BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC/USDT โ Trap Activated: Is the Final Flush Coming?๐ Follow-up to our April 16 idea:
Back then we warned:
โFake pump to 85.8K, followed by a drop to 81.5K. Tape is rotten, stops are baited, and Delta screams โrun!โโ
Well... hereโs whatโs happened since:
โ
Whatโs been confirmed:
BTC pushed into the 85.5Kโ85.8K trap zone and got rejected hard
Delta turned positive briefly โ but with no price continuation
OI stayed flat = no real conviction = stealth distribution
Tape showed clear absorption at the highs
๐ฏ The trap we predicted is now active. Bulls walked right into it.
โ Whatโs still to come (likely very soon):
The final flush of long positions hasn't happened yet.
Updated liquidation maps (1D & 48H) show massive clusters below 82.8Kโ81.2K full of over-leveraged longs.
โ ๏ธ If price breaks below 83K with volume + strong red delta...
๐ฃ Expect a liquidation cascade.
๐ง Strategy (Still Aligned with April 16)
๐ป SHORT (Primary Idea)
Entry: Rejection at 85.5Kโ85.8K
SL: 86.2K
TP1: 83.2K
TP2: 81.5K
๐บ LONG (Only if the flush comes first)
Entry: Sweep down to 82.8K + delta reversal + OI spike
SL: 81.8K
TP: 84.8โ85.2K
๐ Updated Macro Context:
USD still strong ๐ต
Fed not pivoting anytime soon ๐ฆ
Trumpโs BTC reserve news = bullish narrative, but no short-term impact yet
๐ Macro still favors risk-off sentiment
๐ญ Final Words from the Pรดncio Doctrine:
โThe trap is active. The stops are aligned.
Now we just wait for one institutional candle to wipe the board.โ
If this breaksโฆ youโve officially been Pรดnciado.
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Bitcoin: The Grand Ascension Blueprint - Ready for Lift-Off!
The Most Important Bitcoin Chart You'll See This Year.. As we said before in pervious idea for enrty in 74,500
and that what happen in one month
Looking at this daily BTC/USD chart, we're witnessing the formation of a powerful technical setup that could define the rest of 2025. This isn't just another predictionโit's a strategic roadmap based on key technical levels that smart money is watching.
๐ What The Chart Is Revealing:
๐ท Perfect Channel Formation
* Bitcoin has established a massive ascending channel (gray boundaries) with textbook precision
* Current price ($77,626) testing the critical lower boundary support
* Previous touch points have all resulted in significant bounces
๐ท Triple Target Trajectory
* TP1: $82,400 - Initial relief target (conservative)
* TP2: $85,700 - Mid-channel equilibrium zone
* TP3: $89,100 - Upper resistance test before potential breakout
๐ท Historical Context Matters
* We're constructively holding above the December 2023 breakout level
* Current consolidation mirrors the pre-pump phase from late 2023
* Blue trendline break served as the first warning of trend change
Why This Pattern Has MASSIVE Implications
โก The Timing Effect:
The current position at channel support presents a rare low-risk, high-reward opportunity with clear invalidation points. The pattern suggests accumulation before a potential explosive move toward $130,000 by August-September.
โก Macro Alignment:
This technical setup coincides perfectly with post-halving supply dynamics and institutional capital flow patterns. The projected move higher follows the historical post-halving performance cycles.
โก Risk Management Precision:
* Invalidation point: Clear break below $74,000 with volume
* Ideal entry zone: $74,800-$75,500
* Risk:reward ratio at current levels: approximately 1:5
he Hidden Message Most Traders Are Missing
This isn't just about price targetsโthis formation suggests Bitcoin is preparing for its largest percentage gain phase of this cycle. The projected path (purple forecast line) indicates a potential 68% move from current levels in just 90-120 days.
Institutional positioning data supports this view. The methodical stair-stepping pattern in the forecast line suggests strategic accumulation phases between aggressive price advancement.
๐ SEE YOU AFTER 3-4 MONTHS .. FOLLOW ME FOR MORE DETAILS ๐
BTC latest analysis strategyBitcoin is currently approaching a significant resistance zone in the $88,000 to $89,000 range. This area is densely liquid and many stop-loss orders may have accumulated slightly above the previous local wick. In such situations, it is not uncommon for prices to briefly rise, catch liquidity and trigger stop-loss orders, and then reverse the trend. A short-term stop-loss run followed by a move downward is not surprising and is in line with typical market behavior in such situations.
On the daily chart, BTC has successfully broken out of the descending trendline that had previously limited price action. While the initial breakout was a positive sign for bulls, prices have since consolidated outside the trendline and have yet to make a higher high. Until then, the overall market structure remains bearish in this timeframe. Confirmation of a higher high is needed to reverse the daily trend back to bullish.
The Stochastic RSI on the daily chart has been in overbought territory for more than a week, which is usually difficult to sustain for long. Such prolonged overbought conditions usually foreshadow a pullback. The key question is not whether a pullback will occur, but how big it will be. Ideally for bulls, a minor pullback followed by a higher high would be constructive and could signal the start of a stronger uptrend. But until then, caution is warranted.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading in a well-defined range between $75,000 and $88,000. This is a key area that traders should be watching. As long as the price remains in this range, we are in a range-bound market, not a trending market.
If the price gets blocked in the resistance zone, downside targets to watch include the $84,000, $80,000, and $75,000 support levels. These levels could offer range-bound bounce opportunities. Unless the price breaks below $75,000 outright, there is no need to predict a significant drop below this level. Similarly, upside targets above $89,000 should not be considered until a true breakout and continuation is seen.
We should view the current market as range-bound until there is evidence that proves otherwise. This means respecting range-bound volatility: a move into the resistance zone around $88,000
-
$89,000 is a potential selling opportunity, while a drop to the support around $75,000 to $80,000 could be an area to look for buying opportunities. Until neither support or resistance is breached, expect this volatility to continue and trade accordingly.
BTC Bullish But Needs to RetestThe market had a selloff and is about to break highs in the upcoming months!
The current coming phase will be the mania phase, most people think the bull run is over, but it is not over just yet ๐ #trustmebro
Bitcoin has a level at 81,100 to retest and will fly until June 2025.
This will sound absurd, but BTC to 854,000! There are big institutions sell orders at that level.
XRP - $54
HBAR - $50.26
LTC - $1800
DOT - $240
ETH - $8000
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) โ 30-Min Long Setup!๐
Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Pending confirmation)
Bias: Bullish โ expecting breakout to the upside
โ
Trade Plan โ Long Position
Entry: ~$84,521 (on breakout of triangle resistance)
Stop-Loss (SL): ~$84,000 (below trendline & consolidation base)
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $85,137 (local horizontal resistance โ yellow line)
TP2: $85,460 (stronger horizontal resistance โ green line)
๐ Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1 : 2+
๐ข Favorable for momentum entry if volume supports breakout.
๐ Technical Highlights
Triangle formation tightening with decreasing volume โ breakout likely soon
Previous breakouts (circled) showed strong follow-through
Horizontal zones respected โ key levels remain reliable
Bullish structure still intact above $84k
A&B Scenario $117K - $130k๐ Fibonacci Levels:
100% Fib extension (~$74,146): Currently acting as a key resistance โ price is reacting to it.
127.20% ($93,137) and 141.4% ($103,051): Next major resistance zones โ likely targets if the uptrend continues.
161.8% ($117,259): A very bullish projection, and possibly the top of Wave (5).
These are classic take-profit levels for longer-term bulls.
๐ Elliott Wave Count (Speculative):
The chart seems to be suggesting a Wave (3) top around current or slightly higher levels.
A Wave (4) correction is expected to drop toward the midline of the ascending channel (possibly FWB:65K โ$68K area).
Followed by a final Wave (5) rally โ possibly targeting $103K to $117K.
This is a bullish long-term outlook with one more correction before the final blow-off top.
๐ Trend Channel:
The price is trading within a long-term ascending channel, respecting both support and resistance very well.
Wave (5) projection is pointing to the upper boundary of the channel โ potentially aligning with the 161.8% Fib at $117K.
๐ Support Zones:
FWB:65K to $68K: Strong area of potential support (between 86%โ100% Fib and mid-channel).
$47K: 61.8% Fib โ solid structural support if there's a deeper correction.
๐บ Bearish Warning:
The red arrow near the top suggests a potential rejection around the $93Kโ$103K area.
Could lead to a false breakout or a sharp Wave (4) correction.
๐ง Summary โ End of 2025 BTC Outlook Based on This Chart:
Scenario A (Bullish):
๐ Target: $103K โ $117K
Timing: End of 2025 (Wave (5) peak)
Conditions: BTC holds FWB:65K โ$68K on corrections, follows Elliott Wave path.
Scenario B (Bearish Rejection):
๐ป Pullback to FWB:65K or even $47K
Potential double top or failed breakout
BITCOIN Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN made a breakout
Of the long-term falling
Resistance line and then
Hit a horizontal resistance
Level of 88,860$ so we will
Be expecting a local pullback
From the level which means
We can enter a short trade
With the Take Profit of 85,297$
And the Stop Loss of 89,061$
Sell!
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the price movements observed throughout the week, Bitcoin has remained close to the previous Mean Support level of 85200 and appears poised to initiate an upward breakout, targeting the newly developed Mean Resistance level of 86400. This breakout may facilitate a retest of the completed Interim Coin rally at 88400, with additional expansions of targets also being a possibility. It is critical to acknowledge that potential for downward momentum may arise from a rechallenge of either the Interim Coin Rally at 88400 or the Mean Resistance at 86400.
BTC looks good for investors/position traders hereSetup: breakout & retest of multiyear SR zone (65-74k)
The 65-74k area which held as resistance for 3+ years from 2021-24, was broken and is now being tested as support.
It is currently in accumulation under the 90k level / under the 20W ema
Trade idea :
Good area to start entering for a longer time horizon (multi-month)
Can target all-time-high levels of around 110k initially - & can hold some for price discovery later into the year.
Invalidation of this idea would be a weekly close below 59k.
BTC โ Strong Buy Signals, Sentiment Reversing, Final Push?BTC is clearly in a place of rising trust
- Fear & Greed Index improving: last week 24 (Extreme Fear), yesterday 31, now 38 (Fear), last month low was 3
- Several bullish divergences visible: RSI and MACD show higher lows vs. price, momentum indicators curling up, OBV ticking higher despite weak price action
- Price is sitting at the lower Bollinger Band and holding an ascending trendline
- Multi-indicator (mostly RSI-based) showing clustered buy signals, similar to previous rallies
- Simple Fibonacci retracement from the recent high (~73K) shows potential move toward 130K, assuming continuation and break above ~109K
- Last S-BUY signal was 14 bars ago, still active
- Structure is clean and holding
- If this is the final leg up, we could be entering danger or euphoria territory soon
BTCUSD Intraday Move 22-04-2025๐ BTCUSD Analysis โ April 22, 2025
Price action is currently forming a rising wedge, typically a bearish pattern, indicating that a short-term correction may occur before the next bullish impulse. The structure shows consolidation with weakening momentum, suggesting that a pullback to demand zones is likely.
We have two strong support zones identified:
Zone 1: 86,400 โ 86,800 โ minor support from recent consolidation.
Zone 2: 84,700 โ 85,100 โ major demand area aligned with previous breakout and price reaction.
A retracement into either of these zones offers high-probability buy opportunities for continuation toward the upper resistance trendline and prior high near 89,700.
๐ BTCUSD Buy Signal:
Buy Entry #1: 86,400 โ 86,800
Buy Entry #2: 84,700 โ 85,100
Take Profit: 89,700
Stop Loss:
For Entry 1: Below 86,200
For Entry 2: Below 84,500
Trade Idea: Wait for bullish price action (engulfing candle, pin bar, or volume spike) before entering.
BTC/USDTBINANCE:BTCUSDT
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is respecting my levels perfectly ๐ 88K target hit โ
Weโve just tapped into a major resistance zoneโso a short-term pullback could be on the table ๐โ ๏ธ
#Altcoins might see a bit of cooling off too, but if BTC manages a clean retest around the 85Kโ85.5K range, thatโd be a bullish confirmation ๐
"Disclaimer : Not Financial Advice"
The potential triple-top pattern of BitcoinFrom the previous chart, the price successfully broke through the upper trendline and started to rise. This could indicate that bullish momentum is taking over. Waiting for the price to break the upper trendline is a solid strategy for confirming bullish momentum. However, there is a potential triple top pattern forming, which could indicate that the price may face rejection at a key resistance level 86056.35
If the triple top pattern becomes more apparent and the price fails to break above resistance, it could signal the start of a bearish move. In this scenario, trading volume and price action around the resistance zone are crucial to observe. If volume declines and selling pressure increases, the price may drop further.
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S.Dollar" Crypto Market Heist (Swing/Day)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค๐ฐโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S.Dollar" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. ๐๐ธBe wealthy and safe trade.๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
๐Buy entry above 89000
๐Sell Entry below 81000
๐However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss ๐:
๐ฉThief SL placed at 84000 for Bullish Trade
๐ฉThief SL placed at 88000 for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target ๐ฏ:
๐ดโโ ๏ธBullish Robbers TP 99000 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐ดโโ ๏ธBearish Robbers TP 72000 (or) Escape Before the Target
BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S.Dollar" Crypto Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral trend,., driven by several key factors.
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ
The Black Swan Method- Making TA as a trader is like reading a magical ball but some major unpredictable events are out of control.
- i usually accurate most of the time but i should be a fool to think i am always right, it's impossible to make TA in that markets conditions.
- So this post is not to make some kind of predictions but to warn peoples on what's going on right now.
- i will try to explain very basically the situation (with my bad english skills, so forgive me if i make some mistakes) :
1/ the first attack was based on Luna and UST, some entities started to short UST/Luna with some billions $, FTX and SBF surely did it. Luna tried to save the situation with their BTC reserve but it was effortless. they lost all. (Luna have never been hacked, important to specify this )
2/ the fail of UST was the first step to create a snowball effect.
3/ 3AC, Celsius, Voyager, and much more were all involved in Luna/UST and Anchor Protocol witch was giving 18% returns on UST. They used customers funds in UST and staked, when the situation started to turn really bad for Luna, they tried to save the situation trading customers funds and they failed. (any of those companies have been hacked, important to specify this )
4/ FTX used customers funds and started to short their own products, FTT, SOL, SRM, etc , Binance saw the move and twitted that they will drop all their FTT.
FTX locked their customers wallets. FTX used 8B$ Customers funds to short markets. they are still right now trying to short USDT on Binance. (FTX have never been hacked, important to specify this).
5/ The snow ball started to be transformed in an avalanche. The damage here is huge. An exchange implosion of this magnitude is a gift to bitcoin haters all over the world.
6/ Sam bankman-fried was a Trojan horse in the crypto space, surely backed by banks and govs, a kind of worm witch have to be eradicated.
7/ Soon bankers will tell you, " u saw what happened with your exchanges ??!!, better use CDBC and stick with Banks!! ", this is their ultimate goal.
- i pray for everyone who got caught up in this mess and lost money with those bad actors.
- i hope you take care of yourself and continue to be a part of this journey.
- i hope it doesn't turn you off of crypto witch are here to stay in the future.
- BTC is resilient. No matter the magnitude of the earthquake.
- Buy BTC
- Store in Ledger, Trezor or Paper Wallet.
- Hodl and come back later.
Have faith in what you believe and fight. Thanks for reading!
PS : Not sure this post will get me banned or censored, but at this point the freedom of speech is an human right.