested in participating SHORT. ***Remember this trade will be considered counter trend so we need to be skilled in our entry and ever more the exit... 3) If we can get the close below monthly resistance level ($2060.00) on the 30&15m candles and PA trading underneath the red VWAP then I will be highly interested in going short targeting the next major 4Hr Demand Zone.... ****Remember nothing is set in stone we simply play the longterm game of probability... Now lets sit back N stalk like the Saltwater CROC!!! Waiting for further confirmation to enter...
COMEX:GC1!Short
by TreyHighPwr
Gold COMEX Future - Intraday Levels - 7th March 2024 For your Analysis and Study only If Sustain above 2156 then 2170 to 2172 then 2199 to 2202 If Sustain below 2156 then 2141 to 2139 then 2131 then 2110 Consider some buffer points in above levels. Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer -  I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
COMEX:GC1!
by PrashantTaralkar