BITCOIN trade ideas
Wyckoff Structure Targets 92K–94K Retest Before Continuation!A rare and highly instructive market structure is currently unfolding, presenting a textbook case of Wyckoff pattern integration across multiple timeframes.
Over the past weeks, I’ve been tracking a series of smaller Wyckoff accumulation and distribution patterns nested within a larger overarching Wyckoff structure. Each of these smaller formations has now successfully completed its expected move — validating the precision of supply/demand mechanics and the theory’s predictive strength.
With these mini-cycles resolved, the spotlight now shifts to the final, dominant Wyckoff structure — a larger accumulation phase that encompasses the full breadth of recent market activity. According to the logic of Phase C transitioning into Phase D, price appears poised to revisit the key retest zone between 92,000 and 94,000, a critical area of prior resistance turned demand.
📉 Current Market Behavior:
📐 Multiple minor Wyckoff patterns (accumulations/distributions) have played out as expected, both upward and downward — lending high credibility to the current macro setup.
🧩 All formations are nested within a major accumulation structure, now in the final phase of testing support.
🔁 The expected move is a pullback toward the 92K–94K zone, before the markup phase resumes with higher conviction.
📊 Wyckoff Confidence Factors:
✅ All Phase C spring and upthrust actions respected
✅ Volume behavior aligns with Wyckoff principles (climactic action → absorption → trend continuation)
✅ Clean reaccumulation signs within current structure
✅ Institutional footprint visible through shakeouts and well-defined support/resistance rotations
💬 Observation / Call to Action:
This setup is a rare opportunity to witness multi-layered Wyckoff theory in motion, offering not only a high-probability trading setup but also an educational blueprint. I invite fellow traders and Wyckoff analysts to share their interpretations or challenge the current thesis.
➡️ Do you see the same structural roadmap?
Let’s discuss in the comments.
BTC/USD 1D Chart📊 1. Technical formation: Downtrend channel marked with orange lines
Upper trend line (resistance): ~108,200 – 110,000 USD
Lower trend line (support): ~98,455 – 97,000 USD
➡️ Such a formation usually ends with a breakout. The direction of the breakout will be key – currently, the price is testing the upper resistance line.
💵 2. Support and resistance levels
📈 Resistance:
108.202 – currently tested
112.037 – psychological level
114.816 – local top
📉 Support:
105.300 – SMA 50 + local support
103.424 – local lows
100.510 – key psychological support
98.455 – lower edge of the triangle
📉 3. Moving averages (SMA)
SMA 50 (green): currently as dynamic support (~105.300)
SMA 200 (blue): far below the price (~96.000), inactive in the short term
SMA 20 (red): price broke through it upwards – a signal of bullish strength
➡️ A bullish crossover took place between SMA 20 and SMA 50 → bullish signal.
📉 4. MACD (Momentum)
MACD line is approaching the intersection with the signal line from below.
The histogram is becoming less and less red → a potential intersection and a bullish crossover signal may occur any day now.
📉 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Currently: 57.19
RSI is rising and approaching the overbought zone (70), but it is not overheated yet.
Exceeding 60 would be a signal of further bullish strength.
🔍 6. Volume and context
There is no volume marking on the candles, but:
The current bullish candle is strong and breaks through the key averages (SMA 20, 50).
This indicates buyer activity with technical support.
🟢 Bullish scenario (if a breakout occurs up)
A breakout above 108.200 with a close of the daily candle could open the way to:
112.037 (next resistance)
then even 114.816
🔴 Bearish scenario (false breakout)
A rejection from 108.200 and a drop below 105.300 → a possible return to:
103.424 or even 98.455 (lower triangle line)
BTC - Macro RSI analysisHello 👋
Weekly TF
Bearish divergence currently playing out.
Observing the uptrend (dotted white line) we did see a brief break below this trendline in April. Another break could result in a correction to 67.5K - 69.9K price range which is the 618 fib and an area where price found resistance on multiple occassions.
Bitcoin has found support on the Weekly RSI @ 45 (yellow dashed line). I think if we lose this level we would see BTC moving into oversold territory.
The daily RSI was also recently "overbought".
BTC daily level observation New perspectivesOn the daily chart, MACD shows divergence.
In the yellow box, there is a possible head and shoulders top structure
Pay attention to whether there is a large real black candlestick at the daily level that breaks through the lower boundary of the box.
Let's wait patiently
Clear View zooming out This Pattern may be playing out and retesting but its not confirmed until we have an RSI break out -
For clarification, i dont believe we would hit the upside target given the timing but it is very possible this may be a longer term play-
Pull backs are normal but the trend way upwards would be clear.
#Btc Faces Crucial Decision Near Resistance — Bearish DivergeBitcoin is showing repeated rejections from the $110K and $108K zones. Currently, it's moving upward from the $98K area toward resistance, but price action remains compressed between the major trendline support and resistance.
This range-bound structure suggests that a pullback may be imminent, especially as RSI is forming consistent bearish divergence and the MACD is signaling weakness. A liquidity sweep to the downside could occur before a decisive move.
However, if BTC manages to break above the converging trendlines with strong volume, we may see a move toward $110K again for a retest. Watch $106K as an intermediate support. If that fails, further downside may follow.
BITCOIN Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is retesting a
Horizontal support level
Around 101,288$ from
Where we will be expecting
A local rebound so we can
Go long with the Take Profit
Of 104,324$ and the Stop
Loss of 100,300$
Buy!
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Forecast🧭 Market Snapshot:
Bitcoin is showing signs of short-term weakness with price hovering around $102,800. The daily candle is forming an inside bar, suggesting indecision — typically a setup for a larger move ahead.
🔮 Forecast:
📅 1-Day Outlook:
BTC is expected to remain in a narrow consolidation range between $102,200 and $104,000. A breakout from this inside candle could push price toward $105K, but risk remains skewed slightly lower if support fails.
📅 1-Week Outlook:
With daily and 4H RSI trending under 45 and price below key EMAs, downside risk builds. If $100K fails, BTC may test the $98.5K zone, potentially down to EMA 144 near $96.5K.
📅 1-Month Outlook:
If BTC can base between $96.5K–$106K and reclaim the $105K resistance cluster, momentum may shift bullish. Until then, price action is likely to remain choppy and rangebound.
⚠️ Key Technicals:
Support Zones: $102,600 (EMA 55), $99,950 (EMA 89), $96,648 (EMA 144)
Resistance Zones: $105,000–106,000 (EMA 21/34 cluster)
Momentum: RSI < 50 across all timeframes → no bullish momentum yet
Volatility: Moderate, with ATR (14) = 2795
📌 Conclusion:
The bulls need a clear reclaim above $105K to regain control. Until then, expect range trading and possible tests toward $98K–$96K. Stay nimble, watch RSI and EMA reactions closely.
BTC USDT PLAN I favor a short-term pullback unless BTC can reclaim and close above the $111K–112K zone with strong volume.
If price breaks below $106K and confirms it as resistance, it could accelerate a move toward $100K and below.
Caution is warranted for bulls — this looks more like a distribution phase near the highs than a breakout.
BTC is expected to retreat in the short term, focus on 104500📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
I haven't updated BTC for a while. Today I want to share my views on BTC with you. BTC is currently encountering resistance and pressure at the 106,000 level and is beginning to retreat. From the technical indicators, MACD is in a dead cross, and RSI is retreating after reaching the overbought area. There is no problem with the short-term bearish trend, and it is expected that it will be able to retreat to the 104,500 level without much problem. However, the recent decline in the gold market, DXY market, and crude oil market may cause funds to flow into the BTC market.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 106000-105500
TP 105000-104500
BUY 140500-103500
TP 105000-106000
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
$BTC Weekend Update - The Revenge of the BearsHello Fellow Gamblers,
Bears are in total control of BTC and are dragging the price lower and lower. Our 1st target has been hit so my eyes are now turning towards our 2nd target right above 93k. In the Video I talk about a possible Target 3 that could happen if we break below 93k.
- I am currently watching for a possible move up towards 103k to fill any FVG previously opened, I might be early but it is never early enough to be mentally prepared for it.
- I expect an accumulation to happen above 93k. That would lead us to a reversal and continuation of the bullish trend.
- Levels to watch: 93.1k, 97.5k,101k, 103.4k, 106.6k.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 2-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)2-hour chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD), showing a current price of $102,459.21 with a decline of $853.19 (-0.83%) over the period. The chart highlights a significant drop from a peak near $105,898.45, with a shaded area indicating a potential support zone between $101,682.19 and $99,732.49, and a resistance level around $103,000. The timeframe spans from 9:00 to 29:00, with technical indicators and price levels marked for analysis.
$BTC Bullish Momentum Building Bitcoin has successfully broken CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bullish Momentum Building
Bitcoin has successfully broken above both the $100K support and the 50 EMA at $103K, showing strong signs of bullish continuation. A retest of $103K may occur, but structure now favors the upside.
🔸 Support Now at 103,000 – 100,000 (Acting as Support):
The breakout above $103K flips this zone bullish. If a retest holds, it confirms strength and could launch the next leg up.
🔸 Upside Target: 110,324 and Higher
Now that BTC is trading above $103K, a move toward $110K+ is likely. If momentum continues, a breakout beyond the previous high could follow.
🔸 Risk Level at 103K:
As long as BTC holds above this level on retest, bulls remain in control. A break back below would weaken the setup.
🔸 Outlook:
🔹 Watch for a successful retest of $103K – that’s your long trigger.
🔹 Target zone: $108K → $110K+
🔹 Invalidation: Close back below $103K
Momentum shifting bullish — setup favors continuation higher unless invalidated. Stay alert for breakout volume.
BTC SHORT TP:97,500 23-06-2025We’re looking at a false bullish spike setup — that means it looks strong, but it’s all smoke.
Shorting between 102,500–103,600, targeting 97,000–97,800 with a solid 3.8 RR.
Timeframe: 4H.
Expected to play out in the next 24 to 30 hours, otherwise invalid.
There’s still a chance of manipulation to the upside, but we’re betting on rejection.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
WAW we ended up again following my imaginary lines .... I'm seeing a potential upside: if war accelerates government spending, it could push central banks to print more money — and that could be fuel for Bitcoin.
Historically, wars come with massive fiscal demands. Governments tend to ramp up military budgets, fund support packages, and stimulate their economies to manage instability — and that often leads to increased money printing.
More fiat currency in circulation typically leads to inflation or a devaluation of purchasing power. In that kind of environment, investors and everyday people start looking for stores of value outside of traditional currencies — like gold, real estate… and now, Bitcoin.
Bitcoin was literally born in response to central banks abusing the money printer. Its fixed supply — 21 million coins — makes it an attractive hedge against inflation and monetary debasement. If war accelerates global instability and fiscal irresponsibility, Bitcoin could benefit as a safe-haven asset.
So yes — war is tragic. But in purely macroeconomic terms, if it triggers massive government spending, printing, and inflation, it could send Bitcoin flying.
Bitcoin Tests Key Support-Healthy Correction Within Bull MarketHealthy Pullback, Strong Structure:
Bitcoin’s recent dip is a constructive correction within a broader bull trend, as it tests the critical $100,000–$105,000 support zone—a former resistance area from early 2025.
Institutional Demand Holds the Line:
Maintaining levels above the psychologically important $100,000 mark highlights continued institutional accumulation and reinforces the underlying strength of the trend.
Momentum Reset, Base Building:
This pullback has helped reset overbought conditions from the prior rally, laying the foundation for the next potential leg higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $100,000–$105,000
Breakout Trigger: A close above $108,000 would confirm uptrend continuation
Outlook: Bullish bias remains valid as long as support holds
Investor Opportunity:
With structure intact and downside contained, this consolidation presents a favorable risk-reward setup for long-term investors looking to position ahead of a potential breakout.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #BullMarket #RiskReward #InstitutionalBuying #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the recent trading session, Bitcoin exhibited an upward trend; however, it subsequently experienced a significant decline from the established Mean Resistance level at 110300. On Friday, Bitcoin exhibited notable price action, characterized by a pump-and-dump scenario. At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downwards as it seeks to approach the Mean Support level at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to acknowledge the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $101500 and/or the Inner Coin Dip at $96500. Such a rally could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level at $107000.