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XAUUSD1! trade ideas

Buying the Dip or Catching a Knife? My Gold Setup Explained.Entered a long position on XAU/USD from the 1H demand zone following sharp intraday selling into a key support level. With gold hovering near $3,300 and a significant testimony from Fed Chair Powell on deck, the setup aligns with both technical rebound potential and fundamental uncertainty that could fuel upside. The goal here is to play the liquidity vacuum left after aggressive positioning was cleared, with tight invalidation and asymmetric reward. Technicals: • Entry aligned with prior price inefficiency and confluence of multiple demand zones • 1H structure shows clear deviation below the range with immediate buy-side response • EMA channel flattening, indicating potential compression ahead of expansion • First target: $3,352 • Risk-managed with defined stop-loss below $3,260 Execution Note: This is not a “hold forever” trade. It’s an opportunistic reaction to unwind + sentiment imbalance. Fundamentals • Gold saw a 25% surge in 2024 due to safe-haven demand and dovish policy, but enters 2025 under pressure from: ▫️ A strong USD ▫️ Higher cost of carry ▫️ Speculators taking profit • Fed policy remains the core variable: ▫️ A hawkish tone from Powell could weigh on price ▫️ Rate cuts would likely revive bullish momentum • Central bank demand remains supportive • Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran) could trigger safe-haven bids again. Bearish headwinds: • Waning bullish momentum per RSI divergence • Reduced rate cut expectations post-election • Powell’s testimony could revive volatility either way. This is a short-term tactical long, not a macro bet. With sentiment temporarily overextended and key support defended intraday, this is a high R/R window to exploit Powell-related volatility. Let’s see how price reacts into $3,350+. Any sustained strength there would open room toward $3,400, while failure would confirm a retest of $3,260s. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by AR33_
Gold Update: Possible Triangular Consolidation Before New RallyIt looks like corrective wave 4 is in the making within a large Triangle 3 waves A, B and C already emerged in 3-waves structure which confirms triangle Wave D should stay under the top of wave B Wave E could either touch or break down the support line It should keep above the valley of wave C Target area changed higher as this consolidation tends to narrowing within a contracting triangle. Lowest target now $3,900 Optimistic target is at $4,300 Breakdown below $3,123 would invalidate the pattern
COMEX:GC1!Long
by aibek
Double Top Breakdown at Resistance ZoneThe chart reveals a classic Double Top pattern formation near the 3,360–3,480 resistance zone, followed by a clear bearish rejection (highlighted with red arrows). This confirms the presence of strong supply pressure in that region. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🔺 Double Top Pattern The price formed two swing highs near the resistance zone, failing to break above. After the second peak, the price started declining, confirming the reversal pattern. 📉 Bearish Channel The recent downtrend is contained within a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price broke below the neckline of the double top pattern around 3,270. 🎯 Target Projection Based on the height of the double top pattern, the projected downside target is near 3,207.5, aligning perfectly with the support zone marked below. 🟠 Historical Support Areas The large orange circles indicate key reaction points, confirming that the 3,207–3,220 area has acted as support in the past. 📊 Outlook: If the current bearish momentum continues, price is likely to head towards the support target zone at 3,207.5. Any pullback toward 3,320–3,350 could provide a shorting opportunity with stops above the recent highs. 🔧 Bias: Bearish 📍 Resistance: 3,360–3,480 📍 Support: 3,207–3,220 📍 Target: 3,207.5
BIST:XAUUSD1!
by MrStellanSight
8
Long & Short Entry Forecast For GoldCooling war tensions seem to be cooling the Gold bullish rally as well. But we're still in the same range since April 15th and will likely stay in the range until further notice *or the next tweet* The Sell entry is great now cos we're near the top of the high volume node, so even if we consolidate around that POC this sell entry will still be putting us closest to the top of the node. Hold your sell and TP at the VAL . We have a very deep low volume area there and its being a point of support since April. So we can place bets with small risk on hoping it holds cos if it doesn't, it wont be pretty. That is still the best place to buy regardless. So manage your risk accordingly TP 1 for the Buy trade is at the POC , which also happens to be the top of the huge volume node. Totally make sense to take a decent chunk of profit of your position there, then move you stop loss into profit and grab some pop corn. Depending on the news , the best case scenario of for the uptrend is to continue all the way up to TP2 which is at the VAH Secure the bag :) Enjoy
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by ExoProtocol
8
Gold 4H-figment of my imagination. Chart Overview: Timeframe: 4H (MCX) Current Price: ₹95,524 Volume: 1.6K Trend: Short-term bearish 📉 Observations: 1. Break of Support Zones: Multiple support zones have been drawn on the chart: Around ₹96,200, ₹94,700, ₹91,800, and finally near ₹86,600–82,200. Price is now trading below the ₹96,200 support, showing clear weakness. 2. Structure: This looks like a lower high – lower low formation. Recent price action has broken previous swing lows, indicating bearish momentum continuation. 3. Next Key Supports: ₹94,700 – could act as the next immediate support (minor bounce possible) ₹91,800 – stronger historical zone ₹86,600 to ₹82,200 – major demand zone (strong support last seen in April) 4. Volume Analysis: Volume hasn’t spiked significantly on the recent fall, suggesting no panic yet, but also lack of buying interest. 📌 Conclusion: The trend is weak and corrective, favoring sell on rise until price reclaims ₹96,200 convincingly. Safe buy zone: Near ₹91,800–₹86,600, if price shows reversal signals. Watch out: If ₹91,800 breaks, ₹86,600 or even ₹82,200 could be tested.
MCX:GOLD1!
by Pushpmegh
Gold, GC!, Sideway to the Downside (Long Term)06/30/2025, 10:30 PM PT GC! is currently at its max around 3,500. On the Weekly MACD, the crossover between MACD lind signal line already happened. There is also a bearish divergence on weekly chart. On the Daily chart, RSI just crosses below 50 on RSI, and MACD shows weakness on the bull (it still not in the bear's territory just yet). Reversasl to bear side may happen if price stays below 3,200 Bullish will continues if price break out of all time high Current range for big timeframe from 3,200 - 3,500 Plan for swing trade: Bullish Case (short term): break trendline. If hold above 3,360, price could go up to 3,400 -> 3,450 Bearish Case (short term): If price rejects and stays below 3,360, price could go down 3,310 -> 3,280 ***Disclaimer: This analysis and trade plan are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by haytinnhau123
1
STEEL-NERVE SETUP – ARE WE RE-LIVING GOLD’S 2020 BEAR-TRAP?Retail sentiment is ultra-bearish, positioning is cooling, Silver is outperforming and the S&P 500 is screaming risk-on … exactly the cocktail we saw in June 2020, right before Gold & Silver exploded higher. 1️⃣ WHY THIS FEELS LIKE 2020 AGAIN 2025 (now) 2020 (pre-rally) Read-through > 70 % of TradingView ideas are bearish 💬 > 60 % were bearish Crowd may be offsides again Managed-money net-longs -18 % from April peak 📉 -25 % from March peak Powder for fresh longs First monthly ETF outflow (-$1.8 bn) 🚪 Record inflows Capitulation, not euphoria Gold/Silver ratio down to 94 ⚖️ Fell to 95 Silver leadership = bottoming tell S&P 500 at new ATH 📈 S&P at new ATH Risk-on backdrop identical 2️⃣ WHAT’S DIFFERENT THIS TIME Real 10-y TIPS yield +0.7 % (2020: -1 %) → smaller monetary tail-wind. Gold already at inflation-adjusted ATH → upside could be shorter & sharper, not a fresh super-cycle (yet). 3️⃣ CHECKLIST FOR A REAL BEAR-TRAP Signal Watch-level Gold holds $3 200–3 250 (100-d SMA + fib) Daily close above zone Gold/Silver ratio breaks < 90 Momentum confirmation CFTC net-longs < 150 k Position flush ETF flows turn positive Fear → FOMO S&P stumbles / vols spike Classic risk-bid for Gold Need 3 of 5 boxes ticked to validate the squeeze thesis. 4️⃣ CATALYST CALENDAR 3 Jul – NFP: sub-75 k print could fire the opening salvo. 9 Jul – Tariff freeze decision: escalation would revive safe-haven demand. 15 Jul – CPI & 30-31 Jul – FOMC: dovish turn + soft data could complete the squeeze. Disclaimer: This post reflects my personal opinion for educational purposes only; it is not financial advice. Trading futures and commodities involves substantial risk and can lead to total loss of capital—do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified professional before acting.
COMEX:GC1!
by AustrianTradingMachine
1
Navigating Gold Futures: Support, Resistance, and ProjectionsCOMEX:GC1! The chart appears to depict a clear five-wave pattern: I, II, III, IV, and V. Waves I to III show strong upward movements, indicating bullish sentiment. Wave IV looks like it could be a corrective phase, with a potential dip before another upward movement in Wave V. Support and Resistance Levels: The horizontal lines around 2,800 and 2,575.3 indicate critical Fibonacci retracement levels (38.20% and 50%). If the price approaches these levels during the correction, they could serve as support, making it a potential buying opportunity. RSI Indicator: From the bottom indicator (RSI), we can see fluctuations in momentum, which can aid in timing trades. Look for interpretations of the RSI: if it trends towards the extremes (overbought/oversold), that could signal reversal points. Future Projections: Should the market respect the outlined support levels, Wave V could potentially push towards a new high above 4,000 as indicated by the upward projection. Market Sentiment: Overall, the pattern suggests a bullish outlook long-term, but caution is warranted during corrective phases as prices might retrace towards support levels.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Trwin
Is time to be a Gold Bull?Gold has been steadily repricing lower prices since June 16th after it took out May 16th's High. On Friday, June 27th, Gold moved into the Daily BISI (+FVG) zone and retraced upside. We may see another lower prices to purge the sellside liquidity before reverse upside for the short term. I don't expect another ATH next month, unless we have the right catalyst to do so. I'd anticipate for the price action to remain inside a large consolidation within the current Dealing Range as indicated in the chart. My Bullish case will be if price breaks above the 3500 convincingly, and the Bearish case if it breaks below 3120 convincingly also. In the meantime, we'll have to be satisfied playing tic tac toe inside the range. Don't get married to a strict bias at this time. Stay nimble, and let the price presents itself to you.
COMEX:GC1!
by Martingale_FX
Global Gold at the Crossroads of CrisisGold’s response to historic geopolitical crises demonstrates that while “big fear” is rapidly priced in, the durability of rallies—or the depth of corrections—depends on a confluence of monetary policy, dollar valuation, oil prices, and the genuine scale of the threat. At present, the gold market sits squarely between global “fear of instability” and “hope for de-escalation.” Divergent signals from the Fed, global central banks, and oil markets only deepen volatility, making investor decisions more complex. As previous wars (Iran–Iraq, Ukraine) have shown, gold is prone to both scenarios, but its long-term direction will be shaped by a mix of economic, policy, and psychological factors.
COMEX:GC1!
by amir.etasi
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week. On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25. We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear. In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
COMEX:GC1!Short
by LeapTrades
7
GOLD Can Turn Bearish Now, After Completing a 50% Retracement!GOLD futures analysis for Wed Jun 26th. Price reached the -FVGand is reacting to it now. This, after pulling back tothe 50% fib. Should the FVG fail, Gold is bullish. This is not supported by fundamentals, though. As the market environment is more risk on than off, I expect the -FVG to hold, and the retracement of the last impulsive move down to end, and a new bearish leg to begin. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
3
Bearish Rejection from SupplyDuring the NY session open, Gold (GC1!) broke above the 30-min ORB high at 3335.8, briefly entering a known supply zone (3342–3345). The move lacked follow-through and immediately reversed — signalling a liquidity sweep and classic NY session trap setup. This invalidates the bullish breakout and supports a short-biased play back toward the ORB low and into deeper demand. Trade Details: Entry: 3336.0 (short after failed breakout + rejection candle) Stop Loss: 3342.0 (above the supply zone high) Take Profit 1: 3327.1 (ORB low) Take Profit 2: 3320.0 (prior demand zone) Take Profit 3 (optional): 3315.0 (liquidity void fill) Risk:Reward: ~1:1.3 to TP1, ~1:2.2 to TP2 Position Type: Short Execution Time Frame: 5-min/15-min Model Tags: Liquidity Sweep, NY Session Fade, Supply Rejection 🔍 Quant Notes: Price action exhibited a false breakout — NY session opened with an expansion move above ORB high, which was immediately rejected. Re-entry into the ORB range confirms buyer exhaustion and makes a move back to the ORB low highly probable. Bearish bias is reinforced by multiple upper wicks, supply zone rejection, and failed structure reclaim. Key Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or strong close back below 3335 Failure to reclaim EMAs or trend line Momentum shift on 5-min with volume divergence Closing Thoughts: A failed ORB breakout into supply during NY open is a classic trap — and today’s price action on GC1! fits the model. This short setup targets the full ORB range retrace with potential continuation if sellers hold control.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by stakkd
Gold Trade Setup – Long Invalidated, Watching Retest for ShortGold has been consolidating between $3,200 and $3,500, recently pressing against a descending resistance line that has rejected price several times. I was favoring the upside, but our long setup was invalidated — the stop loss at $3,330 was hit. Price is now retesting ascending support, and I'm shifting focus to a short opportunity, using our previous long entry level (~$3,333) as a key area of interest for entries. Here’s the updated plan: Short Entry: Around $3,333 Stop Loss: $3,340 Take Profit: $3,303 Remaining cautious but opportunistic — the larger structure is vulnerable and could break further if support fails.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
Gold Potential Bullish Break Showcasing Loxx's HandiworkNo surprise that bullish momentum is clearly evident on the Monthly & Weekly time frames with Higher timeframe hulls sloping on the M W D charts What is interesting is how Loxx's PAARSX indicator, on the daily timeframe, clearly shows a dark blue cycle downwards while price consolidates (yellow boxes under the price action) providing us with hidden bullish divergence and another potential breakout very similar to the previous 2 ledge and wedge patterns. Adaptive-Lookback Stochastic Top & Stochastic of Two-Pole SuperSmoother Bottom show some solid daily historical entries. I can only imagine the 4 hour chart entries look just as profitable and enticing This trader will be going long soon
COMEX:GC1!Long
by TransitMan
Retail trapped. Volume confirmed. Liquidity targeted.🔻 We are in a highly reactive zone where emotional long entries and early short SLs create perfect liquidity magnets. 🔍 Key Levels & Zones: • Early Short SL Zone → 3337.2 • Retail FOMO Entry Block → 3251.9 • Volume-based Rejection Point → 3392.0 (SL/TP sweep) • TP1 & TP2 Zones → 3251.9 / 3208.0 • Bonus TP → 3159.9 → Complete sweep of long SLs and demand exhaustion • Final Trap Exit Zone → 3157.4 — Institutional reload zone 💡 Volume confirms this cycle of: • Trap > SL hunt > Emotional entry > Volume fade > Dump > Accumulation > Reversal 🧠 This is NOT financial advice. I post to share deeper insight into manipulation mechanics & sniper-level liquidity structure analysis. If you’re still trading candles, you’re playing retail games. Start seeing the architecture. 🧷#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #VolumeStrategy #TradingPsychology #RetailTrap #SniperMindset
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Yash_Panchal09