BTC / NDX / SPX to get to the probable core: AI.I examine here some confluences and draw a hypothesis that AI is in a bear market and may remain in it for a bit longer.
BITCOIN trade ideas
This chart represents a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 30This chart represents a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements:
Supply Zone (Resistance) at ~$85,599
The price has approached this supply zone, which could act as a resistance level.
The expectation is that the price may struggle to break above this level and could reverse downward.
Demand Zone (Support) at ~$81,500 - $81,755
This is labeled as the "diamond zone," which could act as a strong support area where buying interest may emerge.
The price is anticipated to decline towards this level.
Projected Price Movement
The blue arrows suggest a bearish scenario.
The price might initially react to the supply zone, then break below the trendline, confirming a downtrend.
The target for this downward move is the demand zone around $81,500.
Trendline Break
A rising trendline is drawn, which currently acts as support.
If the price breaks below it, it would confirm a bearish momentum shift.
Conclusion
This chart suggests a short-selling opportunity near the supply zone, targeting the demand zone. However, traders should watch for confirmations such as a rejection from resistance and a break below the trendline before entering a trade.
BTC/USD Trading Analysis – Double Bottom & Rising Wedge BreakoutThis BTC/USD 4-hour chart showcases a potential bullish breakout setup based on technical patterns, key support and resistance levels, and price action analysis. The chart suggests a trend reversal following a downtrend, with signs of bullish momentum building up.
Let's break down the full technical analysis, covering the chart structure, key levels, price patterns, and trading strategy.
1. Market Structure & Identified Patterns
A. Double Bottom Reversal – Strong Bullish Signal
A double bottom pattern has formed, which is a bullish reversal signal that indicates the end of a downtrend.
This pattern consists of two significant low points (Bottom 1 and Bottom 2) near the $80,000 - $81,000 support zone.
The pattern confirms strong buying interest at this level, preventing further price drops.
A breakout above the resistance level would confirm the pattern’s validity, signaling a move toward higher targets.
B. Rising Wedge Formation – Potential Bullish Breakout
The price action is consolidating in a rising wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing range.
A rising wedge often suggests a potential breakout.
Since this wedge forms after a double bottom, the breakout is expected to be bullish, rather than a bearish breakdown.
If the price breaks above the wedge’s upper trendline, it will confirm a strong upward momentum.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
Major Support Zone (80,000 – 81,000):
This level has been tested twice, confirming buyer strength.
It serves as the foundation for the double bottom pattern.
Stop Loss Level (72,921):
If the price drops below this level, it would invalidate the bullish setup.
This level is strategically placed to manage risk and protect against potential downturns.
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance Zone (95,000 – 100,000):
This is a critical level, as the price has faced multiple rejections here.
A breakout above this zone would confirm a strong bullish trend continuation.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1 (108,481): The first take-profit target aligns with previous highs and is a logical point for partial profit booking.
TP2 (114,372): This is the second profit target, calculated based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price movements.
3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
A. Entry Strategy
To execute a successful trade, we need to wait for confirmation of the breakout.
Ideal Entry: After a strong breakout above 95,000 – 100,000, indicating bullish momentum.
Confirmation Factors:
Increased trading volume → Signals strong buying interest.
Candle close above resistance → Confirms breakout.
Retest of broken resistance as support → Strengthens bullish continuation.
B. Risk Management
Stop Loss Placement: Below 72,921, ensuring limited downside risk.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup aims for a 1:3 or better risk-to-reward ratio.
C. Potential Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout:
If BTC breaks and holds above 95,000 – 100,000, we can expect a rally toward 108,481 (TP1) and 114,372 (TP2).
❌ Bearish Rejection:
If BTC fails to break resistance, it could retest 80,000 or drop lower, invalidating the bullish setup.
4. Final Thoughts – What to Expect?
This BTC/USD 4-hour chart analysis provides a high-probability bullish trade setup, supported by:
✅ Double Bottom Formation → Strong Reversal Signal
✅ Rising Wedge Breakout Potential → Momentum Building
✅ Key Resistance Breakout Levels Identified
📌 Conclusion:
If Bitcoin breaks above 95,000 – 100,000, expect a major bullish move toward 108,481 and beyond. However, if resistance holds, we might see a retest of lower support levels. Risk management is essential for a successful trade execution. 🚀
YOU ARE LOSING THOUSAND'S PER WEEK IN IGNORANCEThe truth is you are missing out on making thousands a week in crypto simply because you don't know how to make it.
Instead of holding CRYPTOCAP:BTC and a select few altcoins, you gamble with random tokens that don't give you any cash flow whilst at risk of losing thousands from them.
If you invested just a fraction of that into bettering yourself and understanding the market, you could make thousands of dollars in a short time.
If you want to finally make the change for the better and bet on yourself random than just an altcoin, you know where to find me @CryptoJayTrades
Theory.This is just a theory about CRYPTO:BTCUSD
I think we’re going to see a lot of global economic problems in the near future. THEY will try to preserve THEIR capital with gold and Bitcoin, as the stock market stagnates.
I believe we’re in the BUBBLE RUN, but the key question remains open: “At what stage of the BUBBLE RUN are we?”
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls are still too weak to close strongly above 84k but they kept the market above 80k. Another neutral week which is good for the bears. We are getting close to the big bear trend line, where I expect market to create another strong bear leg down to 75k or lower. Plan did not change for the past 2 weeks. Above 87k we could test 90k and maybe higher, which would damage the bear case big time. Below 80k we likely do the next leg to 75k or even 70k. Clean bear flag but remember, they can also break to the upside. I just don’t think it’s likely given the current structure.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 94k
bull case: Bulls need anything above 90k/91k to break above the bear trend line but giving this some room, even 94k could still not be enough for them to stop this bear trend. They are doing good at keeping the market above 80k and if they prevent the bears from testing the previous ath at 73.8k, that would be the third try and likely the last before many bears give up and bulls could test higher again.
Did not change much to last week since market has not invalidated anything of it.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears need to close the bull gap down to 73800, no ifs or buts. If they do not create better selling pressure next week and close a daily bar below 80k, market has likely turned more neutral again and both sides have equal odds of the next impulse.
Invalidation is above 94k.
short term: Neutral. Need strong selling momentum again for me to join this.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing
$BTC to the MoonFor BTC, we are still sticking to our "to the moon" analysis 🚀 hehehe. We remain in a trade with the following parameters:
Entry: 81,758
Stop Loss: 79,901
Target: 109,390
This is our trade operation, but we have also increased our hold position at this entry point, aiming for the very long term. Currently, our average price is 42,350.
What reinforces our analysis?
By analyzing the daily and H4 time frames, we can observe:
✅ Bullish continuation purges
✅ SMT (Smart Money Theory) confirming the movement
✅ A shift in the state of price delivery
With that in mind, I remain bullish, and may the moon be just the first target! Let's go, BTC! 🚀
BTCUSD SELL🔻 BITCOIN SHORT SETUP 🔻
📉 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD - 1H Chart Analysis
🚀 Price retesting key resistance!
⚠️ Liquidity Grab & Rejection in Play
💰 Bearish Confirmation Expected
🔸 Entry: Below Resistance Zone
🔸 Stop Loss: Above Recent High
🔸 Target: Major Demand Zone
📊 Trade Smart, Manage Risk!
💯 Follow for more setups!
Bitcoin Breakout: Potential Rally Towards $110K!"Key Observations:
Descending Channel: The price has been moving downward within a channel, showing lower highs and lower lows.
Support Level: Marked near $79,912.83, where the price recently bounced.
Breakout Scenario: BTC appears to be breaking out of the channel, suggesting a potential bullish trend.
Target: The projected target is $110,146.67, indicating a significant upward move.
Stop Loss: Positioned below the support level to manage risk in case of a price reversal.
Trading Idea:
A long trade setup is suggested, with entry upon confirmation of the breakout.
Stop-loss below the recent low ($79,912.83) to minimize risk.
Profit target near $110,146.67, aligning with previous resistance levels.
This setup follows a classic breakout and retest strategy, expecting bullish momentum if Bitcoin sustains above the resistance zone.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Bullish Breakout from Strong Falling WedgeBitcoin is currently showing signs of a potential breakout from a strong falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, which is a classic bullish reversal signal.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
The falling wedge has been forming since late January, creating a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Price action is now consolidating near the wedge resistance, indicating an impending breakout.
A previous bullish leg saw a price rally of 25,428.16 (+30.29%), suggesting strong historical momentum.
If BTC breaks out cleanly, we could see a similar or stronger move—projecting a potential rally of 28,086.24 (+31.12%).
📈 Expected Target : ~$118,141, aligning with the measured move from the wedge breakout.
🧠 Trading Insigh t: Watch for a confirmed breakout with strong volume above the wedge resistance zone. Retests of the breakout area can offer ideal entries for continuation trades.
Let's always put our trust in BTC, mate.Bitcoin Market Analysis
BTC price hovers around 84,000 in consolidation. Bulls and bears battle at this price.
Support Level
Support is in 81,000 - 82,000. Strong buying emerges there. It stopped drops in past corrections. Dense holdings mean many cost - bases are in this range, propping up support.
Resistance Level
Resistance at 87,000. K - lines show heavy selling near it. Past break - throughs failed. Trapped or profit - taking positions sell as price nears, creating resistance.
Bullish Outlook
I'm bullish. Global recovery raises risk appetite for BTC. More institutions hold BTC, boosting price. Positive sentiment on long - term prospects, due to blockchain growth, helps. Upward - diverging moving averages show uptrend. Lower volume in consolidation, but activity stays. New positives may push price to resistance.
💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@83500 - 84000
🎁 TP 86000 - 87000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Bitcoin ($BTC) - Hoping for a Short-Term RolloverBitcoin bounced from the daily demand (76874.75-74306.67) that was highlighted in my "Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation" post from 5 days ago (see related post below). However, the rubber will now meet the road as BITSTAMP:BTCUSD could break higher or continue lower from current price. The in-play 1D sell zone, which is admittedly doesn't have great structure, is 86267.86-92920.42. Ideally, short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC momentum, per the RSI, would be weaker than it is, but momentum is still soft per the daily oscillator. I'm not looking to short BTC blindly, but rather am stalking it via LTFs and will execute a confirmation short if evidence of the near-term uptrend (established 3/10) violation/termination materializes. If the intermediate-term downtrend continues, T2 = sub-$70K.
Anyway, just an idea. For those looking for longer-term buying opportunities, a near-term selloff should be viewed as a positive. Futures open in ~5 hours and can always be used to hedge longs if we get a breakdown.
Thanks for reading. Thoughts/feedback appreciated!
Jon
@JHartCharts
BTC Today's strategyToday, BTC still fluctuates within our marked range, and the strategy of selling high and buying low still works
Today's BTC trading strategy:
btcusdt buy@83K-84K
tp:85K-86K
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( BUY )trade ( BTCUSD) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (84000) to (84100) 📊
FIRST TP (84600)📊
2ND TARGET (85200)📊
LAST TARGET (85700) 📊
STOP LOOS (83400)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
BTC/USD UPDATESIn this forecast we're analyzing 1H time frame for finding the upcoming movement and changes in BTCUSD price. My BIAS for today was Bullish and when price come to my key level area. we'll observe the reaction of price if price give any bullish confirmation then we'll execute our trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#BTCUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
BTCUSD Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Professional AnalysisBitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity.
This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup.
1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge
Formation of the Rising Wedge
The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape.
The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure.
As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control.
The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion.
The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon.
Why This Pattern is Bearish
The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off.
A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders.
2. Key Technical Levels to Watch
Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone
Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure.
If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone
This support level has held strong multiple times.
If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling.
Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management
A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts.
This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs.
Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective
The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point.
This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy
Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup
📌 Entry:
Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance.
Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation.
📌 Stop Loss:
Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance.
This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts.
📌 Take Profit:
First target: $78,000 (psychological support).
Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target).
Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade
✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown.
✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum.
✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside.
4. Risk Management & Considerations
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable.
Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action.
Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering.
5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook?
Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios:
🚨 Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies?
If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case:
✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+.
✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal.
🔹 In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades.
6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary
📊 Current Bias: Bearish 📉
🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected)
🔹 Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation
🔹 Stop Loss: Above $88,062
🔹 Target: $75,718
Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts.
📢 Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! 🚀
BTC SELLDue to the expiration time of the correction and collision of multiple opening to the price resistance, I couldn't pass the resistance so I expect my return and open my deal up to 50 %
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week's trading session demonstrated considerable volatility in Bitcoin's price action. The cryptocurrency made multiple attempts to attain our Interim Coin Rally 88400, yet it ultimately remained at the same level as the week commenced. The current analysis suggests that Bitcoin must reach our Mean Support of 82500 before initiating an upward progression aimed at the Interim Coin Rally of 88400 through the Mean Resistance of 87000. Furthermore, a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip 78700 is essential before the emergence of a significant rally.
i think this gona happen in next days with btcusdim seeing short on btc now and after a long buy ... its just my idea
USA Bitten More Than It Can Chew: The Case for a Dollar CollapseIntroduction:
The United States has long been the global economic superpower, but cracks are beginning to show. From geopolitical tensions to internal economic vulnerabilities, the stage may be set for a seismic shift in the global financial system. This report explores the possibility of a U.S. recession, a dollar collapse, and the potential for Bitcoin to surge to $1,000,000+ as a hedge against systemic failure.
Key Themes/Theories:
The U.S. Dollar’s Vulnerability:
The U.S. dollar has been the world’s reserve currency for decades, but its dominance is being challenged.
Rising debt levels, inflation, and geopolitical tensions are undermining confidence in the dollar.
Bitcoin and Gold as Safe Havens:
Bitcoin and gold have historically performed well during times of economic uncertainty.
The inverse correlation between the dollar and these assets suggests they could skyrocket in a dollar collapse scenario.
Geopolitical Catalysts:
The growing influence of China, Russia, and other nations is creating a multipolar world.
The risk of World War III or a new Cold War could accelerate the decline of the U.S. dollar.
Market Psychology of Big Investors:
Elon Musk, institutional investors, and other wealthy individuals are diversifying away from traditional markets (e.g., Tesla, NVIDIA) and into private companies (e.g., SpaceX) and alternative assets like Bitcoin.
This behavior suggests a lack of confidence in the sustainability of current market valuations.
Evidence/Proof:
1. Historical Precedents:
Trump’s Election and Bitcoin’s Surge:
When Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016, Bitcoin surged to nearly $20,000, and gold also saw significant gains. This suggests that investors were already seeking alternatives to traditional financial systems.
Trump Coin Failure:
The collapse of the Trump family’s cryptocurrency venture highlights the speculative nature of markets but also shows how early investors can profit from hype before a collapse.
2. Market Behavior:
NVIDIA and Tesla:
The DeepSeek shock (a hypothetical or symbolic event) and Elon Musk’s decision to cash out Tesla shares and invest in private companies like SpaceX indicate that big players are preparing for market instability.
Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin:
Companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla have already added Bitcoin to their balance sheets, signaling a shift toward decentralized assets.
3. Geopolitical Tensions:
China’s Rise:
China’s growing economic and military power is challenging U.S. dominance.
Russia, India, and Israel:
These nations are increasing their military capabilities, suggesting a potential arms race or conflict.
World War III Risk:
The possibility of a global conflict could destabilize the U.S. dollar and traditional financial systems.
Catalysts for a U.S. Recession and Dollar Collapse:
Debt and Inflation:
The U.S. national debt is at record levels, and inflation remains a persistent threat.
A loss of confidence in the dollar could trigger hyperinflation or a collapse.
Geopolitical Shocks:
A conflict involving China, Russia, or other major powers could disrupt global trade and weaken the dollar.
Market Psychology:
If big investors continue to exit traditional markets, it could create a domino effect, leading to a broader sell-off.
Outcome: Bitcoin as the Ultimate Hedge
Bitcoin’s Role:
Bitcoin’s fixed supply (21 million coins) makes it an ideal hedge against inflation and currency devaluation.
In a dollar collapse scenario, demand for Bitcoin could skyrocket, driving prices to $1,000,000 or more.
Gold’s Role:
Gold has historically been a safe haven, but its physical nature limits its utility in a digital age. Bitcoin, as “digital gold,” could surpass it in value and adoption.
American Response:
If the dollar collapses, Americans may flock to Bitcoin as a store of value, further driving up its price.
Conclusion:
The U.S. is facing unprecedented challenges, from economic vulnerabilities to geopolitical tensions. If these pressures lead to a recession or dollar collapse, Bitcoin could emerge as the ultimate hedge, potentially reaching $1,000,000 or more. While this scenario is speculative, the signs are clear: the global financial system is at a tipping point, and investors must prepare for the possibility of a new monetary paradigm.
Don't FOMO into the market yet; the bear run isn't over!Earlier today, I took some time to scroll through Reddit and Twitter, where I saw discussions suggesting that the recent pullback in crypto is the first leg of the highly anticipated bull run.
While I largely agree that the bull run is far from over, a broader look at price movements across multiple markets indicates that the bear market isn’t over yet.
To prove this point, I will be analysing Bitcoin's price charts.
On Bitcoin's daily chart, it's clear that the current price movement is more of a correction than a reversal.
Zoom in to the 4-hour chart and and you can see how the pullback moves in an ascending triangle. Over the next few days we might see price break below the channel and head for the area around point 'B'.
This will serve as the pullback for this short swing, where bulls will temporarily drive prices slightly above the most recent high before a sharp decline leads to the formation of a new low.
BITCOIN approaching the critical 1day MA50 test.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has found the support it desperately needed on the 1week MA50 and rebounded.
Now it faces the most important Resistance of its Cycle, the 1day MA50.
Every time this broke in the last 2 years, the market started a strong rally.
Buy and target 140000, which would be just under the Pi Cycle Top.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
BTCUSD: Staying bullish with this breakthrough analysis.Bitcoin remains marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.889, MACD = -2304.900, ADX = 28.298) as it erased yesterday's Fed gains. Nevertheless, this doesn't make us lose sight of the bigger picture. On this 1M chart, we have selected all Decembers, as they hold critical importance for BTC Cycles. Both bottoms and tops tend to be priced around them and in between two consolidation phases take place. Don't let the short term volatility cloud your long term perspective. This Cycle hasn't topped yet. Stay bullish.
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