BTC Breakdown – Reaccumulation at RiskBitcoin just posted a decisive 4H candle close below 55 SMA, mid-Bollinger Band, and the primary ascending trendline. Volume spiked to 7.31M, and RSI dropped to 38, confirming bearish momentum.
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🧩 Wyckoff Structure Under Threat:
• ❌ LPS level invalidated
• ❌ Phase D uptrend broken
• 📉 No breakout above ATH (~109.8K) after three attempts
• 🟠 Still holding BC (Pole End) at ~105.8K
• 🔁 If this breaks next, the entire Phase D/E thesis collapses
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🔻 What’s Next?
• Support:
• S1: Lower BB (~106.9K)
• S2: 105.8K (BC level — key structural base)
• Break of 105.8K = invalidation of reaccumulation, transition into potential distribution. Watch for daily close for confirmation.
• S3: Point of control at 104k
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📊 Breakdown Triggers Confirmed:
• ✅ Close below mid-BB (108.9K)
• ✅ RSI < 45
• ✅ High-volume red candle
• ✅ Structural break of ascending LPS pattern
A short hedge can be initiated with a tight stop over breaking candle high. Note that this could be the shakeout moment i mentioned in my related post.
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Unless BTC recovers 108.5K+ with rising volume quickly, this is now a valid short breakdown, and reaccumulation thesis hangs by a thread.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Breakdown #CryptoTA #BTC4H #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC Daily Breakdown – Major Uptrend BreachedBitcoin has now closed below the multi-week ascending trendline on the daily chart — the same trendline that defined the entire Phase D markup structure.
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🔍 Breakdown Highlights:
📉 Daily Close: 107,764 → well below trendline ✅
🔻 Volume: 18.42M (near 20-day average) → not a panic candle, but confirms exit ✅
📉 Fibonacci Cluster: 0.5 (107,093) and 0.618 (105,495) now in play ✅
⚠️ RSI (14): 61.14 → still neutral, but diverging from price ❗
🧱 Next supports:
• 106,146 = BB basis
• 105,821 = BC Pole End
• 104,000 = Point of control from volume profile
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🧩 Structural Impact (Wyckoff View):
• ❌ Trendline break = Phase D invalidated
• ❌ No breakout above ATH (109,852) after 3 attempts
• 🟠 Still not fully invalidated — if 105.8K holds, Spring-like scenario still possible
• 🔻 Close below 105.8K = Phase C fails → transition into Redistribution
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⚠️ What to Watch Next:
• Bounce from 106.1–105.5K with volume could offer one last recovery setup
• A close below 105.8K confirms structural invalidation
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🧠 Final Take:
The trendline break is real. Bulls need to defend the Fibonacci cluster + BC base around 105.8K. If that gives way, this becomes a failed reaccumulation and BTC risks a deeper structural rotation.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Breakdown #Trendline #TechnicalAnalysis #Wyckoff #BTC #CryptoMarkets #BTCdaily
Bitcoin 4H Outlook: Dual Wyckoff Reaccumulation in Play⚙️ Technical Thesis:
We're currently witnessing the unfolding of two back-to-back Wyckoff reaccumulation structures on the 4H timeframe:
📦 Reaccumulation #1 (Left)
Structure: PSY → BC → AR → ST → Spring + Test → LPS → SOS
Bullish pennant formed after Spring, leading to a strong breakout
BC of this phase (105,821) now acts as a major upper resistance
📦 Reaccumulation #2 (Right)
Structure: BC → ST → UT → Shakeout → Minor Spring → SPRING (current)
Current price has tagged Spring at the convergence of:
Lower Bollinger Band ($105,174)
61.8% Fibonacci retracement ($105,915)
🧪 Market Internals
RSI: 38.31 → deeply oversold, aligned with a Spring phase
Volume: Fading on last leg down, hinting exhaustion
BBs:
Upper: $110,828
Basis: $108,006 (confluent with 55 SMA)
Lower: $105,174
200 SMA: $102,248 (macro support)
Pattern context: Another bullish flag is forming within the second structure
🎯 Trade Expectations (Pending Spring Test as Confirmation)
If this Spring holds:
🔄 LPS → Look for bullish reaction with increased volume
TP1: AR retest around $106,752
TP2: 55 SMA + BB Midline confluence at ~$108,000
TP3: Range target or previous BC level near $112,000–$113,000
A decisive break below $105,000 with RSI < 35 and rising volume would invalidate the Spring and shift focus to breakdown risk.
🔍 Wyckoff View
This is a classic Spring setup from a Wyckoff reaccumulation structure. Two sequential structures are visible, and the first structure’s BC now serves as the foundational support for the second. This kind of layered support builds conviction — but needs validation via LPS and SOS phases.
Yes the major trendline was broken, but we are now consolidation and reaccumulation for the next leg up, unless the pattern is invalidated.
🕹 No short setups active unless structural failure confirmed.
💬 Share your view: do you see this as a Spring or potential failure?
#BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Reaccumulation #CryptoTrading #BitcoinAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Spring #LPS
BTCUSD SMC Short | 70.5% Fib + OB Rejection Incoming?BTCUSD | High Risk-Reward Setup at Key Supply Zone 🔥
This Bitcoin setup is setting up for a potential clean short opportunity, right from a key Order Block zone confluenced with 61.8–70.5% Fib retracement and a Strong High liquidity magnet above.
🧠 1. Why This Trade Setup is 🔥
This BTCUSD chart shows Smart Money preparing a trap:
🔺 Impulse down ➝ forming market structure shift
📉 Retracement back to a refined OB (purple zone)
📍 Aligned perfectly with:
✅ 61.8–70.5% Fib retracement zone
✅ Strong High = liquidity trap
✅ Bearish engulfing rejection from supply zone
This is textbook SMC confluence. Price could sweep the high one more time, then tank hard.
📌 2. Zone Breakdown
OB Entry Zone (purple): ~108,000 to 108,400
SL Above Strong High: ~109,000
TP at Weak Low: ~104,600
✅ Entry around 108,000
✅ RRR: ~1:5 👑
📈 3. Market Structure
HTF Bias: Bearish
LTF Structure: Retracing to premium zone
Expecting BOS downward if rejection confirms
⚙️ 4. Trade Plan
Wait for price to tap 61.8–70.5% zone
Look for M5/M15 bearish structure break
Enter on pullback to M15 OB
SL = Above the High
TP = Weak Low (104,630)
🛑 5. Risk Management Tips
Never enter blindly at 61.8%
Always wait for confirmation on LTF (M5/M15)
If price blows past 70.5%, let it go — don’t chase 🧘
🧠 Save this trade plan
📈 Comment “BTC SMC ENTRY” if you caught this
👀 Follow for more Smart Money chart breakdowns
BTC WILL CRUSH. BTC ENTRY POINTAs we predicted on our last Analysis BTC exactly reacted and went the direction we wants.
So now if BTC first rejected from 106100-106700, Then we will see a opportunity to go short until 102k. If BTC didn't not respect 106100-106700, And went up with high volume then more likely reject from 107800-108500 above breaker FVG, From there we can go short only if we got rejected.
NOTE: we should wait for the confirmation, The confirmation will be Rejection from those two area.
Analysis: 1H
Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin
From K1 to K3,
It is a three soldiers advancing pattern,
It close below the uptrend line and the neck line of a potential double top pattern.
It seems that a short-term bear run will fall to test 102K area.
I will try to buy it there if the following candles couldn’t close below 0.618fib line.
On the other hand,
If K4 return back upon the neck line immediately,
K3 will be a fake down and the following candles will keep climbing up to test 112K area.
Short-106318/Stop-107318/Target-102188
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) – BREAKDOWN FROM THE CHANNEL! WHAT’S NEXT?Hey traders! 🧠
Today’s BTC/USD price action is sending a strong technical signal – price has broken down from the ascending channel, potentially marking the start of a deeper correction. Currently sitting at $106,200, with a daily drop of -1.49%.
🔍 Here’s what I’m seeing:
📉 Uptrend break – bears might be taking control.
🛑 Immediate support: $104,000.
🔼 Resistance ahead: $109,351 – reclaiming this is key for any bullish recovery.
📊 Watching closely whether BTC re-enters the channel or moves toward lower support (~$100K or below).
💡 My current plan:
If $104K holds, we could see a bounce. If not, prepare for a potential deeper dip. A return above $109K would be a bullish sign and could trigger renewed momentum.
📲 Follow me for more real-time updates, trade ideas, and clean technical breakdowns!
👉 If this helped, drop a like – it helps get this analysis in front of more traders!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading
BTC/USD – Double Top Breakdown Signals Bearish Wave- 4H chart. 🧨
🔍 Chart Analysis:
🟢 Recent Price Action:
Bitcoin formed a double top pattern near the Recent All-Time High (ATH) 📈 — a strong bearish signal 🔔.
A trendline break occurred right after the second peak, confirming potential weakness ⚠️.
🟠 Supply Zone:
Price re-entered a previous supply zone (resistance area) and failed to hold above it 🧱 — indicating sellers are active again.
🔵 EMA 70 (Blue Line):
The price has dropped below the 70 EMA, signaling momentum shift from bullish to bearish 📉.
🔴 STOP LOSS ZONE:
Positioned above 110,555 🚫 — risk level for this short setup if bulls reclaim control.
🟡 Bearish Pathway (Expected Move):
Price may retest the broken zone 🔁.
Followed by a sharp drop to the 1st support near $101,503 🎯.
Confirmed by large bearish volume spikes 📊.
💥 Trade Idea:
Entry: Near 106,000 (on retest of supply zone).
Stop Loss: Above 110,555 🔺.
Target: $101,500 🎯.
Risk/Reward Ratio: 🔥 Favorable setup for swing short sellers!
📛 Pattern Breakdown:
⚠️ Double Top = Reversal Signal.
🔻 Trendline Break = Shift in Market Structure.
🧊 Supply Zone Rejection = Bearish Confirmation.
BTC – Symmetrical Triangle Tightening on 4H🔷 CRYPTOCAP:BTC is coiling up inside a symmetrical triangle on the 4H timeframe — a classic setup where volatility often follows consolidation.
⚡ With price tightening, traders should stay sharp. A breakout could ignite the next directional move — either way, momentum is loading.
📉 Breakdown? Expect some shakeout.
📈 Breakout? Eyes on key resistance zones ahead.
Let’s see which side wins the squeeze. 👀
BTC on the way to 113k BTC keeps showing strength.
The price is building value above the pmProfile and it rejected the pwPOC. This will cause a FTR draw (failure to rotate liquidity grab) at the 112k high.
I am using the fib expansion levels for the previous week candle to project some targets for the price discovery.
It seems like the 120k direction is still on the table. 113k next.
One last trip to the clouds One final rally approaching for BTC in my opinion, targeting only a tad more than the last ATH, just ‘to say we did it’
Passing 100k again is and was a big deal. It shows btc is here to stay. Conversations around the world are still taking place about this landmark to new/novice investors.
I am on board with a huge correction to sub 100k levels. But I forsee one last horrah before its time for a mini crypto winter.
The 4 HR RSI says a correction over due
But the current double top needs to have a width that is closer to the last double top.
Buy now, hold until new ATH hits by even a dollar, then short like youre martin
I Think Its Time For Bitcoin To Have Cooldown4 Houers Chart. Low Volum . Resistance on Rsi- And Macd Daily Looks Wery Heavy.
Bitcoin Support at $106,800 Retested to Determine Next Move – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?
Ali Martinez stated that BTC remains “range bound” despite today’s price drop, but added that the range’s low is the most important thing to watch. He warned that a break below the $106,800 support could trigger increased volatility, sending BTC price lower.
BTCUSD Analysis – Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Action + Target🧭 Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Explained
Mirror Market Concepts analyze repeating emotional and structural patterns in the market—like looking at a price “mirror” that reflects past movements into the present. Core tools include:
Mind Curve Resistance/Support
CHoCH (Change of Character)
BOS (Break of Structure)
Price Reflection Zones
These tools let us understand not just what price is doing—but why it's reacting at specific levels.
📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
🔹 1. Black Mind Curve Support & Resistance
The chart is framed between a rising support curve and a descending resistance curve, forming a psychological squeeze zone.
These mind curves represent subconscious institutional memory—where reactions often repeat based on historical liquidity and risk-off/on behavior.
🔹 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character)
Price broke below a previous minor higher low, shifting sentiment from bullish to neutral/bearish.
This CHoCH happened within the mind curve boundary, signaling that we’re transitioning into a decision phase.
🔹 3. Major BOS (Break of Structure)
The BOS occurred during the recent drop, confirming sellers took temporary control.
However, price respected the lower mind curve support, which may still hold as the "mirror zone."
🔹 4. Key Compression Pattern (MMC Symmetry)
Price is forming a symmetrical wedge between the two curves, often seen in MMC just before a major explosive move.
The pattern resembles past behavior where price compressed before breaking out in either direction.
🎯 Potential Scenarios (Plotted on Chart)
📈 Bullish Path:
If BTC breaks above the descending curve + confirms above 109,000, we may see:
✅ Target 1: 111,000 (BOS retest)
✅ Target 2: 112,500–113,000 zone (previous emotional high + liquidity sweep)
📉 Bearish Path:
A breakdown below 107,000 and curve support suggests sellers regain control:
⚠️ Target 1: 105,000 (local demand zone)
⚠️ Target 2: 102,500–103,000 (full MMC retrace)
⚠️ Watchlist Considerations:
Two key economic news events (highlighted on chart) could serve as catalysts.
Wait for confirmation and volume breakout before committing to either side.
This is a textbook MMC compression pattern, and patience is key before reacting.
🧠 What Makes This an MMC Setup?
🔄 Mirror Reflection of past rallies and drops forming current wedge
🧩 Mind Curve Boundaries acting like subconscious trend guides
🔁 CHoCH + BOS sequencing for momentum shift detection
💡 Psychological memory zones holding strong reactions
📌 Summary
BTC is caught in a psychological squeeze between mind curve support and resistance.
Structure favors a coming breakout or breakdown, but confirmation is critical.
MMC tools show a high-probability setup—either toward 112K or 103K based on where the breakout happens.
📣 Community CTA (Call-to-Action):
📊 How are you trading this BTC curve compression?
💬 Share your charts, setups, or alternate views below. Let’s decode the market mirror together.