BTC/USD Rejects Key Supply Zone – Is a Drop to $88K Next?Bitcoin just rejected a major supply zone around $97,300, showing signs of strong bearish momentum. This 4H chart highlights a clear rejection from the visible range high-volume node, with BTC currently trading at $96,191 and dropping.
Key Observations:
Supply Zone (Resistance): Around $97,300 – price has failed to break above this level multiple times.
Demand Zone (Support): Sitting near $88,129, this is the next major liquidity area to watch.
Bearish Signal: Consecutive red candles forming below the supply zone with lower highs, hinting at selling pressure taking control.
Targets:
First short-term target: $92,000
Final demand zone target: $88,129
Bias:
Bearish until BTC breaks and holds above $97.3K with volume.
Trade Idea:
Look for a potential short entry on a bearish retest of the rejected zone. Risk management is key – wait for confirmation.
What I'm Watching:
Will buyers step in at GETTEX:92K ? Or is BTC heading straight for the FWB:88K demand zone?
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Hashtags for Visibility:
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #TradingStrategy #LuxAlgo #FrankFx #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #4hChart
BITCOIN trade ideas
Summary of the Bitcoin Market This WeekThis week, the Bitcoin market showed a trend of steady increase and broke through the key resistance level.👉👉👉
Technically, the MACD indicator on the daily chart shows a strong bullish signal, and the price has also held above the key moving average, confirming the short - to medium - term upward trend. Overall, market sentiment is relatively optimistic, and investors' expectations for it to break through the psychological barrier of $100,000 have increased. However, when Bitcoin approaches the $98,000 level, it may form a short - term resistance, and as the price gets closer to the $100,000 mark, the overly optimistic market sentiment also increases the risk of a pullback.
The better than expected performance of the US job market has alleviated recession concerns, boosted the sentiment of risky assets, and provided support for Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the signs of easing in US - China trade relations have had a positive impact on the global financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market.
This week, the Bitcoin market has performed strongly driven by various factors. Both on-chain data and market indicators have shown positive signals. However, during the process of price increase, it's also necessary to pay attention to the potential risk of a pullback.
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 2, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin prices have significantly exceeded our previously completed Interim Rally 95000, thereby positioning the cryptocurrency to aim for the forthcoming Interim Coin Rally marked at 100000. Nevertheless, current price movements indicate a potential retracement toward the Mean Support level at 94000, with a further possible decline likely toward an additional Mean Support target at 91800. It is imperative to recognize the potential for upward momentum to develop from a retest of either support level, as this could facilitate a trajectory toward the next Interim Coin Rally at $100,000 and beyond.
BTC/USD 4H Chart Setup – Bullish Breakout Targeting $104K1. Trend Direction
⬆️ Uptrend Detected
* Price is forming higher highs and higher lows
* Trading inside a bullish channel
* Breakout potential above the top trendline.
2. Key Zones
🟦 Support Zone: $95,252.31
* Labeled as RBS + RBR ZONE
* Strong buy area → previous resistance turned support
* Perfect area to catch a bounce
📏 Support Line & Trendline
* Trendline keeps price supported along the climb
* Acts as a launch pad for the next move.
3. EMA 70 (📉 Red Line)
* Current value: $93,636.88
* Price is above EMA, showing strong bullish pressure
* EMA acts as dynamic support.
4. Trade Setup
🎯 Target Point: $104,000
🟦 Target Zone: $103,918.60 – $104,747.91
🔥 Entry Zone: $95,252.31 (marked blue box)
⚠️ Stop Loss: $94,091.28
* Positioned safely below support
* Good Risk/Reward Ratio.
5. Extra Cues
📅 Economic event icons near May 3–6 → Potential volatility ahead
⚡ Pullback in progress → May offer a buying opportunity.
Conclusion
🚀 Bullish Setup!
* Watch for a bounce from the blue demand zone
* Targeting $104K breakout
* Strong support + momentum = solid long opportunity.
BTCUSD – Discount Zone Play | Long Setup Loading📉 BTCUSD – 15-Minute SMC Breakdown | May 3, 2025
Bitcoin is cooking up something spicy inside this discount zone. All the ingredients are there for a bullish reversal — we just need the final confirmation to execute the long.
🧠 SMC Breakdown:
POI Identified: Price has broken into a key OB discount zone (61.8%–79%), tapping 70.5% and chilling near the 79% fib retracement.
Weak High: Noted above at ~96,950 – a liquidity target ready to get swept.
Price Structure: Series of lower highs and lows forming bearish structure, but no momentum break yet. We're in accumulation range.
🎯 Entry Criteria (Potential):
Wait for CHoCH (Change of Character) on lower timeframes (e.g., 1min or 5min) to confirm reversal intent.
Ideal entry = bullish engulfing or BOS from within the 70–79% zone
SL = below 95,900 (clear invalidation level)
TP = Weak High → 96,950+
RR Potential = ~1:5+
📌 Why This Matters:
Price is deep in premium vs. discount logic.
Smart Money loves entries in the 70–79% retracement zones — it’s the sniper's nest.
That Weak High = unfinished business. Expecting bullish expansion if this zone holds.
📊 Pro Tips:
Wait for confirmation, don’t blindly buy in the zone.
Look for signs of absorption or bullish reaction candles.
Always map invalidation level BEFORE entering.
🔥 Final Note:
This is the “load-the-clip” zone for Smart Money. No hype, just structure. If BTC reacts here, we could see a clean 1:5 RR into that Weak High.
💬 What do YOU think happens next?
💾 Save this setup – it’s textbook.
🔁 Share this with your trading squad & don’t miss the next wave.
BTC Ready to Rally ?Disclaimer on
this is simple strategy that I did base on Bitcoin cycle in the past , seems this one ready to rally, while they hit by good news either from the government, or the big holder, minor correction is healthy, I mean drow down is good for the coin, I predict this one will hit the target around August, might be wrong, but either right,
personal target around 128.000 - 130.000
do your own research
Bitcoin long: Expects Wave 5 Extension, Target $112,608I provide an update to the Bitcoin Elliott Wave primary wave counts. Here's a few things to note:
1. Primary Wave 3 = Primary Wave 1. Wave 3 is actually slightly longer than wave 1 but for the purpose of ascertaining whether it extends, we take the position that it did not.
2. Expects Primary Wave 5 extension of at least 1.618x of Primary Wave 1, giving us a target of $112,608.
3. Stop below Primary Wave 4, around $92,750.
$BTC is on track for a 100% Move Up: Looking at the Weekly!Let's keep it SIMPLE!!!!!
Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has been on an absolute tear lately. After finding a solid base around $74,000, we’ve now broken out and are trading around $96,000—a move that’s caught the attention of everyone from retail traders to institutions.
But could we be on the road to $150,000 BTC?
Let’s break it down simply using the weekly chart, a couple key resistance levels, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a key momentum indicator that often reveals where the smart money is going.
📈 The Weekly Momentum Is Strong
The weekly RSI is currently trending upward and approaching the 70 zone, which is often considered the “overbought” area. But here’s the key: In a strong bull market, RSI staying above 70 is not a warning sign—it's a sign of strength.
We saw this behavior during the 2017 and 2021 bull runs. RSI hovered in overbought territory for weeks, even months, as Bitcoin pushed higher and higher. We're starting to see that same pattern now. The momentum is building, and buyers are in control.
🔓 Key Resistance Levels Being Broken
When Bitcoin was at $74K, we had a few major resistance zones ahead:
$80K – psychological barrier and minor rejection point
FWB:88K –$90K – prior consolidation area and liquidity zone
$100K – major psychological milestone that will bring massive attention
So far, Bitcoin has smashed through $80K and is holding above $90K, showing buyers are stepping in on every dip. Once we confidently break and hold above $100K, the road toward $120K and $150K opens up fast.
💡 Why $150K Is in Sight
This isn’t just about technicals—there’s also a strong macro and sentiment shift at play:
Institutional interest is increasing
ETF flows remain positive
Supply on exchanges is dropping
Halving narrative is still fueling demand
Momentum indicators are still not overheated
Technically, when price breaks into price discovery, it tends to overshoot to the upside—especially if momentum like RSI stays strong.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Bitcoin has already climbed from $74K to $96K, and the weekly chart suggests this could just be the beginning of the next leg up. If RSI continues climbing and price breaks above $100K cleanly, the $120K to $150K zone becomes a realistic next stop.
Stay patient, zoom out, and follow the trend. The momentum is real—and so is the opportunity.
Bitcoin on Bollinger Band touch the Bottom?📝 Bitcoin is currently testing the baseline of the Bollinger Bands, which historically indicates that the sideways phase is nearing its end.
📉 Volatility is stabilizing, and the market structure is tightening—this often precedes a significant new move.
💡 The next big trend is on the horizon. Will it be an explosive breakout or a controlled rally like in 2021? I'm leaning more toward gradual growth, what do you think?
btc fibonacci levels Trade Strategy
Long to May 4 High:
Entry: If BTC breaks above $94,310 (Square of Nine 90°) with a green candle, enter long.
Target: $96,472 (Square of Nine 720°), aligns with your $95,976.36.
Stop-Loss: Below $92,781 (Square of Nine -360°), risking ~$1,500.
Time: Exit by May 4 (50-day cycle).
Short for May 14 Dip:
Entry: If BTC reaches $96,472 and shows rejection, enter short.
Target: $91,567 (Square of Nine -720°).
Stop-Loss: Above $96,472, risking ~$1,000.
Time: Expect the dip by May 14 (60-day cycle).
+0.42% Gain: BTC/USD April 28th Trading Plan Success📈 BTC Trade Recap (Apr 28): Bullish breakout plan hit!
✅ Long entry @ $95,050 -> Take Profit 1 = $95,450 = +0.42% profit.
🐻 Short setup didn't trigger
💰 +0.42% profit.
You can find the trading plan in the 'Related publications' section in the lower right corner.