BTC/USD Eyes $109K After Bullish Breakout!!🧠 Chart Type and Indicators:
Chart Type: Candlestick
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (red line): 85,335.18
EMA 200 (blue line): 85,657.29
🔍 Technical Pattern Analysis:
Pattern Identified: Ascending Triangle
The price has formed higher lows (ascending trendline support) while repeatedly testing a horizontal resistance zone (~$88,000), forming an ascending triangle.
This is typically a bullish continuation pattern when it occurs after an uptrend, though in this context, it's forming after a consolidation, giving more significance to the breakout.
🚀 Breakout Confirmation:
The price has broken above the horizontal resistance and is currently trading at $92,766.51.
Volume is not visible but should be increasing during a valid breakout.
Both EMAs have been decisively breached to the upside, signaling momentum shift in favor of bulls.
🧩 Key Levels:
Support Zone (Post-Breakout Retest): ~$88,000
Previously a resistance zone, now likely to act as support.
Immediate Resistance: ~$96,000
Historical resistance zone shown on the chart with a horizontal black line.
Extended Target (measured move): ~$109,420
Based on the height of the triangle projected from the breakout point.
📈 Price Action Forecast:
Two possible scenarios (depicted with arrows on the chart):
Bullish Continuation:
A retest of the $88,000 zone followed by continuation to $96,000, then $109,420.
Short-Term Pullback:
Price may dip to retest the breakout zone (~$88,000), consolidate, then rally higher.
✅ Bullish Signals Summary:
Breakout from a bullish ascending triangle.
EMAs crossed and price holding above them.
Clear higher highs and higher lows formation.
Momentum suggesting further upside.
🧨 Risks to Watch:
False Breakout Risk: If the price fails to hold above $88,000 and falls back into the triangle range.
Macro Factors: Bitcoin remains sensitive to macroeconomic news and regulations that could disrupt technical setups.
BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin hits $90K for first time since MarchBitcoin has climbed above the $90K level for the first time since early March. Is this an indication of risk appetite improving, or are investors buying Bitcoin for the same reason they are buying gold? In any case, as traders, we care about the HOWs and WHEREs more than the WHYs.
With that in mind, it is worth keeping an eye on the next areas of potential support and resistance to see whether Bitcoin will break them.
Initial resistance comes in the area between $90,000 to $91,900. In this range, you have prior support meeting the 50% retracement level of the downswing from the January high. Above this, the 61.8% Fibonacci level is at $96K.
Support levels to watch now include the $88,500-$88,800 area, which was resistance previously and where the 200-day average comes into play. Below that, you have the point of origin of this week's breakout near $85,000.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
btcusd 50% down to 50000 till end of year like 2021-2022 Bitcoin could drop -50% like in 2021-2022 Bear Market close to 40-50 000 $
One year long Bear market is possible due to economic and geopolitical turmoil by further idiotic decisions of trump administration that will surly happen many times this year
Bitcoin (BTC) $95K Target? ETF Inflows & Supply Shock Key Signal
Bitcoin Flashes Bullish Signals: Record ETF Flows and Supply Shock Fuel $95K Target Hopes
Bitcoin, the original cryptocurrency, is demonstrating renewed vigor, capturing investor attention with a confluence of bullish indicators. After a period of consolidation and sideways movement following its all-time high earlier this year, recent data suggests underlying strength is building. Significant inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, a tightening supply on exchanges, strong relative performance against traditional markets, and key technical levels being tested are painting a picture that has analysts eyeing the next major psychological and technical hurdle: $95,000.
ETF Demand Roars Back: A Sign of Renewed Institutional Appetite
One of the most significant developments fueling recent optimism is the resurgence of demand for U.S.-based spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Launched in January 2024, these products marked a watershed moment, providing traditional investors with regulated and accessible exposure to Bitcoin. After an initial explosive launch, inflows moderated. However, recent weeks have seen a dramatic turnaround.
Reports indicate that these ETFs recently experienced their largest single-day net inflows since their early days in January, signaling a powerful return of institutional and potentially broader retail interest. This influx of capital into regulated vehicles is crucial. It represents sticky, long-term demand rather than just short-term speculative trading. Each dollar flowing into these ETFs effectively removes Bitcoin from the readily available market supply, contributing to a potential supply squeeze.
This sustained demand has also propelled Bitcoin's overall market capitalization significantly. While direct comparisons fluctuate daily and depend on methodology (e.g., including gold, different equity classes), Bitcoin's market cap has grown to rival that of major global corporations and even some traditional asset classes. Its ascent up the ranks of the world's largest assets underscores its growing acceptance and integration into the broader financial landscape. While claiming a specific rank like "5th largest" can be debated based on what's included, there's no denying Bitcoin is now a multi-trillion dollar asset class demanding attention.
The Supply Squeeze: Coins Vanish from Exchanges
Complementing the demand surge is a notable trend on the supply side: Bitcoin reserves held on cryptocurrency exchanges are dwindling rapidly. Data reveals that the amount of BTC available for immediate sale on major trading platforms has plummeted to levels not seen since November 2018. This marks a multi-year low, indicating a strong preference among holders to move their coins into self-custody or long-term storage solutions, rather than keeping them poised for sale.
What's driving this exodus from exchanges? Analysts point to several factors, including the aforementioned ETF accumulation, where authorized participants acquire Bitcoin on the open market to meet ETF share creation demand. Furthermore, there's growing anecdotal and on-chain evidence suggesting accumulation by long-term holders ("HODLers") and potentially public companies adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. While large-scale corporate buying sprees like MicroStrategy's haven't been widely replicated across the board, the cumulative effect of sustained institutional buying (via ETFs) and dedicated HODLers consistently pulling supply off exchanges creates a powerful dynamic.
Lower exchange reserves typically correlate with reduced selling pressure. When less Bitcoin is readily available to be sold, even moderate increases in demand can have an outsized impact on price. This scarcity factor is a core tenet of Bitcoin's value proposition, underpinned by its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, and the current trend highlights this dynamic in action.
Relative Strength: The "Cleanest Shirt in the Dirty Laundry"
Bitcoin's recent performance also stands out when compared to traditional financial markets. Over the past 30 days (as per the provided context), Bitcoin has posted significant gains (e.g., +7.68%), while major equity indices like the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq have experienced notable pullbacks (e.g., -6.79% and -8.14%, respectively).
This divergence has led some commentators to describe Bitcoin as the "cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry pile." In times of macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tension, or wavering confidence in traditional financial systems, Bitcoin can attract capital seeking alternatives or hedges. While its correlation with risk assets like tech stocks has often been high, periods of decoupling, like the one observed recently, suggest investors may increasingly view Bitcoin through a different lens – perhaps as a non-sovereign store of value or a bet on future technological disruption, rather than just another high-beta risk asset. This relative outperformance can attract momentum traders and further bolster positive sentiment.
Technical Hurdles: The Road to $95K
From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin's price action is generating significant discussion. One key metric analysts watch is the "realized price," particularly for short-term holders (investors who acquired BTC relatively recently). When the market price surpasses the average acquisition cost of these recent buyers, it can signal a shift in market psychology. Those who bought recently are now in profit, potentially reducing sell pressure and encouraging further buying. Bitcoin recently surpassed this level, leading to speculation about whether this marks the beginning of a sustained rally or potentially sets up a "double top" scenario – a bearish pattern where an asset fails twice to break above a certain resistance level.
Analysts are closely watching specific price levels. There appears to be a consensus around a key resistance zone that, if decisively reclaimed and held, could signal that "all bets are off" for the bears, potentially opening the door for a significant upward move. Conversely, failure to break through these levels, or a strong rejection from them, could lead to a pullback, validating the warnings from more cautious analysts.
The $95,000 mark looms large as the next major psychological and potential technical resistance area should the current momentum continue and key lower resistance levels be overcome. Reaching this target would likely require a confluence of the factors already discussed: continued strong ETF inflows, further depletion of exchange supply, supportive macroeconomic conditions (or continued relative strength despite macro headwinds), and a decisive break through established technical resistance zones.
What Triggers the Breakout?
Achieving a breakout towards $95,000 isn't guaranteed and likely requires several catalysts:
1. Sustained ETF Demand: Continued, consistent net inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are paramount to absorb supply and signal ongoing institutional conviction.
2. Supply Shock Intensification: If exchange reserves continue to fall sharply, the scarcity narrative strengthens, potentially triggering FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) buying.
3. Macroeconomic Shifts: A dovish pivot from central banks, renewed inflation fears driving demand for hard assets, or further instability in traditional markets could push more capital towards Bitcoin.
4. Technical Confirmation: A convincing break and hold above currently watched resistance levels would give technical traders confidence and potentially trigger algorithmic buying.
5. Positive Regulatory Developments: While the ETFs were a major step, further regulatory clarity or positive developments globally could reduce perceived risk.
Conclusion: Optimism Tempered with Caution
The current Bitcoin landscape presents a compelling bullish case. Resurgent ETF demand, dwindling exchange supply creating a scarcity effect, and strong relative performance against traditional assets paint an optimistic picture. Technical indicators, such as surpassing the realized price of recent buyers, add fuel to the fire, bringing targets like $95,000 into the conversation.
However, caution remains warranted. Bitcoin is notoriously volatile, and technical resistance levels often prove formidable. The risk of a "double top" or rejection at key levels is real, and regulatory headwinds or negative macroeconomic shifts could quickly alter sentiment. While the confluence of positive factors is undeniable and the path towards $95,000 seems plausible given the current dynamics, investors will be keenly watching whether ETF flows remain strong, supply continues to tighten, and crucial technical levels can be decisively overcome. The interplay between institutional adoption, HODLer conviction, and market technicals will ultimately determine if Bitcoin can conquer its next major milestone.
BITCOIN NEXT MOVES!Bitcoin’s Next Move
In the long run, it's clear—Bitcoin is the new digital gold. Any dip at this stage is a potential opportunity. With over 7 years of experience in Bitcoin analysis, I believe in the bigger picture and long-term value.
If you'd like me to analyze or give insights on any other coin, feel free to ask. And don’t forget to follow for more crypto updates and analysis!
Big Pop Could Come Here Where we're most likely to be in the general trend structure now is fairly subjective. We came up off the butterfly support mentioned previous which is a great start for the bull move but we're also still well inside of bull trap territory.
If we have a low or a bull trap forming, should be a big spike here.
BTC IMPRESSESBitcoin continues to impress on the daily chart.
After breaking through both the long-term descending trendline and the key resistance at $88,804, price has now clearly confirmed a higher high – officially shifting the market structure back to bullish. It’s also holding well above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, showing strong momentum behind the move.
The breakout came on a surge of volume, validating the move and signaling genuine interest from buyers. While we could see a short-term pause or retest of the $88,804 level, the current strength suggests bulls are back in control – at least for now.
“Does size matter?” when it comes to backtesting?It’s the kind of question that gets a few smirks, sure. But when it comes to backtesting trading strategies, it’s not a joke, it’s the difference between confidence and false hope.
Let’s get real for a minute: the size of your candles absolutely matters.
What you don’t see can hurt you
Most people start testing on bigger timeframes. It’s faster, easier on the eyes, and the results look clean. But clean doesn’t mean correct.
Larger candles blur the details. That one nice-looking 4-hour candle? Inside, price could’ve spiked, reversed, chopped around, or triggered your stop before closing where it did. You’d never know. And that’s the problem.
You might think your entry worked beautifully… but only because the data smoothed out everything that actually happened.
A backtest should feel like a real trade
Trading isn't just about the final price. It’s about what price does to get there. That messy movement inside the candle? That’s where most trades are made or broken.
If your strategy is even remotely reactive, waiting for structure, confirmation, retests, or anything time-sensitive, you need to see what price did between the open and close.
And the only way to see that? Use smaller candles.
Smaller data, clearer picture
1-minute candles might look overwhelming at first, but they give you something the higher timeframes just can’t: behavior.
Not just outcomes. Not just win/loss stats. But the actual shape of the move, the hesitation, the fakeouts, the precise moment when the trade made sense—or didn’t.
And once you start testing with that level of detail, your strategy either earns your trust… or shows its cracks.
So how small should you go?
There’s no one-size-fits-all here. But as a general rule: if your idea relies on precision, go small. Test it on 1-minute or 5-minute charts, even if you plan to execute on higher timeframes. You’ll quickly see if the entry makes sense, or if you’ve been relying on candle-close hindsight.
Yes, it takes longer. Yes, you’ll stare at noisy charts for hours. But your strategy will thank you.
Watch out for “too good to be true”
One last thing, if your backtest results look flawless on 1h or 4h candles, pause. That’s often a sign that you’re testing a story, not a strategy.
Zoom in. See what actually happens. You might be surprised at how different the same trade looks when you’re not glossing over the details.
TL;DR:
In backtesting, size absolutely matters. Smaller candles reveal real behavior. Bigger ones hide the truth. So if you care about how your strategy actually performs not just how it looks.
go smaller. Your backtesting will get sharper, and your confidence? Way more earned.
BTC/USD Price Action Update – April 22, 2025📊BTC/USD Price Action Update – April 22, 2025
🔹Current Price: 88,162.24
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Demand Zone (Support):
🟢88,157–88,460 – Clean Breaker Block (ideal for bullish re-entry on retest)
🟢85,500–86,500 – Higher Timeframe Demand Zone (strong base for major bullish leg)
📌Key Resistance Level:
🔴88,778 – Short-Term Structural High (key breakout point)
📈Bullish Outlook:
Price is consolidating below the 88,778 resistance. A clean candle break and close above this level can open the door to a bullish continuation, targeting the 89,500–90,000 range. Ideal entry on a pullback to 88,157–88,460 if demand holds.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If price fails to break and hold above 88,778, watch for signs of rejection. A bearish break below 88,157 could lead to a deeper retracement into the 85,500–86,500 zone.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Wait for a confirmed break and retest of 88,778
✅Watch price action at 88,157 for continuation or rejection
✅Use a tight SL and manage risk around news volatility
#BTCUSD #BitcoinTrading #CryptoPriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #BreakOfStructure #ForexAndCrypto #IntradayTrading #FXFOREVER #MarketUpdate #SupplyAndDemand #BitcoinUpdate
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 85,389.36
1st Support: 83,252.81
1st Resistance: 92,478.49
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 81,863.58
1st Support: 76,689.89
1st Resistance: 94,753.96
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTCUSD Eyes Liquidity Sweep as Bulls Push Into Supply ZonesBTCUSD DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊
OVERALL TREND
📈 UPTREND — Momentum has surged, with multiple bullish candles breaking out above prior consolidation. Structure suggests a bullish continuation unless rejected at key resistance.
📉RESISTANCE ZONES
🔴 109,618.40 — PIVOT HIGH | Resistance Level
🔴 107,877.89 — SELL ORDER II
🔴 104,355.29 — SELL ORDER I
📈SUPPORT ZONES
🟢 102,576.04 — EXIT BUY | TP 4
🟢 96,169.15 — BUY ORDER | TP 3
🟢 92,012.50 — BUY ORDER | TP 2 | Mid-Pivot
🟢 86,027.66 — BUY ORDER | TP 1
🟢 79,908.44 — BUY ORDER II
🟢 76,167.19 — BUY ORDER I
🟢 74,406.60 — PIVOT LOW| Support Level
📊OSCILLATOR SIGNALS
RSI: 67.98 — Neutral, approaching overbought
MACD: 1,629.47 — 📈 Bullish crossover
Momentum: 10,006.19 — 📈 Strong upward push
Stoch RSI: 100.00 — 🔄 Extremely overbought, caution warranted
Williams %R: −5.30 — 🔻 Sell signal (overbought territory)
📈MOVING AVERAGES ALIGNMENT
All major EMAs & SMAs (10 through 200) are flashing BUY
HMA (9): 92,191.54 — supports current bullish thrust
Ichimoku Base: 84,535.45 — below price, further confirms bullish bias
🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES
BTCUSD has cleared a long-term pivot range with conviction — first time in over 2 months Price now testing supply zone between 102K and 104K
Break above 104K could trigger acceleration toward 107.8K and possibly 109.6K
Pullback scenarios would likely retest 96.1K or 92K (TP zones 2 & 3)
TRADE OUTLOOK 🔍
📈 Long bias remains strong above 92,012 with targets toward 107.8K and 109.6K
📉 Short-term profit-taking or rejections possible in 102.5K–104.3K zone
👀 Watch for confirmation of breakout or rejection from dynamic resistance at 109.6K
🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE BULLISH PLAY:
— Entry: 92,012.50
— TP Targets: 96,169 / 102,576 / 104,355
— SL: Below 86,027
AGGRESSIVE SWING SCALP:
— Sell Orders @ 104,355 or 107,877
— TP: 96,169 / 92,012
— SL: Above 109,618
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
Bitcoin will return to the moon!!BTC/USD 1D - Well as you can see price has played out exactly as we predicted yesterday providing us with an amazing push to the upside. I do however want to see price correct itself before the next push up.
I have gone ahead and marked out the order block I have in mind that I would like to see price come and clear before it continues in this hawkish way. I feel this could be a great area to get involved in those longs from.
As we know there are some great prospects for BTC so its important that we are always looking for key areas of interest for us to buy in from with this market being a bullish one.
BTC - Two Bullish Scenarios...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 BTC has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel marked in red.
The $70,000 area is a key confluence zone — it aligns with the lower red trendline, horizontal support, a psychological round number, and a potential demand zone.
📚 According to my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I’ll be looking for bullish reversal setups — such as a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and more.
🏹In parallel, for the bulls to take over long-term, and shift the entire trend in their favor, a break above the last major high marked in red at $88,888 is needed!
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
The Market Wins... For now... Let's talk CryptoIt seems that when I said in my previous videos "no matter what we want, Bitcoin can technically shoot up to a million tomorrow because that's just crypto", Crypto heard and said, "yeah, we'll do that". Kidding, we're not at a million nor will we be today or tomorrow. And at some point it will reverse because we need more demand for a sustainable push to new ATH's (peep 2021-2023 as I mention in this video). But at what point? Not for us to say until we start to see signs of tapering.
Once we broke out and consolidated out of our strong selling channel, we were given the heads up to be careful with our shorts - and with a certain amount of levels broken (i.e. FWB:88K ) I closed most of my short positions. But I do still have a HTF target at lower levels.
most importantly, we don't dictate to the market when it goes where. It decides on it's own and we wait for signals utilizing the algorithms and volume to guide us.
This is a long video because I don't have the "answers" as to why BTC is up 10%! But I still urge everyone to stay patient and cautious, either long or short, because in all markets there is clearly something being prepared for.
Happy Trading :)
Safe-haven funds continue to drive BTC higher.Yesterday, Bitcoin approached $94,000 with bulls maintaining strength, and $95,000 may become the next target. As a high-quality safe-haven asset, Bitcoin is currently still supported by uncertainties surrounding U.S. trade policies and the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. In trading operations, the strategy of going long on pullbacks should still be adhered to, with attention paid to the support level at $90,000 below.
BTCUSD
buy@93K-94K
tp:95K-96k
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
BTC/USD 1H – Bullish Breakout with FVG Entry & $91K TargetChart Breakdown:
📈 Trend Structure:
BTC is moving in an ascending channel with:
🔵 Resistance Line on top
🟢 Support Line below
🔁 Recently, it broke out above the resistance with a bullish move!
Key Zones & Levels:
🟦 Fair Value Gap (FVG)
This is your potential buy zone:
✅ Entry Point: $86,135
❌ Stop Loss: $85,098
🎯 Target: $91,000
📌 Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone
Look for a bullish bounce ✅
Enter long at $86,135
Set your SL and target accordingly
Risk-Reward Setup:
Risk: Small (below FVG zone) ❗
Reward: Big upside toward $91,000 🚀
Gain Potential: +5.74% ($4,948 per BTC)
Visual Flow:
1️⃣ Price breaks resistance 🔼
2️⃣ Pullback expected to FVG 🔽
3️⃣ Entry triggers around $86,135
4️⃣ Targeting moon shot to $91K 🌕
Conclusion:
This setup shows a bullish continuation with solid RR.
If BTC holds the FVG on a retest, the move to $91K looks likely!