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TheKing Cycles- Nothing can be perfect in Life or in Trading, but you can always brighten up your day. - Remember "Cycles are Cycles" - Everything is in graph - You can follow bears, predicting 10 years of recession, but we are in a big recession and for a long time already. - You can fall in the deep and predict the darkness. - i like to see the sunshine in the morning and i will always radiate warmth. - Follow Hope, and always believe in your own judgement. - Be Bold and do the opposite of what commons peoples think. Happy Tr4Ding !
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by thecryer
15
PriceTime Concept in Fractal AnalysisI continue to receive numerous questions about recommended reading, which has left me no other option than pay my debt to the society by elaborating a little more on the unconventional analysis I frequently perform using Fibonacci Channels. Alongside with theoretical insights I'll provide my key inspirations. The Misbehavior of Markets - Mechanics of Chaos Benoit Mandelbrot, one of the most extraordinary minds of the 20th century, launched a full rebellion against traditional finance in his book, “The Misbehavior of Markets”. In it, he introduced his groundbreaking “10 Heresies”, a direct challenge to the core assumptions and principles underpinning mainstream financial theories. Mandelbrot’s insights expose how conventional models fail to account for the complexity, unpredictability, and turbulence that define real-world markets. 10 Heresies: Markets Are Wild, Not Tame Traditional View: Markets follow predictable, Gaussian-based models with mild fluctuations. Mandelbrot’s View: Markets exhibit “wild randomness” with extreme, sudden changes that far exceed the predictions of Gaussian distributions. Heresy: Risk management and pricing models underestimate the likelihood of extreme events. Financial Variance Is Infinite Traditional View: Variance (a measure of risk) is finite and calculable using standard tools. Mandelbrot’s View: In fractal finance, price movements can have infinite variance due to heavy tails in the distribution of returns. Heresy: Risk cannot be fully measured or predicted using current methods. Markets Have Memory Traditional View: Markets are “memoryless,” meaning past price movements do not influence future ones (random walk hypothesis). Mandelbrot’s View: Markets exhibit long-term memory and dependence, where past trends and events affect current behavior. Heresy: Independence of price changes is a myth. Markets Are Multifractal Traditional View: Price movements are linear and follow simple Brownian motion. Mandelbrot’s View: Markets are multifractal, with different scaling behaviors across timeframes, and cannot be reduced to linear equations. Heresy: Linear models cannot capture market complexity. Time in Markets Is Variable Traditional View: Time in markets flows at a constant rate, making it possible to analyze data at fixed intervals. Mandelbrot’s View: Market time is irregular and subjective, accelerating during high activity (volatility clusters) and slowing during calm periods. Heresy: Time is not constant in financial analysis. Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks Traditional View: Prices move randomly and independently, forming a normal distribution. Mandelbrot’s View: Prices are influenced by patterns, memory, and clustering, resulting in heavy-tailed distributions. Heresy: Random walk theory oversimplifies market dynamics. Markets Are Non-Efficient Traditional View: The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) suggests that all available information is reflected in prices, leaving no room for inefficiencies. Mandelbrot’s View: Markets are often irrational and exhibit inefficiencies driven by emotions, memory, and fractal structures. Heresy: Perfect market efficiency is an illusion. Risk Is Not Symmetrical Traditional View: Risk is modeled symmetrically, assuming equal likelihood of positive and negative deviations. Mandelbrot’s View: Downside risks are more extreme and frequent, leading to asymmetry in market behavior. Heresy: Risk models that assume symmetry are dangerously flawed. Models Need to Embrace Chaos Traditional View: Financial models aim for order and predictability, relying on simplified assumptions. Mandelbrot’s View: Markets are chaotic and unpredictable but exhibit fractal structures that can provide insights. Heresy: Chaos should be embraced, not ignored, in modeling markets. Forecasting Is Fundamentally Limited Traditional View: With enough data and sophisticated models, market behavior can be forecasted with high accuracy. Mandelbrot’s View: Forecasting is inherently uncertain due to the wild randomness and complex nature of markets. Heresy: Precise prediction of market movements is a fool’s errand. Mandelbrot's ideas answered why markets behave the way they do, rather than relying on surface-level analysis. It was definitely more convincing than any traditional TA material that had not much information on cause-effect mechanisms that reveal the deeper structural relationship within price movements. Fortunately, long before becoming acquainted with Mandelbrot’s take on markets, I had already developed my own perspective, thanks to the experiments I conducted right here on TradingView years back. My work perfectly aligned with his vision that acknowledges complexity, extreme events, irregularities and the interconnectedness of historic data. Concept of Relativity I got another inspiration from reading a story about the most pivotal breakthroughs in Albert Einstein’s intellectual journey, leading directly to his formulation of the theory of relativity that later on forever changed the world. His thought experiment revealed the strange and counterintuitive nature of time when viewed from different frames of reference. As Einstein imagined himself racing alongside a beam of light, he realized that from his perspective on the bus, as it was moving away from clocktower, the clock would appear frozen because the light carrying the image of the clock’s moving hands would no longer reach him. This insight, combined with his deep understanding of the constancy of the speed of light, led him to question the absolute nature of time and space. The culmination of this “storm” in his mind was the realization that time is not universal; it is relative to the observer’s motion. This revolutionary idea, published in his 1905 paper on special relativity, fundamentally changed our understanding of the universe, introducing concepts like time dilation and the interdependence of time and space—a unified spacetime . Einstein’s ability to visualize such extraordinary scenarios highlights the power of thought experiments in scientific discovery. It was not only the mathematics but also his imagination that allowed him to redefine our understanding of reality. PriceTime Model via Fibonacci Channels After being able to visualize and somehow digest the complexity behind mathematical model of relativity, I returned to Mandelbrot's book to read more about his stance on time itself. "Price is a function of trading time, which in turn is a function of clock time" - B. Mandelbrot I mean who am I to disagree with a professor... Moreover, it really begins to look like Price and Time are connected similarly to the concept of SpaceTime. Given that the psychology of the masses is inherently sensitive to the golden ratio, I was inspired to create a unified graphical framework that interconnects price dynamics, enabling navigation through the complexities of ever-evolving financial markets. By directly measuring trend angles within significant cycles, I realized that the chart’s complexity could essentially simulate itself. I incorporate psychological levels (via Fibonacci ratios) into my analysis, acknowledging how emotions shape market behavior. By embedding these emotional drivers into fractal structures, I align with Mandelbrot’s understanding of the market as a blend of human psychology and mathematical order. This led to the discovery that Fibonacci ratios influence not only the price axis but also the time axis, unveiling a deeper fractal harmony in market behavior. The way mass (or energy) curves the spacetime fabric to explain the behavior of objects in physics is strikingly similar to how historic price movements (a manifestation of energy) shape the pricetime fabric, revealing the fractal cyclicality inherent in financial markets. My work builds on Mandelbrot’s groundbreaking theories by turning his insights into practical tools. By combining his principles of self-similarity, chaos, and complexity with innovations like Fibonacci-based fractal mapping and trend directionality, I offer a fresh perspective on market behavior. This approach personally helps me to navigate the complexity of financial markets, staying true to Mandelbrot’s legacy while pushing the boundaries of fractal analysis. My motivation for staying on TradingView and analyzing charts transcended being money-driven. I could no longer see markets the same way. I broke free from the rat race and devoted my life to studying charts as a reflection of reality, aiming to uncover the intrinsic rhythm that truly drives price fluctuations. That realization inspired me to prioritize structure-based prediction over blind forecasts driven by subjective narratives, which are often flawed at their core. Sadly, great minds like Benoit Mandelbrot are no longer with us, but it is our responsibility as TradingView users to carry forward their work, treating it as our own mission to honor their legacy. The bottom line is that we should not confine ourselves to the literature of Technical or Fundamental Analysis alone. Instead, we must draw insights from any field, using diverse methods and approaches, to develop a robust probabilistic framework for anticipating future price movements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fract
17
Bitcoin’s Breakout Blueprint: Eyeing $92K​As of April 20, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $84,500, having recently tested the $92,000 level multiple times. This price point is significant, serving as both a psychological barrier and a technical resistance level.​ Technical Analysis: Resistance and Support Levels: Bitcoin has encountered resistance near $92,000, a level that has been tested repeatedly. A sustained move above this could open the path toward $100,000 and potentially $108,000, the previous all-time high from December 2024. On the downside, support is observed around $85,650, aligning with the 200-day EMA. Further support lies at $78,000 and $74,500, marking previous consolidation zones. ​ Chart Patterns: The formation of a bullish pennant on the daily chart suggests potential for an upward breakout. If confirmed, this pattern could propel BTC toward $137,000 by Q3 2025. ​ Volume and Momentum: Recent trading volumes have been moderate, with a slight uptick during price advances, indicating growing buyer interest. Momentum indicators, such as the RSI, are neutral, leaving room for further price movements in either direction.​ Fundamental Factors: Institutional Inflows: Significant capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, exceeding $70 billion, have been observed, reflecting strong institutional interest. ​ CryptoRank Macroeconomic Environment: Liquidity injections by the U.S. Treasury, amounting to $500 billion since February 2025, have increased market liquidity, which historically correlates with Bitcoin price appreciation. ​ Halving Effect: The April 2024 Bitcoin halving event has reduced the supply of new BTC, a factor that has historically led to substantial price increases in subsequent months.​ Mid-Term Outlook: Considering the technical and fundamental factors, Bitcoin's mid-term target remains at $92,000. A decisive break above this level could lead to a retest of the $100,000 psychological barrier and potentially higher targets. However, failure to maintain support above $85,650 may result in a consolidation phase or a retest of lower support levels.​ Investors should monitor key resistance and support levels, institutional investment trends, and macroeconomic indicators to assess Bitcoin's trajectory in the coming months.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by insidermike
Are We Witnessing A WHALE Diving Expedition?Get ready to buckle up and prepare for an exhilarating ride, because the Bitcoin seas are getting choppy! Whispers are circulating, theories are bubbling, and everyone's glued to their screens as we potentially witness something HUGE: Bitcoin whales might be prepping for a deep-sea dive, potentially pulling the price down from a hypothetical high of 96,000 to the depths of 66,000 and even $55,000... and Whales might be taking their sweet, strategic time about it!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SEYED98
BTC on the verge of another accumulation range breakoutMorning all! So its time for a proper set of markups having spent the last few months breaking down the charts in video format for you all. The last BTC update I gave was on 24/03, in the 4 year cycle analysis breakdown. In that video i was expecting lower pricing into SSL and the range lows once more, forming a bottoming structure before seeing a HTF bullish reversal come through, aligning with the 4 year cycle where we have time to continue higher based on past cycle data and where we are in the current cycle. A month later and we have seen that come through wonderfully after the sweep of the range lows and its time to reanalyse now the direction is changing.... BTC has formed another accumulation range down in these discounted levels over the last couple months and there was nothing really interesting taking shape until the last couple of days thats give us some real confirmation of a trend change in this accumulation range that we can now work with. Unlike the August 2024 bottom, there isnt a massive influx of volume on the sweep event. I was able to call the bottom after such a sweep and high volume event back then just days after but in this most recent range we havent seen volume like back in August 2024, so ive had to be more cautious of further downside until we get some market shift confirmations to confirm intent and be on the safer side here whilst still holding my HTF bias of new ATHs before cycle end. As shown on the charts, ive marked up the range and stages. We have carried out the sellers climax event, forming the range low, into the automatic rally (AR) forming the range high, moving into the secondary test (ST) with a failure swing back to the lows which forms the secondary test in phase B. From there we continued to range before putting in another range low deviation in the Spring event, with tests of the range low before seeing this explosive move come through from the spring event back to the range highs. Volume also supports price action with a high influx of volume on the sellers climax low, stopping the prior trend, decreasing volume in the range into supply with a further increase in buyer volume as we deviate the lows in the spring event. We have also broke structure bullish in the range and formed a HH, with a HL yet to be formed.... **So whats next? ** It seems a lot more clear now after the last couple days, and also confirms intent behind the range and i think its safe to say we have formed a bottom here and my focus is now on the upside on BTC from here. After this range high deviation into supply, in this new HH, i wouldn't be surprised to see BTC pull back to the midpoint of the range between $84,000 - $76,500, back into demand and form a last point of support/demand in the accumulation range forming a HL, before another leg higher as shown. With how price has set up, with the demand left behind in the range and the bullish intent, my focus is on BTC forming a HL from demand before a continuation higher in line with my HTF bias that we will see new ATHs again before the cycle end. This is also supported in what im seeing on USDT.D and USDC.D where they are distributing in their ranges in supply with breakdowns in both and moving to a bearish trend. Therefore, when price corrects into these levels i will be looking to allocate risk into the market during the discount of the HL and I will be looking for my buys on DOGE and any other opportunities, where im expecting higher lows in the market before continuations higher across the board. This doesnt mean everything though as many alts are yet to catch up and flip bullish, so my focus will be on the higher quality, stronger coins such as DOGE, but i expect the rest of the market to catch up eventually as BTC runs higher from these lows. 1D: 3D: 1W: 1M:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marshyyy
Bitcoin - This Is Just Unbelievable!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is not dropping at all: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After we have been seeing one of the craziest weekly drops which I have experienced in my entire trading history, all major cryptos and especially Bitcoin are strongly holding their levels. Since bullish strength continues quite often, I do expect new all time highs on Bitcoin soon. Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
34
#BTC Update (1H Chart)Trade Bias Verification: Long (with caution for short-term bearish momentum) Confidence Score: 6.5 out of 10 (slightly reduced due to bearish MACD crossover and RSI divergence) Hypothesis Refinement: The bullish continuation hypothesis still holds, but the MACD bearish crossover and RSI divergence on the 1-hour chart signal a stronger short-term pullback or consolidation phase. The price is likely to test the demand zone near 92,000 - 92,934 before resuming the uptrend. Traders should wait for signs of momentum recovery (MACD crossover back up, RSI turning up from support) before entering. Key Levels: Entry: Near demand zone 92,000 - 92,934, ideally after MACD bullish crossover and RSI support confirmation. Stop-Loss: Below demand zone and Ichimoku cloud, around 91,000. Take-Profit: Near recent highs (94,000) and daily resistance (95,000 to 100,000). Actionable Insight: Avoid chasing the current pullback; wait for momentum indicators to confirm a reversal near the demand zone. Use a momentum-based entry strategy on the 1-hour timeframe, entering once MACD crosses back above the signal line and RSI shows upward momentum. Set alerts for price approaching the demand zone and for MACD/RSI bullish signals. Maintain stop-loss discipline below the demand zone to protect against deeper corrections. Monitor volume for increasing buying interest on the bounce to confirm strength.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDLong
by learningedge
BTC Approaches Breakout Zone in Ascending Triangle – Key Resist,📈 Chart Overview Instrument: BTC/USD Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red) – 84,924.30 EMA 200 (Blue) – 85,558.47 🔍 Key Technical Observations 1. Ascending Triangle Formation The chart shows a clear ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern. Flat resistance zone: Around $88,700–$89,000. Higher lows forming a solid upward sloping trendline, suggesting increasing buying pressure. 2. Price Above Key EMAs Current price: $88,779.43, which is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA. This indicates bullish momentum as price breaks above dynamic resistance levels. 3. Volume Consideration (Missing) While volume is not visible on the chart, an ideal breakout from an ascending triangle should be accompanied by increasing volume to confirm validity. 🔄 Possible Scenarios ✅ Bullish Breakout A confirmed breakout above $89,000 with strong volume can lead to a measured move toward: Target = Triangle height ≈ $13,000 → Potential target: $101,500 – $102,000 Next resistance levels to watch: $92,000, $95,000, and $100,000 psychological zone. ❌ Fakeout or Rejection If BTC gets rejected at resistance, watch for: Retest of support trendline (~$86,000). EMA 50 and 200 as dynamic support around $84,900–$85,500. Breakdown below the trendline may signal a short-term correction to $80,000–$82,500. 📊 Conclusion BTC is at a crucial decision point. The ascending triangle suggests bullish potential, but a breakout confirmation is essential. Price is above both major EMAs, signaling strength, but a rejection from resistance could invite short-term bears.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
2
BTC is in strong support area based Fib RetracementHi again, for a long time I don't share my ideas here, so I'm trying to consistent share my thought here. Technical BINANCE:BTCUSD in strong support line based Fib Retracement on $76,113.25 (on daily Timeframe) The price currently below the EMA 200 MACD still doesn't give the sign to long BTC Dominance still high (60.39% based on Coinstast ) Macro Based on similiar correlation with S&P500, it's still give no good sign to bounce back (it maybe going deeper) About the global economy, US Tariff still give the global uncertainty and cold vibes haha Summary If you going long term, maybe you can go buy BTC in small size, is a good price to add the collection If you going short term, I think it will be go deeper first Thanks for your time! I hope everyone have a good time and good health!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by kepinworks
4
BITCOIN UPDATE: Time To Abandon Ship.The time to abandon Bitcoin ship has arrived at least for now. After watching Bitcoin spent the last 13hrs doing nothing and knowing that from this moment on it has like 7hrs left of its 1hr tf bullish cycle it is TIME to come out with the projection of its next the move. Even if Bitcoin manages to breakout and go above the lower res line of $86500 it will be short lived cause the TIME it has left it is NOT enough to follow thru. Place your bets and Buckle up ladies and gentlemen brace yourself for the next wild....wild....wild ride.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Numberfive
BTCUSD Intraday Move 22-04-2025📊 BTCUSD Analysis – April 22, 2025 Price action is currently forming a rising wedge, typically a bearish pattern, indicating that a short-term correction may occur before the next bullish impulse. The structure shows consolidation with weakening momentum, suggesting that a pullback to demand zones is likely. We have two strong support zones identified: Zone 1: 86,400 – 86,800 — minor support from recent consolidation. Zone 2: 84,700 – 85,100 — major demand area aligned with previous breakout and price reaction. A retracement into either of these zones offers high-probability buy opportunities for continuation toward the upper resistance trendline and prior high near 89,700. 📈 BTCUSD Buy Signal: Buy Entry #1: 86,400 – 86,800 Buy Entry #2: 84,700 – 85,100 Take Profit: 89,700 Stop Loss: For Entry 1: Below 86,200 For Entry 2: Below 84,500 Trade Idea: Wait for bullish price action (engulfing candle, pin bar, or volume spike) before entering.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
1
Bitcoin Getting Ready To Bounce AgainLooking good....looking good. Bitcoin is setting up one last time to test and try to break res line of $87600 . Within the next 12 1hr candles (if not sooner) it should start moving UP. It would be nice to see it drop fast to get rid off all those Long stop loss in the GETTEX:82K area then bounce quickly to pick the power needed to go and break the $87600 res line. After that move is printed and tested the $87600 res line it will pullback and if it doesn't print a new lower low then the new Daily and Weekly uptrend direction will be confirmed. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen we are heading for another wild ride.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Numberfive
BTC Potential Breakout, Daily DivergenceBTC on the daily has the opportunity to expand way upwards over the next month - a divergence on the daily evidently takes longer to play out but RSI could easily reach 80 off the back of the structure. I have been shorting, confidently, for a good few weeks now, with longs in between, but I'm starting to feel like I should flip long. Solana is also trying to reclaim the daily/weekly range - things to think about for sure. Good luck out there!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by hokblake
1