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Bitcoin Smashes ATH: Is a New Bull Run on the Horizon..?Bitcoin has recently soared to a new all-time high, a surge that many analysts attribute to the unexpected victory of Donald Trump in the presidential election. This political shift has sparked renewed interest and investment in cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin. Currently, the digital currency is in the process of testing a newly established support level, which fluctuates between 74000 and 74600 dollars. As Bitcoin ventures into this uncharted price territory, it presents both opportunities and challenges for investors. The uncertainty surrounding this price range complicates the ability to forecast potential price targets shortly. Market dynamics, investor sentiment, and external economic factors will all play crucial roles in determining Bitcoin's trajectory as it navigates these unprecedented levels.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
Momentum Analysis As Bitcoin Targets $77KLooking at this chart, I see strong bullish momentum indicated by both the price action and the RSI. The recent price surge shows a breakout above previous resistance levels, supported by the green moving average 50 EMA, which has crossed above the red moving average 200 EMA —a classic signal of bullish strength . The RSI has also broken out of its recent lows, moving up toward the 60-70 range, suggesting that the momentum behind this upward move is still strong, though slightly entering a more neutral zone, which often precedes consolidation or a pullback. In terms of Fibonacci levels, the 1.618 extension target is positioned at around $77,840, which represents a possible next resistance and target level if this upward momentum continues. This level is often seen as a potential stopping point for strong moves, as it's a key Fibonacci extension that marks where price might meet resistance from profit-taking or hesitation by buyers. Support and resistance levels are fairly clear. The current support sits near the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, around $72,165. Below that, the 0.618 level at approximately $71,020 and the 0.5 level at $70,215 provide additional layers of support. These levels may act as cushions if the price pulls back, allowing for potential consolidation before a further move upward. Meanwhile, resistance is evident around the 1.272 extension level at $75,480, just below the 1.618 target. These levels indicate where the price might encounter selling pressure. For possible scenarios, I see two primary paths. In the bullish scenario, if the current upward momentum continues, I anticipate the price will test the 1.272 level at $75,480. If it breaks through, we could see a continued move toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension target around $77,840. This would align with the strong momentum observed, suggesting that buyers are still in control. Alternatively, if the price consolidates around the current range, it might retest support around $72,165 or even dip to the 0.618 level at $71,020. This consolidation would give the market time to regain strength for a possible breakout toward the 1.618 target in the medium term. Given the bullish signals from the moving averages and the strong RSI, I believe there is a good chance that the price will reach the 1.272 resistance level around $75,480 . If it holds above this level, the momentum might carry it toward the 1.618 target of $77,840 . However, if the price struggles to break through, a brief pullback to support levels is likely, which would set up the market for another attempt at these higher targets. Leave me your thoughts in the comments, and consider following. More power to all your trades, my friends!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RSibayan
BTC update (bullish)BTC is now ranging in a bullish consolidation above key levels. I have added what I see to be a new horizonal channel, these are much more reliable than diagonals . The blue moving average is a key touch zone and should slowly move to trend. This stochastic slowing is important for cycle continuation, if you look at the monthly chart the reset is helpful. We are right there, all time highs are within reach. Statistically during an election year and halving year, BTC finds the November low within the first few days, we may have already seen it. I am only bearish on a weekly candle body closure back into the long term broadening wedge. Setup: Selling puts on coin,Bitx,mstr or any miners is likely to print in the coming weeks Long term call buys are likely great too and LEAPS I want to see the purple momentum trend line tested around 80k
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Apollo_21mil
Bitcoin Resumes Its Bullish TrendBitcoin with ticker BTCUSD remains in a higher degree bullish trend as expected. After we recently spotted wave IV correction on a daily chart, we can now see it resuming higher for wave V with space up to 100k area that can be achieved by a new lower degree five-wave bullish cycle. Basic Impulsive Bullish Pattern shows that Bitcoin can be trading in wave 3 of V, so more upside is expected. Later we will just have to be aware of subwave 4 pullback before a continuation higher for wave 5 of V.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ew-forecast
1
72,937 and 41 cents: BTC next target and maybe "a" top for nowBTC is fast approaching a "semi-major" fib ratio at $72,937.41 All of its sister fibs have marked key turning points since 2015 Price action here will be very telling of this bull run's strength. It is PROBABLE that we get some retracement from here. It is POSSIBLE to break and retest that fib for continuation. It is PLAUSIBLE (but unlikely) that 72,937 will be "the" top. =====================================================
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
20
Is bitcoin priming for 6 digit prices? This bullrun came out of nowhere and also did not give us the deep correction that we've come to expect from the previous bull/bear cycles. In fact, bitcoin managed to correct and accumulate inside the indicated range for an extended period, which is quite a feat considering the price per unit. This brings me to the conclusion that the correction is possibly over and bitcoin is ready to test ATH again. Also since the previous bear cycle was extended for a longer period (than what we know from history), it doesn't make sense to start another bear cycle right now. This reduces the probability for lower prices. What's even more strange and adds weight to the theory is that, it looks like (based on certain indicators) the next bull run has already begun!! BUT!! Bitcoin's strange MO is to always paint a green future ahead, just before dumping real hard. So take this one with a grain of salt. Confirmation to look for: The weekend is bullish and closes as indicated on the chart. Trade will activate on confirmation! Disclaimer: These are not trading signals. Trade at your own risk!
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by TulpenFieber
2
BTCUSD: Short Term Market Analysis for 11/05/24.*** This is my personal opinion and is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision. *** This is an update for the 15-minute BTCUSD chart. There was key resistance in the H4 timeframe, and it broke the low trend line of the pich fork. Price tested, the resistance area could drop to 68049. There is support for H4 timeframe. Price may bounce back from support 68189.0–67903.0. If it dips, then it may break yesterday low. The last green box is an order block, and it may retest.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by avatarfreak
DXY Descending Triangle predicts Bitcoin RallyIntroduction The simplest and most powerful long term relationship or indicator we have for the price of bitcoin is the DXY (the dollar index against a basket of other main currencies comprised of US trade partners). Therefore long term chart formations in the DXY can help crypto traders or investors make very profitable long term moves. Those that ignore this inverse relationship do so at their peril. Current analysis A pain view of the top chart shows two fat pairs of arrows that show when bitcoin went down and DXY went up. It also has two skinny arrows that show when DXY falls Bitcoin rises. Clear and irrefutable. What is up for debate right now is if the descending triangle I note is valid. There are several good DXY ideas out there right now but none seem to have taken this wider view: www.tradingview.com DXY Zoom In Everything is basically on the daily chart. DXY is actually at its 4th lower high and this current high is stalling right at the previous support of the double top of April to June, 2024. The indicators show clear hidden bearish divergence. For those that need a review, here is the simple divergence primer: Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal) Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator Hidden (Trend Continuation) Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator Hidden bearish divergence suggests the downtrend will continue and DXY will continue to fall. Weekly DXY Guess what? The weekly DXY looks like hell as well. This rising trend line was previously acting as support and is now acting as resistance. Conclusion I see no reason why the powerful and clear inverse relationship between dxy and bitcoin should not continue. Basically everything in the “anti-fiat” or “weak dollar” categories should act predictably while this descending triangle plays itself out. This trade or posture doesn’t require fancy indicators or complex theory. Just basic charting supported by some minimalistic indicators to add a bit of richness to the technical analysis and fundamental relationship between Bitcoin and the DXY. I am long crypto in one form or another. I have a coupe of rotations planed out for the next year. Wish me luck. Please see linked ideas for some other ideas that inform my current thinking.
Editors' picks
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by This_Guhy
31
November 6 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement. After Bitcoin broke through its highest point, it is almost impossible to draw a resistance line. Except for personal feelings, I will follow the trend. *One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves 1. 73,877 dollars long position entry section / When the purple support line is broken or when section 2 is touched, stop loss price 2. 77,575 dollars long position 1st target / Good 2nd target When the daily chart ends, it is a long position re-entry section of 76,272.5 dollars, but it would be good to proceed with the stop loss price on your own. While tapping the center line of the 30-minute chart several times Since the short-term pattern is currently broken The 1st section of the purple finger marked at the top is an autonomous short or wave confirmation section. Whether it touches or not is important, right? If you break through here, it can be directly connected to the uptrend, so be careful. The 2nd section is a strong uptrend condition A rebound can occur until the bottom touch, but if you break through the all-time high, it can be connected to the Whipsaw, so you must be careful. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use, and I hope that you operate safely with the principle of trading and the loss cut price. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading█ Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading: Beyond Bullish and Bearish For beginner traders, the long/short ratio in futures markets can seem like a clear-cut indicator of market sentiment. Many assume that a high ratio of longs to shorts means the market is bullish, while more shorts than longs signals a bearish outlook. But in reality, this interpretation is oversimplified and can lead to misguided trading decisions. In this article, we'll break down the nuances of the long/short ratio in futures trading, explaining why positions on the “short side” don’t always indicate a bearish stance and how traders can better interpret these ratios for a well-rounded perspective. █ Understanding the Basics: Futures Trading Is Not Spot Trading In the futures market, every trade requires a buyer (long position) and a seller (short position). For each person going long, there’s a counterpart going short. This zero-sum structure means that, by definition, there’s always a balance between longs and shorts. However, the reasons why traders take long or short positions vary widely—and not all of them are directional bets on price movement. █ Why Not All Shorts Are Bearish (And Not All Longs Are Bullish) Let’s dig into why a trader might take the short side without actually betting on a price drop: ⚪ Hedging: Some traders go short to hedge an existing position. For instance, if they already hold a large amount of Bitcoin in the spot market, they might take a short position in Bitcoin futures to protect against potential downside risk. This doesn’t mean they’re bearish on Bitcoin; they’re just managing risk. ⚪ Arbitrage: Some traders take short positions for arbitrage purposes. For example, they might go long in one market and short in another to profit from small price differences without having any directional view on Bitcoin’s future price. Their short position is purely for balancing and not a bet on falling prices. ⚪ Market Making: Market makers provide liquidity to the market by taking both long and short positions. Their goal isn’t to profit from price movements but to capture the spread between the bid and ask prices. They don’t have a directional view—they’re simply facilitating trades. ⚪ Closing Long Positions: When traders close long positions, they effectively create a new short transaction. For instance, if a trader decides to exit a long position by selling, they’re adding to the short side of the market. But this action doesn’t necessarily mean they expect prices to drop—it could just mean they’re taking profits or reallocating their portfolio. █ Interpreting CoinGlass Long/Short Ratio Charts: Volume vs. Accounts Let’s look at the long/short ratio charts on CoinGlass as an example. CoinGlass provides two main types of ratios: ⚪ Volume-Based Ratio: This chart shows the volume of capital in long vs. short positions. For example, a high volume in longs might suggest that large players are buying into Bitcoin. However, it’s important to remember that some of these long positions could be from market makers, hedgers, or arbitrageurs, who may not expect Bitcoin to rise. The volume itself doesn’t tell us why they’re in these positions. ⚪ Account-Based Ratio: This chart tracks the number of accounts on each side (long vs. short) on exchanges like Binance. A higher number of accounts on the short side doesn’t mean all those traders are bearish. Many could be taking short positions to balance other trades or hedge risks. They’re not necessarily expecting Bitcoin to decline; they’re just managing their positions. █ Example Analysis: Misinterpreting Long/Short Ratios Imagine you’re looking at a CoinGlass chart that shows an increase in long volume around November 5th. A beginner might see this and think, “Everyone’s bullish on Bitcoin!” But as we discussed, some of this long volume could be non-directional. It could include positions taken by market makers providing liquidity or hedgers who are long on Bitcoin futures but have a corresponding short in another market. Similarly, if you see a spike in the number of short accounts, don’t automatically assume that everyone expects Bitcoin to fall. Some of those accounts might just be managing risk or taking advantage of arbitrage opportunities. █ Avoiding the Pitfall of Overinterpreting the Long/Short Ratio The biggest mistake traders make is interpreting the long/short ratio as a direct indicator of market sentiment. Remember, every trade has a counterparty. If there’s a high volume of longs, it simply means there’s an equal volume of shorts on the other side. The market’s overall sentiment isn’t always reflected in this ratio. Instead of relying solely on the long/short ratio, consider these other factors to form a clearer market view: Market Sentiment Indicators: Use sentiment tools, news, and social media sentiment to understand how traders are feeling beyond just positions. Volume Trends: Look at overall market volume to see if there’s conviction behind the moves. Context and Price Action: Interpret the ratio in the context of price action and recent events. If there’s a strong bullish trend, a higher long ratio might reflect confidence in the trend rather than simply volume. █ Conclusion: A Balanced Perspective for Smarter Trading Understanding the long/short ratio requires a more nuanced perspective. Just because the “longs” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bullish—and just because the “shorts” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bearish. The futures market is filled with diverse participants, each with unique motives, from hedging and arbitrage to liquidity provision. By looking at these ratios with a balanced view, traders can avoid common pitfalls and interpret the data more accurately. Trading is about context and strategy, not just numbers on a chart. So, next time you’re checking the long/short ratio, remember: there’s more to it than meets the eye. █ Final Takeaway: Focus on Context, Not Just Ratios The long/short ratio can be a helpful tool, but it’s only one piece of the puzzle. Use it in combination with other market indicators, and always consider the motives behind trades. By doing so, you’ll make better-informed trading decisions and avoid falling into the trap of oversimplifying complex market data. ----------------- Disclaimer This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman