XPDUSD1! trade ideas
Palladium DowntrendTrend:Downtred
Trendline: lower high and lower low prominent
Short on strength or short immediately as there are big bearish candles also touched the FIB level of 0.382,
last lower low has been borken as well, though not a clear closing but wick can be seen
SL: 1439.50
EP:1355
TP:1271
Palladium - Short position - Trend-followingOur Manual Systematic Program is opening new Palladium short positions.
Sell stop: 1444.5
Guaranteed trailing stop: 0.3% of our portfolio for the first position; 0.6% if second.
Take profit: Guaranteed trailing stop.
Financial engineering: A-book CFDs (Global Prime)
Palladium is the biggest decliner lets use %R to for re-entriesmy watch list has all future contracts sorted by setups:
www.tradingview.com
at the moment most of them are in short setups.
using re-entry signals allows me to keep adding to those clear setups.
Palladium broke 2019 support. Descending TriangleSupport broken. Further Downside unless it reclaims the support and it proves as a deviation. Looking for shorts unless it reclaims the support.
Palladium setting a very big sell signal to $880Descending triangle has formed on the weekly chart for Palladium
Last week, was a breakout to the downside.
200 >21> 7 - Red background
RSI <50 lower highs
Bearish
Target $880
WHY WOULD Palladium go down?
I can't tell you with any certainties why it's coming down but I can think of a few potential factors like:
~ Lower demand for Palladium as an investor point of view
~ There is an increase in the supply of palladium - I assume with all of the automotive catalysts and with the higher confidence in electric vehicles (cough Tesla)
~ Interest rate changes with there talks about inflationary measures and interest rate drops, this can result in a drop in Palladium prices
~ Technological advancements reducing the need for palladium. For example, they may be using alternatives like Rhodium, Iron, PLatinum for catalysts in newer vehicles that contain less palladium.
Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 1839.0
Pivot: 1640.5
Support: 1734.5
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly break the support at 1734.5, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is before heading towards the pivot at 1640.5, where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Price may possibly head back up towards the resistance at 1839.0, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 1835.0
Pivot: 1734.5
Support: 1656.5
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bullish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to possibly continue heading towards the resistance at 1835.0, where the 78.6% Fibonacci projection line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may possibly head back down towards the pivot at 1734.5, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 1835.0
Pivot: 1744.0
Support: 1656.5
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly break the pivot at 1744.0, where the 50% Fibonacci line is, before heading towards the support at 1656.5, where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Price may possibly head back up towards the resistance at 1835.0, where the 78.6% Fibonacci projection line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 1835.0
Pivot: 1744.0
Support: 1656.5
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly break the pivot at 1744.0, where the 50% Fibonacci line is, before heading towards the support at 1656.5, where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Price may possibly head back up towards the resistance at 1835.0, where the 78.6% Fibonacci projection line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
PA1! Potential For Bullish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for PA1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a buy entry at 1758.5, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 1709.5 where the recent low and 78.6% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 1840.0, where the recent highs, equal highs and liquidity hotspots are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
PA1! Potential For Bearish DropLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for PA1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a possible sell stop entry at 1750.0, where the 50% Fibonacci line is, to ride the bearish momentum downwards. Stop loss will be at 1842.0 where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 1656.5, where the recent swing low is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
PA1! Potential for Bullish RiseLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for PA1! is bullish due to the current price crossing above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a buy entry at 1840.0, where the recent highs are. Stop loss will be at 1750.0, where the recent low is. Take profit will be at 1955.0, where the 88% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
PA1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, I have a bearish bias for PA1! because the current price is below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Price has tapped into my pullback sell entry at 1838.5, which is the 50% Fibonacci line. The stop loss will be set at 1955.0, which is the 88% Fibonacci line. The take profit level will be 1654.0, which is the recent swing low.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 1917.5
Pivot: 1744.0
Support: 1656.5
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head back down to retest the pivot at 1744.0, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may possibly continue heading towards the resistance at 1917.5, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 1917.5
Pivot: 1744.0
Support: 1656.5
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bullish bias. To add confluence to this, price is above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to possibly continue heading towards the resistance at 1917.5, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may possibly head back down to retest the pivot at 1744.0, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
PA1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, I have a bearish bias for PA1! because the current price is below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a potential pullback sell entry at 1838.5, which is the 50% Fibonacci line. The stop loss will be set at 1955.0, which is the 88% Fibonacci line. The take profit level will be 1654.0, which is the recent swing low.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
PA1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for PA1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a possible pullback sell entry at 1838.5, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 1955.0, where the 88% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 1654.0, where the recent swing low is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Shorting Palladium FuturesPalladium is in a strong downtrend right now. In fact, in the Trend Following Market Trends Barometer , it is the strongest trend with a value of over 70%.
We are opening short positions at market price with a very strong risk management metric - as always - aiming to surf the downtrend and lose only 0.5% of our portfolio value if there is a pullback. Our target is around 1505, but the exit will be through volatility and trailing stops.
As we can see, the trend has an RSI of 39.70 on the weekly chart. It is below the 210, 70 and 14 SMA's, and has broken a trend line support. There are opportunities to follow the trend.
We can open more positions further if the trend remains bearish and close them on a percentage basis if sharp pullbacks occur. Again, it depends on volatility and trailing stops. The system is automated.
Product. Palladium futures (NYMEX). No CFDs or other OTC derivatives for now.
Position: Sell, market price.
Stop loss: around 1 800 (trailing stop, we can re-enter if there is a pullback).
Target: Around 1 500 (we won't manually close, the TL stop will).
Resizing: We can open more positions if the trend is strong.
Risk: High.
Palladium Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for PA1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 1838.5, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 1878.5, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 1759.5, where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 2023.0
Pivot: 1945.0
Support: 1808.5
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bullish bias. To add confluence to this, price is above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to possibly break the pivot at 1945.0, where the 50% Fibonacci line is before heading towards the resistance at 2023.0, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may possibly head back down towards the support line at 1808.5, where the 88% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Palladium Futures ( PA1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 2023.0
Pivot: 1945.0
Support: 1808.5
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bullish bias. To add confluence to this, price is above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to possibly break the pivot at 1945.0, where the 50% Fibonacci line is before heading towards the resistance at 2023.0, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may possibly head back down towards the support line at 1808.5, where the 88% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Palladium Potential For Bullish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DJI is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Price has tapped into my buy entry at 33987.06, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be placed at 34595.51, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line and previous low are. Take profit will be at 35411.35, where the previous swing high is located.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
